Koper vs Aluminij Result & Analysis

Koper are the clear favorites, with a 47% chance of victory, a 27% chance of a draw and a 26% chance of Aluminij winning. The match is expected to see 2.8 goals on average, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 25%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.9% probability. Koper, playing at home against an opponent of similar strength, average 2.0 goals scored and 1.78 conceded, while Aluminij, on the road, average 0.62 scored and 1.62 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 83%, Over 2.5 cards at 78.2%, Over 1.5 goals at 77.5% (hit), Under 5.5 cards at 76.3% and Over 21.5 fouls at 70.0%. Koper’s recent form shows a 2-game winning run, having beaten Aluminij 1-0, while Aluminij are coming off a defeat, losing 0-1 to Koper.

The match saw Koper extend their two-game winning run, beating Aluminij 2-1. The model’s favourite, Home win, was correct, reflecting the 47% probability that had been assigned. The predicted most likely score of 2-1 matched the outcome, and the total of two goals fell within the expected range. The single suggested pick, Over 1.5, hit with a 77.5% chance. Koper’s recent form, highlighted by a 2-game streak, and Aluminij’s return from defeat, set the stage for the home side’s victory. The model’s selections largely came through, confirming its accuracy for this fixture.