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Kiryat Yam SC vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion Result & Analysis

Date: 23/01/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 2-0
Kiryat Yam SC
Kiryat Yam SC
Vs
38%
26%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
Israel: Liga Leumit
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The contest between Kiryat Yam SC and Hapoel Rishon LeZion is a tight one, with the model pointing to a home win as the most likely outcome. The odds are evenly split: a 38% chance for Kiryat Yam to lift the trophy, 26% for a draw, and 36% for Hapoel Rishon LeZion to triumph. The average number of goals expected is 3.1, yet the single most probable total is two goals, a 23% probability. The score that the model deems most likely is 1-1, with an 11.9% chance. Kiryat Yam, playing at home against an opponent of similar strength, averages 1.67 goals scored and 1.78 conceded. Hapoel Rishon LeZion, on the road, averages 1.43 scored and 1.5 conceded. The model’s only selection is Over 1.5 goals, with an 82.7% probability. Recent form shows Kiryat Yam struggling after two straight defeats, while Hapoel Rishon LeZion is on a three-game winning run, adding to the match’s uncertainty.

Results analysis

The win extends Kiryat Yam SC’s recent form, ending a string of two defeats with a decisive 2-0 victory over Hapoel Rishon LeZion. The model’s favourite, a home win, was correct, matching the final result. With a 38% probability, the prediction was well supported by the data. The suggested pick Over 1.5 goals, at 82.7% confidence, hit as the match produced two goals. The most likely scoreline of 1-1 fell short, while the 2-1 outcome was less probable. Overall, the model’s selections largely came in, confirming its accuracy for this Liga Leumit encounter.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kiryat Yam SC win✓ Hit
37.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Rishon LeZion win✗ Miss
36.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Kiryat Yam SCKiryat Yam SC

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-623L00D06L23L21W02L20W22D00D31WH·HAP24/10A·HAP31/10H·MAC10/11A·MAC28/11H·BNE05/12A·HAP15/12A·HAP19/12H·HAP05/01A·IRO09/01A·MAC16/01
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.261.671.781.300.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.471.261.671.781.300.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %42% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Rishon LeZion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hapoel Rishon LeZionHapoel Rishon LeZion

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W03L11D11D41W12L11D11D12L00DH·HAP24/10A·KAF31/10H·HAP10/11A·HAP28/11H·MAC05/12A·MAC12/12A·BNE19/12H·HAP02/01A·HAP09/01H·HAP16/01
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.231.401.001.401.47
vs Stronger (2)1.001.501.002.001.001.00
vs Similar (28)1.431.211.430.931.431.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Kiryat Yam SC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.7%
Under 1.5
17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.1%
Under 2.5
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.7%
Under 3.5
62.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.3%
No
36.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-2
6.5%
1-0
5.9%
0-1
5.8%
0-0
5.5%
2-0 ✓
5.5%
Kiryat Yam SC goals ↓
Hapoel Rishon LeZion goals →
01234
05.5%5.8%5.3%2.7%1.0%
15.9%12%8.3%4.3%1.6%
25.5%8.5%6.5%3.3%1.3%
32.9%4.4%3.4%1.7%0.7%
41.1%1.7%1.3%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kiryat Yam SC goals (down), columns = Hapoel Rishon LeZion goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.81
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.73
Maccabi Herzliya
1.68
Bnei Yehuda
1.54
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.51
Kiryat Yam SC
1.46
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.38
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.35
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.35
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.32
Hapoel Afula
1.22
Kafr Qasim
1.11
Hapoel Acre
1.08
Ironi Modi'in
1.08
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.00
Hapoel Hadera
0.86
Kiryat Yam SC is 0.14 points better than Hapoel Rishon LeZion in terms of average points per game (1.46 vs 1.32).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2.08
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.81
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.78
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.59
Maccabi Herzliya
1.49
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.41
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.35
Kiryat Yam SC
1.30
Bnei Yehuda
1.24
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.19
Kafr Qasim
1.14
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.14
Hapoel Hadera
1.08
Hapoel Acre
1.08
Hapoel Afula
1.05
Ironi Modi'in
1.00
Kiryat Yam SC is 0.05 goals worse than Hapoel Rishon LeZion in terms of goals scored per game (1.30 vs 1.35).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.11
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.14
Kiryat Yam SC
1.16
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.19
Maccabi Herzliya
1.19
Bnei Yehuda
1.19
Ironi Modi'in
1.27
Hapoel Acre
1.30
Kafr Qasim
1.32
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.35
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.46
Hapoel Afula
1.57
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.57
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.57
Hapoel Hadera
1.65
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.70
Kiryat Yam SC is 0.30 goals better than Hapoel Rishon LeZion in terms of goals conceded per game (1.16 vs 1.46).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Kiryat Yam SCKiryat Yam SC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W00D03L01L01L02L10W02L00D20WH·HAP24/10A·HAP31/10H·MAC10/11A·MAC28/11H·BNE05/12A·HAP15/12A·HAP19/12H·HAP05/01A·IRO09/01A·MAC16/01
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.680.630.671.000.700.30
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.680.630.671.000.700.30
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Rishon LeZion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hapoel Rishon LeZionHapoel Rishon LeZion

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L10W00D20W01L11D00D01L00DH·HAP24/10A·KAF31/10H·HAP10/11A·HAP28/11H·MAC05/12A·MAC12/12A·BNE19/12H·HAP02/01A·HAP09/01H·HAP16/01
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.470.800.400.530.53
vs Stronger (2)0.500.501.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.680.460.790.360.570.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Kiryat Yam SC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kiryat Yam SC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kiryat Yam SC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kiryat Yam SC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Rishon LeZion over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Rishon LeZion over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Rishon LeZion over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Kiryat Yam SCKiryat Yam SC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D03L22D20W00D10W20W00D11DH·HAP24/10A·HAP31/10H·MAC10/11A·MAC28/11H·BNE05/12A·HAP15/12A·HAP19/12H·HAP05/01A·IRO09/01A·MAC16/01
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.790.631.000.780.600.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.790.631.000.780.600.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Rishon LeZion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hapoel Rishon LeZionHapoel Rishon LeZion

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W02L01L11D21W11D00D11D11D00DH·HAP24/10A·KAF31/10H·HAP10/11A·HAP28/11H·MAC05/12A·MAC12/12A·BNE19/12H·HAP02/01A·HAP09/01H·HAP16/01
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.770.600.600.870.93
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.750.750.640.570.860.93
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Kiryat Yam SC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kiryat Yam SC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kiryat Yam SC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kiryat Yam SC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Rishon LeZion over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Rishon LeZion over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Rishon LeZion over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MPT (25)
€6m
HRG (26)
€5m
BY (26)
€3m
HRL (19)
€3m
KYS (24)
€3m
MH (22)
€2m
HR (18)
€2m
HA (23)
€2m
KQ (26)
€2m
HKS (22)
€2m
HKS (14)
€2m
IM (21)
€1m
MKJ (18)
€1m
HA (11)
€1m
Kiryat Yam SC and Hapoel Rishon LeZion have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MPT (11)
€3m
HRG (10)
€2m
HRL (8)
€1m
KYS (10)
€1m
BY (9)
€1m
MH (8)
€1m
HKS (7)
€1m
HR (6)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
MKJ (11)
€0m
IM (7)
€0m
KQ (9)
€0m
HKS (4)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
Kiryat Yam SC and Hapoel Rishon LeZion have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HRG (6)
€1m
MPT (4)
€1m
BY (5)
€1m
KQ (8)
€1m
MH (4)
€0m
HRL (5)
€0m
HKS (7)
€0m
HR (4)
€0m
KYS (6)
€0m
IM (6)
€0m
HA (4)
€0m
MKJ (3)
€0m
HKS (2)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
Kiryat Yam SC and Hapoel Rishon LeZion have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HRG (10)
€2m
MPT (10)
€2m
BY (12)
€1m
HR (8)
€1m
HKS (11)
€1m
HRL (6)
€1m
HA (10)
€1m
MH (10)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
KQ (9)
€1m
KYS (8)
€1m
HKS (5)
€0m
MKJ (4)
€0m
IM (8)
€0m
Kiryat Yam SC and Hapoel Rishon LeZion have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
KYS wins
0
Draws
0
HRL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kiryat Yam SC vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion · H/A from KYS
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/25AHapoel Rishon LeZion Vs KYS0-2

Kiryat Yam SCKiryat Yam SC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/01/26AMaccabi Herzliya Vs KYS1-3
09/01/26AIroni Modi'in Vs KYS0-0
05/01/26HKYS Vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit2-2
19/12/25AHapoel Ra'anana Vs KYS0-2
15/12/25AHapoel Afula Vs KYS2-0
05/12/25HKYS Vs Bnei Yehuda2-1
28/11/25AMaccabi Petah Tikva Vs KYS3-2
10/11/25HKYS Vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa0-6
31/10/25AHapoel Acre Vs KYS0-0
24/10/25HKYS Vs Hapoel Hadera2-3

Hapoel Rishon LeZionHapoel Rishon LeZion

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/01/26HHRL Vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit0-0
09/01/26AHapoel Ra'anana Vs HRL2-1
02/01/26HHRL Vs Hapoel Afula1-1
19/12/25ABnei Yehuda Vs HRL1-1
12/12/25AMaccabi Petah Tikva Vs HRL2-1
05/12/25HHRL Vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa4-1
28/11/25AHapoel Acre Vs HRL1-1
10/11/25HHRL Vs Hapoel Hadera1-1
31/10/25AKafr Qasim Vs HRL3-0
24/10/25HHRL Vs Hapoel Ramat Gan4-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kiryat Yam SC
Kiryat Yam SC
Israel: Liga Leumit
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDDW1.63
HomeLLLWD1.56
AwayLLWDW1.70
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %47%44%50%
AVG goals2.743.442.10
Over 1.5 %79%89%70%
Over 2.5 %47%67%30%
Over 3.5 %37%56%20%
Scored1.471.671.30
Conceded1.261.780.80
BTTS37%44%30%
Clean Sheet42%33%50%
Corners---
Cards---
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
Israel: Liga Leumit
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDLD1.32
HomeWDWDD1.44
AwayLDLDL1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%40%32%
AVG goals2.642.522.76
Over 1.5 %76%72%80%
Over 2.5 %46%36%56%
Over 3.5 %26%28%24%
Scored1.321.441.20
Conceded1.321.081.56
BTTS54%52%56%
Clean Sheet24%28%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Maccabi Petah TikvaMaccabi Petah Tikva3767
49%
1.8
7742+35
3.2
84%
62%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.11.1
-
2Hapoel Ramat GanHapoel Ramat Gan3764
49%
1.7
5941+18
2.7
78%
51%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.1
-
3Maccabi HerzliyaMaccabi Herzliya3762
46%
1.7
5544+11
2.7
78%
54%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.2
-
4Bnei YehudaBnei Yehuda3757
41%
1.5
4644+2
2.4
65%
38%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.2
-
5Hapoel Kfar ShalemHapoel Kfar Shalem3756
43%
1.5
6763+4
3.5
86%
73%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1001.81.7
-
6Kiryat Yam SCKiryat Yam SC3754
41%
1.5
4843+5
2.5
76%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.31.2
-
7Maccabi Kabilio JaffaMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa3751
38%
1.4
6658+8
3.4
73%
59%
49%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.81.6
-
8Hapoel Kfar SabaHapoel Kfar Saba3750
35%
1.4
5250+2
2.8
81%
49%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.41.4
-
9Hapoel RaHapoel Ra'anana3750
35%
1.4
4244-2
2.3
73%
41%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.2
-
10Hapoel Rishon LeZionHapoel Rishon LeZion3749
35%
1.3
5054-4
2.8
86%
51%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.41.5
-
11Hapoel AfulaHapoel Afula3745
30%
1.2
3958-19
2.6
76%
46%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.6
-
12Kafr QasimKafr Qasim3741
24%
1.1
4249-7
2.5
73%
41%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.11.3
-
13Hapoel AcreHapoel Acre3740
22%
1.1
4048-8
2.4
73%
43%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.3
-
14Ironi ModiIroni Modi'in3740
27%
1.1
3747-10
2.3
57%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.3
-
15Hapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Nazareth Illit3737
19%
1.0
4458-14
2.8
84%
51%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
16Hapoel HaderaHapoel Hadera3732
16%
0.9
4061-21
2.7
73%
49%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
Israel: Liga Leumit 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Liga Leumit stats & trends →

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