The model favours an away win, with the probability of 45% compared to 24% for a home victory and 30% for a draw. The expected total is 2.3 goals, centring on a 2-goal match, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 14.1%. Kom, playing at home against a stronger side, averages 1.17 goals scored and 1.17 conceded, while Iskra, on the road versus a weaker opponent, scores 1.0 and concedes 1.56. Kom’s recent five matches have been all losses, last falling 1-2 to Mladost Lješkopolje, whereas Iskra’s last five include a win, a 1-0 victory over Berane. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.8%), Under 6.5 (99.1%), Home under 3.5 goals (98.5%), Under 5.5 (97.1%), Away under 3.5 goals (95.2%), Home under 2.5 goals (93.3%), Under 4.5 (91.9%) and Away +2 handicap (91.1%).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Kom win
26.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
30.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) win
42.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Kom
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.23
1.31
0.94
1.79
1.57
vs Stronger (21)
1.38
1.24
1.23
1.08
1.62
1.50
vs Similar (9)
1.89
1.22
1.67
0.33
2.00
1.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra (Montenegro)) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Iskra (Montenegro)
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.13
1.57
0.93
1.25
1.31
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
1.27
1.07
1.00
1.12
1.57
1.00
vs Weaker (15)
1.53
1.20
2.33
0.67
1.00
1.56
Clean sheet %
40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Kom) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
66.9%
Under 1.5
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
38.9%
Under 2.5
61.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
19.0%
Under 3.5
81.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
46.0%
No
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
0-1
12.2%
0-0
11.9%
1-0
8.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
4.9%
Kom goals ↓
Iskra (Montenegro) goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
12%
8.7%
3.7%
1.2%
1
8.9%
14%
8.4%
3.6%
1.1%
2
4.9%
6.3%
4.0%
1.7%
0.6%
3
1.6%
2.0%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.4%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kom goals (down), columns = Iskra (Montenegro) goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Jedinstvo
2.36
Grbalj
1.86
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.78
Kom
1.39
Berane
1.39
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.34
Lovćen
1.33
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.31
Mogren
1.25
Zeta
1.00
Kom is 0.39 points worse than Iskra (Montenegro) in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 1.78).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Jedinstvo
2.18
Grbalj
1.75
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.42
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.42
Kom
1.31
Berane
1.25
Mogren
1.16
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.08
Lovćen
0.94
Zeta
0.50
Kom is 0.11 goals worse than Iskra (Montenegro) in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 1.42).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Zeta
0.50
Jedinstvo
0.73
Iskra (Montenegro)
0.94
Berane
1.00
Grbalj
1.17
Kom
1.19
Lovćen
1.25
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.28
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.29
Mogren
1.39
Kom is 0.25 goals worse than Iskra (Montenegro) in terms of goals conceded per game (1.19 vs 0.94).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Kom or Draw
57.7%
Avg Implied -
27%
31%
42%
covers Kom + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kom or Iskra (Montenegro)
69.1%
Avg Implied -
27%
31%
42%
covers Kom + Iskra (Montenegro)
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Iskra (Montenegro)
73.2%
Avg Implied -
27%
31%
42%
covers Draw + Iskra (Montenegro)
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Kom over/under 0.5
Over
61.9%
Under
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kom over/under 1.5
Over
25.2%
Under
74.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kom over/under 2.5
Over
7.4%
Under
92.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kom over/under 3.5
Over
1.7%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 0.5
Over
72.2%
Under
27.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 1.5
Over
36.6%
Under
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 2.5
Over
13.8%
Under
86.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 3.5
Over
4.1%
Under
95.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Kom, so a minus line means Kom give that many goals of a start and Iskra (Montenegro) receive them. At -1, Kom must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Kom win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Kom)
Kom -2
2.7%
Draw -2
7.3%
Iskra (Montenegro) +2
89.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Kom)
Kom -1
10.1%
Draw -1
16.7%
Iskra (Montenegro) +1
73.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Kom)
Kom +1
57.7%
Draw +1
22.5%
Iskra (Montenegro) -1
19.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Kom)
Kom +2
80.2%
Draw +2
12.8%
Iskra (Montenegro) -2
7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Kom
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.63
0.50
0.56
0.71
0.71
vs Stronger (21)
0.57
0.71
0.54
0.69
0.62
0.75
vs Similar (9)
0.67
0.44
0.33
0.00
0.83
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra (Montenegro)) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Iskra (Montenegro)
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.50
0.57
0.36
0.75
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.53
0.47
0.25
0.38
0.86
0.57
vs Weaker (15)
0.80
0.53
1.00
0.33
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Kom) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kom over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kom over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kom over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Kom
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.60
0.81
0.38
1.07
0.86
vs Stronger (21)
0.81
0.52
0.69
0.38
1.00
0.75
vs Similar (9)
1.22
0.78
1.33
0.33
1.17
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra (Montenegro)) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Iskra (Montenegro)
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.63
1.00
0.57
0.50
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.73
0.60
0.75
0.75
0.71
0.43
vs Weaker (15)
0.73
0.67
1.33
0.33
0.33
0.89
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Kom) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kom over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kom over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kom over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
95.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
92.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Montenegro: Second League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: Second League stats & trends →
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Mladost Lješkopolje
Zeta
Mogren
Lovćen
Grbalj
Jedinstvo
Rudar (Montenegro)
Berane