Konyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK Result & Analysis

Konyaspor are the clear favourites, with a 50% chance of a home win, a 25% chance of a draw and a 24% chance of an away victory. The expected total goals hover around 3.0, but the most likely total is 2, with a 24% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, occurring with a 11.9% chance. Konyaspor average 1.14 goals scored and 1.29 conceded at home against similarly matched opponents, while Erzurumspor FK average 1.38 goals scored and 1.62 conceded on the road versus similar teams. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 88.8%, Over 2.5 cards at 83.1%, Over 1.5 at 80.8%, Over 21.5 fouls at 78.5% and Under 11.5 corners at 71.2%. The home side has just suffered five consecutive defeats, while the away side comes off a draw, adding a narrative edge to the match.

Konyaspor’s win extends a five-match losing streak, yet the model’s prediction of a home victory proved right, with a 2-0 result confirming the favoured outcome. The pre-match favourite was Home win at 50 percent, and the model’s call was correct. The suggested selections were largely accurate: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 88.8 percent, Over 1.5 goals hit at 80.8 percent, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 78.5 percent, and Under 11.5 corners hit at 71.2 percent, while Over 2.5 cards missed at 83.1 percent. The match finished 2-0, a home win that matched the model’s expectation.