This opponent (Sarpsborg 08 FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
1.30
1.69
1.31
1.94
1.29
vs Stronger (6)
1.33
1.17
1.00
2.00
1.50
0.75
vs Similar (20)
1.60
1.35
1.70
1.20
1.50
1.50
vs Weaker (4)
3.75
1.25
3.00
1.00
4.00
1.33
Clean sheet %
20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Kjelsås) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
90.6%
Under 1.5
9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
74.4%
Under 2.5
25.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
54.3%
Under 3.5
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.4%
No
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
8.8%
1-3
8.1%
0-2
8.0%
0-3
7.4%
1-1
7.0%
1-4
5.7%
0-4
5.1%
0-1
5.1%
Kjelsås goals ↓
Sarpsborg 08 FF goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.7%
5.1%
8.0%
7.4%
5.1%
1
1.6%
7.0%
8.8%
8.1%
5.7%
2
1.3%
3.5%
4.9%
4.5%
3.1%
3
0.5%
1.3%
1.8%
1.7%
1.2%
4
0.1%
0.4%
0.5%
0.5%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kjelsås goals (down), columns = Sarpsborg 08 FF goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Stabaek
2.60
Fredrikstad
2.50
Ham-Kam
2.50
Viking
2.50
Lillestrom
2.43
KFUM Oslo
2.40
Brann
2.33
Ranheim
2.33
Sogndal
2.33
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2.29
Asane
2.25
Rosenborg
2.20
Molde
2.00
Træff
2.00
Rana
2.00
Tromsdalen Uil
2.00
Alta
2.00
Lysekloster
2.00
Bodo/Glimt
2.00
Tromso
2.00
Sandefjord
2.00
Aalesund
2.00
Stromsgodset
2.00
Start
2.00
Lyn
2.00
Moss
2.00
Kongsvinger
2.00
Haugesund
2.00
Strommen
2.00
Kristiansund BK
1.83
Bryne
1.75
Egersund
1.75
Grorud
1.67
Bjarg
1.50
Junkeren
1.50
Lørenskog
1.50
Vidar
1.50
jerv
1.50
Levanger
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Eidsvold
1.50
Strindheim
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Kjelsås
1.50
Flint
1.50
Follo
1.50
Flekkerøy
1.50
Raufoss
1.50
Pors Grenland
1.33
Mjondalen
1.25
Djerv
1.00
Asker
1.00
Brattvåg
1.00
Arendal
1.00
Bærum
1.00
Nordstrand
1.00
Valerenga
1.00
Førde
0.92
Madla
0.92
Vigør
0.92
Vestfossen
0.92
Finnsnes
0.92
Gamle Oslo
0.50
Sotra
0.50
Nardo
0.50
Sandviken (Norway)
0.50
Ull/Kisa
0.50
hodd
0.50
Trygg/Lade
0.00
Vard
0.00
Gneist
0.00
Notodden
0.00
Brumunddal
0.00
Ulfstind
0.00
Spjelkavik
0.00
Råde
0.00
Hønefoss
0.00
Eik-Tønsberg
0.00
ODD Ballklubb
0.00
Sandnes ULF
0.00
Kjelsås is 0.79 points worse than Sarpsborg 08 FF in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 2.29).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Kongsvinger
6.00
Alta
4.67
Haugesund
4.67
Levanger
4.50
Rosenborg
4.40
Bodo/Glimt
4.33
Tromso
3.67
Molde
3.50
Follo
3.50
Fredrikstad
3.25
Brann
3.00
Stromsgodset
3.00
Start
3.00
Viking
3.00
Stabaek
3.00
Strommen
3.00
Sogndal
3.00
Kristiansund BK
2.83
Asane
2.75
Egersund
2.75
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2.71
Tromsdalen Uil
2.67
Sandefjord
2.67
Ranheim
2.67
Eidsvold
2.50
Lysekloster
2.50
Raufoss
2.50
Lillestrom
2.29
KFUM Oslo
2.20
Rana
2.00
Asker
2.00
Grorud
2.00
Mjondalen
2.00
Bærum
2.00
Ull/Kisa
2.00
Nordstrand
2.00
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Moss
2.00
Aalesund
1.80
Ham-Kam
1.75
Bryne
1.75
Lyn
1.67
Træff
1.50
Bjarg
1.50
Junkeren
1.50
Lørenskog
1.50
Vidar
1.50
jerv
1.50
Nardo
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Flint
1.50
Flekkerøy
1.50
Førde
1.44
Madla
1.44
Vigør
1.44
Vestfossen
1.44
Finnsnes
1.44
Pors Grenland
1.33
Djerv
1.00
Gamle Oslo
1.00
Brattvåg
1.00
Stjørdals-Blink
1.00
Arendal
1.00
Brumunddal
1.00
Råde
1.00
Eik-Tønsberg
1.00
Valerenga
1.00
hodd
1.00
Sotra
0.50
Strindheim
0.50
Kjelsås
0.50
Sandviken (Norway)
0.50
Trygg/Lade
0.00
Vard
0.00
Gneist
0.00
Notodden
0.00
Ulfstind
0.00
Spjelkavik
0.00
Hønefoss
0.00
Sandnes ULF
0.00
Kjelsås is 2.21 goals worse than Sarpsborg 08 FF in terms of goals scored per game (0.50 vs 2.71).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Viking
0.17
Brann
0.33
Tromso
0.33
Lillestrom
0.43
Træff
0.50
Fredrikstad
0.50
jerv
0.50
Ham-Kam
0.50
Stromsgodset
0.50
KFUM Oslo
0.60
Bodo/Glimt
0.67
Molde
0.75
Rosenborg
0.80
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.00
Djerv
1.00
Trygg/Lade
1.00
Lørenskog
1.00
Vidar
1.00
Brattvåg
1.00
Levanger
1.00
Stjørdals-Blink
1.00
Arendal
1.00
Eidsvold
1.00
Hønefoss
1.00
Sandefjord
1.00
Valerenga
1.00
Aalesund
1.00
Lyn
1.00
Bryne
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Stabaek
1.20
Grorud
1.33
Alta
1.33
Kristiansund BK
1.33
Moss
1.33
Sogndal
1.33
Bjarg
1.50
Sotra
1.50
Strindheim
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Kjelsås
1.50
Lysekloster
1.50
Raufoss
1.50
Egersund
1.50
Pors Grenland
1.67
Rana
1.67
Tromsdalen Uil
1.67
Ranheim
1.67
Strommen
1.67
Mjondalen
1.75
Kongsvinger
1.75
Asker
2.00
Vard
2.00
Gneist
2.00
Spjelkavik
2.00
Råde
2.00
Bærum
2.00
Flekkerøy
2.00
Nordstrand
2.00
Start
2.00
hodd
2.00
Sandnes ULF
2.00
Asane
2.25
Sandviken (Norway)
2.50
Follo
2.50
Ull/Kisa
2.50
Førde
2.68
Madla
2.68
Vigør
2.68
Vestfossen
2.68
Finnsnes
2.68
Junkeren
3.00
Notodden
3.00
Ulfstind
3.00
Nardo
3.00
ODD Ballklubb
3.00
Gamle Oslo
3.50
Flint
3.50
Brumunddal
4.00
Eik-Tønsberg
4.00
Kjelsås is 0.50 goals worse than Sarpsborg 08 FF in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Kjelsås or Draw✓ Hit
28.4%
Avg Implied -
12%
17%
72%
covers Kjelsås + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kjelsås or Sarpsborg 08 FF✗ Miss
83.5%
Avg Implied -
12%
17%
72%
covers Kjelsås + Sarpsborg 08 FF
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Sarpsborg 08 FF✓ Hit
88.1%
Avg Implied -
12%
17%
72%
covers Draw + Sarpsborg 08 FF
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Kjelsås over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
66.9%
Under
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kjelsås over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
30.3%
Under
69.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kjelsås over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
10.1%
Under
89.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kjelsås over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
2.6%
Under
97.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sarpsborg 08 FF over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
93.8%
Under
6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sarpsborg 08 FF over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
76.5%
Under
23.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sarpsborg 08 FF over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
52.5%
Under
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sarpsborg 08 FF over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
30.3%
Under
69.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Kjelsås, so a minus line means Kjelsås give that many goals of a start and Sarpsborg 08 FF receive them. At -1, Kjelsås must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Kjelsås win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Kjelsås)Actual: Sarpsborg 08 FF
Kjelsås -2
1.2%
Draw -2
3.2%
Sarpsborg 08 FF +2
95.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Kjelsås)Actual: Sarpsborg 08 FF
Kjelsås -1
4.4%
Draw -1
7.5%
Sarpsborg 08 FF +1
88.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Kjelsås)Actual: Kjelsås
Kjelsås +1
28.4%
Draw +1
19.7%
Sarpsborg 08 FF -1
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Kjelsås)Actual: Kjelsås
Kjelsås +2
48.1%
Draw +2
19.9%
Sarpsborg 08 FF -2
32.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Kjelsås
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.86
0.86
0.80
1.20
1.00
0.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (1)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
-
-
vs Weaker (6)
0.83
0.67
0.75
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Sarpsborg 08 FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.57
0.62
0.62
1.00
0.53
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.75
0.50
vs Similar (20)
0.75
0.60
0.80
0.60
0.70
0.60
vs Weaker (4)
1.75
0.50
0.00
1.00
2.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Kjelsås) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kjelsås over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kjelsås over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kjelsås over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sarpsborg 08 FF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sarpsborg 08 FF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sarpsborg 08 FF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Kjelsås
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.29
0.60
0.40
0.00
0.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.33
0.75
0.50
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
86% (+62pp vs league)
This opponent (Sarpsborg 08 FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.73
1.08
0.69
0.94
0.76
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
0.67
1.00
1.50
0.75
0.25
vs Similar (20)
0.85
0.75
0.90
0.60
0.80
0.90
vs Weaker (4)
2.00
0.75
3.00
0.00
1.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Kjelsås) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kjelsås over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kjelsås over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kjelsås over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sarpsborg 08 FF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sarpsborg 08 FF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sarpsborg 08 FF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 3.5 goals
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
93.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
90.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Draw or Away
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away over 1.5 goals
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away win
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Daniel Karlsbakk33%
Sondre Sörli17%
Andreas Hansen17%
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen11%
Aimar Sher6%
Sander Christiansen6%
Claus Niyukuri6%
Anders Hiim6%
Jo Inge Berget0%
Bjorn Utvik0%
Sigurd Rosted0%
Menno Koch0%
Marius Lode0%
Olaus Skarsem0%
Magnar Odegaard0%
Eirik Wichne0%
Noa Williams0%
Leander Øy0%
Mamour Ndiaye0%
Michael Opoku0%
Camil Mmaee0%
Bop Guèye0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mamour Ndiaye40%
Bjorn Utvik24%
Menno Koch22%
Olaus Skarsem17%
Jo Inge Berget12%
Aimar Sher12%
Sander Christiansen12%
Claus Niyukuri12%
Magnar Odegaard11%
Daniel Karlsbakk11%
Anders Hiim11%
Eirik Wichne6%
Sondre Sörli6%
Sigurd Rosted0%
Marius Lode0%
Noa Williams0%
Leander Øy0%
Andreas Hansen0%
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen0%
Michael Opoku0%
Camil Mmaee0%
Bop Guèye0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Claus Niyukuri24%
Sondre Sörli17%
Michael Opoku17%
Sander Christiansen6%
Bjorn Utvik6%
Noa Williams6%
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen6%
Jo Inge Berget0%
Sigurd Rosted0%
Menno Koch0%
Marius Lode0%
Olaus Skarsem0%
Aimar Sher0%
Magnar Odegaard0%
Eirik Wichne0%
Daniel Karlsbakk0%
Leander Øy0%
Andreas Hansen0%
Anders Hiim0%
Mamour Ndiaye0%
Camil Mmaee0%
Bop Guèye0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Daniel Karlsbakk17%
Michael Opoku17%
Aimar Sher6%
Bjorn Utvik6%
Sondre Sörli6%
Andreas Hansen6%
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen6%
Jo Inge Berget0%
Sigurd Rosted0%
Menno Koch0%
Marius Lode0%
Olaus Skarsem0%
Magnar Odegaard0%
Eirik Wichne0%
Noa Williams0%
Sander Christiansen0%
Claus Niyukuri0%
Leander Øy0%
Anders Hiim0%
Mamour Ndiaye0%
Camil Mmaee0%
Bop Guèye0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Norway: Eliteserien 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: Eliteserien stats & trends →