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Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren Result & Analysis

Date: 04/10/2025
Time: 14:00
Final 2-0
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
Vs
45%
29%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
ST Mirren
ST Mirren
Scotland: Premiership
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Kilmarnock are the clear favourites, with a 45% chance of victory, a 29% draw probability and a 26% chance of an away win. The model expects 2.5 goals on average, with a 27% chance that the total will be exactly two. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 13.7% probability. Kilmarnock, playing at home against a team of similar strength, have been scoring 1.71 goals per game while conceding only 0.64. ST Mirren, on the road, average 1.33 goals scored and 1.17 conceded against comparable opposition. Suggested picks include Under 25.5 fouls at 79.1%, Over 2.5 cards at 77.8%, Under 5.5 cards at 76.7%, Under 3.5 at 75.2%, Over 1.5 at 73.1% and Over 8.5 corners at 71.4%. The recent form shows Kilmarnock coming off a win, while ST Mirren return after a defeat.

Results analysis

Kilmarnock’s recent win extended their form, setting the stage for a home triumph that the Pythia model had predicted with a 45% probability. The final score was 2-0, confirming the model’s favourite and the actual result. The model’s selection for “Under 25.5 fouls” missed, while “Over 2.5 cards” hit, “Under 5.5 cards” hit, “Under 3.5” hit, “Over 1.5” hit, and “Over 8.5 corners” hit. Each probability is expressed as a percentage: 79.1% for fouls, 77.8% for cards, 76.7% for cards, 75.2% for 3.5, 73.1% for 1.5, and 71.4% for corners. The model’s call was correct, and the majority of its selections proved accurate.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kilmarnock win✓ Hit
45.1%
Avg Implied 34.0% · @ 2.74
Edge
+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.7%
Avg Implied 29.0% · @ 3.22
Edge
-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren win✗ Miss
26.2%
Avg Implied 37.0% · @ 2.52
Edge
-10.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D40W22D22D21W00D22D12L22D20WA·KEL22/07H·EAS26/07H·LIV02/08A·HIB10/08H·DUN17/08H·DUN23/08A·MOT30/08H·CEL14/09H·ST 19/09A·DUN27/09
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.371.560.941.082.00
vs Stronger (8)1.252.501.002.001.503.00
vs Similar (22)1.410.951.710.640.881.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ST MirrenST Mirren

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-882W21W01L00D11D11D11D21W22D10WH·ANN19/07H·AYR27/07A·CEL03/08H·MOT09/08H·HEA16/08H·RAN24/08A·HIB31/08A·FAL13/09A·KIL19/09H·DUN27/09
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.171.811.251.501.07
vs Stronger (14)1.291.291.251.501.331.00
vs Similar (13)1.461.001.570.861.331.17
vs Weaker (3)4.331.338.002.002.501.00
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.1%
Under 1.5
26.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.3%
@ 2.01-0.2%
Under 2.5
53.7%
@ 1.75+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.8%
Under 3.5
75.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.5%
No
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
1-0
10.5%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
2-0 ✓
8.6%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
4.8%
Kilmarnock goals ↓
ST Mirren goals →
01234
09.2%7.2%4.5%1.6%0.4%
110%14%6.6%2.3%0.6%
28.6%9.1%4.8%1.7%0.5%
34.2%4.4%2.4%0.8%0.2%
41.5%1.6%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kilmarnock goals (down), columns = ST Mirren goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Celtic
2.16
Heart Of Midlothian
2.11
Rangers
1.89
Motherwell
1.61
Hibernian
1.50
Falkirk
1.29
Partick
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Dundee Utd
1.18
Dundee
1.11
Kilmarnock
1.05
Aberdeen
1.05
ST Mirren
0.95
Livingston
0.55
Arbroath
0.50
Kilmarnock is 0.10 points better than ST Mirren in terms of average points per game (1.05 vs 0.95).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Rangers
2.00
Celtic
1.92
Heart Of Midlothian
1.76
Motherwell
1.55
Hibernian
1.53
Kilmarnock
1.32
Falkirk
1.32
Dundee Utd
1.29
Dundee
1.11
Livingston
1.05
Aberdeen
1.05
Partick
1.00
ST Mirren
0.80
Dunfermline
0.75
Arbroath
0.00
Kilmarnock is 0.52 goals better than ST Mirren in terms of goals scored per game (1.32 vs 0.80).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arbroath
0.50
Dunfermline
0.75
Heart Of Midlothian
0.89
Motherwell
0.95
Partick
1.00
Celtic
1.08
Rangers
1.13
Hibernian
1.16
ST Mirren
1.40
Aberdeen
1.45
Dundee Utd
1.58
Dundee
1.61
Falkirk
1.63
Kilmarnock
1.79
Livingston
1.97
Kilmarnock is 0.39 goals worse than ST Mirren in terms of goals conceded per game (1.79 vs 1.40).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Celtic
66%
Rangers
58%
Motherwell
58%
Heart Of Midlothian
53%
Falkirk
51%
Arbroath
50%
Dunfermline
50%
Aberdeen
48%
Hibernian
47%
ST Mirren
46%
Livingston
45%
Dundee
44%
Kilmarnock
42%
Dundee Utd
42%
Kilmarnock is 3.8 percentage points worse than ST Mirren in terms of average possession (42% vs 46%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

KilmarnockKilmarnock

For 4.5 · Against 5.3 · Total 9.8

🚩 Corners

150696797374353445722515139101187997A·DUNH·CELA·MOTH·DUNA·HIBH·LIVH·HEAA·MOTH·DUNA·ST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.9

🟨 Cards

7024332352332521321126657673513A·DUNH·ST H·CELA·MOTH·DUNH·DUNA·HIBH·LIVH·LIVH·HEA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 11.5 · Total 24.9

⚠️ Fouls

350128101018171713151011141413711147161220203530252527182128A·DUNH·CELA·MOTH·DUNA·HIBH·LIVH·HEAA·MOTH·DUNA·ST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ST MirrenST Mirren

For 4.4 · Against 7.6 · Total 12.0

🚩 Corners

170552471066741121456645111061712111314111016H·DUNA·FALA·HIBH·RANH·MOTA·CELA·CELH·HIBA·DUNH·ABE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

6032332111333351121235632666333H·DUNA·KILA·FALA·HIBH·RANH·HEAH·MOTA·CELH·AYRA·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 8.5 · Total 18.9

⚠️ Fouls

25012713677178165610612121356101119191425211618251121H·DUNA·FALA·HIBH·RANH·MOTA·CELA·CELH·HIBA·DUNH·ABE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

KilmarnockKilmarnock

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.79.911.53.83.73.922.722.323.0
vs Stronger (17)10.89.812.03.84.13.522.122.921.0
vs Similar (33)10.79.911.33.83.54.123.021.824.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line66%50%82%54%50%58%55%55%55%
% under line34%50%18%46%50%42%45%45%45%
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ST MirrenST Mirren

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.310.510.14.14.43.821.221.021.4
vs Stronger (22)10.910.211.64.45.13.621.221.221.3
vs Similar (25)9.810.88.64.34.14.621.120.821.4
vs Weaker (3)---0.00.00.0---
% over line64%68%60%52%54%50%50%50%50%
% under line36%32%40%48%46%50%50%50%50%
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Celtic
11.6
Hibernian
11.5
Falkirk
11.3
Rangers
11.3
Aberdeen
11.2
Dundee Utd
11.1
Motherwell
11.0
Kilmarnock
10.7
ST Mirren
10.4
Heart Of Midlothian
10.3
Dundee
10.3
Partick
10.3
Dunfermline
10.2
Arbroath
10.1
Livingston
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aberdeen
5.1
Hibernian
4.7
ST Mirren
4.6
Dundee Utd
4.5
Motherwell
4.4
Kilmarnock
4.3
Partick
4.2
Falkirk
4.2
Heart Of Midlothian
4.1
Livingston
4.1
Rangers
3.9
Dundee
3.7
Dunfermline
3.6
Celtic
3.3
Arbroath
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Livingston
24.1
Aberdeen
23.8
Motherwell
23.2
Kilmarnock
22.6
Falkirk
22.4
Heart Of Midlothian
22.4
Rangers
21.4
ST Mirren
21.1
Dundee Utd
21.1
Hibernian
20.8
Dunfermline
20.3
Partick
20.3
Dundee
19.8
Arbroath
19.7
Celtic
18.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
59.5%
Under 9.5
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
58.8%
Under 3.5
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
51.0%
Under 21.5
49.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W20W12L11D00D11D00D11D10WA·KEL22/07H·EAS26/07H·LIV02/08A·HIB10/08H·DUN17/08H·DUN23/08A·MOT30/08H·CEL14/09H·ST 19/09A·DUN27/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.530.830.220.501.00
vs Stronger (8)0.621.250.500.500.752.00
vs Similar (22)0.730.270.930.140.380.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ST MirrenST Mirren

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W20W00D00D10W10W00D00D11D10WH·ANN19/07H·AYR27/07A·CEL03/08H·MOT09/08H·HEA16/08H·RAN24/08A·HIB31/08A·FAL13/09A·KIL19/09H·DUN27/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.330.940.440.710.21
vs Stronger (14)0.640.360.750.620.500.00
vs Similar (13)0.770.310.860.140.670.50
vs Weaker (3)2.000.333.001.001.500.00
Clean sheet %73% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kilmarnock over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W02L10W10W00D11D12L11D10WA·KEL22/07H·EAS26/07H·LIV02/08A·HIB10/08H·DUN17/08H·DUN23/08A·MOT30/08H·CEL14/09H·ST 19/09A·DUN27/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.830.720.720.581.00
vs Stronger (8)0.621.250.501.500.751.00
vs Similar (22)0.680.680.790.500.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ST MirrenST Mirren

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-551W01L01L00D01L01L11D21W11D00DH·ANN19/07H·AYR27/07A·CEL03/08H·MOT09/08H·HEA16/08H·RAN24/08A·HIB31/08A·FAL13/09A·KIL19/09H·DUN27/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.830.880.810.790.86
vs Stronger (14)0.640.930.500.880.831.00
vs Similar (13)0.690.690.710.710.670.67
vs Weaker (3)2.331.005.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kilmarnock over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls79.1%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards77.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards76.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.575.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners71.4%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Kilmarnock
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Joe Hugill40%
Tyreece John-Jules33%
Djenairo Daniels29%
Findlay Curtis29%
Nicky Cleșcenco20%
Greg Kiltie12%
Bruce Anderson11%
Michael Schjønning-Larsen11%
George Stanger10%
David Watson9%
Scott Tiffoney8%
Marcus Dackers8%
Marley Watkins7%
Ben Brannan6%
Robbie Deas6%
Tom Lowery5%
Liam Polworth3%
Bradley Lyons3%
Kelle Roos0%
Max Stryjek0%
Aaron Tshibola0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Jamie Brandon0%
Kyle Magennis0%
James Brown0%
Jack Thomson0%
Lewis Mayo0%
Dominic Thompson0%
Eddie Beach0%
Zac Williams0%
Toby Oluwayemi0%
Ethan Brown0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kyle Magennis33%
Robbie Deas33%
George Stanger30%
Bradley Lyons29%
Djenairo Daniels29%
David Watson24%
Aaron Tshibola21%
Joe Hugill20%
Jamie Brandon17%
Marcus Dackers17%
Dominic Thompson16%
Tom Lowery14%
James Brown13%
Jack Thomson12%
Lewis Mayo12%
Greg Kiltie12%
Ben Brannan12%
Liam Polworth10%
Bruce Anderson9%
Findlay Curtis7%
Tyreece John-Jules6%
Michael Schjønning-Larsen6%
Ethan Brown6%
Kelle Roos0%
Marley Watkins0%
Max Stryjek0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Scott Tiffoney0%
Nicky Cleșcenco0%
Eddie Beach0%
Zac Williams0%
Toby Oluwayemi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Greg Kiltie21%
James Brown13%
Joe Hugill13%
Tyreece John-Jules11%
Scott Tiffoney8%
Marley Watkins7%
Findlay Curtis7%
Bruce Anderson6%
Michael Schjønning-Larsen6%
Robbie Deas6%
Dominic Thompson5%
Tom Lowery5%
Liam Polworth3%
Bradley Lyons3%
David Watson3%
Kelle Roos0%
Max Stryjek0%
Aaron Tshibola0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Jamie Brandon0%
George Stanger0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Jack Thomson0%
Lewis Mayo0%
Nicky Cleșcenco0%
Djenairo Daniels0%
Marcus Dackers0%
Eddie Beach0%
Zac Williams0%
Toby Oluwayemi0%
Ethan Brown0%
Ben Brannan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Findlay Curtis43%
Tyreece John-Jules22%
Joe Hugill20%
Djenairo Daniels14%
Marcus Dackers12%
David Watson6%
Bruce Anderson6%
Greg Kiltie3%
Tom Lowery0%
Kelle Roos0%
Marley Watkins0%
Max Stryjek0%
Aaron Tshibola0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Jamie Brandon0%
Scott Tiffoney0%
George Stanger0%
Bradley Lyons0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Liam Polworth0%
Michael Schjønning-Larsen0%
James Brown0%
Jack Thomson0%
Lewis Mayo0%
Dominic Thompson0%
Robbie Deas0%
Nicky Cleșcenco0%
Eddie Beach0%
Zac Williams0%
Toby Oluwayemi0%
Ethan Brown0%
Ben Brannan0%
ST Mirren
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jake Young15%
Jonah Ayunga13%
Mikael Mandron11%
Dan N'Lundulu11%
Miguel Freckleton11%
Killian Phillips8%
Keanu Baccus6%
Richard King6%
Alexander Gogić6%
Liam Donnelly6%
Scott Tanser5%
Conor McMenamin4%
Declan John3%
Marcus Fraser3%
Mark O'Hara0%
Kion Etete0%
Ross Sinclair0%
Allan Campbell0%
Shamal George0%
Jayden Richardson0%
Tunmise Sobowale0%
Malik Dijksteel0%
Fraser Taylor0%
Roland Idowu0%
Jalmaro Calvin0%
Jacob Devaney0%
Evan Mooney0%
Luke Douglas0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Keanu Baccus38%
Alexander Gogić36%
Killian Phillips24%
Fraser Taylor22%
Richard King22%
Marcus Fraser19%
Roland Idowu19%
Miguel Freckleton19%
Liam Donnelly18%
Jacob Devaney15%
Mikael Mandron11%
Shamal George9%
Allan Campbell8%
Dan N'Lundulu7%
Mark O'Hara4%
Jonah Ayunga4%
Conor McMenamin4%
Declan John3%
Jayden Richardson3%
Kion Etete0%
Ross Sinclair0%
Scott Tanser0%
Tunmise Sobowale0%
Jake Young0%
Malik Dijksteel0%
Jalmaro Calvin0%
Evan Mooney0%
Luke Douglas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Scott Tanser18%
Declan John17%
Mikael Mandron14%
Jacob Devaney8%
Mark O'Hara4%
Conor McMenamin4%
Richard King3%
Alexander Gogić3%
Shamal George3%
Miguel Freckleton3%
Keanu Baccus0%
Kion Etete0%
Jonah Ayunga0%
Ross Sinclair0%
Liam Donnelly0%
Allan Campbell0%
Marcus Fraser0%
Jayden Richardson0%
Dan N'Lundulu0%
Tunmise Sobowale0%
Killian Phillips0%
Jake Young0%
Malik Dijksteel0%
Fraser Taylor0%
Roland Idowu0%
Jalmaro Calvin0%
Evan Mooney0%
Luke Douglas0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luke Douglas33%
Jonah Ayunga9%
Killian Phillips8%
Roland Idowu8%
Dan N'Lundulu7%
Keanu Baccus6%
Liam Donnelly6%
Alexander Gogić3%
Mark O'Hara0%
Mikael Mandron0%
Kion Etete0%
Declan John0%
Ross Sinclair0%
Scott Tanser0%
Allan Campbell0%
Marcus Fraser0%
Shamal George0%
Conor McMenamin0%
Jayden Richardson0%
Tunmise Sobowale0%
Jake Young0%
Malik Dijksteel0%
Richard King0%
Fraser Taylor0%
Jalmaro Calvin0%
Miguel Freckleton0%
Jacob Devaney0%
Evan Mooney0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
ARB (15)
€1m
Kilmarnock and ST Mirren have a similar squad value (both €7m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
ARB (3)
€0m
Kilmarnock's attack is €1m more valuable than ST Mirren's (€3m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
Kilmarnock's midfield is €1m less valuable than ST Mirren's (€2m vs €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
ARB (7)
€0m
Kilmarnock and ST Mirren have a similar defence value (both €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
KIL wins
3
Draws
1
SM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren · H/A from KIL
DateH/AGameScore
19/09/25HKIL Vs ST Mirren2-2
29/03/25AST Mirren Vs KIL5-1
02/01/25HKIL Vs ST Mirren2-0
14/09/24AST Mirren Vs KIL2-2
11/05/24AST Mirren Vs KIL0-1
16/03/24HKIL Vs ST Mirren5-2
27/12/23AST Mirren Vs KIL0-1
30/09/23HKIL Vs ST Mirren1-1

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/09/25ADundee Utd Vs KIL0-2
19/09/25HKIL Vs ST Mirren2-2
14/09/25HKIL Vs Celtic1-2
30/08/25AMotherwell Vs KIL2-2
23/08/25HKIL Vs Dundee0-0
17/08/25HKIL Vs Dundee Utd2-1
10/08/25AHibernian Vs KIL2-2
02/08/25HKIL Vs Livingston2-2
26/07/25HKIL Vs East Fife4-0
22/07/25AKelty Hearts Vs KIL0-0

ST MirrenST Mirren

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/09/25HSM Vs Dundee1-0
19/09/25AKilmarnock Vs SM2-2
13/09/25AFalkirk Vs SM1-2
31/08/25AHibernian Vs SM1-1
24/08/25HSM Vs Rangers1-1
16/08/25HSM Vs Heart Of Midlothian1-1
09/08/25HSM Vs Motherwell0-0
03/08/25ACeltic Vs SM1-0
27/07/25HSM Vs Ayr Utd2-1
19/07/25HSM Vs Annan Athletic8-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 3 Wins / 6 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLDW1.26
HomeDWDLD1.73
AwayLDDDW0.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%46%17%
AVG goals2.762.503.04
Over 1.5 %74%69%79%
Over 2.5 %46%38%54%
Over 3.5 %34%31%38%
Scored1.301.541.04
Conceded1.460.962.00
BTTS50%46%54%
Clean Sheet28%42%12%
Corners10.709.8611.55
Cards4.153.884.48
ST Mirren
ST Mirren
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWDW1.44
HomeWDDDW1.50
AwayWLDWD1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%38%38%
AVG goals2.842.852.83
Over 1.5 %78%65%92%
Over 2.5 %58%54%62%
Over 3.5 %30%31%29%
Scored1.461.581.33
Conceded1.381.271.50
BTTS60%62%58%
Clean Sheet18%19%17%
Corners10.3310.5510.10
Cards4.564.754.33

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CelticCeltic3882
68%
2.2
7341+32
3.0
82%
68%
42%
10.6
61%
4.1
55%
21.8
37%
116
5620411.91.1
66%
2Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian3880
63%
2.1
6734+33
2.7
71%
53%
29%
10.1
63%
4.7
63%
24.3
61%
22
12461.80.9
53%
3RangersRangers3872
53%
1.9
7643+33
3.1
82%
61%
37%
10.6
63%
4.2
58%
25.5
76%
136
3844542.01.1
58%
4MotherwellMotherwell3861
42%
1.6
5936+23
2.5
76%
39%
29%
8.1
32%
4.9
71%
26.3
79%
16
10151.60.9
58%
5HibernianHibernian3857
39%
1.5
5844+14
2.7
76%
55%
29%
10.6
68%
4.4
61%
23.2
66%
20
7851.51.2
47%
6FalkirkFalkirk3849
37%
1.3
5062-12
2.9
74%
58%
34%
9.6
53%
4.2
63%
25.3
76%
6
2131.31.6
51%
7Dundee UtdDundee Utd3845
26%
1.2
4960-11
2.9
89%
50%
34%
10.0
55%
4.2
61%
22.8
53%
11
4341.31.6
42%
8DundeeDundee3842
29%
1.1
4261-19
2.7
71%
58%
34%
9.5
61%
3.7
51%
22.9
55%
5
1221.11.6
44%
9AberdeenAberdeen3840
29%
1.1
4055-15
2.5
74%
34%
24%
10.0
58%
4.9
69%
26.4
95%
15
4471.11.4
48%
10KilmarnockKilmarnock3840
26%
1.1
5068-18
3.1
84%
66%
42%
9.7
53%
4.5
71%
25.0
74%
7
3231.31.8
42%
11ST MirrenST Mirren4038
22%
0.9
3256-24
2.2
68%
30%
15%
11.1
71%
3.3
38%
22.3
58%
8
1330.81.4
46%
12LivingstonLivingston3821
5%
0.6
4075-35
3.0
84%
63%
39%
10.4
58%
4.2
65%
25.2
71%
4
1111.12.0
45%
13PartickPartick45
25%
1.2
44+0
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
3.5
50%
-
0%
3
1111.01.0
-
14DunfermlineDunfermline45
25%
1.2
33+0
1.5
50%
25%
0%
9.0
50%
6.0
100%
22.5
100%
4
2020.80.8
50%
15ArbroathArbroath21
0%
0.5
01-1
0.5
0%
0%
0%
9.0
50%
6.0
100%
22.5
100%
1
0000.00.5
50%
Scotland: Premiership 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches