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Kongsvinger vs Lyn Result & Analysis

Date: 11/08/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 1-1
Kongsvinger
Kongsvinger
Vs
39%
22%
39%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Lyn
Lyn
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kongsvinger win✗ Miss
38.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
22.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lyn win✗ Miss
39.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KongsvingerKongsvinger

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W32W20W31W44D05L02L01L33D22DA·VAL16/05H·MJO22/05A·SAN27/05H·BRY01/06A·AAL09/06H·ASA16/06A·SOG22/06A·MOS20/07H·LEV27/07A·RAN03/08
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.772.001.932.001.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)1.822.002.091.911.552.09
vs Weaker (8)2.501.121.672.003.000.60
Clean sheet %20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LynLyn

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-722D50W01L11D41W12L35L31W21W71WA·STA16/05H·SAN23/05A·RAU27/05H·MJO31/05A·STA09/06H·SOG16/06A·BRY23/06H·ASA20/07A·MJO27/07H·STA04/08
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.161.372.561.001.801.70
vs Stronger (1)1.003.00--1.003.00
vs Similar (16)2.381.382.561.002.141.86
vs Weaker (2)1.000.50--1.000.50
Clean sheet %16% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Kongsvinger) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%16%21%3%06%116%220%320%415%521%6+
The model estimates around 4.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
91.3%
Under 1.5
8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
75.6%
Under 2.5
24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
55.8%
Under 3.5
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
75.0%
No
25.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
7.4%
2-2
7.3%
1-3
4.9%
3-1
4.9%
2-3
4.8%
3-2
4.8%
Kongsvinger goals ↓
Lyn goals →
01234
02.7%3.0%3.8%2.5%1.2%
13.0%8.2%7.4%4.9%2.4%
23.7%7.4%7.3%4.8%2.4%
32.5%4.9%4.8%3.2%1.6%
41.2%2.4%2.4%1.6%0.8%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kongsvinger goals (down), columns = Lyn goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Valerenga
2.30
Bryne
1.93
Moss
1.81
Lyn
1.52
Egersund
1.52
Kongsvinger
1.45
Stabaek
1.40
Raufoss
1.37
Aalesund
1.33
Ranheim
1.30
Asane
1.23
Start
1.17
Sogndal
1.13
Mjondalen
1.07
Levanger
0.97
Sandnes ULF
0.57
Kongsvinger is 0.06 points worse than Lyn in terms of average points per game (1.45 vs 1.52).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Valerenga
2.73
Stabaek
1.90
Egersund
1.87
Lyn
1.84
Moss
1.84
Bryne
1.67
Ranheim
1.60
Kongsvinger
1.58
Levanger
1.57
Asane
1.53
Start
1.50
Aalesund
1.50
Mjondalen
1.27
Sogndal
1.13
Raufoss
1.13
Sandnes ULF
0.87
Kongsvinger is 0.26 goals worse than Lyn in terms of goals scored per game (1.58 vs 1.84).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Bryne
0.97
Valerenga
1.03
Raufoss
1.17
Lyn
1.32
Sogndal
1.33
Moss
1.39
Ranheim
1.53
Aalesund
1.63
Kongsvinger
1.67
Mjondalen
1.67
Levanger
1.70
Asane
1.73
Egersund
1.87
Start
1.90
Stabaek
1.97
Sandnes ULF
2.67
Kongsvinger is 0.34 goals worse than Lyn in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.32).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KongsvingerKongsvinger

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W20W10W13L01L01L00D11D11DA·VAL16/05H·MJO22/05A·SAN27/05H·BRY01/06A·AAL09/06H·ASA16/06A·SOG22/06A·MOS20/07H·LEV27/07A·RAN03/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.830.710.791.060.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.820.910.730.820.911.00
vs Weaker (8)1.120.620.670.671.400.60
Clean sheet %37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LynLyn

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W20W00D10W21W12L10W21W10W40WA·STA16/05H·SAN23/05A·RAU27/05H·MJO31/05A·STA09/06H·SOG16/06A·BRY23/06H·ASA20/07A·MJO27/07H·STA04/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.260.371.670.560.900.20
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (16)1.380.441.670.561.000.29
vs Weaker (2)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %68% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Kongsvinger) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kongsvinger over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KongsvingerKongsvinger

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W22D00D21W31W04L01L01L22D11DA·VAL16/05H·MJO22/05A·SAN27/05H·BRY01/06A·AAL09/06H·ASA16/06A·SOG22/06A·MOS20/07H·LEV27/07A·RAN03/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.931.291.140.940.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)1.001.091.361.090.641.09
vs Weaker (8)1.380.501.001.331.600.00
Clean sheet %47% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LynLyn

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L30W01L01L20W00D25L10W11D31WA·STA16/05H·SAN23/05A·RAU27/05H·MJO31/05A·STA09/06H·SOG16/06A·BRY23/06H·ASA20/07A·MJO27/07H·STA04/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.891.000.890.440.901.50
vs Stronger (1)1.003.00--1.003.00
vs Similar (16)1.000.940.890.441.141.57
vs Weaker (2)0.000.50--0.000.50
Clean sheet %42% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Kongsvinger) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kongsvinger over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.591.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.575.6%-------✗ Miss
BTTS Yes75.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAL (22)
€16m
AAL (25)
€13m
STA (24)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
Kongsvinger's squad is €2m more valuable than Lyn's (€6m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAL (7)
€6m
STA (9)
€5m
AAL (7)
€5m
KON (10)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Kongsvinger's attack is €2m more valuable than Lyn's (€3m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAL (6)
€5m
AAL (8)
€4m
STA (8)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
Kongsvinger and Lyn have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAL (9)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
Kongsvinger and Lyn have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
KON wins
1
Draws
0
LYN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kongsvinger vs Lyn · H/A from KON
DateH/AGameScore
07/04/24ALyn Vs KON1-1

KongsvingerKongsvinger

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/08/24ARanheim Vs KON2-2
27/07/24HKON Vs Levanger3-3
20/07/24AMoss Vs KON1-0
22/06/24ASogndal Vs KON2-0
16/06/24HKON Vs Asane0-5
09/06/24AAalesund Vs KON4-4
01/06/24HKON Vs Bryne3-1
27/05/24ASandnes ULF Vs KON0-2
22/05/24HKON Vs Mjondalen3-2
16/05/24AValerenga Vs KON0-2

LynLyn

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/08/24HLYN Vs Stabaek7-1
27/07/24AMjondalen Vs LYN1-2
20/07/24HLYN Vs Asane3-1
23/06/24ABryne Vs LYN5-3
16/06/24HLYN Vs Sogndal1-2
09/06/24AStart Vs LYN1-4
31/05/24HLYN Vs Mjondalen1-1
27/05/24ARaufoss Vs LYN1-0
23/05/24HLYN Vs Sandnes ULF5-0
16/05/24AStabaek Vs LYN2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kongsvinger
Kongsvinger
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDD1.64
HomeDWWLD1.71
AwayWDLLD1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%50%46%
AVG goals3.483.583.38
Over 1.5 %94%96%92%
Over 2.5 %70%79%62%
Over 3.5 %38%46%31%
Scored1.922.001.85
Conceded1.561.581.54
BTTS64%67%62%
Clean Sheet22%25%19%
Corners---
Cards---
Lyn
Lyn
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWW1.58
HomeWDLWW1.78
AwayDLWLW1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%44%40%
AVG goals3.533.563.50
Over 1.5 %95%100%90%
Over 2.5 %63%56%70%
Over 3.5 %42%44%40%
Scored2.162.561.80
Conceded1.371.001.70
BTTS74%89%60%
Clean Sheet16%11%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ValerengaValerenga3069
70%
2.3
8231+51
3.8
97%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
6552.71.0
-
2BryneBryne3058
60%
1.9
5029+21
2.6
63%
43%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.71.0
-
3MossMoss3156
55%
1.8
5743+14
3.2
74%
61%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.81.4
-
4KongsvingerKongsvinger3348
36%
1.5
5255-3
3.2
85%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.61.7
-
5LynLyn3147
39%
1.5
5741+16
3.2
84%
58%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.81.3
-
6EgersundEgersund3147
45%
1.5
5858+0
3.7
94%
77%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.91.9
-
7StabaekStabaek3042
40%
1.4
5759-2
3.9
90%
80%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5231.92.0
-
8RaufossRaufoss3041
37%
1.4
3435-1
2.3
70%
40%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.11.2
-
9AalesundAalesund3040
40%
1.3
4549-4
3.1
80%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
5441.51.6
-
10RanheimRanheim3039
33%
1.3
4846+2
3.1
83%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.5
-
11AsaneAsane3037
33%
1.2
4652-6
3.3
80%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.51.7
-
12StartStart3035
30%
1.2
4557-12
3.4
90%
70%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.51.9
-
13SogndalSogndal3034
30%
1.1
3440-6
2.5
73%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.11.3
-
14MjondalenMjondalen3032
27%
1.1
3850-12
2.9
73%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
15LevangerLevanger3029
20%
1.0
4751-4
3.3
83%
63%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
16Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF3017
13%
0.6
2680-54
3.5
83%
57%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.92.7
-
Norway: 1. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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