Kooteepee’s 5-game winning streak fuels a high-scoring outlook, with the model projecting 3.2 goals on average. The most likely total is three, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 10.2% chance. Home advantage is clear: Kooteepee averages two goals scored and one conceded against weaker opposition, while MP, playing away against stronger teams, scores 1.71 and concedes 1.76. The model favours a home win, with a 61% probability, a draw at 22%, and an away win at 17%. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 (98.3%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.7%), Under 6.5 (95.5%), Home +2 handicap (93.5%), Away under 2.5 goals (90.7%), Under 5.5 (89.4%), Home over 0.5 goals (88.2%) and Over 1.5 (83.9%). These picks reflect the anticipated offensive output and Kooteepee’s defensive solidity.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Kooteepee win
61.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
22.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
MP win
17.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Kooteepee
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.97
1.36
1.79
1.19
2.12
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
2.67
0.50
3.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
1.29
1.96
1.45
1.64
1.15
2.23
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
1.33
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (MP) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
MP
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
2.03
1.08
2.33
1.72
1.83
vs Stronger (26)
1.46
1.88
1.00
2.11
1.71
1.76
vs Similar (4)
1.50
3.00
1.33
3.00
2.00
3.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
10% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Kooteepee) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
83.9%
Under 1.5
16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62.2%
Under 2.5
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
39.9%
Under 3.5
60.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
58.8%
No
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.3%
1-0
7.7%
3-1
7.1%
3-0
6.6%
2-2
5.3%
0-0
5.0%
Kooteepee goals ↓
MP goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.0%
3.4%
2.3%
0.8%
0.2%
1
7.7%
10%
4.9%
1.8%
0.5%
2
9.3%
9.9%
5.3%
1.9%
0.5%
3
6.6%
7.1%
3.8%
1.3%
0.4%
4
3.5%
3.8%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kooteepee goals (down), columns = MP goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Haka
2.38
Kooteepee
2.29
PK-35
2.12
JIPPO
2.00
JäPS
1.43
EIF
1.25
Klubi-04
1.22
SJK Akatemia
0.75
MP
0.62
KäPa
0.22
Kooteepee is 1.66 points better than MP in terms of average points per game (2.29 vs 0.62).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Haka
2.50
PK-35
2.00
Klubi-04
1.67
Kooteepee
1.57
JIPPO
1.50
MP
1.25
SJK Akatemia
0.88
KäPa
0.78
EIF
0.75
JäPS
0.71
Kooteepee is 0.32 goals better than MP in terms of goals scored per game (1.57 vs 1.25).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
JäPS
0.86
JIPPO
0.88
EIF
0.88
PK-35
0.88
Kooteepee
1.00
Haka
1.00
Klubi-04
1.67
KäPa
2.00
SJK Akatemia
2.00
MP
2.25
Kooteepee is 1.25 goals better than MP in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 2.25).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Kooteepee or Draw
82.9%
Avg Implied -
61%
22%
17%
covers Kooteepee + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kooteepee or MP
78.0%
Avg Implied -
61%
22%
17%
covers Kooteepee + MP
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or MP
39.0%
Avg Implied -
61%
22%
17%
covers Draw + MP
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Kooteepee over/under 0.5
Over
88.2%
Under
11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kooteepee over/under 1.5
Over
63.1%
Under
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kooteepee over/under 2.5
Over
36.1%
Under
63.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kooteepee over/under 3.5
Over
16.9%
Under
83.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MP over/under 0.5
Over
65.6%
Under
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MP over/under 1.5
Over
28.9%
Under
71.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MP over/under 2.5
Over
9.3%
Under
90.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MP over/under 3.5
Over
2.3%
Under
97.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Kooteepee, so a minus line means Kooteepee give that many goals of a start and MP receive them. At -1, Kooteepee must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Kooteepee win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Kooteepee)
Kooteepee -2
20.1%
Draw -2
18.7%
MP +2
61.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Kooteepee)
Kooteepee -1
38.8%
Draw -1
22.2%
MP +1
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Kooteepee)
Kooteepee +1
82.9%
Draw +1
10.6%
MP -1
6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Kooteepee)
Kooteepee +2
93.5%
Draw +2
4.6%
MP -2
1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Kooteepee
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.93
0.64
1.07
0.44
0.81
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.67
0.50
1.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
0.54
0.88
0.64
1.09
0.46
0.69
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (MP) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
MP
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.07
0.75
1.33
0.72
0.89
vs Stronger (26)
0.65
1.00
0.67
1.11
0.65
0.94
vs Similar (4)
1.25
1.50
1.00
2.00
2.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Kooteepee) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kooteepee over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kooteepee over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kooteepee over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MP over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MP over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MP over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Kooteepee
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.03
0.71
0.71
0.75
1.31
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.50
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.75
1.08
0.82
0.55
0.69
1.54
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.67
1.00
1.00
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (MP) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
MP
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.97
0.33
1.00
1.00
0.94
vs Stronger (26)
0.81
0.88
0.33
1.00
1.06
0.82
vs Similar (4)
0.25
1.50
0.33
1.00
0.00
3.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Kooteepee) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kooteepee over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kooteepee over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kooteepee over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MP over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MP over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MP over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
97.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
93.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
90.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
89.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
88.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Kooteepee · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rangel44%
Nathaniel Tahmbi33%
Petteri Forsell20%
Luca Weckström17%
Assane Seck14%
Atomu Tanaka12%
Joni Mäkelä12%
Joni Kauko0%
Albin Linnér0%
Joona Toivio0%
Oscar Linnér0%
Felipe Aspegren0%
Aleksi Tarvonen0%
Mikko Sumusalo0%
Matias Paavola0%
Juho Lehtiranta0%
Franck Ellé0%
Joshua Akpudje0%
Aaro Toivonen0%
Mitchell Glasson0%
Thomas Lahdensuo0%
Constantine Edlund0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joni Kauko50%
Mikko Sumusalo43%
Albin Linnér40%
Rangel33%
Thomas Lahdensuo33%
Nathaniel Tahmbi33%
Atomu Tanaka25%
Oscar Linnér25%
Franck Ellé25%
Joshua Akpudje25%
Constantine Edlund25%
Mitchell Glasson22%
Joona Toivio20%
Felipe Aspegren20%
Juho Lehtiranta17%
Luca Weckström17%
Assane Seck14%
Joni Mäkelä12%
Petteri Forsell10%
Aleksi Tarvonen0%
Matias Paavola0%
Aaro Toivonen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Joni Kauko25%
Aaro Toivonen22%
Mikko Sumusalo14%
Assane Seck14%
Atomu Tanaka12%
Joni Mäkelä12%
Matias Paavola11%
Petteri Forsell10%
Albin Linnér0%
Joona Toivio0%
Oscar Linnér0%
Felipe Aspegren0%
Aleksi Tarvonen0%
Rangel0%
Juho Lehtiranta0%
Franck Ellé0%
Joshua Akpudje0%
Luca Weckström0%
Mitchell Glasson0%
Thomas Lahdensuo0%
Constantine Edlund0%
Nathaniel Tahmbi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rangel33%
Petteri Forsell30%
Nathaniel Tahmbi17%
Assane Seck14%
Joni Mäkelä12%
Joni Kauko0%
Atomu Tanaka0%
Albin Linnér0%
Joona Toivio0%
Oscar Linnér0%
Felipe Aspegren0%
Aleksi Tarvonen0%
Mikko Sumusalo0%
Matias Paavola0%
Juho Lehtiranta0%
Franck Ellé0%
Joshua Akpudje0%
Luca Weckström0%
Aaro Toivonen0%
Mitchell Glasson0%
Thomas Lahdensuo0%
Constantine Edlund0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HAK (21)
€1m
KOO (19)
€1m
JIP (21)
€1m
PK- (20)
€1m
EIF (20)
€1m
JÄP (24)
€1m
KÄP (25)
€1m
MP (19)
€0m
KLU (17)
€0m
Kooteepee and MP have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOO (10)
€1m
JIP (7)
€0m
EIF (9)
€0m
PK- (6)
€0m
JÄP (11)
€0m
HAK (7)
€0m
MP (10)
€0m
KLU (8)
€0m
KÄP (8)
€0m
Kooteepee and MP have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PK- (7)
€0m
HAK (5)
€0m
KÄP (6)
€0m
JÄP (4)
€0m
EIF (4)
€0m
JIP (4)
€0m
KOO (2)
€0m
MP (2)
€0m
KLU (3)
€0m
Kooteepee and MP have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HAK (9)
€1m
KOO (7)
€0m
JIP (10)
€0m
EIF (7)
€0m
KÄP (11)
€0m
PK- (7)
€0m
JÄP (9)
€0m
MP (7)
€0m
KLU (6)
€0m
Kooteepee and MP have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Finland: Ykkösliiga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Ykkösliiga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Haka
PK-35
JIPPO
Klubi-04
EIF
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
KäPa