The match between Kooteepee and SJK Akatemia is expected to be a closely contested affair, with Kooteepee enjoying a recent resurgence in form. The home side has been on a two-game winning run, with a notable 1-0 victory over Klubi-04. Meanwhile, SJK Akatemia has struggled, losing its last two matches, including a 0-3 defeat to PK-35.
Kooteepee is the favourite to win, with a 44% chance of a home victory, followed by a 25% chance of a draw and a 30% chance of an away win. The model predicts a home win, which is the most likely result. The expected total number of goals is 3.1, with a most likely total of 2 goals.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a probability of 11.6%. Kooteepee has a strong home form, scoring an average of 1.12 goals and conceding 2.25 goals per match against similar opponents. SJK Akatemia's away form is less impressive, scoring 1.64 goals and conceding 1.82 goals per match against similar opponents.
The model's selections include Over 1.5 goals, which has a high probability of 83.2%. Other suggested picks include Home win (44%), Draw (25%), and Away win (30%).
Kooteepee's 2-1 win extends their run of two consecutive victories, following a 1-0 win over Klubi-04. The actual result was a home win, which was correctly predicted by the Pythia model, with a pre-match probability of 44%. The model's selection, a home win, proved correct, as Kooteepee secured the three points. The model's call on the match outcome was spot on. In terms of the total goals, the suggested pick of over 1.5 goals hit, with an 83.2% probability, matching the final score.
Kooteepee| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.20 | 2.33 | 1.07 | 2.07 | 1.31 | 2.56 |
| vs Stronger (14) | 0.86 | 3.07 | 1.17 | 3.00 | 0.62 | 3.12 |
| vs Similar (15) | 1.40 | 1.60 | 1.00 | 1.38 | 1.86 | 1.86 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 3.00 | 3.00 | - | - | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 10% (-12pp vs league) | |||||
SJK Akatemia| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.63 | 1.73 | 1.73 | 1.47 | 1.53 | 2.00 |
| vs Stronger (6) | 1.83 | 2.33 | 2.33 | 2.00 | 1.33 | 2.67 |
| vs Similar (19) | 1.37 | 1.53 | 1.30 | 1.20 | 1.44 | 1.89 |
| vs Weaker (5) | 2.40 | 1.80 | 3.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 1.67 |
| Clean sheet % | 13% (-9pp vs league) | |||||
| SJK Akatemia goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 6.4% | 12% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| 2 | 6.5% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| 3 | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
Kooteepee| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.50 | 0.97 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.94 |
| vs Stronger (14) | 0.50 | 1.36 | 0.67 | 1.33 | 0.38 | 1.38 |
| vs Similar (15) | 0.47 | 0.53 | 0.38 | 0.75 | 0.57 | 0.29 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 1.00 | 2.00 | - | - | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 30% (+8pp vs league) | |||||
SJK Akatemia| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.53 | 0.73 | 0.47 | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.87 |
| vs Stronger (6) | 0.83 | 1.33 | 1.00 | 1.33 | 0.67 | 1.33 |
| vs Similar (19) | 0.37 | 0.58 | 0.20 | 0.40 | 0.56 | 0.78 |
| vs Weaker (5) | 0.80 | 0.60 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| Clean sheet % | 47% (+25pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 83.2% | 1.09 | 1.13 | 1.12 | 1.10 | 1.10 | 1.09 | -1.0% | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08/24 | H | 3-3 | |
| 20/06/24 | A | 0-3 | |
| 24/04/24 | H | 5-1 |
Kooteepee| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/26 | A | 3-3 | |
| 18/07/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 26/10/25 | H | 2-3 | |
| 23/10/25 | A | 3-0 | |
| 18/10/25 | A | 1-2 | |
| 04/10/25 | H | 1-1 | |
| 27/09/25 | A | 0-2 | |
| 19/09/25 | H | 1-2 | |
| 13/09/25 | A | 2-1 | |
| 31/08/25 | H | 1-4 |
SJK Akatemia| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 17/07/26 | A | 2-2 | |
| 11/07/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 18/10/25 | H | 1-2 | |
| 03/10/25 | A | 3-0 | |
| 28/09/25 | H | 1-1 | |
| 24/09/25 | A | 1-4 | |
| 19/09/25 | A | 3-1 | |
| 14/09/25 | H | 1-1 | |
| 30/08/25 | H | 2-1 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Haka | 6 | 16 | 83% | 2.7 | 17 | 6 | +11 | 3.8 | 100% | 100% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.8 | 1.0 | - |
| 2 | JIPPO | 7 | 13 | 57% | 1.9 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 2.4 | 71% | 43% | 29% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | - |
| 3 | PK-35 | 6 | 11 | 50% | 1.8 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 2.8 | 83% | 50% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.7 | 1.2 | - |
| 4 | Kooteepee | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 2.8 | 60% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.6 | 1.2 | - |
| 5 | EIF | 6 | 10 | 50% | 1.7 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 1.7 | 50% | 17% | 17% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | - |
| 6 | JäPS | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 1.6 | 40% | 20% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | - |
| 7 | SJK Akatemia | 6 | 6 | 17% | 1.0 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2.2 | 67% | 50% | 17% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 1.3 | - |
| 8 | MP | 6 | 5 | 17% | 0.8 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 3.0 | 83% | 50% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | - |
| 9 | Klubi-04 | 7 | 5 | 14% | 0.7 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 2.1 | 86% | 14% | 14% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.7 | 1.4 | - |
| 10 | KäPa | 8 | 1 | 0% | 0.1 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 3.1 | 88% | 75% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.9 | 2.2 | - |