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Kolding IF vs Hillerød Prediction & Stats

Date: 18/09/2026
Time: 17:00
Kolding IF
Kolding IF
Vs
47%
27%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Hillerød
Hillerød
Denmark: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Kolding IF are favoured to win at home, with a 46 % chance of triumph, a 27 % chance of a draw and a 27 % chance of Hillerød taking the points. The match is expected to see 2.8 goals on average, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.8 % probability. Kolding’s home form shows they average 1.42 goals scored and 1.33 conceded against similar opposition, while Hillerød’s away form is weaker, conceding 2.15 goals on average and scoring 1.31 against comparable teams. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.2 %), Under 6.5 (97.5 %), Away under 3.5 goals (96.7 %), Under 5.5 (93.4 %), Home under 3.5 goals (91.9 %), Home +2 handicap (88.6 %), Away under 2.5 goals (88.2 %) and Under 4.5 (84.7 %). Each pick is listed with its exact probability, and no other outcome is given a win probability.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kolding IF win
47.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
26.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hillerød win
26.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Kolding IFKolding IF

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-830W01L11D01L80W11D23L22D41W21WH·HIL25/05A·AC 31/05A·ESB25/07H·HVI01/08A·GLA04/08A·AAL09/08H·VEJ14/08A·HB 23/08A·BRØ26/08H·AB 29/08
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.331.431.211.561.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)1.261.441.421.331.131.53
vs Weaker (3)3.670.331.500.508.000.00
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Hillerød) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HillerødHillerød

Last 10 – goals for & against
120-1203L21W01L23L120W45L11D01L40W31WA·KOL25/05H·HVI31/05A·AAL24/07H·ESB01/08A·VAE06/08A·VEJ09/08H·AAR15/08A·VEN20/08A·AVA25/08H·HOB30/08
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.371.291.002.121.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)1.411.441.291.001.541.92
vs Weaker (3)4.670.67--4.670.67
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolding IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
78.5%
Under 1.5
21.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
53.7%
Under 2.5
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
31.5%
Under 3.5
68.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
57.1%
No
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-0
8.1%
0-0
7.1%
1-2
6.8%
0-1
5.8%
2-2
5.6%
Kolding IF goals ↓
Hillerød goals →
01234
07.1%5.8%4.1%1.6%0.5%
18.6%13%6.8%2.6%0.8%
28.1%9.5%5.6%2.2%0.6%
34.4%5.2%3.1%1.2%0.4%
41.8%2.2%1.3%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kolding IF goals (down), columns = Hillerød goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Hvidovre
2.33
Vejle
2.33
Hobro
2.00
Aarhus Fremad
1.50
FC Fredericia
1.50
Vendsyssel FF
1.33
Aalborg
1.33
Kolding IF
1.00
AB Copenhagen
1.00
Hillerød
0.67
Esbjerg
0.67
HB Koge
0.33
Kolding IF is 0.33 points better than Hillerød in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 0.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vejle
2.67
Hillerød
1.67
Hvidovre
1.67
Hobro
1.50
FC Fredericia
1.50
Kolding IF
1.33
AB Copenhagen
1.33
Esbjerg
1.33
Aarhus Fremad
1.17
Vendsyssel FF
1.17
Aalborg
0.83
HB Koge
0.50
Kolding IF is 0.33 goals worse than Hillerød in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.67).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Fredericia
0.67
Aarhus Fremad
0.83
Hvidovre
0.83
Aalborg
1.17
AB Copenhagen
1.17
Hobro
1.33
Vendsyssel FF
1.33
Kolding IF
1.50
Vejle
1.67
HB Koge
2.00
Hillerød
2.00
Esbjerg
2.17
Kolding IF is 0.50 goals better than Hillerød in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 2.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Kolding IF or Draw
74.0%
Avg Implied -
47%
27%
26%
covers Kolding IF + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF or Hillerød
73.4%
Avg Implied -
47%
27%
26%
covers Kolding IF + Hillerød
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Hillerød
52.6%
Avg Implied -
47%
27%
26%
covers Draw + Hillerød
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Kolding IF over/under 0.5
Over
80.9%
Under
19.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 1.5
Over
49.2%
Under
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 2.5
Over
23.1%
Under
76.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 3.5
Over
8.6%
Under
91.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hillerød over/under 0.5
Over
69.1%
Under
30.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hillerød over/under 1.5
Over
32.9%
Under
67.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hillerød over/under 2.5
Over
11.5%
Under
88.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hillerød over/under 3.5
Over
3.2%
Under
96.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Kolding IF, so a minus line means Kolding IF give that many goals of a start and Hillerød receive them. At -1, Kolding IF must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Kolding IF win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Kolding IF)
Kolding IF -2
10.9%
Draw -2
14.8%
Hillerød +2
74.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Kolding IF)
Kolding IF -1
25.6%
Draw -1
21.7%
Hillerød +1
52.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Kolding IF)
Kolding IF +1
74.0%
Draw +1
15.1%
Hillerød -1
10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Kolding IF)
Kolding IF +2
89.1%
Draw +2
7.5%
Hillerød -2
3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Kolding IFKolding IF

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D11D01L10W01L11D12L21W20WH·HIL25/05A·AC 31/05A·ESB25/07H·HVI01/08A·GLA04/08A·AAL09/08H·VEJ14/08A·HB 23/08A·BRØ26/08H·AB 29/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.670.790.500.440.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.560.740.750.580.400.87
vs Weaker (3)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Hillerød) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HillerødHillerød

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W00D02L20W21W01L01L10W20WA·KOL25/05H·HVI31/05A·AAL24/07H·ESB01/08A·VAE06/08A·VEJ09/08H·AAR15/08A·VEN20/08A·AVA25/08H·HOB30/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.500.570.360.620.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.560.480.570.360.540.62
vs Weaker (3)1.000.67--1.000.67
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolding IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kolding IF over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hillerød over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hillerød over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hillerød over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Kolding IFKolding IF

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
70-720W01L00D00D70W10W12L10W20W01LH·HIL25/05A·AC 31/05A·ESB25/07H·HVI01/08A·GLA04/08A·AAL09/08H·VEJ14/08A·HB 23/08A·BRØ26/08H·AB 29/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.670.640.711.120.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.700.700.670.750.730.67
vs Weaker (3)2.670.330.500.507.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Hillerød) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HillerødHillerød

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
100-1002L11D01L21W100W24L10W00D30W11DA·KOL25/05H·HVI31/05A·AAL24/07H·ESB01/08A·VAE06/08A·VEJ09/08H·AAR15/08A·VEN20/08A·AVA25/08H·HOB30/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.870.710.641.501.06
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.850.960.710.641.001.31
vs Weaker (3)3.670.00--3.670.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolding IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kolding IF over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hillerød over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hillerød over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hillerød over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.1%-------
Under 6.597.4%-------
Away under 3.5 goals96.8%-------
Under 5.593.2%-------
Home under 3.5 goals91.4%-------
Home +2 handicap89.1%-------
Away under 2.5 goals88.5%-------
Under 4.584.3%-------
Home over 0.5 goals80.9%-------
Over 1.578.5%-------
Home under 2.5 goals76.9%-------
Away +2 handicap74.4%-------
Home or Draw74.0%-------
Home +1 handicap74.0%-------
Home or Away73.4%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (24)
€10m
VEJ (22)
€9m
FF (17)
€8m
ESB (23)
€7m
HOB (23)
€7m
KI (21)
€6m
HVI (21)
€5m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
AF (21)
€3m
VF (3)
€1m
AC (3)
€1m
Kolding IF's squad is €2m more valuable than Hillerød's (€6m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEJ (7)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
ESB (8)
€2m
FF (5)
€2m
HVI (6)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
AF (6)
€1m
VF (1)
€0m
AC (1)
€0m
Kolding IF and Hillerød have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FF (5)
€3m
VEJ (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
KI (5)
€2m
ESB (6)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
AF (8)
€1m
HIL (5)
€1m
VF (2)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
Kolding IF and Hillerød have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (12)
€6m
VEJ (9)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
HOB (9)
€3m
ESB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
HVI (9)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
AF (7)
€1m
AC (2)
€0m
VF (0)
€0m
Kolding IF and Hillerød have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
KI wins
2
Draws
1
HIL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kolding IF vs Hillerød · H/A from KI
DateH/AGameScore
25/05/26HKI Vs Hillerød3-0
25/04/26AHillerød Vs KI2-0
01/11/25AHillerød Vs KI1-1
29/08/25HKI Vs Hillerød0-0
18/10/24HKI Vs Hillerød3-1
30/08/24AHillerød Vs KI0-3
25/11/23AHillerød Vs KI1-3
29/07/23HKI Vs Hillerød2-1

Kolding IFKolding IF

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HKI Vs AB Copenhagen2-1
26/08/26ABrønderslev Vs KI1-4
23/08/26AHB Koge Vs KI2-2
14/08/26HKI Vs Vejle2-3
09/08/26AAalborg Vs KI1-1
04/08/26AGlamsbjerg Vs KI0-8
01/08/26HKI Vs Hvidovre0-1
25/07/26AEsbjerg Vs KI1-1
31/05/26AAC Horsens Vs KI1-0
25/05/26HKI Vs Hillerød3-0

HillerødHillerød

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26HHIL Vs Hobro3-1
25/08/26AAvarta Vs HIL0-4
20/08/26AVendsyssel FF Vs HIL1-0
15/08/26HHIL Vs Aarhus Fremad1-1
09/08/26AVejle Vs HIL5-4
06/08/26AVaeggerlose Vs HIL0-12
01/08/26HHIL Vs Esbjerg2-3
24/07/26AAalborg Vs HIL1-0
31/05/26HHIL Vs Hvidovre2-1
25/05/26AKolding IF Vs HIL3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kolding IF
Kolding IF
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDWW1.38
HomeLWLLW1.52
AwayDWDDW1.26
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%43%33%
AVG goals2.742.482.96
Over 1.5 %78%74%81%
Over 2.5 %50%48%52%
Over 3.5 %28%22%33%
Scored1.501.351.63
Conceded1.241.131.33
BTTS52%57%48%
Clean Sheet28%26%30%
Corners---
Cards---
Hillerød
Hillerød
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWW1.58
HomeDWLDW1.88
AwayLWLLW1.31
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%54%35%
AVG goals3.283.003.54
Over 1.5 %80%83%77%
Over 2.5 %64%58%69%
Over 3.5 %40%33%46%
Scored1.901.881.92
Conceded1.381.121.62
BTTS62%67%58%
Clean Sheet24%25%23%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VejleVejle614
67%
2.3
1610+6
4.3
83%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3242.71.7
-
2HvidovreHvidovre614
67%
2.3
105+5
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.70.8
-
3HobroHobro612
67%
2.0
98+1
2.8
83%
83%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.51.3
-
4FC FredericiaFC Fredericia69
33%
1.5
94+5
2.2
83%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
2331.50.7
-
5Aarhus FremadAarhus Fremad69
33%
1.5
75+2
2.0
67%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.20.8
-
6Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF68
33%
1.3
78-1
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.3
-
7AalborgAalborg68
33%
1.3
57-2
2.0
67%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
2260.81.2
-
8AB CopenhagenAB Copenhagen66
17%
1.0
87+1
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.2
-
9Kolding IFKolding IF66
17%
1.0
89-1
2.8
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.31.5
-
10HillerødHillerød64
17%
0.7
1012-2
3.7
67%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.72.0
-
11EsbjergEsbjerg64
17%
0.7
813-5
3.5
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.32.2
-
12HB KogeHB Koge62
0%
0.3
312-9
2.5
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1220.52.0
-
Denmark: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →

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