Klubi-04 face JäPS in a match that feels almost evenly split, with the model favouring a home win yet leaving room for a draw or a JäPS victory. The odds show a 40% chance for Klubi-04, 26% for a stalemate and 34% for JäPS. The expected total is 3.1 goals, but the most likely total is two, with a 23% probability. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, carrying a 12% chance. Klubi-04, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.64 goals scored and 1.45 conceded, while JäPS away averages 1.18 scored and 1.27 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.6%), Under 6.5 (96.2%), Away under 3.5 goals (93.7%), Home under 3.5 goals (92.1%), Under 5.5 (90.8%), Home +2 handicap (83.3%), Over 1.5 (82.3%) and Away under 2.5 goals (81.4%). Klubi-04’s recent form shows a win after a string of losses, while JäPS has returned from two defeats.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Klubi-04 win
39.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
26.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
JäPS win
34.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Klubi-04
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.77
1.62
1.94
1.43
1.57
vs Stronger (7)
2.14
3.00
1.60
3.00
3.50
3.00
vs Similar (22)
1.23
1.32
1.40
1.30
1.08
1.33
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
3.00
4.00
3.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (JäPS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
JäPS
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.27
1.33
1.07
1.87
1.47
vs Stronger (8)
2.12
1.75
0.67
1.33
3.00
2.00
vs Similar (21)
1.43
1.14
1.55
1.09
1.30
1.20
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Klubi-04) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
82.3%
Under 1.5
17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
59.5%
Under 2.5
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
37.1%
Under 3.5
62.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
62.7%
No
37.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.0%
2-2
6.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-0
5.9%
0-1
5.7%
0-0
5.7%
Klubi-04 goals ↓
JäPS goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.7%
5.7%
5.0%
2.5%
0.9%
1
6.3%
12%
8.0%
4.0%
1.5%
2
5.9%
8.7%
6.4%
3.2%
1.2%
3
3.1%
4.7%
3.4%
1.7%
0.6%
4
1.3%
1.9%
1.4%
0.7%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Klubi-04 goals (down), columns = JäPS goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Haka
2.38
Kooteepee
2.29
PK-35
2.12
JIPPO
2.00
JäPS
1.43
EIF
1.25
Klubi-04
1.22
SJK Akatemia
0.75
MP
0.62
KäPa
0.22
Klubi-04 is 0.21 points worse than JäPS in terms of average points per game (1.22 vs 1.43).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Haka
2.50
PK-35
2.00
Klubi-04
1.67
Kooteepee
1.57
JIPPO
1.50
MP
1.25
SJK Akatemia
0.88
KäPa
0.78
EIF
0.75
JäPS
0.71
Klubi-04 is 0.95 goals better than JäPS in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 0.71).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
JäPS
0.86
JIPPO
0.88
EIF
0.88
PK-35
0.88
Kooteepee
1.00
Haka
1.00
Klubi-04
1.67
KäPa
2.00
SJK Akatemia
2.00
MP
2.25
Klubi-04 is 0.81 goals worse than JäPS in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 0.86).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Klubi-04 or Draw
65.7%
Avg Implied -
40%
26%
34%
covers Klubi-04 + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Klubi-04 or JäPS
73.9%
Avg Implied -
40%
26%
34%
covers Klubi-04 + JäPS
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or JäPS
60.4%
Avg Implied -
40%
26%
34%
covers Draw + JäPS
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Klubi-04 over/under 0.5
Over
79.8%
Under
20.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Klubi-04 over/under 1.5
Over
47.6%
Under
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Klubi-04 over/under 2.5
Over
21.7%
Under
78.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Klubi-04 over/under 3.5
Over
7.9%
Under
92.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 0.5
Over
77.2%
Under
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 1.5
Over
43.5%
Under
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 2.5
Over
18.6%
Under
81.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 3.5
Over
6.3%
Under
93.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Klubi-04, so a minus line means Klubi-04 give that many goals of a start and JäPS receive them. At -1, Klubi-04 must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Klubi-04 win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Klubi-04)
Klubi-04 -2
8.3%
Draw -2
12.2%
JäPS +2
79.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Klubi-04)
Klubi-04 -1
20.4%
Draw -1
19.2%
JäPS +1
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Klubi-04)
Klubi-04 +1
65.7%
Draw +1
17.6%
JäPS -1
16.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Klubi-04)
Klubi-04 +2
83.3%
Draw +2
10.4%
JäPS -2
6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Klubi-04
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.87
0.88
0.88
0.57
0.86
vs Stronger (7)
1.29
1.00
1.20
0.80
1.50
1.50
vs Similar (22)
0.41
0.73
0.40
0.70
0.42
0.75
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
3.00
4.00
3.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (JäPS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
JäPS
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.70
0.53
0.73
0.60
0.67
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
0.75
0.00
0.67
1.20
0.80
vs Similar (21)
0.48
0.71
0.64
0.82
0.30
0.60
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Klubi-04) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Klubi-04 over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Klubi-04 over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Klubi-04 over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Klubi-04
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.90
0.75
1.06
0.86
0.71
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
2.00
0.40
2.20
2.00
1.50
vs Similar (22)
0.82
0.59
1.00
0.60
0.67
0.58
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (JäPS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
JäPS
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.57
0.80
0.33
1.27
0.80
vs Stronger (8)
1.38
1.00
0.67
0.67
1.80
1.20
vs Similar (21)
0.95
0.43
0.91
0.27
1.00
0.60
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Klubi-04) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Klubi-04 over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Klubi-04 over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Klubi-04 over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
92.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
90.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HAK (21)
€1m
KOO (19)
€1m
JIP (21)
€1m
PK- (20)
€1m
EIF (20)
€1m
JÄP (24)
€1m
KÄP (25)
€1m
MP (19)
€0m
KLU (17)
€0m
Klubi-04 and JäPS have a similar squad value (both €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOO (10)
€1m
JIP (7)
€0m
EIF (9)
€0m
PK- (6)
€0m
JÄP (11)
€0m
HAK (7)
€0m
MP (10)
€0m
KLU (8)
€0m
KÄP (8)
€0m
Klubi-04 and JäPS have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PK- (7)
€0m
HAK (5)
€0m
KÄP (6)
€0m
JÄP (4)
€0m
EIF (4)
€0m
JIP (4)
€0m
KOO (2)
€0m
MP (2)
€0m
KLU (3)
€0m
Klubi-04 and JäPS have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HAK (9)
€1m
KOO (7)
€0m
JIP (10)
€0m
EIF (7)
€0m
KÄP (11)
€0m
PK- (7)
€0m
JÄP (9)
€0m
MP (7)
€0m
KLU (6)
€0m
Klubi-04 and JäPS have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Finland: Ykkösliiga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Ykkösliiga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Haka
PK-35
JIPPO
Kooteepee
EIF
SJK Akatemia
MP
KäPa