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Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren Result & Analysis

Date: 11/02/2026
Time: 19:45
Final 4-3
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
Vs
43%
29%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
ST Mirren
ST Mirren
Scotland: Premiership
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Kilmarnock are the clear favorites, with a 43% chance of victory, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance of an away win. The expected total goals hover at 2.6, so a 2-goal match is most likely, with a 26% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.6% chance. Home form shows Kilmarnock averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.08 conceded against similarly strong teams, while ST Mirren, playing away, averages 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded to similar opposition. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 82.5%, Over 2.5 cards at 77.8%, Under 5.5 cards at 76.7%, Over 1.5 goals at 74.4%, Under 3.5 goals at 73.7% (miss), and Under 11.5 corners at 71.2% (miss).

Results analysis

Kilmarnock’s win extends their recent run, ending a defeat to Dundee Utd. The final score was 4-3, a home win that matched the model’s favourite, which had a 43% probability of success. The predicted total of 2.6 goals was far below the actual seven-goal thriller. The model’s selections all resolved: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 82.5%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 77.8%, Under 5.5 cards hit at 76.7%, Over 1.5 hit at 74.4%, Under 3.5 missed at 73.7%, and Under 11.5 corners missed at 71.2%. The match delivered more action and goals than the model anticipated.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kilmarnock win✓ Hit
43.1%
Avg Implied 33.5% · @ 2.78
Edge
+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.5%
Avg Implied 28.8% · @ 3.23
Edge
-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren win✗ Miss
28.4%
Avg Implied 37.7% · @ 2.47
Edge
-9.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L01L00D12L13L11D12L04L30W15LA·ABE14/12H·FAL20/12A·ST 27/12A·DUN30/12H·HIB03/01A·LIV10/01H·DUN17/01A·MOT24/01H·ABE31/01A·RAN04/02
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.771.251.500.932.07
vs Stronger (9)0.782.890.502.751.003.00
vs Similar (21)1.241.291.501.080.891.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ST MirrenST Mirren

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L02L02L02L11D11D00D10W11DH·KIL27/12A·RAN30/12A·MOT03/01H·FAL10/01A·HEA14/01A·LIV17/01A·LIV20/01H·DUN31/01H·HEA03/02A·AIR06/02
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.270.800.801.201.73
vs Stronger (13)1.001.461.001.251.001.80
vs Similar (17)1.001.120.570.291.301.70
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.4%
Under 1.5
25.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.0%
@ 2.06+2.8%
Under 2.5
52.0%
@ 1.70-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.3%
Under 3.5
73.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.4%
No
46.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.7%
2-0
7.9%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
5.1%
Kilmarnock goals ↓
ST Mirren goals →
01234
08.7%7.3%4.8%1.8%0.5%
19.6%14%7.1%2.7%0.8%
27.9%9.0%5.1%2.0%0.6%
33.8%4.4%2.5%0.9%0.3%
41.4%1.6%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kilmarnock goals (down), columns = ST Mirren goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Celtic
2.16
Heart Of Midlothian
2.11
Rangers
1.89
Motherwell
1.61
Hibernian
1.50
Falkirk
1.29
Partick
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Dundee Utd
1.18
Dundee
1.11
Kilmarnock
1.05
Aberdeen
1.05
ST Mirren
0.95
Livingston
0.55
Arbroath
0.50
Kilmarnock is 0.10 points better than ST Mirren in terms of average points per game (1.05 vs 0.95).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Rangers
2.00
Celtic
1.92
Heart Of Midlothian
1.76
Motherwell
1.55
Hibernian
1.53
Kilmarnock
1.32
Falkirk
1.32
Dundee Utd
1.29
Dundee
1.11
Livingston
1.05
Aberdeen
1.05
Partick
1.00
ST Mirren
0.80
Dunfermline
0.75
Arbroath
0.00
Kilmarnock is 0.52 goals better than ST Mirren in terms of goals scored per game (1.32 vs 0.80).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arbroath
0.50
Dunfermline
0.75
Heart Of Midlothian
0.89
Motherwell
0.95
Partick
1.00
Celtic
1.08
Rangers
1.13
Hibernian
1.16
ST Mirren
1.40
Aberdeen
1.45
Dundee Utd
1.58
Dundee
1.61
Falkirk
1.63
Kilmarnock
1.79
Livingston
1.97
Kilmarnock is 0.39 goals worse than ST Mirren in terms of goals conceded per game (1.79 vs 1.40).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Celtic
66%
Rangers
58%
Motherwell
58%
Heart Of Midlothian
53%
Falkirk
51%
Arbroath
50%
Dunfermline
50%
Aberdeen
48%
Hibernian
47%
ST Mirren
46%
Livingston
45%
Dundee
44%
Kilmarnock
42%
Dundee Utd
42%
Kilmarnock is 3.8 percentage points worse than ST Mirren in terms of average possession (42% vs 46%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

KilmarnockKilmarnock

For 4.0 · Against 5.6 · Total 9.6

🚩 Corners

15011073125753574112239721110312812154129A·RANH·ABEA·MOTA·LIVH·HIBA·DUNA·ST H·FALA·ABEH·RAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.7

🟨 Cards

703134314434212152224735761374A·RANH·ABEA·MOTA·LIVH·HIBA·DUNA·ST H·FALA·ABEH·RAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.7 · Against 11.3 · Total 25.0

⚠️ Fouls

320710161018141612131317128911121410171117263228262917232428A·RANH·ABEA·MOTA·LIVH·HIBA·DUNA·ST H·FALA·ABEH·RAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ST MirrenST Mirren

For 5.8 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.9

🚩 Corners

1707256435348894511474379117812179151110H·HEAH·DUNA·LIVA·HEAH·FALA·MOTA·RANH·KILH·LIVH·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.8

🟨 Cards

6012133112142111313162343114H·HEAH·DUNA·LIVA·HEAH·FALA·MOTA·RANH·KILH·LIVH·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 8.9 · Total 21.7

⚠️ Fouls

2701981210141212711813101489891315527222619192322172220H·HEAH·DUNA·LIVA·HEAH·FALA·MOTA·RANH·KILH·LIVH·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

KilmarnockKilmarnock

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.09.310.83.74.13.323.824.123.6
vs Stronger (15)10.29.311.13.74.43.022.124.120.1
vs Similar (35)9.89.210.53.84.03.524.724.125.4
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line53%35%75%46%50%41%65%70%60%
% under line47%65%25%54%50%59%35%30%40%
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ST MirrenST Mirren

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.810.011.73.33.73.021.421.321.4
vs Stronger (23)10.69.512.14.04.63.122.021.922.1
vs Similar (25)11.010.711.33.02.73.120.720.620.8
vs Weaker (2)---0.00.00.0---
% over line65%64%67%38%50%25%50%50%50%
% under line35%36%33%62%50%75%50%50%50%
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Celtic
10.9
ST Mirren
10.8
Dundee Utd
10.7
Hibernian
10.7
Aberdeen
10.7
Falkirk
10.7
Rangers
10.4
Dundee
10.3
Heart Of Midlothian
10.2
Partick
10.2
Kilmarnock
10.0
Arbroath
9.8
Dunfermline
9.7
Livingston
9.7
Motherwell
9.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aberdeen
4.6
Hibernian
4.4
Livingston
4.3
Motherwell
4.3
Kilmarnock
4.2
Partick
4.2
Dundee Utd
4.1
Rangers
4.0
Falkirk
4.0
Heart Of Midlothian
4.0
Dunfermline
3.8
ST Mirren
3.8
Celtic
3.6
Dundee
3.4
Arbroath
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Livingston
25.8
Motherwell
25.0
Rangers
24.5
Kilmarnock
23.8
Aberdeen
23.8
Falkirk
23.7
Heart Of Midlothian
23.1
Hibernian
22.1
Dundee Utd
21.9
Celtic
21.6
Dundee
21.3
ST Mirren
21.1
Dunfermline
20.9
Arbroath
20.5
Partick
20.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
52.5%
Under 9.5
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
58.9%
Under 3.5
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
69.3%
Under 21.5
30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D10W01L01L10W02L20W01LA·ABE14/12H·FAL20/12A·ST 27/12A·DUN30/12H·HIB03/01A·LIV10/01H·DUN17/01A·MOT24/01H·ABE31/01A·RAN04/02
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.670.810.500.430.86
vs Stronger (9)0.220.890.000.750.401.00
vs Similar (21)0.810.571.080.420.440.78
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ST MirrenST Mirren

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D01L01L00D00D11D00D00D00D10WH·KIL27/12A·RAN30/12A·MOT03/01H·FAL10/01A·HEA14/01A·LIV17/01A·LIV20/01H·DUN31/01H·HEA03/02A·AIR06/02
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.400.400.200.470.60
vs Stronger (13)0.310.310.500.380.000.20
vs Similar (17)0.530.470.290.000.700.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kilmarnock over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L01L00D02L12L10W02L02L10W14LA·ABE14/12H·FAL20/12A·ST 27/12A·DUN30/12H·HIB03/01A·LIV10/01H·DUN17/01A·MOT24/01H·ABE31/01A·RAN04/02
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.471.100.441.000.501.21
vs Stronger (9)0.562.000.502.000.602.00
vs Similar (21)0.430.710.420.670.440.78
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ST MirrenST Mirren

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D01L02L02L00D11D00D10W01LH·KIL27/12A·RAN30/12A·MOT03/01H·FAL10/01A·HEA14/01A·LIV17/01A·LIV20/01H·DUN31/01H·HEA03/02A·AIR06/02
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.870.400.600.731.13
vs Stronger (13)0.691.150.500.881.001.60
vs Similar (17)0.470.650.290.290.600.90
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kilmarnock over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls82.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards77.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards76.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.574.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.7%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners71.2%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Kilmarnock
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Joe Hugill40%
Tyreece John-Jules33%
Djenairo Daniels29%
Findlay Curtis29%
Nicky Cleșcenco20%
Greg Kiltie12%
Bruce Anderson11%
Michael Schjønning-Larsen11%
George Stanger10%
David Watson9%
Scott Tiffoney8%
Marcus Dackers8%
Marley Watkins7%
Ben Brannan6%
Robbie Deas6%
Tom Lowery5%
Liam Polworth3%
Bradley Lyons3%
Kelle Roos0%
Max Stryjek0%
Aaron Tshibola0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Jamie Brandon0%
Kyle Magennis0%
James Brown0%
Jack Thomson0%
Lewis Mayo0%
Dominic Thompson0%
Eddie Beach0%
Zac Williams0%
Toby Oluwayemi0%
Ethan Brown0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kyle Magennis33%
Robbie Deas33%
George Stanger30%
Bradley Lyons29%
Djenairo Daniels29%
David Watson24%
Aaron Tshibola21%
Joe Hugill20%
Jamie Brandon17%
Marcus Dackers17%
Dominic Thompson16%
Tom Lowery14%
James Brown13%
Jack Thomson12%
Lewis Mayo12%
Greg Kiltie12%
Ben Brannan12%
Liam Polworth10%
Bruce Anderson9%
Findlay Curtis7%
Tyreece John-Jules6%
Michael Schjønning-Larsen6%
Ethan Brown6%
Kelle Roos0%
Marley Watkins0%
Max Stryjek0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Scott Tiffoney0%
Nicky Cleșcenco0%
Eddie Beach0%
Zac Williams0%
Toby Oluwayemi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Greg Kiltie21%
James Brown13%
Joe Hugill13%
Tyreece John-Jules11%
Scott Tiffoney8%
Marley Watkins7%
Findlay Curtis7%
Bruce Anderson6%
Michael Schjønning-Larsen6%
Robbie Deas6%
Dominic Thompson5%
Tom Lowery5%
Liam Polworth3%
Bradley Lyons3%
David Watson3%
Kelle Roos0%
Max Stryjek0%
Aaron Tshibola0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Jamie Brandon0%
George Stanger0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Jack Thomson0%
Lewis Mayo0%
Nicky Cleșcenco0%
Djenairo Daniels0%
Marcus Dackers0%
Eddie Beach0%
Zac Williams0%
Toby Oluwayemi0%
Ethan Brown0%
Ben Brannan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Findlay Curtis43%
Tyreece John-Jules22%
Joe Hugill20%
Djenairo Daniels14%
Marcus Dackers12%
David Watson6%
Bruce Anderson6%
Greg Kiltie3%
Tom Lowery0%
Kelle Roos0%
Marley Watkins0%
Max Stryjek0%
Aaron Tshibola0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Jamie Brandon0%
Scott Tiffoney0%
George Stanger0%
Bradley Lyons0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Liam Polworth0%
Michael Schjønning-Larsen0%
James Brown0%
Jack Thomson0%
Lewis Mayo0%
Dominic Thompson0%
Robbie Deas0%
Nicky Cleșcenco0%
Eddie Beach0%
Zac Williams0%
Toby Oluwayemi0%
Ethan Brown0%
Ben Brannan0%
ST Mirren
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jake Young15%
Jonah Ayunga13%
Mikael Mandron11%
Dan N'Lundulu11%
Miguel Freckleton11%
Killian Phillips8%
Keanu Baccus6%
Richard King6%
Alexander Gogić6%
Liam Donnelly6%
Scott Tanser5%
Conor McMenamin4%
Declan John3%
Marcus Fraser3%
Mark O'Hara0%
Kion Etete0%
Ross Sinclair0%
Allan Campbell0%
Shamal George0%
Jayden Richardson0%
Tunmise Sobowale0%
Malik Dijksteel0%
Fraser Taylor0%
Roland Idowu0%
Jalmaro Calvin0%
Jacob Devaney0%
Evan Mooney0%
Luke Douglas0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Keanu Baccus38%
Alexander Gogić36%
Killian Phillips24%
Fraser Taylor22%
Richard King22%
Marcus Fraser19%
Roland Idowu19%
Miguel Freckleton19%
Liam Donnelly18%
Jacob Devaney15%
Mikael Mandron11%
Shamal George9%
Allan Campbell8%
Dan N'Lundulu7%
Mark O'Hara4%
Jonah Ayunga4%
Conor McMenamin4%
Declan John3%
Jayden Richardson3%
Kion Etete0%
Ross Sinclair0%
Scott Tanser0%
Tunmise Sobowale0%
Jake Young0%
Malik Dijksteel0%
Jalmaro Calvin0%
Evan Mooney0%
Luke Douglas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Scott Tanser18%
Declan John17%
Mikael Mandron14%
Jacob Devaney8%
Mark O'Hara4%
Conor McMenamin4%
Richard King3%
Alexander Gogić3%
Shamal George3%
Miguel Freckleton3%
Keanu Baccus0%
Kion Etete0%
Jonah Ayunga0%
Ross Sinclair0%
Liam Donnelly0%
Allan Campbell0%
Marcus Fraser0%
Jayden Richardson0%
Dan N'Lundulu0%
Tunmise Sobowale0%
Killian Phillips0%
Jake Young0%
Malik Dijksteel0%
Fraser Taylor0%
Roland Idowu0%
Jalmaro Calvin0%
Evan Mooney0%
Luke Douglas0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luke Douglas33%
Jonah Ayunga9%
Killian Phillips8%
Roland Idowu8%
Dan N'Lundulu7%
Keanu Baccus6%
Liam Donnelly6%
Alexander Gogić3%
Mark O'Hara0%
Mikael Mandron0%
Kion Etete0%
Declan John0%
Ross Sinclair0%
Scott Tanser0%
Allan Campbell0%
Marcus Fraser0%
Shamal George0%
Conor McMenamin0%
Jayden Richardson0%
Tunmise Sobowale0%
Jake Young0%
Malik Dijksteel0%
Richard King0%
Fraser Taylor0%
Jalmaro Calvin0%
Miguel Freckleton0%
Jacob Devaney0%
Evan Mooney0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
ARB (15)
€1m
Kilmarnock and ST Mirren have a similar squad value (both €7m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
ARB (3)
€0m
Kilmarnock's attack is €1m more valuable than ST Mirren's (€3m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
Kilmarnock's midfield is €1m less valuable than ST Mirren's (€2m vs €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
ARB (7)
€0m
Kilmarnock and ST Mirren have a similar defence value (both €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
KIL wins
3
Draws
1
SM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren · H/A from KIL
DateH/AGameScore
27/12/25AST Mirren Vs KIL0-0
04/10/25HKIL Vs ST Mirren2-0
19/09/25HKIL Vs ST Mirren2-2
29/03/25AST Mirren Vs KIL5-1
02/01/25HKIL Vs ST Mirren2-0
14/09/24AST Mirren Vs KIL2-2
11/05/24AST Mirren Vs KIL0-1
16/03/24HKIL Vs ST Mirren5-2

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/02/26ARangers Vs KIL5-1
31/01/26HKIL Vs Aberdeen3-0
24/01/26AMotherwell Vs KIL4-0
17/01/26HKIL Vs Dundee1-2
10/01/26ALivingston Vs KIL1-1
03/01/26HKIL Vs Hibernian1-3
30/12/25ADundee Vs KIL2-1
27/12/25AST Mirren Vs KIL0-0
20/12/25HKIL Vs Falkirk0-1
14/12/25AAberdeen Vs KIL2-1

ST MirrenST Mirren

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/02/26AAirdrie United Vs SM1-1
03/02/26HSM Vs Heart Of Midlothian1-0
31/01/26HSM Vs Dundee0-0
20/01/26ALivingston Vs SM1-1
17/01/26ALivingston Vs SM1-1
14/01/26AHeart Of Midlothian Vs SM2-0
10/01/26HSM Vs Falkirk0-2
03/01/26AMotherwell Vs SM2-0
30/12/25ARangers Vs SM2-1
27/12/25HSM Vs Kilmarnock0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWL1.02
HomeLLLLW1.39
AwayDLDLL0.55
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%39%9%
AVG goals2.802.543.14
Over 1.5 %76%71%82%
Over 2.5 %56%50%64%
Over 3.5 %36%29%45%
Scored1.141.320.91
Conceded1.661.212.23
BTTS50%43%59%
Clean Sheet28%36%18%
Corners9.959.2610.75
Cards4.164.383.84
ST Mirren
ST Mirren
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDWD1.34
HomeWDLDW1.54
AwayLLDDD1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%38%25%
AVG goals2.662.582.75
Over 1.5 %74%58%92%
Over 2.5 %42%38%46%
Over 3.5 %30%31%29%
Scored1.381.461.29
Conceded1.281.121.46
BTTS54%46%62%
Clean Sheet26%35%17%
Corners10.8010.0511.72
Cards3.803.963.60

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CelticCeltic3882
68%
2.2
7341+32
3.0
82%
68%
42%
10.6
61%
4.1
55%
21.8
37%
116
5620411.91.1
66%
2Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian3880
63%
2.1
6734+33
2.7
71%
53%
29%
10.1
63%
4.7
63%
24.3
61%
22
12461.80.9
53%
3RangersRangers3872
53%
1.9
7643+33
3.1
82%
61%
37%
10.6
63%
4.2
58%
25.5
76%
136
3844542.01.1
58%
4MotherwellMotherwell3861
42%
1.6
5936+23
2.5
76%
39%
29%
8.1
32%
4.9
71%
26.3
79%
16
10151.60.9
58%
5HibernianHibernian3857
39%
1.5
5844+14
2.7
76%
55%
29%
10.6
68%
4.4
61%
23.2
66%
20
7851.51.2
47%
6FalkirkFalkirk3849
37%
1.3
5062-12
2.9
74%
58%
34%
9.6
53%
4.2
63%
25.3
76%
6
2131.31.6
51%
7Dundee UtdDundee Utd3845
26%
1.2
4960-11
2.9
89%
50%
34%
10.0
55%
4.2
61%
22.8
53%
11
4341.31.6
42%
8DundeeDundee3842
29%
1.1
4261-19
2.7
71%
58%
34%
9.5
61%
3.7
51%
22.9
55%
5
1221.11.6
44%
9AberdeenAberdeen3840
29%
1.1
4055-15
2.5
74%
34%
24%
10.0
58%
4.9
69%
26.4
95%
15
4471.11.4
48%
10KilmarnockKilmarnock3840
26%
1.1
5068-18
3.1
84%
66%
42%
9.7
53%
4.5
71%
25.0
74%
7
3231.31.8
42%
11ST MirrenST Mirren4038
22%
0.9
3256-24
2.2
68%
30%
15%
11.1
71%
3.3
38%
22.3
58%
8
1330.81.4
46%
12LivingstonLivingston3821
5%
0.6
4075-35
3.0
84%
63%
39%
10.4
58%
4.2
65%
25.2
71%
4
1111.12.0
45%
13PartickPartick45
25%
1.2
44+0
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
3.5
50%
-
0%
3
1111.01.0
-
14DunfermlineDunfermline45
25%
1.2
33+0
1.5
50%
25%
0%
9.0
50%
6.0
100%
22.5
100%
4
2020.80.8
50%
15ArbroathArbroath21
0%
0.5
01-1
0.5
0%
0%
0%
9.0
50%
6.0
100%
22.5
100%
1
0000.00.5
50%
Scotland: Premiership 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches