Kooteepee are tipped to win this Ykkönen clash, with a 56% chance of triumph, 25% for a draw and 19% for a JäPS upset. The model expects 2.9 goals overall, most likely a 2-goal total. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 11.8% probability. Home form shows Kooteepee scoring 1.45 and conceding 1.64 against similar opposition, while JäPS on the road averages 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded. The selection list includes: Away under 2.5 HT goals99.1%, Under 7.599.1%, Away under 2.5 2H goals98.6%, Away under 3.5 goals98.1%, Under 6.597.3%, Home under 2.5 HT goals95.4%, Away under 1.5 HT goals93.9%, and Under 5.593.0%. Kooteepee’s five-game winning streak, highlighted by a recent 2-1 win over Haka, fuels optimism, while JäPS returns from a 0-0 draw with KäPa.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Kooteepee win
56.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
24.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
JäPS win
19.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Kooteepee
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.97
1.36
1.79
1.19
2.12
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
2.67
0.50
3.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
1.29
1.96
1.45
1.64
1.15
2.23
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
1.33
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (JäPS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
JäPS
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.27
1.33
1.07
1.87
1.47
vs Stronger (8)
2.12
1.75
0.67
1.33
3.00
2.00
vs Similar (21)
1.43
1.14
1.55
1.09
1.30
1.20
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Kooteepee) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
78.8%
Under 1.5
21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
54.3%
Under 2.5
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
32.0%
Under 3.5
68.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
54.4%
No
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.9%
1-0
9.6%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
6.1%
3-0
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
Kooteepee goals ↓
JäPS goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.8%
4.7%
2.9%
1.0%
0.2%
1
9.6%
12%
5.4%
1.8%
0.5%
2
9.9%
9.9%
5.0%
1.7%
0.4%
3
6.1%
6.1%
3.1%
1.0%
0.3%
4
2.8%
2.8%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kooteepee goals (down), columns = JäPS goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Haka
2.38
Kooteepee
2.29
PK-35
2.12
JIPPO
2.00
JäPS
1.43
EIF
1.25
Klubi-04
1.22
SJK Akatemia
0.75
MP
0.62
KäPa
0.22
Kooteepee is 0.86 points better than JäPS in terms of average points per game (2.29 vs 1.43).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Haka
2.50
PK-35
2.00
Klubi-04
1.67
Kooteepee
1.57
JIPPO
1.50
MP
1.25
SJK Akatemia
0.88
KäPa
0.78
EIF
0.75
JäPS
0.71
Kooteepee is 0.86 goals better than JäPS in terms of goals scored per game (1.57 vs 0.71).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
JäPS
0.86
JIPPO
0.88
EIF
0.88
PK-35
0.88
Kooteepee
1.00
Haka
1.00
Klubi-04
1.67
KäPa
2.00
SJK Akatemia
2.00
MP
2.25
Kooteepee is 0.14 goals worse than JäPS in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.86).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Kooteepee or Draw
80.8%
Avg Implied -
56%
25%
19%
covers Kooteepee + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kooteepee or JäPS
75.3%
Avg Implied -
56%
25%
19%
covers Kooteepee + JäPS
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or JäPS
43.9%
Avg Implied -
56%
25%
19%
covers Draw + JäPS
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Kooteepee over/under 0.5
Over
84.2%
Under
15.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kooteepee over/under 1.5
Over
55.1%
Under
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kooteepee over/under 2.5
Over
28.2%
Under
71.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kooteepee over/under 3.5
Over
11.7%
Under
88.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 0.5
Over
63.3%
Under
36.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 1.5
Over
26.6%
Under
73.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 2.5
Over
8.1%
Under
91.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 3.5
Over
1.9%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Kooteepee, so a minus line means Kooteepee give that many goals of a start and JäPS receive them. At -1, Kooteepee must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Kooteepee win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Kooteepee)
Kooteepee -2
15.5%
Draw -2
17.6%
JäPS +2
67.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Kooteepee)
Kooteepee -1
33.0%
Draw -1
23.1%
JäPS +1
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Kooteepee)
Kooteepee +1
80.8%
Draw +1
12.0%
JäPS -1
7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Kooteepee)
Kooteepee +2
92.9%
Draw +2
5.2%
JäPS -2
1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Kooteepee
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.93
0.64
1.07
0.44
0.81
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.67
0.50
1.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
0.54
0.88
0.64
1.09
0.46
0.69
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (JäPS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
JäPS
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.70
0.53
0.73
0.60
0.67
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
0.75
0.00
0.67
1.20
0.80
vs Similar (21)
0.48
0.71
0.64
0.82
0.30
0.60
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Kooteepee) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
72.8%
Under 0.5
27.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
36.0%
Under 1.5
64.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.6%
Under 2.5
86.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kooteepee over/under 0.5 HT
Over
59.8%
Under
40.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kooteepee over/under 1.5 HT
Over
20.7%
Under
79.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kooteepee over/under 2.5 HT
Over
5.4%
Under
94.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 0.5 HT
Over
30.4%
Under
69.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 1.5 HT
Over
6.2%
Under
93.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Kooteepee
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.03
0.71
0.71
0.75
1.31
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.50
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.75
1.08
0.82
0.55
0.69
1.54
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.67
1.00
1.00
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (JäPS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
JäPS
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.57
0.80
0.33
1.27
0.80
vs Stronger (8)
1.38
1.00
0.67
0.67
1.80
1.20
vs Similar (21)
0.95
0.43
0.91
0.27
1.00
0.60
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Kooteepee) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
78.3%
Under 0.5
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
49.6%
Under 1.5
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
20.6%
Under 2.5
79.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kooteepee over/under 0.5 2H
Over
65.4%
Under
34.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kooteepee over/under 1.5 2H
Over
28.7%
Under
71.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kooteepee over/under 2.5 2H
Over
9.0%
Under
91.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 0.5 2H
Over
38.0%
Under
62.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 1.5 2H
Over
9.4%
Under
90.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
94.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
92.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
91.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
91.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Kooteepee · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rangel44%
Nathaniel Tahmbi33%
Petteri Forsell20%
Luca Weckström17%
Assane Seck14%
Atomu Tanaka12%
Joni Mäkelä12%
Joni Kauko0%
Albin Linnér0%
Joona Toivio0%
Oscar Linnér0%
Felipe Aspegren0%
Aleksi Tarvonen0%
Mikko Sumusalo0%
Matias Paavola0%
Juho Lehtiranta0%
Franck Ellé0%
Joshua Akpudje0%
Aaro Toivonen0%
Mitchell Glasson0%
Thomas Lahdensuo0%
Constantine Edlund0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joni Kauko50%
Mikko Sumusalo43%
Albin Linnér40%
Rangel33%
Thomas Lahdensuo33%
Nathaniel Tahmbi33%
Atomu Tanaka25%
Oscar Linnér25%
Franck Ellé25%
Joshua Akpudje25%
Constantine Edlund25%
Mitchell Glasson22%
Joona Toivio20%
Felipe Aspegren20%
Juho Lehtiranta17%
Luca Weckström17%
Assane Seck14%
Joni Mäkelä12%
Petteri Forsell10%
Aleksi Tarvonen0%
Matias Paavola0%
Aaro Toivonen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Joni Kauko25%
Aaro Toivonen22%
Mikko Sumusalo14%
Assane Seck14%
Atomu Tanaka12%
Joni Mäkelä12%
Matias Paavola11%
Petteri Forsell10%
Albin Linnér0%
Joona Toivio0%
Oscar Linnér0%
Felipe Aspegren0%
Aleksi Tarvonen0%
Rangel0%
Juho Lehtiranta0%
Franck Ellé0%
Joshua Akpudje0%
Luca Weckström0%
Mitchell Glasson0%
Thomas Lahdensuo0%
Constantine Edlund0%
Nathaniel Tahmbi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rangel33%
Petteri Forsell30%
Nathaniel Tahmbi17%
Assane Seck14%
Joni Mäkelä12%
Joni Kauko0%
Atomu Tanaka0%
Albin Linnér0%
Joona Toivio0%
Oscar Linnér0%
Felipe Aspegren0%
Aleksi Tarvonen0%
Mikko Sumusalo0%
Matias Paavola0%
Juho Lehtiranta0%
Franck Ellé0%
Joshua Akpudje0%
Luca Weckström0%
Aaro Toivonen0%
Mitchell Glasson0%
Thomas Lahdensuo0%
Constantine Edlund0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HAK (21)
€1m
KOO (19)
€1m
JIP (21)
€1m
PK- (20)
€1m
EIF (20)
€1m
JÄP (24)
€1m
KÄP (25)
€1m
MP (19)
€0m
KLU (17)
€0m
Kooteepee and JäPS have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOO (10)
€1m
JIP (7)
€0m
EIF (9)
€0m
PK- (6)
€0m
JÄP (11)
€0m
HAK (7)
€0m
MP (10)
€0m
KLU (8)
€0m
KÄP (8)
€0m
Kooteepee and JäPS have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PK- (7)
€0m
HAK (5)
€0m
KÄP (6)
€0m
JÄP (4)
€0m
EIF (4)
€0m
JIP (4)
€0m
KOO (2)
€0m
MP (2)
€0m
KLU (3)
€0m
Kooteepee and JäPS have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HAK (9)
€1m
KOO (7)
€0m
JIP (10)
€0m
EIF (7)
€0m
KÄP (11)
€0m
PK- (7)
€0m
JÄP (9)
€0m
MP (7)
€0m
KLU (6)
€0m
Kooteepee and JäPS have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Finland: Ykkösliiga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Ykkösliiga stats & trends →
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Haka
PK-35
JIPPO
Klubi-04
EIF
SJK Akatemia
MP
KäPa