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Kolding IF vs Hobro Result & Analysis

Date: 06/03/2026
Time: 18:00
Final 2-1
Kolding IF
Kolding IF
Vs
45%
30%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Hobro
Hobro
Denmark: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kolding IF winâś“ Hit
44.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś— Miss
29.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hobro winâś— Miss
25.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

Kolding IFKolding IF

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L22D21W12L10W11D13L30W11D02LH·FC 25/09A·HOB28/09H·ESB04/10A·HB 17/10H·MID24/10A·HIL01/11H·AC 07/11A·AAL22/11H·AAR30/11A·LYN27/02
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.231.211.211.621.25
vs Stronger (1)0.002.000.002.00--
vs Similar (26)1.461.311.331.251.571.36
vs Weaker (3)1.670.331.000.002.000.50
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Hobro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HobroHobro

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D33D11D12L14L03L20W01L10W11DH·KOL28/09A·AC 03/10A·ESB16/10H·HIL25/10H·FC 29/10A·LYN02/11H·AAR07/11H·HVI20/11A·B 928/11H·HB 27/02
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.531.141.501.311.56
vs Stronger (1)1.004.001.004.00--
vs Similar (25)1.161.481.091.451.211.50
vs Weaker (4)1.751.251.500.502.002.00
Clean sheet %27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolding IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%27%10%019%127%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.1%
Under 1.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.6%
Under 2.5
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.8%
Under 3.5
78.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.6%
No
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
1-0
11.6%
0-0
10.5%
2-0
8.9%
2-1 âś“
8.9%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.5%
Kolding IF goals ↓
Hobro goals →
01234
010%7.9%4.5%1.5%0.4%
112%14%6.3%2.1%0.5%
28.9%8.9%4.4%1.5%0.4%
34.1%4.1%2.0%0.7%0.2%
41.4%1.4%0.7%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kolding IF goals (down), columns = Hobro goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lyngby
1.88
AC Horsens
1.69
Esbjerg
1.62
Hillerød
1.56
Aalborg
1.44
Hvidovre
1.44
Aarhus Fremad
1.38
Hobro
1.31
HB Koge
1.25
Kolding IF
1.19
B 93
1.16
Middelfart
0.47
Kolding IF is 0.12 points worse than Hobro in terms of average points per game (1.19 vs 1.31).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Lyngby
2.16
Aarhus Fremad
1.62
Aalborg
1.56
Esbjerg
1.41
B 93
1.38
Hvidovre
1.34
Hillerød
1.31
AC Horsens
1.31
HB Koge
1.31
Hobro
1.25
Kolding IF
1.16
Middelfart
1.00
Kolding IF is 0.09 goals worse than Hobro in terms of goals scored per game (1.16 vs 1.25).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
AC Horsens
0.84
Lyngby
1.12
Aarhus Fremad
1.16
Hvidovre
1.22
Kolding IF
1.25
Hobro
1.34
Hillerød
1.34
Esbjerg
1.34
Aalborg
1.47
HB Koge
1.50
B 93
1.81
Middelfart
2.41
Kolding IF is 0.09 goals better than Hobro in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 1.34).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Kolding IFKolding IF

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L10W01L00D01L13L10W10W00DH·FC 25/09A·HOB28/09H·ESB04/10A·HB 17/10H·MID24/10A·HIL01/11H·AC 07/11A·AAL22/11H·AAR30/11A·LYN27/02
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.430.570.500.750.38
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (26)0.690.500.670.580.710.43
vs Weaker (3)0.670.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Hobro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HobroHobro

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W22D00D12L01L02L00D00D00D11DH·KOL28/09A·AC 03/10A·ESB16/10H·HIL25/10H·FC 29/10A·LYN02/11H·AAR07/11H·HVI20/11A·B 928/11H·HB 27/02
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.730.710.570.500.88
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (25)0.520.720.640.550.430.86
vs Weaker (4)1.250.751.500.501.001.00
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolding IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kolding IF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Kolding IFKolding IF

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L21W11D11D10W10W00D20W01L02LH·FC 25/09A·HOB28/09H·ESB04/10A·HB 17/10H·MID24/10A·HIL01/11H·AC 07/11A·AAL22/11H·AAR30/11A·LYN27/02
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.800.640.710.880.88
vs Stronger (1)0.002.000.002.00--
vs Similar (26)0.770.810.670.670.860.93
vs Weaker (3)1.000.331.000.001.000.50
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Hobro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HobroHobro

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L11D11D00D13L01L20W01L10W00DH·KOL28/09A·AC 03/10A·ESB16/10H·HIL25/10H·FC 29/10A·LYN02/11H·AAR07/11H·HVI20/11A·B 928/11H·HB 27/02
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.800.430.930.810.69
vs Stronger (1)1.003.001.003.00--
vs Similar (25)0.640.760.450.910.790.64
vs Weaker (4)0.500.500.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolding IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kolding IF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.578.2%-------âś“ Hit
Over 1.570.1%-------âś“ Hit

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
AAL (24)
€10m
ESB (23)
€7m
HOB (23)
€7m
KI (21)
€6m
HVI (21)
€5m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
AF (21)
€3m
Kolding IF's squad is €1m less valuable than Hobro's (€6m vs €7m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (9)
€4m
LYN (5)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
ESB (8)
€2m
HVI (6)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
AF (6)
€1m
Kolding IF and Hobro have a similar attack value (both €2m).

đź§  Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LYN (8)
€5m
AH (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
KI (5)
€2m
ESB (6)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
AF (8)
€1m
HIL (5)
€1m
Kolding IF and Hobro have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (12)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
HOB (9)
€3m
ESB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
HVI (9)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
AF (7)
€1m
Kolding IF's defence is €1m less valuable than Hobro's (€2m vs €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
4
KI wins
2
Draws
1
HOB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kolding IF vs Hobro · H/A from KI
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/25AHobro Vs KI2-2
14/03/25HKI Vs Hobro1-0
20/09/24AHobro Vs KI1-0
17/05/24HKI Vs Hobro2-1
01/04/24AHobro Vs KI1-1
02/03/24HKI Vs Hobro3-1
01/10/23AHobro Vs KI2-3

Kolding IFKolding IF

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/02/26ALyngby Vs KI2-0
30/11/25HKI Vs Aarhus Fremad1-1
22/11/25AAalborg Vs KI0-3
07/11/25HKI Vs AC Horsens1-3
01/11/25AHillerød Vs KI1-1
24/10/25HKI Vs Middelfart1-0
17/10/25AHB Koge Vs KI2-1
04/10/25HKI Vs Esbjerg2-1
28/09/25AHobro Vs KI2-2
25/09/25HKI Vs FC Nordsjaelland0-2

HobroHobro

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/02/26HHOB Vs HB Koge1-1
28/11/25AB 93 Vs HOB0-1
20/11/25HHOB Vs Hvidovre0-1
07/11/25HHOB Vs Aarhus Fremad2-0
02/11/25ALyngby Vs HOB3-0
29/10/25HHOB Vs FC Copenhagen1-4
25/10/25HHOB Vs Hillerød1-2
16/10/25AEsbjerg Vs HOB1-1
03/10/25AAC Horsens Vs HOB3-3
28/09/25HHOB Vs Kolding IF2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kolding IF
Kolding IF
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWDL1.48
HomeLWWLD1.39
AwayDLDWL1.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%39%44%
AVG goals2.322.392.26
Over 1.5 %66%70%63%
Over 2.5 %40%48%33%
Over 3.5 %22%26%19%
Scored1.261.221.30
Conceded1.061.170.96
BTTS46%57%37%
Clean Sheet36%30%41%
Corners---
Cards---
Hobro
Hobro
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWD1.12
HomeLLWLD1.17
AwayWDDLW1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%29%27%
AVG goals2.742.622.85
Over 1.5 %78%67%88%
Over 2.5 %46%50%42%
Over 3.5 %30%38%23%
Scored1.141.121.15
Conceded1.601.501.69
BTTS52%54%50%
Clean Sheet22%29%15%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LyngbyLyngby3260
56%
1.9
6936+33
3.3
91%
69%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
3552.21.1
-
2AC HorsensAC Horsens3254
47%
1.7
4227+15
2.2
56%
41%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4241.30.8
-
3EsbjergEsbjerg3252
47%
1.6
4543+2
2.8
75%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.41.3
-
4HillerødHillerød3250
41%
1.6
4243-1
2.7
81%
59%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.31.3
-
5HvidovreHvidovre3246
34%
1.4
4339+4
2.6
81%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.31.2
-
6AalborgAalborg3246
38%
1.4
5047+3
3.0
78%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
2261.61.5
-
7Aarhus FremadAarhus Fremad3244
34%
1.4
5237+15
2.8
72%
53%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.61.2
-
8HobroHobro3242
34%
1.3
4043-3
2.6
72%
41%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.21.3
-
9HB KogeHB Koge3240
34%
1.2
4248-6
2.8
81%
53%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.31.5
-
10Kolding IFKolding IF3238
31%
1.2
3740-3
2.4
72%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.21.2
-
11B 93B 933237
31%
1.2
4458-14
3.2
81%
66%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
12MiddelfartMiddelfart3215
9%
0.5
3277-45
3.4
78%
72%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.4
-
Denmark: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →

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