Kooteepee's recent win after a string of losses has set the stage for this matchup against Klubi-04. The away team has shown resilience on the road, scoring 1.55 goals per game against opponents of similar strength. However, they concede 2.45 goals per game in such situations, which could pose a challenge against Klubi-04's home form. The home team has averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.5 conceded at home against similar opponents.
The model predicts a 56% chance of an away win, with the most likely scoreline being 1-2 (8.6%). The expected total number of goals is 3.9, with the most likely total being 6 or more (21%). The model's selection for the match result is an away win.
In terms of suggested picks, the model is most confident in "Over 1.5" (91.1%), followed by "Over 2.5" (75.4%) and "BTTS Yes" (72.0%). Klubi-04 has a 23% chance of winning, a 21% chance of drawing, and a 56% chance of losing.
Results analysis
The win extends their run of two consecutive victories for Kooteepee, who have now taken the lead in the Finland Ykköisliiga standings. The final score of 0-1 was a stark contrast to the expected total of 3.9 goals, with the actual result being a low-scoring affair. The model's selection, Away win, was correct, as Kooteepee secured a narrow victory. The model's call was well-supported by the pre-match probability of 56% for an away win.
The model's selection for Over 1.5 goals, with a probability of 91.1%, missed, while the same selection for Over 2.5 goals, with a probability of 75.4%, also missed. The model's pick for BTTS Yes, with a probability of 72.0%, also failed to materialize.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Klubi-04 win✗ Miss
23.0%
Avg Implied 21.0% · @ 4.33
Edge
+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
4.60
Unibet
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Dafabet
4.40
Betfair
4.40
Draw✗ Miss
20.6%
Avg Implied 22.1% · @ 4.11
Edge
-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.88
Marathonbet
4.50
1xBet
4.50
Betfair
4.20
BetVictor
4.10
Kooteepee win✓ Hit
56.5%
Avg Implied 56.9% · @ 1.60
Edge
-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.70
Dafabet
1.68
Superbet
1.66
Pinnacle
1.63
Bet365
1.62
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Klubi-04
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.63
1.94
1.88
1.50
1.36
vs Stronger (7)
2.43
3.00
2.67
2.83
1.00
4.00
vs Similar (23)
1.52
1.22
1.50
1.30
1.54
1.15
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Kooteepee) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kooteepee
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
2.17
1.15
1.77
1.12
2.47
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
3.00
0.50
3.00
0.33
3.00
vs Similar (24)
1.21
1.96
1.27
1.55
1.15
2.31
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
3.00
-
-
3.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
10% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Klubi-04) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
91.1%
@ 1.12+8.4%
Under 1.5
8.9%
@ 5.36-8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.15
Unibet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Under
Betfair
6.00
1xBet
5.80
Marathonbet
5.80
Bet365
5.50
Pinnacle
5.49
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
75.4%
@ 1.46+12.1%
Under 2.5
24.6%
@ 2.51-12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.50
Unibet
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.47
Under
Pinnacle
2.67
Marathonbet
2.66
1xBet
2.66
BetVictor
2.63
Betfair
2.60
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
55.5%
@ 2.18+13.0%
Under 3.5
44.5%
@ 1.61-13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.25
Betano
2.25
Pinnacle
2.23
Superbet
2.20
10Bet
2.20
Under
1xBet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
Betfair
1.65
BetVictor
1.63
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
72.0%
@ 1.51+11.4%
No
28.0%
@ 2.33-11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.55
Superbet
1.54
Unibet
1.54
William Hil
1.53
No
1xBet
2.50
BetVictor
2.45
Marathonbet
2.45
Betfair
2.38
Superbet
2.32
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
8.6%@ 7.21+2.6%
1-1
7.9%@ 7.69+2.3%
1-3
7.0%@ 10.20+2.7%
2-2
6.6%@ 11.65+2.9%
0-2
5.7%@ 8.65+0.7%
2-1
5.5%@ 12.90+2.1%
2-3
5.3%@ 15.94+2.6%
0-3
4.5%@ 11.72+0.9%
Klubi-04 goals ↓
Kooteepee goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.7%
4.0%
5.7%
4.5%
2.7%
1
2.3%
7.9%
8.6%
7.0%
4.2%
2
2.3%
5.5%
6.6%
5.3%
3.2%
3
1.2%
2.8%
3.4%
2.7%
1.6%
4
0.4%
1.1%
1.3%
1.0%
0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Klubi-04 goals (down), columns = Kooteepee goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Haka
2.38
Kooteepee
2.29
PK-35
2.12
JIPPO
2.00
JäPS
1.43
EIF
1.25
Klubi-04
1.22
SJK Akatemia
0.75
MP
0.62
KäPa
0.22
Klubi-04 is 1.06 points worse than Kooteepee in terms of average points per game (1.22 vs 2.29).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Haka
2.50
PK-35
2.00
Klubi-04
1.67
Kooteepee
1.57
JIPPO
1.50
MP
1.25
SJK Akatemia
0.88
KäPa
0.78
EIF
0.75
JäPS
0.71
Klubi-04 is 0.10 goals better than Kooteepee in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.57).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
JäPS
0.86
JIPPO
0.88
EIF
0.88
PK-35
0.88
Kooteepee
1.00
Haka
1.00
Klubi-04
1.67
KäPa
2.00
SJK Akatemia
2.00
MP
2.25
Klubi-04 is 0.67 goals worse than Kooteepee in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Klubi-04
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.83
0.88
0.81
0.64
0.86
vs Stronger (7)
1.57
1.29
1.67
1.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (23)
0.52
0.70
0.40
0.70
0.62
0.69
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Kooteepee) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kooteepee
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
1.07
0.54
1.15
0.41
1.00
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.60
0.50
1.50
0.33
1.67
vs Similar (24)
0.46
0.92
0.55
1.09
0.38
0.77
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Klubi-04) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Klubi-04 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Klubi-04 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Klubi-04 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kooteepee over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kooteepee over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kooteepee over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Klubi-04
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.80
1.06
1.06
0.86
0.50
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
1.71
1.00
1.83
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
1.00
0.52
1.10
0.60
0.92
0.46
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Kooteepee) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kooteepee
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.10
0.62
0.62
0.71
1.47
vs Stronger (5)
0.00
1.40
0.00
1.50
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (24)
0.75
1.04
0.73
0.45
0.77
1.54
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Klubi-04) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Klubi-04 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Klubi-04 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Klubi-04 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kooteepee over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kooteepee over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kooteepee over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
91.1%
1.12
Pinnacle
1.15
Unibet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.12
+8.4%
✗ Miss
Over 2.5
75.4%
1.46
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.50
Unibet
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.47
+12.1%
✗ Miss
BTTS Yes
72.0%
1.51
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.55
Superbet
1.54
Unibet
1.54
William Hil
1.53
+11.4%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Kooteepee · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rangel44%
Nathaniel Tahmbi33%
Petteri Forsell20%
Luca Weckström17%
Assane Seck14%
Atomu Tanaka12%
Joni Mäkelä12%
Joni Kauko0%
Albin Linnér0%
Joona Toivio0%
Oscar Linnér0%
Felipe Aspegren0%
Aleksi Tarvonen0%
Mikko Sumusalo0%
Matias Paavola0%
Juho Lehtiranta0%
Franck Ellé0%
Joshua Akpudje0%
Aaro Toivonen0%
Mitchell Glasson0%
Thomas Lahdensuo0%
Constantine Edlund0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joni Kauko50%
Mikko Sumusalo43%
Albin Linnér40%
Rangel33%
Thomas Lahdensuo33%
Nathaniel Tahmbi33%
Atomu Tanaka25%
Oscar Linnér25%
Franck Ellé25%
Joshua Akpudje25%
Constantine Edlund25%
Mitchell Glasson22%
Joona Toivio20%
Felipe Aspegren20%
Juho Lehtiranta17%
Luca Weckström17%
Assane Seck14%
Joni Mäkelä12%
Petteri Forsell10%
Aleksi Tarvonen0%
Matias Paavola0%
Aaro Toivonen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Joni Kauko25%
Aaro Toivonen22%
Mikko Sumusalo14%
Assane Seck14%
Atomu Tanaka12%
Joni Mäkelä12%
Matias Paavola11%
Petteri Forsell10%
Albin Linnér0%
Joona Toivio0%
Oscar Linnér0%
Felipe Aspegren0%
Aleksi Tarvonen0%
Rangel0%
Juho Lehtiranta0%
Franck Ellé0%
Joshua Akpudje0%
Luca Weckström0%
Mitchell Glasson0%
Thomas Lahdensuo0%
Constantine Edlund0%
Nathaniel Tahmbi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rangel33%
Petteri Forsell30%
Nathaniel Tahmbi17%
Assane Seck14%
Joni Mäkelä12%
Joni Kauko0%
Atomu Tanaka0%
Albin Linnér0%
Joona Toivio0%
Oscar Linnér0%
Felipe Aspegren0%
Aleksi Tarvonen0%
Mikko Sumusalo0%
Matias Paavola0%
Juho Lehtiranta0%
Franck Ellé0%
Joshua Akpudje0%
Luca Weckström0%
Aaro Toivonen0%
Mitchell Glasson0%
Thomas Lahdensuo0%
Constantine Edlund0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HAK (21)
€1m
KOO (19)
€1m
JIP (21)
€1m
PK- (20)
€1m
EIF (20)
€1m
JÄP (24)
€1m
KÄP (25)
€1m
MP (19)
€0m
KLU (17)
€0m
Klubi-04 and Kooteepee have a similar squad value (both €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOO (10)
€1m
JIP (7)
€0m
EIF (9)
€0m
PK- (6)
€0m
JÄP (11)
€0m
HAK (7)
€0m
MP (10)
€0m
KLU (8)
€0m
KÄP (8)
€0m
Klubi-04 and Kooteepee have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PK- (7)
€0m
HAK (5)
€0m
KÄP (6)
€0m
JÄP (4)
€0m
EIF (4)
€0m
JIP (4)
€0m
KOO (2)
€0m
MP (2)
€0m
KLU (3)
€0m
Klubi-04 and Kooteepee have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HAK (9)
€1m
KOO (7)
€0m
JIP (10)
€0m
EIF (7)
€0m
KÄP (11)
€0m
PK- (7)
€0m
JÄP (9)
€0m
MP (7)
€0m
KLU (6)
€0m
Klubi-04 and Kooteepee have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Finland: Ykkösliiga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Ykkösliiga stats & trends →