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Kongsvinger vs Raufoss Result & Analysis

Date: 15/05/2022
Time: 16:00
Final 4-1
Kongsvinger
Kongsvinger
Vs
38%
30%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Raufoss
Raufoss
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kongsvinger win✓ Hit
37.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Raufoss win✗ Miss
32.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KongsvingerKongsvinger

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L10W14L11D12LA·MJO04/04H·SKE11/04A·SAN19/04H·ASA25/04A·SOG09/05
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.601.000.500.672.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)0.501.50--0.501.50
vs Weaker (3)1.001.671.000.501.004.00
Clean sheet %20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Raufoss) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RaufossRaufoss

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L11D11D11D20WA·SOG04/04H·RAN11/04A·KFU19/04H·GRO24/04H·BRY09/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.001.330.670.501.50
vs Stronger (2)1.500.502.000.001.001.00
vs Similar (3)0.671.331.001.000.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Kongsvinger) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.5%
Under 1.5
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.1%
Under 2.5
56.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.2%
Under 3.5
77.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.1%
No
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
0-0
10.3%
1-0
10.1%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
5.9%
Kongsvinger goals ↓
Raufoss goals →
01234
010%9.0%5.9%2.3%0.6%
110%14%7.4%2.8%0.8%
27.2%8.2%4.7%1.8%0.5%
33.0%3.4%2.0%0.8%0.2%
40.9%1.1%0.6%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kongsvinger goals (down), columns = Raufoss goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Brann
2.70
Stabaek
1.93
Start
1.74
KFUM Oslo
1.68
Kongsvinger
1.67
Sandnes ULF
1.52
Sogndal
1.43
Ranheim
1.43
Mjondalen
1.40
Fredrikstad
1.17
Raufoss
1.17
Bryne
1.17
Asane
1.07
Skeid
1.06
Grorud
0.67
Stjørdals-Blink
0.57
Arendal
0.00
Kongsvinger is 0.50 points better than Raufoss in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.17).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Brann
3.17
Stabaek
2.07
Start
2.03
KFUM Oslo
2.00
Sogndal
1.83
Sandnes ULF
1.74
Ranheim
1.63
Fredrikstad
1.53
Skeid
1.47
Kongsvinger
1.42
Asane
1.40
Bryne
1.40
Mjondalen
1.30
Raufoss
1.17
Grorud
1.13
Stjørdals-Blink
1.00
Arendal
0.50
Kongsvinger is 0.26 goals better than Raufoss in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 1.17).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Brann
0.53
Stabaek
0.93
Kongsvinger
1.15
Start
1.26
Mjondalen
1.57
KFUM Oslo
1.61
Fredrikstad
1.70
Sandnes ULF
1.71
Skeid
1.72
Ranheim
1.73
Bryne
1.73
Sogndal
1.77
Raufoss
1.80
Asane
2.23
Grorud
2.30
Stjørdals-Blink
2.37
Arendal
4.00
Kongsvinger is 0.65 goals better than Raufoss in terms of goals conceded per game (1.15 vs 1.80).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KongsvingerKongsvinger

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W02L01L12LA·MJO04/04H·SKE11/04A·SAN19/04H·ASA25/04A·SOG09/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.401.200.500.500.331.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)0.501.50--0.501.50
vs Weaker (3)0.331.000.500.500.002.00
Clean sheet %20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Raufoss) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RaufossRaufoss

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L01L10W00D10WA·SOG04/04H·RAN11/04A·KFU19/04H·GRO24/04H·BRY09/05
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.400.330.330.500.50
vs Stronger (2)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
vs Similar (3)0.000.670.000.500.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Kongsvinger) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kongsvinger over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KongsvingerKongsvinger

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D12L10W00DA·MJO04/04H·SKE11/04A·SAN19/04H·ASA25/04A·SOG09/05
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.400.500.000.330.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Weaker (3)0.670.670.500.001.002.00
Clean sheet %80% (+58pp vs league)
This opponent (Raufoss) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RaufossRaufoss

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L10W01L11D10WA·SOG04/04H·RAN11/04A·KFU19/04H·GRO24/04H·BRY09/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.601.000.330.001.00
vs Stronger (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (3)0.670.671.000.500.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Kongsvinger) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kongsvinger over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.577.8%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.570.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRA (25)
€27m
FRE (25)
€15m
STA (24)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
SOG (19)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
Kongsvinger's squad is €3m more valuable than Raufoss's (€6m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRA (10)
€11m
STA (9)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
KON (10)
€3m
KO (8)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Kongsvinger's attack is €2m more valuable than Raufoss's (€3m vs €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRA (4)
€7m
STA (8)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
KO (5)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
Kongsvinger and Raufoss have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRA (11)
€9m
FRE (16)
€8m
KO (11)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
Kongsvinger and Raufoss have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
KON wins
0
Draws
0
RAU wins

Head-to-head

Kongsvinger vs Raufoss · H/A from KON
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

KongsvingerKongsvinger

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/22ASogndal Vs KON2-1
25/04/22HKON Vs Asane1-1
19/04/22ASandnes ULF Vs KON4-1
11/04/22HKON Vs Skeid1-0
04/04/22AMjondalen Vs KON1-0

RaufossRaufoss

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/22HRAU Vs Bryne2-0
24/04/22HRAU Vs Grorud1-1
19/04/22AKFUM Oslo Vs RAU1-1
11/04/22HRAU Vs Ranheim1-1
04/04/22ASogndal Vs RAU2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kongsvinger
Kongsvinger
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDL0.80
HomeWD2.00
AwayLLL0.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%50%0%
AVG goals2.401.503.00
Over 1.5 %60%50%67%
Over 2.5 %40%0%67%
Over 3.5 %20%0%33%
Scored0.801.000.67
Conceded1.600.502.33
BTTS60%50%67%
Clean Sheet20%50%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Raufoss
Raufoss
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDDW1.20
HomeDDW1.67
AwayLD0.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%33%0%
AVG goals2.002.002.00
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %0%0%0%
Over 3.5 %0%0%0%
Scored1.001.330.50
Conceded1.000.671.50
BTTS60%67%50%
Clean Sheet20%33%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BrannBrann3081
87%
2.7
9516+79
3.7
97%
77%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
27
11793.20.5
-
2StabaekStabaek3058
53%
1.9
6228+34
3.0
70%
53%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5232.10.9
-
3KongsvingerKongsvinger3355
48%
1.7
4738+9
2.6
64%
55%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.41.2
-
4StartStart3154
52%
1.7
6339+24
3.3
74%
65%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2342.01.3
-
5KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo3152
48%
1.7
6250+12
3.6
90%
87%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3242.01.6
-
6Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF3147
45%
1.5
5453+1
3.5
84%
74%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.71.7
-
7SogndalSogndal3043
40%
1.4
5553+2
3.6
87%
67%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.81.8
-
8RanheimRanheim3043
40%
1.4
4952-3
3.4
90%
73%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.7
-
9MjondalenMjondalen3042
43%
1.4
3947-8
2.9
83%
67%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
10FredrikstadFredrikstad3035
30%
1.2
4651-5
3.2
83%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
15
5381.51.7
-
11BryneBryne3035
30%
1.2
4252-10
3.1
93%
70%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.41.7
-
12RaufossRaufoss3035
30%
1.2
3554-19
3.0
87%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.21.8
-
13SkeidSkeid3234
31%
1.1
4755-8
3.2
75%
62%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.7
-
14AsaneAsane3032
27%
1.1
4267-25
3.6
93%
70%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.42.2
-
15GrorudGrorud3020
13%
0.7
3469-35
3.4
93%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.3
-
16Stjørdals-BlinkStjørdals-Blink3017
13%
0.6
3071-41
3.4
83%
77%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.4
-
17ArendalArendal20
0%
0.0
18-7
4.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.54.0
-
Norway: 1. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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