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Kolding IF vs HB Koge Result & Analysis

Date: 07/10/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 3-1
Kolding IF
Kolding IF
Vs
50%
23%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
HB Koge
HB Koge
Denmark: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kolding IF winâś“ Hit
49.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś— Miss
23.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
HB Koge winâś— Miss
27.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

Kolding IFKolding IF

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W11D21W13L12L40W13L10W12L32WH·HIL29/07A·B 905/08A·NAE13/08H·SON18/08A·VEN23/08H·FC 26/08A·AAL03/09A·HB 14/09H·FC 22/09A·HOB01/10
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.452.001.401.501.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.561.561.501.751.601.40
vs Weaker (2)2.501.004.000.001.002.00
Clean sheet %18% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Koge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HB KogeHB Koge

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-731W02L17L02L04L00D33D01L02L10WH·VEN28/07A·AC 04/08H·B 911/08H·HOB20/08A·SON23/08H·FC 27/08A·NAE04/09H·KOL14/09A·AAL22/09H·FC 01/10
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.901.271.801.532.00
vs Stronger (6)0.673.171.002.000.334.33
vs Similar (22)1.591.641.181.822.001.45
vs Weaker (2)1.501.003.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolding IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%119%222%319%413%514%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.3%
Under 1.5
12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
67.9%
Under 2.5
32.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
46.4%
Under 3.5
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
67.9%
No
32.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
2-2
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1 âś“
6.2%
1-0
5.2%
3-2
4.6%
Kolding IF goals ↓
HB Koge goals →
01234
03.9%3.5%3.3%1.6%0.6%
15.2%9.9%6.7%3.3%1.2%
26.2%9.1%6.7%3.3%1.2%
34.2%6.2%4.6%2.2%0.8%
42.1%3.1%2.3%1.1%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kolding IF goals (down), columns = HB Koge goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sonderjyske
2.12
Aalborg
2.03
Hillerød
1.53
Kolding IF
1.53
Hobro
1.47
FC Fredericia
1.47
Vendsyssel FF
1.34
AC Horsens
1.34
B 93
1.22
HB Koge
1.06
Naestved
0.84
FC Helsingor
0.50
Kolding IF is 0.47 points better than HB Koge in terms of average points per game (1.53 vs 1.06).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sonderjyske
2.22
Aalborg
2.06
Hillerød
1.81
Kolding IF
1.62
FC Fredericia
1.44
Vendsyssel FF
1.41
B 93
1.41
HB Koge
1.34
Hobro
1.31
AC Horsens
1.16
Naestved
1.03
FC Helsingor
1.00
Kolding IF is 0.28 goals better than HB Koge in terms of goals scored per game (1.62 vs 1.34).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sonderjyske
0.91
Aalborg
1.19
Hobro
1.25
Hillerød
1.28
FC Fredericia
1.31
AC Horsens
1.41
Kolding IF
1.44
Vendsyssel FF
1.56
Naestved
1.66
B 93
1.72
FC Helsingor
2.03
HB Koge
2.06
Kolding IF is 0.62 goals better than HB Koge in terms of goals conceded per game (1.44 vs 2.06).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Kolding IFKolding IF

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W10W10W00D01L20W01L00D01L11DH·HIL29/07A·B 905/08A·NAE13/08H·SON18/08A·VEN23/08H·FC 26/08A·AAL03/09A·HB 14/09H·FC 22/09A·HOB01/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.640.550.800.600.500.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.560.560.500.750.600.40
vs Weaker (2)1.000.502.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %45% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Koge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HB KogeHB Koge

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L12L00D02L00D12L00D01L00DH·VEN28/07A·AC 04/08H·B 911/08H·HOB20/08A·SON23/08H·FC 27/08A·NAE04/09H·KOL14/09A·AAL22/09H·FC 01/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.900.330.670.601.13
vs Stronger (6)0.171.330.330.670.002.00
vs Similar (22)0.590.770.360.640.820.91
vs Weaker (2)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolding IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kolding IF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Kolding IFKolding IF

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L11D13L11D20W12L10W11D21WH·HIL29/07A·B 905/08A·NAE13/08H·SON18/08A·VEN23/08H·FC 26/08A·AAL03/09A·HB 14/09H·FC 22/09A·HOB01/10
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.090.911.200.801.001.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.001.001.001.001.001.00
vs Weaker (2)1.500.502.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %36% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Koge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HB KogeHB Koge

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W00D05L02L02L00D21W01L01L10WH·VEN28/07A·AC 04/08H·B 911/08H·HOB20/08A·SON23/08H·FC 27/08A·NAE04/09H·KOL14/09A·AAL22/09H·FC 01/10
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.000.931.130.930.87
vs Stronger (6)0.501.830.671.330.332.33
vs Similar (22)1.000.860.821.181.180.55
vs Weaker (2)1.500.003.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolding IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kolding IF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.587.3%-------âś“ Hit

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SON (26)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
AAL (24)
€10m
FF (17)
€8m
HOB (23)
€7m
KI (21)
€6m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
VF (3)
€1m
Kolding IF and HB Koge have a similar squad value (both €6m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (9)
€4m
SON (6)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
FF (5)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
VF (1)
€0m
Kolding IF and HB Koge have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SON (7)
€3m
FF (5)
€3m
AH (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
KI (5)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
VF (2)
€0m
Kolding IF and HB Koge have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SON (13)
€6m
AAL (12)
€6m
AH (12)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
HOB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
VF (0)
€0m
Kolding IF and HB Koge have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
KI wins
0
Draws
0
HK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kolding IF vs HB Koge · H/A from KI
DateH/AGameScore
14/09/23AHB Koge Vs KI0-1

Kolding IFKolding IF

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/10/23AHobro Vs KI2-3
22/09/23HKI Vs FC Fredericia1-2
14/09/23AHB Koge Vs KI0-1
03/09/23AAalborg Vs KI3-1
26/08/23HKI Vs FC Helsingor4-0
23/08/23AVendsyssel FF Vs KI2-1
18/08/23HKI Vs Sonderjyske1-3
13/08/23ANaestved Vs KI1-2
05/08/23AB 93 Vs KI1-1
29/07/23HKI Vs Hillerød2-1

HB KogeHB Koge

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/10/23HHK Vs FC Helsingor1-0
22/09/23AAalborg Vs HK2-0
14/09/23HHK Vs Kolding IF0-1
04/09/23ANaestved Vs HK3-3
27/08/23HHK Vs FC Fredericia0-0
23/08/23ASonderjyske Vs HK4-0
20/08/23HHK Vs Hobro0-2
11/08/23HHK Vs B 931-7
04/08/23AAC Horsens Vs HK2-0
28/07/23HHK Vs Vendsyssel FF3-1

đź“Š 16. Overall Statistics

Kolding IF
Kolding IF
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLW1.73
HomeWWLWL1.80
AwayWLLWW1.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %55%60%50%
AVG goals3.183.403.00
Over 1.5 %91%100%83%
Over 2.5 %82%100%67%
Over 3.5 %36%40%33%
Scored1.732.001.50
Conceded1.451.401.50
BTTS82%80%83%
Clean Sheet18%20%17%
Corners---
Cards---
HB Koge
HB Koge
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLLW1.28
HomeLLDLW1.18
AwayWLLDL1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %37%32%43%
AVG goals3.142.953.33
Over 1.5 %72%68%76%
Over 2.5 %53%55%52%
Over 3.5 %44%45%43%
Scored1.441.361.52
Conceded1.701.591.81
BTTS47%50%43%
Clean Sheet28%32%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SonderjyskeSonderjyske3268
62%
2.1
7129+42
3.1
84%
62%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
3362.20.9
-
2AalborgAalborg3265
59%
2.0
6638+28
3.2
84%
69%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
2262.11.2
-
3HillerødHillerød3249
41%
1.5
5841+17
3.1
78%
59%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.81.3
-
4Kolding IFKolding IF3249
44%
1.5
5246+6
3.1
78%
66%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.61.4
-
5FC FredericiaFC Fredericia3247
41%
1.5
4642+4
2.8
75%
53%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
2331.41.3
-
6HobroHobro3247
44%
1.5
4240+2
2.6
72%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.31.2
-
7Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF3243
34%
1.3
4550-5
3.0
75%
53%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.6
-
8AC HorsensAC Horsens3243
38%
1.3
3745-8
2.6
72%
44%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4241.21.4
-
9B 93B 933239
34%
1.2
4555-10
3.1
75%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
10HB KogeHB Koge3234
28%
1.1
4366-23
3.4
81%
59%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.32.1
-
11NaestvedNaestved3227
16%
0.8
3353-20
2.7
69%
47%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
12FC HelsingorFC Helsingor3216
6%
0.5
3265-33
3.0
75%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
Denmark: 1. Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →

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