Kolding IF are tipped to take the match at home, the model’s favourite result, with a 47% chance of victory. The game is expected to see 2.6 goals on average, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 13.4% probability. Kolding’s home form shows they average 1.42 goals scored and 1.33 conceded against similar opposition, while HB Koge, playing away, averages 1.13 scored and 1.53 conceded. The model’s suggested picks include Under 7.5 goals (99.5%), Under 6.5 (98.3%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.6%), Under 5.5 (95.1%), Home under 3.5 goals (93.0%), Away under 2.5 goals (90.6%), Home +2 handicap (90.0%) and Under 4.5 (87.7%). Kolding’s recent run of two wins fuels optimism, whereas HB Koge have returned from a draw. The probabilities for the match outcomes are 47% for a home win, 28% for a draw and 25% for an away win.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Kolding IF win
46.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
28.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
HB Koge win
25.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Kolding IF
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.33
1.43
1.21
1.56
1.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
1.26
1.44
1.42
1.33
1.13
1.53
vs Weaker (3)
3.67
0.33
1.50
0.50
8.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Koge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HB Koge
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.53
1.21
1.43
1.06
1.62
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (29)
1.17
1.48
1.21
1.43
1.13
1.53
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolding IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
74.6%
Under 1.5
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
48.3%
Under 2.5
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
26.5%
Under 3.5
73.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
52.8%
No
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.7%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.0%
Kolding IF goals ↓
HB Koge goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.6%
6.7%
4.2%
1.5%
0.4%
1
10%
13%
6.5%
2.3%
0.6%
2
8.7%
9.3%
5.0%
1.8%
0.5%
3
4.4%
4.8%
2.5%
0.9%
0.2%
4
1.7%
1.8%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kolding IF goals (down), columns = HB Koge goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hvidovre
2.33
Vejle
2.33
Hobro
2.00
Aarhus Fremad
1.50
FC Fredericia
1.50
Vendsyssel FF
1.33
Aalborg
1.33
Kolding IF
1.00
AB Copenhagen
1.00
Hillerød
0.67
Esbjerg
0.67
HB Koge
0.33
Kolding IF is 0.67 points better than HB Koge in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 0.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Vejle
2.67
Hillerød
1.67
Hvidovre
1.67
Hobro
1.50
FC Fredericia
1.50
Kolding IF
1.33
AB Copenhagen
1.33
Esbjerg
1.33
Aarhus Fremad
1.17
Vendsyssel FF
1.17
Aalborg
0.83
HB Koge
0.50
Kolding IF is 0.83 goals better than HB Koge in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 0.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Fredericia
0.67
Aarhus Fremad
0.83
Hvidovre
0.83
Aalborg
1.17
AB Copenhagen
1.17
Hobro
1.33
Vendsyssel FF
1.33
Kolding IF
1.50
Vejle
1.67
HB Koge
2.00
Hillerød
2.00
Esbjerg
2.17
Kolding IF is 0.50 goals better than HB Koge in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Kolding IF or Draw
74.7%
Avg Implied -
47%
28%
25%
covers Kolding IF + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF or HB Koge
72.0%
Avg Implied -
47%
28%
25%
covers Kolding IF + HB Koge
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or HB Koge
53.2%
Avg Implied -
47%
28%
25%
covers Draw + HB Koge
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Kolding IF over/under 0.5
Over
78.4%
Under
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 1.5
Over
45.3%
Under
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 2.5
Over
20.0%
Under
80.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 3.5
Over
7.0%
Under
93.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 0.5
Over
65.7%
Under
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 1.5
Over
29.0%
Under
71.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 2.5
Over
9.4%
Under
90.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 3.5
Over
2.4%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Kolding IF, so a minus line means Kolding IF give that many goals of a start and HB Koge receive them. At -1, Kolding IF must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Kolding IF win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Kolding IF)
Kolding IF -2
9.9%
Draw -2
14.6%
HB Koge +2
75.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Kolding IF)
Kolding IF -1
24.4%
Draw -1
22.4%
HB Koge +1
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Kolding IF)
Kolding IF +1
74.7%
Draw +1
15.2%
HB Koge -1
10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Kolding IF)
Kolding IF +2
90.0%
Draw +2
7.1%
HB Koge -2
2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Kolding IF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.67
0.79
0.50
0.44
0.81
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.56
0.74
0.75
0.58
0.40
0.87
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Koge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HB Koge
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.60
0.57
0.50
0.56
0.69
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (29)
0.59
0.62
0.57
0.50
0.60
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolding IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kolding IF over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Kolding IF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.67
0.64
0.71
1.12
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.70
0.70
0.67
0.75
0.73
0.67
vs Weaker (3)
2.67
0.33
0.50
0.50
7.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Koge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HB Koge
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.93
0.64
0.93
0.50
0.94
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (29)
0.59
0.86
0.64
0.93
0.53
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolding IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kolding IF over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
90.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (24)
€10m
VEJ (22)
€9m
FF (17)
€8m
ESB (23)
€7m
HOB (23)
€7m
KI (21)
€6m
HVI (21)
€5m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
AF (21)
€3m
VF (3)
€1m
AC (3)
€1m
Kolding IF and HB Koge have a similar squad value (both €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEJ (7)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
ESB (8)
€2m
FF (5)
€2m
HVI (6)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
AF (6)
€1m
VF (1)
€0m
AC (1)
€0m
Kolding IF and HB Koge have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FF (5)
€3m
VEJ (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
KI (5)
€2m
ESB (6)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
AF (8)
€1m
HIL (5)
€1m
VF (2)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
Kolding IF and HB Koge have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (12)
€6m
VEJ (9)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
HOB (9)
€3m
ESB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
HVI (9)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
AF (7)
€1m
AC (2)
€0m
VF (0)
€0m
Kolding IF and HB Koge have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Denmark: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →