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Kongsvinger vs Aalesund Result & Analysis

Date: 21/09/2024
Time: 13:00
Final 1-5
Kongsvinger
Kongsvinger
Vs
45%
28%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Aalesund
Aalesund
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kongsvinger win✗ Miss
44.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Aalesund win✓ Hit
27.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KongsvingerKongsvinger

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-505L02L01L33D22D11D11D10W12L00DH·ASA16/06A·SOG22/06A·MOS20/07H·LEV27/07A·RAN03/08H·LYN11/08A·BRY19/08H·SAN27/08A·ASA02/09H·MOS16/09
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.931.631.931.641.941.62
vs Stronger (1)2.003.00--2.003.00
vs Similar (21)1.761.812.101.701.451.91
vs Weaker (8)2.381.001.501.503.250.50
Clean sheet %27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Aalesund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AalesundAalesund

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L12L23L20W10W20W02L12L00D20WA·LEV16/06H·RAN23/06H·EGE27/07A·RAU03/08H·MOS10/08A·SAN14/08A·ASA20/08H·BRY26/08A·LYN01/09H·SAN16/09
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.971.332.200.871.73
vs Stronger (2)0.002.500.004.000.001.00
vs Similar (21)0.952.241.182.180.702.30
vs Weaker (7)1.861.002.331.671.500.50
Clean sheet %20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Kongsvinger) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%016%126%222%314%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.3%
Under 1.5
24.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.2%
Under 2.5
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.3%
Under 3.5
72.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.0%
No
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.4%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
0-1
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
Kongsvinger goals ↓
Aalesund goals →
01234
08.4%6.9%4.6%1.7%0.5%
19.5%13%6.9%2.6%0.7%
28.1%9.2%5.2%2.0%0.6%
34.1%4.6%2.6%1.0%0.3%
41.5%1.7%1.0%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kongsvinger goals (down), columns = Aalesund goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Valerenga
2.30
Bryne
1.93
Moss
1.81
Lyn
1.52
Egersund
1.52
Kongsvinger
1.45
Stabaek
1.40
Raufoss
1.37
Aalesund
1.33
Ranheim
1.30
Asane
1.23
Start
1.17
Sogndal
1.13
Mjondalen
1.07
Levanger
0.97
Sandnes ULF
0.57
Kongsvinger is 0.12 points better than Aalesund in terms of average points per game (1.45 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Valerenga
2.73
Stabaek
1.90
Egersund
1.87
Lyn
1.84
Moss
1.84
Bryne
1.67
Ranheim
1.60
Kongsvinger
1.58
Levanger
1.57
Asane
1.53
Start
1.50
Aalesund
1.50
Mjondalen
1.27
Sogndal
1.13
Raufoss
1.13
Sandnes ULF
0.87
Kongsvinger is 0.08 goals better than Aalesund in terms of goals scored per game (1.58 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Bryne
0.97
Valerenga
1.03
Raufoss
1.17
Lyn
1.32
Sogndal
1.33
Moss
1.39
Ranheim
1.53
Aalesund
1.63
Kongsvinger
1.67
Mjondalen
1.67
Levanger
1.70
Asane
1.73
Egersund
1.87
Start
1.90
Stabaek
1.97
Sandnes ULF
2.67
Kongsvinger is 0.03 goals worse than Aalesund in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.63).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KongsvingerKongsvinger

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L01L00D11D11D01L11D10W10W00DH·ASA16/06A·SOG22/06A·MOS20/07H·LEV27/07A·RAN03/08H·LYN11/08A·BRY19/08H·SAN27/08A·ASA02/09H·MOS16/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.700.710.641.060.75
vs Stronger (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
vs Similar (21)0.760.860.700.700.821.00
vs Weaker (8)1.120.250.750.501.500.00
Clean sheet %47% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Aalesund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AalesundAalesund

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L11D11D20W10W00D01L00D00D00DA·LEV16/06H·RAN23/06H·EGE27/07A·RAU03/08H·MOS10/08A·SAN14/08A·ASA20/08H·BRY26/08A·LYN01/09H·SAN16/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.900.730.870.470.93
vs Stronger (2)0.001.500.002.000.001.00
vs Similar (21)0.571.000.730.820.401.20
vs Weaker (7)0.860.431.000.670.750.25
Clean sheet %43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Kongsvinger) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kongsvinger over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalesund over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalesund over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalesund over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KongsvingerKongsvinger

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L01L01L22D11D10W00D00D02L00DH·ASA16/06A·SOG22/06A·MOS20/07H·LEV27/07A·RAN03/08H·LYN11/08A·BRY19/08H·SAN27/08A·ASA02/09H·MOS16/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.931.211.000.880.88
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (21)1.000.951.401.000.640.91
vs Weaker (8)1.250.750.751.001.750.50
Clean sheet %47% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Aalesund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AalesundAalesund

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L12L00D00D20W01L12L00D20WA·LEV16/06H·RAN23/06H·EGE27/07A·RAU03/08H·MOS10/08A·SAN14/08A·ASA20/08H·BRY26/08A·LYN01/09H·SAN16/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.070.601.330.400.80
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.002.000.000.00
vs Similar (21)0.381.240.451.360.301.10
vs Weaker (7)1.000.571.331.000.750.25
Clean sheet %33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Kongsvinger) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kongsvinger over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalesund over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalesund over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalesund over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.572.7%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Aalesund · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marcus Haagensen Reed38%
Kristian Lonebu31%
Mathias Christensen29%
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch29%
Henrik Melland21%
Jakob Nyland Örsahl11%
Ivan Djantou9%
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen6%
Uba Charles6%
Kristoffer Klaesson0%
Kristoffer Nessø0%
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson0%
Philip Sandvik Aukland0%
Ólafur Guðmundsson0%
Emil Engqvist0%
Hakon Butli Hammer0%
Aleksander Kjelsen0%
Luca Podlech0%
Elias Heggland Myrlid0%
Marius Andresen0%
Ulrik Syversen0%
Simen Haram0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson36%
Mathias Christensen29%
Marius Andresen27%
Marcus Haagensen Reed25%
Aleksander Kjelsen23%
Kristoffer Klaesson18%
Emil Engqvist18%
Philip Sandvik Aukland17%
Henrik Melland14%
Ólafur Guðmundsson13%
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen12%
Jakob Nyland Örsahl11%
Ulrik Syversen11%
Elias Heggland Myrlid8%
Simen Haram8%
Hakon Butli Hammer6%
Uba Charles6%
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch6%
Kristoffer Nessø0%
Luca Podlech0%
Ivan Djantou0%
Kristian Lonebu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch24%
Jakob Nyland Örsahl22%
Uba Charles18%
Hakon Butli Hammer12%
Marcus Haagensen Reed12%
Mathias Christensen12%
Ulrik Syversen11%
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson9%
Marius Andresen9%
Ivan Djantou9%
Henrik Melland7%
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen6%
Kristian Lonebu6%
Kristoffer Klaesson0%
Kristoffer Nessø0%
Philip Sandvik Aukland0%
Ólafur Guðmundsson0%
Emil Engqvist0%
Aleksander Kjelsen0%
Luca Podlech0%
Elias Heggland Myrlid0%
Simen Haram0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marcus Haagensen Reed38%
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson27%
Henrik Melland14%
Mathias Christensen12%
Marius Andresen9%
Kristian Lonebu6%
Uba Charles6%
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch6%
Kristoffer Klaesson0%
Kristoffer Nessø0%
Jakob Nyland Örsahl0%
Philip Sandvik Aukland0%
Ólafur Guðmundsson0%
Emil Engqvist0%
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen0%
Hakon Butli Hammer0%
Aleksander Kjelsen0%
Luca Podlech0%
Elias Heggland Myrlid0%
Ulrik Syversen0%
Simen Haram0%
Ivan Djantou0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAL (22)
€16m
AAL (25)
€13m
STA (24)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
Kongsvinger's squad is €7m less valuable than Aalesund's (€6m vs €13m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAL (7)
€6m
STA (9)
€5m
AAL (7)
€5m
KON (10)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Kongsvinger's attack is €2m less valuable than Aalesund's (€3m vs €5m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAL (6)
€5m
AAL (8)
€4m
STA (8)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
Kongsvinger's midfield is €3m less valuable than Aalesund's (€1m vs €4m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAL (9)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
Kongsvinger's defence is €2m less valuable than Aalesund's (€2m vs €4m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
KON wins
1
Draws
0
AAL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kongsvinger vs Aalesund · H/A from KON
DateH/AGameScore
09/06/24AAalesund Vs KON4-4

KongsvingerKongsvinger

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/09/24HKON Vs Moss0-0
02/09/24AAsane Vs KON2-1
27/08/24HKON Vs Sandnes ULF1-0
19/08/24ABryne Vs KON1-1
11/08/24HKON Vs Lyn1-1
03/08/24ARanheim Vs KON2-2
27/07/24HKON Vs Levanger3-3
20/07/24AMoss Vs KON1-0
22/06/24ASogndal Vs KON2-0
16/06/24HKON Vs Asane0-5

AalesundAalesund

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/09/24HAAL Vs Sandnes ULF2-0
01/09/24ALyn Vs AAL0-0
26/08/24HAAL Vs Bryne1-2
20/08/24AAsane Vs AAL2-0
14/08/24ASandnes ULF Vs AAL0-2
10/08/24HAAL Vs Moss1-0
03/08/24ARaufoss Vs AAL0-2
27/07/24HAAL Vs Egersund2-3
23/06/24HAAL Vs Ranheim1-2
16/06/24ALevanger Vs AAL4-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kongsvinger
Kongsvinger
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWLD1.64
HomeLDDWD1.72
AwayLLDDL1.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%48%44%
AVG goals3.383.363.40
Over 1.5 %90%88%92%
Over 2.5 %66%72%60%
Over 3.5 %38%44%32%
Scored1.901.921.88
Conceded1.481.441.52
BTTS66%68%64%
Clean Sheet24%28%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Aalesund
Aalesund
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDW0.86
HomeLLWLW1.04
AwayLWWLD0.68
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%28%20%
AVG goals3.083.083.08
Over 1.5 %82%84%80%
Over 2.5 %56%56%56%
Over 3.5 %40%36%44%
Scored1.021.200.84
Conceded2.061.882.24
BTTS50%52%48%
Clean Sheet18%20%16%
Corners12.6211.8513.38
Cards3.083.153.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ValerengaValerenga3069
70%
2.3
8231+51
3.8
97%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
6552.71.0
-
2BryneBryne3058
60%
1.9
5029+21
2.6
63%
43%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.71.0
-
3MossMoss3156
55%
1.8
5743+14
3.2
74%
61%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.81.4
-
4KongsvingerKongsvinger3348
36%
1.5
5255-3
3.2
85%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.61.7
-
5LynLyn3147
39%
1.5
5741+16
3.2
84%
58%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.81.3
-
6EgersundEgersund3147
45%
1.5
5858+0
3.7
94%
77%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.91.9
-
7StabaekStabaek3042
40%
1.4
5759-2
3.9
90%
80%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5231.92.0
-
8RaufossRaufoss3041
37%
1.4
3435-1
2.3
70%
40%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.11.2
-
9AalesundAalesund3040
40%
1.3
4549-4
3.1
80%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
5441.51.6
-
10RanheimRanheim3039
33%
1.3
4846+2
3.1
83%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.5
-
11AsaneAsane3037
33%
1.2
4652-6
3.3
80%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.51.7
-
12StartStart3035
30%
1.2
4557-12
3.4
90%
70%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.51.9
-
13SogndalSogndal3034
30%
1.1
3440-6
2.5
73%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.11.3
-
14MjondalenMjondalen3032
27%
1.1
3850-12
2.9
73%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
15LevangerLevanger3029
20%
1.0
4751-4
3.3
83%
63%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
16Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF3017
13%
0.6
2680-54
3.5
83%
57%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.92.7
-
Norway: 1. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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