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Kongsvinger vs Raufoss Result & Analysis

Date: 11/05/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 1-1
Kongsvinger
Kongsvinger
Vs
47%
25%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Raufoss
Raufoss
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kongsvinger win✗ Miss
47.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
24.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Raufoss win✗ Miss
28.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KongsvingerKongsvinger

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-812L24L21W11D80W33D21W23L30W05LH·MOS12/11H·KRI03/12H·RAN01/04A·LYN07/04A·NYB10/04H·EGE15/04A·LEV20/04A·KJE24/04H·STA27/04A·STA04/05
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.071.501.931.472.201.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)1.771.681.751.501.801.90
vs Weaker (8)2.881.002.671.333.000.80
Clean sheet %23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Raufoss) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RaufossRaufoss

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-811D12L80W02L01L21W41W21W10W23LA·MJO01/04H·VAL06/04A·SKR10/04A·SAN15/04H·BRY20/04A·SKE23/04A·AAL27/04A·RAN01/05H·ASA04/05H·FRE08/05
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.271.201.131.931.40
vs Stronger (13)1.461.621.291.571.671.67
vs Similar (16)1.251.061.120.751.381.38
vs Weaker (1)8.000.00--8.000.00
Clean sheet %20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Kongsvinger) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.1%
Under 1.5
15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
62.3%
Under 2.5
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
40.0%
Under 3.5
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.9%
No
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
6.4%
1-0
6.3%
3-1
5.7%
0-0
5.0%
Kongsvinger goals ↓
Raufoss goals →
01234
05.0%4.6%3.9%1.8%0.6%
16.3%11%7.1%3.3%1.1%
26.7%9.3%6.4%3.0%1.0%
34.1%5.7%3.9%1.8%0.6%
41.9%2.6%1.8%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kongsvinger goals (down), columns = Raufoss goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Valerenga
2.30
Bryne
1.93
Moss
1.81
Lyn
1.52
Egersund
1.52
Kongsvinger
1.45
Stabaek
1.40
Raufoss
1.37
Aalesund
1.33
Ranheim
1.30
Asane
1.23
Start
1.17
Sogndal
1.13
Mjondalen
1.07
Levanger
0.97
Sandnes ULF
0.57
Kongsvinger is 0.09 points better than Raufoss in terms of average points per game (1.45 vs 1.37).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Valerenga
2.73
Stabaek
1.90
Egersund
1.87
Lyn
1.84
Moss
1.84
Bryne
1.67
Ranheim
1.60
Kongsvinger
1.58
Levanger
1.57
Asane
1.53
Start
1.50
Aalesund
1.50
Mjondalen
1.27
Sogndal
1.13
Raufoss
1.13
Sandnes ULF
0.87
Kongsvinger is 0.44 goals better than Raufoss in terms of goals scored per game (1.58 vs 1.13).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Bryne
0.97
Valerenga
1.03
Raufoss
1.17
Lyn
1.32
Sogndal
1.33
Moss
1.39
Ranheim
1.53
Aalesund
1.63
Kongsvinger
1.67
Mjondalen
1.67
Levanger
1.70
Asane
1.73
Egersund
1.87
Start
1.90
Stabaek
1.97
Sandnes ULF
2.67
Kongsvinger is 0.50 goals worse than Raufoss in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.17).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KongsvingerKongsvinger

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L01L11D20W11D20W21W30W03LH·MOS12/11H·KRI03/12H·RAN01/04A·LYN07/04A·NYB10/04H·EGE15/04A·LEV20/04A·KJE24/04H·STA27/04A·STA04/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.630.670.671.130.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.820.680.580.751.100.60
vs Weaker (8)1.120.501.000.331.200.60
Clean sheet %50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Raufoss) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RaufossRaufoss

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L12L60W01L00D10W21W10W10W22DA·MJO01/04H·VAL06/04A·SKR10/04A·SAN15/04H·BRY20/04A·SKE23/04A·AAL27/04A·RAN01/05H·ASA04/05H·FRE08/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.500.730.330.930.67
vs Stronger (13)0.770.620.860.570.670.67
vs Similar (16)0.560.440.620.120.500.75
vs Weaker (1)6.000.00--6.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Kongsvinger) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kongsvinger over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KongsvingerKongsvinger

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-610W23L20W00D60W22D01L02L00D02LH·MOS12/11H·KRI03/12H·RAN01/04A·LYN07/04A·NYB10/04H·EGE15/04A·LEV20/04A·KJE24/04H·STA27/04A·STA04/05
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.871.270.801.070.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.951.001.170.750.701.30
vs Weaker (8)1.750.501.671.001.800.20
Clean sheet %53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Raufoss) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RaufossRaufoss

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D20W01L01L11D20W11D00D01LA·MJO01/04H·VAL06/04A·SKR10/04A·SAN15/04H·BRY20/04A·SKE23/04A·AAL27/04A·RAN01/05H·ASA04/05H·FRE08/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.770.470.801.000.73
vs Stronger (13)0.691.000.431.001.001.00
vs Similar (16)0.690.620.500.620.880.62
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Kongsvinger) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kongsvinger over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAL (22)
€16m
AAL (25)
€13m
STA (24)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
Kongsvinger's squad is €3m more valuable than Raufoss's (€6m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAL (7)
€6m
STA (9)
€5m
AAL (7)
€5m
KON (10)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Kongsvinger's attack is €2m more valuable than Raufoss's (€3m vs €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAL (6)
€5m
AAL (8)
€4m
STA (8)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
Kongsvinger and Raufoss have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAL (9)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
Kongsvinger and Raufoss have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
3
KON wins
0
Draws
1
RAU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kongsvinger vs Raufoss · H/A from KON
DateH/AGameScore
06/08/23HKON Vs Raufoss1-3
21/05/23ARaufoss Vs KON1-2
22/08/22ARaufoss Vs KON0-1
15/05/22HKON Vs Raufoss4-1

KongsvingerKongsvinger

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/24AStabaek Vs KON5-0
27/04/24HKON Vs Start3-0
24/04/24AKjelsås Vs KON3-2
20/04/24ALevanger Vs KON1-2
15/04/24HKON Vs Egersund3-3
10/04/24ANybergsund Vs KON0-8
07/04/24ALyn Vs KON1-1
01/04/24HKON Vs Ranheim2-1
03/12/23HKON Vs Kristiansund BK2-4
12/11/23HKON Vs Moss1-2

RaufossRaufoss

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/05/24HRAU Vs Fredrikstad2-3
04/05/24HRAU Vs Asane1-0
01/05/24ARanheim Vs RAU1-2
27/04/24AAalesund Vs RAU1-4
23/04/24ASkeid Vs RAU1-2
20/04/24HRAU Vs Bryne0-1
15/04/24ASandnes ULF Vs RAU2-0
10/04/24ASkreia Vs RAU0-8
06/04/24HRAU Vs Valerenga1-2
01/04/24AMjondalen Vs RAU1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kongsvinger
Kongsvinger
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWL1.76
HomeLLWDW1.74
AwayDWWLL1.78
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%52%56%
AVG goals3.183.133.22
Over 1.5 %88%87%89%
Over 2.5 %70%74%67%
Over 3.5 %32%35%30%
Scored1.781.871.70
Conceded1.401.261.52
BTTS60%61%59%
Clean Sheet26%30%22%
Corners6.505.008.00
Cards3.505.002.00
Raufoss
Raufoss
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWL1.16
HomeLLLWL1.12
AwayWLWWW1.19
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%29%35%
AVG goals2.642.292.96
Over 1.5 %70%62%77%
Over 2.5 %56%50%62%
Over 3.5 %26%17%35%
Scored1.241.081.38
Conceded1.401.211.58
BTTS50%46%54%
Clean Sheet20%29%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ValerengaValerenga3069
70%
2.3
8231+51
3.8
97%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
6552.71.0
-
2BryneBryne3058
60%
1.9
5029+21
2.6
63%
43%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.71.0
-
3MossMoss3156
55%
1.8
5743+14
3.2
74%
61%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.81.4
-
4KongsvingerKongsvinger3348
36%
1.5
5255-3
3.2
85%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.61.7
-
5LynLyn3147
39%
1.5
5741+16
3.2
84%
58%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.81.3
-
6EgersundEgersund3147
45%
1.5
5858+0
3.7
94%
77%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.91.9
-
7StabaekStabaek3042
40%
1.4
5759-2
3.9
90%
80%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5231.92.0
-
8RaufossRaufoss3041
37%
1.4
3435-1
2.3
70%
40%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.11.2
-
9AalesundAalesund3040
40%
1.3
4549-4
3.1
80%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
5441.51.6
-
10RanheimRanheim3039
33%
1.3
4846+2
3.1
83%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.5
-
11AsaneAsane3037
33%
1.2
4652-6
3.3
80%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.51.7
-
12StartStart3035
30%
1.2
4557-12
3.4
90%
70%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.51.9
-
13SogndalSogndal3034
30%
1.1
3440-6
2.5
73%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.11.3
-
14MjondalenMjondalen3032
27%
1.1
3850-12
2.9
73%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
15LevangerLevanger3029
20%
1.0
4751-4
3.3
83%
63%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
16Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF3017
13%
0.6
2680-54
3.5
83%
57%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.92.7
-
Norway: 1. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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