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Kolding IF vs HB Koge Result & Analysis

Date: 01/08/2025
Time: 17:00
Final 3-1
Kolding IF
Kolding IF
Vs
46%
30%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
HB Koge
HB Koge
Denmark: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kolding IF winâś“ Hit
45.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś— Miss
29.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
HB Koge winâś— Miss
24.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

Kolding IFKolding IF

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L34L20W32W10W21W11D02L10W12LH·HVI11/04A·ODE17/04H·AC 21/04A·AC 25/04A·HVI03/05H·ESB10/05H·ODE17/05A·FC 23/05H·AAL19/07A·AC 25/07
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.031.291.071.061.00
vs Stronger (3)1.001.331.003.001.000.50
vs Similar (26)1.231.041.421.001.071.07
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Koge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HB KogeHB Koge

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D02L03L43W10W21W12L20W21W33DA·ROS17/04H·HOB21/04A·HIL25/04H·ROS04/05A·VEN10/05H·B 916/05A·HOB22/05H·HOB18/07H·AAR25/07A·HVI29/07
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.401.311.691.431.07
vs Stronger (4)2.001.751.503.002.500.50
vs Similar (22)1.411.451.501.581.301.30
vs Weaker (4)0.500.750.001.001.000.50
Clean sheet %27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolding IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.8%
Under 1.5
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.3%
Under 2.5
57.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
21.6%
Under 3.5
78.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.2%
No
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
1-0
11.8%
0-0
10.6%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.4%
Kolding IF goals ↓
HB Koge goals →
01234
011%7.8%4.4%1.4%0.3%
112%14%6.2%2.0%0.5%
29.1%8.9%4.3%1.4%0.3%
34.3%4.1%2.0%0.7%0.2%
41.5%1.5%0.7%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kolding IF goals (down), columns = HB Koge goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lyngby
1.88
AC Horsens
1.69
Esbjerg
1.62
Hillerød
1.56
Aalborg
1.44
Hvidovre
1.44
Aarhus Fremad
1.38
Hobro
1.31
HB Koge
1.25
Kolding IF
1.19
B 93
1.16
Middelfart
0.47
Kolding IF is 0.06 points worse than HB Koge in terms of average points per game (1.19 vs 1.25).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Lyngby
2.16
Aarhus Fremad
1.62
Aalborg
1.56
Esbjerg
1.41
B 93
1.38
Hvidovre
1.34
Hillerød
1.31
AC Horsens
1.31
HB Koge
1.31
Hobro
1.25
Kolding IF
1.16
Middelfart
1.00
Kolding IF is 0.16 goals worse than HB Koge in terms of goals scored per game (1.16 vs 1.31).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
AC Horsens
0.84
Lyngby
1.12
Aarhus Fremad
1.16
Hvidovre
1.22
Kolding IF
1.25
Hobro
1.34
Hillerød
1.34
Esbjerg
1.34
Aalborg
1.47
HB Koge
1.50
B 93
1.81
Middelfart
2.41
Kolding IF is 0.25 goals better than HB Koge in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Kolding IFKolding IF

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L22D10W10W00D00D00D01L00D10WH·HVI11/04A·ODE17/04H·AC 21/04A·AC 25/04A·HVI03/05H·ESB10/05H·ODE17/05A·FC 23/05H·AAL19/07A·AC 25/07
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.370.430.500.310.25
vs Stronger (3)0.000.670.002.000.000.00
vs Similar (26)0.420.350.500.420.360.29
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %80% (+54pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Koge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HB KogeHB Koge

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L02L21W00D11D01L10W10W01LA·ROS17/04H·HOB21/04A·HIL25/04H·ROS04/05A·VEN10/05H·B 916/05A·HOB22/05H·HOB18/07H·AAR25/07A·HVI29/07
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.700.690.690.500.71
vs Stronger (4)1.251.001.001.501.500.50
vs Similar (22)0.550.680.750.500.300.90
vs Weaker (4)0.250.500.001.000.500.00
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolding IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kolding IF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Kolding IFKolding IF

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W12L10W22D10W21W11D01L10W02LH·HVI11/04A·ODE17/04H·AC 21/04A·AC 25/04A·HVI03/05H·ESB10/05H·ODE17/05A·FC 23/05H·AAL19/07A·AC 25/07
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.670.860.570.750.75
vs Stronger (3)1.000.671.001.001.000.50
vs Similar (26)0.810.690.920.580.710.79
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Koge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HB KogeHB Koge

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L01L22D10W10W11D10W11D32WA·ROS17/04H·HOB21/04A·HIL25/04H·ROS04/05A·VEN10/05H·B 916/05A·HOB22/05H·HOB18/07H·AAR25/07A·HVI29/07
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.700.621.000.930.36
vs Stronger (4)0.750.750.501.501.000.00
vs Similar (22)0.860.770.751.081.000.40
vs Weaker (4)0.250.250.000.000.500.50
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolding IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kolding IF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.578.4%-------âś— Miss

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
AAL (24)
€10m
ESB (23)
€7m
HOB (23)
€7m
KI (21)
€6m
HVI (21)
€5m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
AF (21)
€3m
Kolding IF and HB Koge have a similar squad value (both €6m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (9)
€4m
LYN (5)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
ESB (8)
€2m
HVI (6)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
AF (6)
€1m
Kolding IF and HB Koge have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LYN (8)
€5m
AH (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
KI (5)
€2m
ESB (6)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
AF (8)
€1m
HIL (5)
€1m
Kolding IF and HB Koge have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (12)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
HOB (9)
€3m
ESB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
HVI (9)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
AF (7)
€1m
Kolding IF and HB Koge have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
3
KI wins
1
Draws
0
HK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kolding IF vs HB Koge · H/A from KI
DateH/AGameScore
25/10/24AHB Koge Vs KI0-1
14/09/24HKI Vs HB Koge1-1
07/10/23HKI Vs HB Koge3-1
14/09/23AHB Koge Vs KI0-1

Kolding IFKolding IF

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/07/25AAC Horsens Vs KI2-1
19/07/25HKI Vs Aalborg1-0
23/05/25AFC Fredericia Vs KI2-0
17/05/25HKI Vs Odense1-1
10/05/25HKI Vs Esbjerg2-1
03/05/25AHvidovre Vs KI0-1
25/04/25AAC Horsens Vs KI2-3
21/04/25HKI Vs AC Horsens2-0
17/04/25AOdense Vs KI4-3
11/04/25HKI Vs Hvidovre1-3

HB KogeHB Koge

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/07/25AHvidovre Vs HK3-3
25/07/25HHK Vs Aarhus Fremad2-1
18/07/25HHK Vs Hobro2-0
22/05/25AHobro Vs HK2-1
16/05/25HHK Vs B 932-1
10/05/25AVendsyssel FF Vs HK0-1
04/05/25HHK Vs Roskilde4-3
25/04/25AHillerød Vs HK3-0
21/04/25HHK Vs Hobro0-2
17/04/25ARoskilde Vs HK1-1

đź“Š 16. Overall Statistics

Kolding IF
Kolding IF
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWL1.58
HomeLWWDW1.43
AwayLWWLL1.70
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%39%48%
AVG goals2.402.262.52
Over 1.5 %62%65%59%
Over 2.5 %44%52%37%
Over 3.5 %22%22%22%
Scored1.401.221.56
Conceded1.001.040.96
BTTS46%48%44%
Clean Sheet42%43%41%
Corners---
Cards---
HB Koge
HB Koge
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWD1.28
HomeLWWWW1.40
AwayDLWLD1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%44%24%
AVG goals3.143.283.00
Over 1.5 %84%84%84%
Over 2.5 %52%52%52%
Over 3.5 %34%40%28%
Scored1.421.441.40
Conceded1.721.841.60
BTTS54%40%68%
Clean Sheet22%20%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LyngbyLyngby3260
56%
1.9
6936+33
3.3
91%
69%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
3552.21.1
-
2AC HorsensAC Horsens3254
47%
1.7
4227+15
2.2
56%
41%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4241.30.8
-
3EsbjergEsbjerg3252
47%
1.6
4543+2
2.8
75%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.41.3
-
4HillerødHillerød3250
41%
1.6
4243-1
2.7
81%
59%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.31.3
-
5HvidovreHvidovre3246
34%
1.4
4339+4
2.6
81%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.31.2
-
6AalborgAalborg3246
38%
1.4
5047+3
3.0
78%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
2261.61.5
-
7Aarhus FremadAarhus Fremad3244
34%
1.4
5237+15
2.8
72%
53%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.61.2
-
8HobroHobro3242
34%
1.3
4043-3
2.6
72%
41%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.21.3
-
9HB KogeHB Koge3240
34%
1.2
4248-6
2.8
81%
53%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.31.5
-
10Kolding IFKolding IF3238
31%
1.2
3740-3
2.4
72%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.21.2
-
11B 93B 933237
31%
1.2
4458-14
3.2
81%
66%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
12MiddelfartMiddelfart3215
9%
0.5
3277-45
3.4
78%
72%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.4
-
Denmark: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →

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