PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Kongsvinger vs Moss Result & Analysis

Date: 21/04/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 6-0
Kongsvinger
Kongsvinger
Vs
39%
25%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Moss
Moss
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kongsvinger win✓ Hit
39.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Moss win✗ Miss
35.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KongsvingerKongsvinger

Last 10 – goals for & against
120-1213L11D01L41W11D21W23L11D20W120WH·STA21/10A·RAU26/10H·SOG02/11A·STA09/11A·LYN17/11A·EGE23/11A·MOS01/12H·ASA31/03A·HOD05/04A·RID13/04
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.871.501.311.922.291.18
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.671.671.562.001.751.42
vs Weaker (9)2.331.110.751.753.600.60
Clean sheet %23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Moss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MossMoss

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-551W11D32W21W32W00D02L23L20W31WH·LEV21/10A·STA26/10H·RAU02/11A·LYN09/11H·KON01/12H·HAU05/12A·HAU08/12A·RAU01/04H·RAN05/04A·KVI13/04← Eliteserien1. Division →
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.232.130.871.531.60
vs Stronger (2)0.503.500.002.001.005.00
vs Similar (27)1.891.072.290.791.461.38
vs Weaker (1)3.001.00--3.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Kongsvinger) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.0%
Under 1.5
16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
62.1%
Under 2.5
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
39.8%
Under 3.5
60.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
64.8%
No
35.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-2
6.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-0
5.5%
0-1
5.3%
0-0
5.1%
Kongsvinger goals ↓
Moss goals →
01234
05.1%5.3%4.9%2.5%1.0%
15.7%11%8.1%4.2%1.6%
25.5%8.6%6.7%3.5%1.3%
33.0%4.7%3.7%1.9%0.7%
41.2%1.9%1.5%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kongsvinger goals (down), columns = Moss goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lillestrom
2.67
Brattvåg
2.25
Start
1.83
Kongsvinger
1.77
Egersund
1.75
Aalesund
1.69
Lyn
1.57
Ranheim
1.55
Sogndal
1.43
hodd
1.10
ODD Ballklubb
1.10
Asane
1.03
Stabaek
1.03
Raufoss
1.00
Moss
0.97
Mjondalen
0.83
Skeid
0.50
Grorud
0.00
Kongsvinger is 0.81 points better than Moss in terms of average points per game (1.77 vs 0.97).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Lillestrom
2.90
Kongsvinger
2.10
Start
1.93
Aalesund
1.91
Brattvåg
1.75
Egersund
1.72
Sogndal
1.63
Ranheim
1.61
Lyn
1.60
Stabaek
1.50
Raufoss
1.43
Moss
1.38
Asane
1.27
ODD Ballklubb
1.23
Mjondalen
1.20
Skeid
1.17
hodd
1.13
Grorud
0.50
Kongsvinger is 0.72 goals better than Moss in terms of goals scored per game (2.10 vs 1.38).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lillestrom
0.60
Brattvåg
1.00
Start
1.17
Lyn
1.23
Aalesund
1.25
Egersund
1.28
Kongsvinger
1.48
Sogndal
1.60
Ranheim
1.65
ODD Ballklubb
1.67
hodd
1.73
Asane
1.77
Stabaek
1.77
Raufoss
1.87
Grorud
2.00
Moss
2.12
Skeid
2.20
Mjondalen
2.37
Kongsvinger is 0.64 goals better than Moss in terms of goals conceded per game (1.48 vs 2.12).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KongsvingerKongsvinger

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L00D00D20W01L21W01L10W10W50WH·STA21/10A·RAU26/10H·SOG02/11A·STA09/11A·LYN17/11A·EGE23/11A·MOS01/12H·ASA31/03A·HOD05/04A·RID13/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.630.460.771.000.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.570.810.440.890.670.75
vs Weaker (9)1.220.220.500.501.800.00
Clean sheet %53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Moss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MossMoss

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W01L31W00D10W00D02L02L10W21WH·LEV21/10A·STA26/10H·RAU02/11A·LYN09/11H·KON01/12H·HAU05/12A·HAU08/12A·RAU01/04H·RAN05/04A·KVI13/04← Eliteserien1. Division →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.600.800.330.530.87
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (27)0.670.560.860.290.460.85
vs Weaker (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Kongsvinger) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kongsvinger over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moss over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moss over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moss over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KongsvingerKongsvinger

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
70-712L11D01L21W10W00D22D01L10W70WH·STA21/10A·RAU26/10H·SOG02/11A·STA09/11A·LYN17/11A·EGE23/11A·MOS01/12H·ASA31/03A·HOD05/04A·RID13/04
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.870.851.151.290.65
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.100.861.111.111.080.67
vs Weaker (9)1.110.890.251.251.800.60
Clean sheet %40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Moss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MossMoss

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W10W01L21W22D00D00D21W10W10WH·LEV21/10A·STA26/10H·RAU02/11A·LYN09/11H·KON01/12H·HAU05/12A·HAU08/12A·RAU01/04H·RAN05/04A·KVI13/04← Eliteserien1. Division →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.631.330.531.000.73
vs Stronger (2)0.502.500.001.001.004.00
vs Similar (27)1.220.521.430.501.000.54
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Kongsvinger) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kongsvinger over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moss over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moss over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moss over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (25)
€14m
AAL (25)
€13m
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
Kongsvinger's squad is €1m more valuable than Moss's (€6m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (9)
€6m
STA (9)
€5m
AAL (7)
€5m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Kongsvinger's attack is €1m more valuable than Moss's (€3m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
STA (8)
€3m
OB (7)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
Kongsvinger and Moss have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
Kongsvinger and Moss have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
1
KON wins
1
Draws
3
MOS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kongsvinger vs Moss · H/A from KON
DateH/AGameScore
01/12/24AMoss Vs KON3-2
16/09/24HKON Vs Moss0-0
20/07/24AMoss Vs KON1-0
12/11/23HKON Vs Moss1-2
25/06/23AMoss Vs KON0-1

KongsvingerKongsvinger

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/04/25ARidabu Vs KON0-12
05/04/25Ahodd Vs KON0-2
31/03/25HKON Vs Asane1-1
01/12/24AMoss Vs KON3-2
23/11/24AEgersund Vs KON1-2
17/11/24ALyn Vs KON1-1
09/11/24AStart Vs KON1-4
02/11/24HKON Vs Sogndal0-1
26/10/24ARaufoss Vs KON1-1
21/10/24HKON Vs Stabaek1-3

MossMoss

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/04/25AKvik Halden Vs MOS1-3
05/04/25HMOS Vs Ranheim2-0
01/04/25ARaufoss Vs MOS3-2
08/12/24AHaugesund Vs MOS2-0
05/12/24HMOS Vs Haugesund0-0
01/12/24HMOS Vs Kongsvinger3-2
09/11/24ALyn Vs MOS1-2
02/11/24HMOS Vs Raufoss3-2
26/10/24AStart Vs MOS1-1
21/10/24HMOS Vs Levanger5-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kongsvinger
Kongsvinger
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDWW1.44
HomeLDLLD1.17
AwayDWLWW1.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%26%48%
AVG goals3.523.393.63
Over 1.5 %90%87%93%
Over 2.5 %62%65%59%
Over 3.5 %40%48%33%
Scored1.941.572.26
Conceded1.581.831.37
BTTS68%74%63%
Clean Sheet22%17%26%
Corners---
Cards---
Moss
Moss
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWW1.62
HomeWWWDW2.17
AwayDWLLW1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%67%31%
AVG goals3.063.043.08
Over 1.5 %78%75%81%
Over 2.5 %64%62%65%
Over 3.5 %32%29%35%
Scored1.722.081.38
Conceded1.340.961.69
BTTS54%46%62%
Clean Sheet28%42%15%
Corners7.005.009.00
Cards4.504.005.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LillestromLillestrom3080
83%
2.7
8718+69
3.5
87%
73%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
6452.90.6
-
2EgersundEgersund3256
50%
1.8
5541+14
3.0
81%
47%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.71.3
-
3StartStart3055
53%
1.8
5835+23
3.1
90%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.91.2
-
4KongsvingerKongsvinger3155
48%
1.8
6546+19
3.6
94%
74%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.11.5
-
5AalesundAalesund3254
44%
1.7
6140+21
3.2
81%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
5441.91.2
-
6RanheimRanheim3148
45%
1.5
5051-1
3.3
87%
71%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.6
-
7LynLyn3047
47%
1.6
4837+11
2.8
77%
60%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.61.2
-
8SogndalSogndal3043
40%
1.4
4948+1
3.2
87%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.6
-
9ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb3033
27%
1.1
3750-13
2.9
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.21.7
-
10hoddhodd3033
27%
1.1
3452-18
2.9
80%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.7
-
11StabaekStabaek3031
23%
1.0
4553-8
3.3
90%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5231.51.8
-
12AsaneAsane3031
23%
1.0
3853-15
3.0
90%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.31.8
-
13MossMoss3231
25%
1.0
4468-24
3.5
97%
72%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.42.1
-
14RaufossRaufoss3030
23%
1.0
4356-13
3.3
83%
67%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.41.9
-
15MjondalenMjondalen3025
20%
0.8
3671-35
3.6
87%
67%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.4
-
16SkeidSkeid3015
7%
0.5
3566-31
3.4
93%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.2
-
17BrattvågBrattvåg49
75%
2.2
74+3
2.8
100%
75%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
18GrorudGrorud20
0%
0.0
14-3
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.0
-
Norway: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

← all matches