Kooteepee’s current form, highlighted by a five-game winning streak, makes a home win the model’s pick, with a 52% chance of victory, a 25% chance of a draw and a 23% chance of a JIPPO win. The expected total goals hover at 2.9, with the most likely total of two goals occurring 24% of the time. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12% probability. Kooteepee, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, while JIPPO, on the road, averages 2.67 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The model’s suggested pick is Over 1.5 goals, with an 80.3% probability of hitting. The match is expected to be competitive, but Kooteepee’s recent run and home advantage give them the edge.
Results analysis
Kooteepee continued their five-game winning streak, extending the run with a 2-1 victory over JIPPO. The model’s pre-match favourite was a home win, assigned a 52% probability, and the call proved correct. The suggested pick of Over 1.5 goals, with an 80.3% probability, hit as well. The most likely scoreline was 2-1, a 24% chance, and it materialised. Kooteepee’s home form shows a 1.3 average of goals scored and 1.2 conceded, while JIPPO’s away record boasts 2.67 scored and 1.0 conceded. All selections settled, the model’s predictions matched the outcome.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Kooteepee win✓ Hit
51.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
JIPPO win✗ Miss
22.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Kooteepee
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.20
1.30
1.54
1.15
2.71
1.41
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.67
1.00
2.00
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (24)
2.38
1.33
1.30
1.20
3.14
1.43
vs Weaker (3)
2.67
0.67
3.00
0.50
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (JIPPO) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
JIPPO
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.45
0.64
1.00
0.43
2.25
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.44
0.67
0.83
0.50
2.67
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
2.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
55% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Kooteepee) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.3%
Under 1.5
19.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.3%
Under 2.5
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.0%
Under 3.5
66.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.8%
No
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%
2-1 ✓
9.8%
2-0
8.6%
1-0
8.4%
0-0
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
Kooteepee goals ↓
JIPPO goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.4%
4.9%
3.4%
1.3%
0.4%
1
8.4%
12%
6.2%
2.3%
0.7%
2
8.6%
9.8%
5.6%
2.1%
0.6%
3
5.2%
5.9%
3.3%
1.3%
0.4%
4
2.3%
2.6%
1.5%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kooteepee goals (down), columns = JIPPO goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Kooteepee
2.15
FF Jaro
2.00
JIPPO
1.93
Turku PS
1.59
JäPS
1.30
PK-35
1.22
SJK Akatemia
1.07
SalPa
1.07
KäPa
0.90
MP
0.59
KPV-j
0.50
Kooteepee is 0.22 points better than JIPPO in terms of average points per game (2.15 vs 1.93).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Kooteepee
2.78
FF Jaro
1.89
JIPPO
1.81
JäPS
1.63
KäPa
1.62
Turku PS
1.48
SJK Akatemia
1.30
SalPa
1.15
PK-35
1.07
MP
0.81
KPV-j
0.50
Kooteepee is 0.96 goals better than JIPPO in terms of goals scored per game (2.78 vs 1.81).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
JIPPO
0.93
Turku PS
1.07
FF Jaro
1.11
Kooteepee
1.19
PK-35
1.26
KPV-j
1.50
SJK Akatemia
1.52
SalPa
1.78
JäPS
1.96
MP
2.26
KäPa
2.34
Kooteepee is 0.26 goals worse than JIPPO in terms of goals conceded per game (1.19 vs 0.93).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Kooteepee
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.77
0.54
0.69
1.29
0.82
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (24)
1.08
0.88
0.50
0.80
1.50
0.93
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.33
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (JIPPO) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
JIPPO
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.45
0.27
0.29
0.29
0.75
0.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.44
0.22
0.33
0.33
0.67
0.00
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
82% (+59pp vs league)
This opponent (Kooteepee) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kooteepee over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kooteepee over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kooteepee over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JIPPO over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JIPPO over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JIPPO over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Kooteepee
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.53
1.00
0.46
1.41
0.59
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.33
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
1.29
0.46
0.80
0.40
1.64
0.50
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
0.33
2.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (JIPPO) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
JIPPO
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.36
0.71
0.14
1.50
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.00
0.44
0.50
0.17
2.00
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+50pp vs league)
This opponent (Kooteepee) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kooteepee over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kooteepee over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kooteepee over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JIPPO over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JIPPO over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JIPPO over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Kooteepee · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rangel44%
Nathaniel Tahmbi33%
Petteri Forsell20%
Luca Weckström17%
Assane Seck14%
Atomu Tanaka12%
Joni Mäkelä12%
Joni Kauko0%
Albin Linnér0%
Joona Toivio0%
Oscar Linnér0%
Felipe Aspegren0%
Aleksi Tarvonen0%
Mikko Sumusalo0%
Matias Paavola0%
Juho Lehtiranta0%
Franck Ellé0%
Joshua Akpudje0%
Aaro Toivonen0%
Mitchell Glasson0%
Thomas Lahdensuo0%
Constantine Edlund0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joni Kauko50%
Mikko Sumusalo43%
Albin Linnér40%
Rangel33%
Thomas Lahdensuo33%
Nathaniel Tahmbi33%
Atomu Tanaka25%
Oscar Linnér25%
Franck Ellé25%
Joshua Akpudje25%
Constantine Edlund25%
Mitchell Glasson22%
Joona Toivio20%
Felipe Aspegren20%
Juho Lehtiranta17%
Luca Weckström17%
Assane Seck14%
Joni Mäkelä12%
Petteri Forsell10%
Aleksi Tarvonen0%
Matias Paavola0%
Aaro Toivonen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Joni Kauko25%
Aaro Toivonen22%
Mikko Sumusalo14%
Assane Seck14%
Atomu Tanaka12%
Joni Mäkelä12%
Matias Paavola11%
Petteri Forsell10%
Albin Linnér0%
Joona Toivio0%
Oscar Linnér0%
Felipe Aspegren0%
Aleksi Tarvonen0%
Rangel0%
Juho Lehtiranta0%
Franck Ellé0%
Joshua Akpudje0%
Luca Weckström0%
Mitchell Glasson0%
Thomas Lahdensuo0%
Constantine Edlund0%
Nathaniel Tahmbi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rangel33%
Petteri Forsell30%
Nathaniel Tahmbi17%
Assane Seck14%
Joni Mäkelä12%
Joni Kauko0%
Atomu Tanaka0%
Albin Linnér0%
Joona Toivio0%
Oscar Linnér0%
Felipe Aspegren0%
Aleksi Tarvonen0%
Mikko Sumusalo0%
Matias Paavola0%
Juho Lehtiranta0%
Franck Ellé0%
Joshua Akpudje0%
Luca Weckström0%
Aaro Toivonen0%
Mitchell Glasson0%
Thomas Lahdensuo0%
Constantine Edlund0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (22)
€2m
FJ (20)
€2m
KOO (19)
€1m
JIP (21)
€1m
PK- (20)
€1m
JÄP (24)
€1m
KÄP (25)
€1m
MP (19)
€0m
Kooteepee and JIPPO have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (8)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
KOO (10)
€1m
JIP (7)
€0m
PK- (6)
€0m
JÄP (11)
€0m
MP (10)
€0m
KÄP (8)
€0m
Kooteepee and JIPPO have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FJ (6)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
PK- (7)
€0m
KÄP (6)
€0m
JÄP (4)
€0m
JIP (4)
€0m
KOO (2)
€0m
MP (2)
€0m
Kooteepee and JIPPO have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (10)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
KOO (7)
€0m
JIP (10)
€0m
KÄP (11)
€0m
PK- (7)
€0m
JÄP (9)
€0m
MP (7)
€0m
Kooteepee and JIPPO have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Finland: Ykkösliiga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Ykkösliiga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FF Jaro
Turku PS
JäPS
PK-35
SJK Akatemia
SalPa
KäPa
MP
KPV-j