Koper and Bravo face off in the Slovenia: 1. SNL, with the home side boasting a recent draw against Brinje-Grosuplje in a 1-1 scoreline. In contrast, Bravo comes into this match off a 2-1 win over Radomlje. Koper's home form is impressive, scoring an average of 3 goals while conceding 1.75 per match against weaker opponents. Bravo's away form, however, is less convincing, scoring 1.57 goals while conceding 1.71 against stronger opponents.
The model predicts a high-scoring match, with an expected total of 3.3 goals and a most likely total of 3 goals. The home win is the model's selection, with a probability of 48%, while the draw is 25% and the away win is 28%. The model's selection is the home win. Koper's home scoring and conceding patterns are a key factor in this prediction. The model also suggests the Over 1.5 selection, with a probability of 84.5%, and the Over 1.5 is the model's selection.
Results analysis
The draw between Koper and Bravo marks a surprising upset, as it extends Koper's run of consecutive draws. The final score was 0-0, resulting in a draw. The model's selection, a home win, was incorrect. With a pre-match probability of 48%, the model's call was wrong. The model's selection had a 48% chance of winning. The suggested picks included Over 1.5, which had a 84.1% probability but missed, and no other selections were provided.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Koper win✗ Miss
47.8%
Avg Implied 52.9% · @ 1.72
Edge
-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.76
Betano
1.75
Dafabet
1.75
10Bet
1.73
888Sport
1.73
Draw✓ Hit
24.7%
Avg Implied 24.2% · @ 3.76
Edge
+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.01
Dafabet
3.90
Betfair
3.90
BetVictor
3.90
10Bet
3.80
Bravo win✗ Miss
27.5%
Avg Implied 22.9% · @ 3.98
Edge
+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.21
Dafabet
4.10
Bet365
4.10
1xBet
4.04
Betfair
4.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Koper
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.93
1.27
2.14
1.07
1.75
1.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
1.84
1.37
2.11
1.00
1.60
1.70
vs Weaker (11)
2.09
1.09
2.20
1.20
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bravo
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.47
1.67
1.40
1.60
1.53
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
0.67
1.00
0.00
1.50
1.00
vs Similar (27)
1.67
1.56
1.71
1.50
1.62
1.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Koper) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
84.1%
@ 1.15+3.2%
Under 1.5
15.9%
@ 4.83-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
888Sport
1.15
Under
Betfair
5.50
Pinnacle
5.16
BetVictor
5.00
888Sport
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
62.3%
@ 1.52+1.3%
Under 2.5
37.7%
@ 2.37-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.56
Betano
1.55
10Bet
1.53
Bet365
1.53
888Sport
1.53
Under
Betfair
2.55
Pinnacle
2.46
10Bet
2.40
888Sport
2.38
Bet365
2.38
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
40.0%
@ 2.29-0.4%
Under 3.5
60.0%
@ 1.56+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.38
10Bet
2.30
Unibet
2.30
888Sport
2.30
Betfair
2.30
Under
Betfair
1.60
Pinnacle
1.59
Bet365
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Betano
1.57
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.7%
@ 1.50+2.5%
No
36.3%
@ 2.37-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.52
Marathonbet
1.51
1xBet
1.51
888Sport
1.50
No
Betfair
2.50
888Sport
2.40
William Hil
2.40
BetVictor
2.40
Bet365
2.38
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%@ 7.12+5.0%
2-1
9.4%@ 7.51+3.5%
1-2
6.9%@ 11.97+3.2%
2-0
6.9%@ 9.53+2.2%
1-0
6.4%@ 8.97+1.5%
2-2
6.4%@ 11.12+2.4%
3-1
5.8%@ 11.41+1.9%
0-0 ✓
5.0%@ 14.40+2.0%
Koper goals ↓
Bravo goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.0%
4.5%
3.8%
1.7%
0.6%
1
6.4%
11%
6.9%
3.2%
1.1%
2
6.9%
9.4%
6.4%
2.9%
1.0%
3
4.2%
5.8%
3.9%
1.8%
0.6%
4
1.9%
2.7%
1.8%
0.8%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Koper goals (down), columns = Bravo goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Maribor
2.14
Celje
1.83
Koper
1.71
Bravo
1.57
Aluminij
1.14
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.14
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.14
Nafta
1.00
Mura
1.00
Radomlje
0.83
Koper is 0.14 points better than Bravo in terms of average points per game (1.71 vs 1.57).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Maribor
1.86
Nafta
1.71
Celje
1.67
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.57
Radomlje
1.17
Bravo
1.14
Aluminij
1.14
Mura
1.14
Koper
1.00
Olimpija Ljubljana
0.43
Koper is 0.14 goals worse than Bravo in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.14).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Maribor
0.71
Koper
0.71
Olimpija Ljubljana
0.71
Bravo
1.14
Aluminij
1.14
Celje
1.33
Radomlje
1.67
Nafta
1.71
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.71
Mura
2.00
Koper is 0.43 goals better than Bravo in terms of goals conceded per game (0.71 vs 1.14).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Koper
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Bravo
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Koper
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (19)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bravo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (5)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (45)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Koper) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Mura
11.1
Aluminij
10.1
Olimpija Ljubljana
9.7
Bravo
9.6
Celje
9.4
Koper
9.2
Maribor
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Aluminij
5.0
Celje
4.8
Maribor
4.7
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.7
Mura
4.2
Koper
4.0
Bravo
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Aluminij
27.0
Maribor
25.2
Olimpija Ljubljana
25.2
Celje
24.9
Koper
24.9
Bravo
24.7
Mura
24.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
51.3%
@ 1.80-0.0%
Under 9.5
48.7%
@ 1.89+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.83
10Bet
1.83
1xBet
1.78
Pinnacle
1.77
Under
Pinnacle
2.00
Marathonbet
1.93
1xBet
1.92
Betano
1.85
10Bet
1.83
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
58.4%
Under 3.5
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
70.6%
Under 21.5
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Koper or Draw✓ Hit
72.5%
Avg Implied 77.4% · @ 1.18
Edge
-4.9%
48%
25%
27%
covers Koper + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.25
BetVictor
1.22
William Hil
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Betfair
1.17
Koper or Bravo✗ Miss
75.3%
Avg Implied 76.6% · @ 1.20
Edge
-1.3%
48%
25%
27%
covers Koper + Bravo
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.24
888Sport
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Draw or Bravo✓ Hit
52.2%
Avg Implied 46.0% · @ 1.99
Edge
+6.2%
48%
25%
27%
covers Draw + Bravo
Best 5 market prices
SBO
2.08
888Sport
2.05
Betano
2.05
William Hil
2.05
BetVictor
2.00
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Koper
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.53
1.00
0.36
0.94
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
1.05
0.53
1.22
0.22
0.90
0.80
vs Weaker (11)
0.82
0.55
0.60
0.60
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bravo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.77
0.67
0.67
0.73
0.87
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.50
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.63
0.85
0.64
0.71
0.62
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Koper) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Koper over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Koper
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.73
1.14
0.71
0.81
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.79
0.84
0.89
0.78
0.70
0.90
vs Weaker (11)
1.27
0.55
1.60
0.60
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bravo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.70
1.00
0.73
0.87
0.67
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
1.04
0.70
1.07
0.79
1.00
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Koper) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Koper over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
84.1%
1.15
10Bet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
888Sport
1.15
+3.2%
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
75.3%
1.20
Betano
1.24
888Sport
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
-1.3%
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
72.5%
1.18
Betano
1.25
BetVictor
1.22
William Hil
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Betfair
1.17
-4.9%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
72.3%
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
-
-
-
+3.1%
-
Over 21.5 fouls
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
ALU (24)
€4m
BRI (24)
€3m
NAF (18)
€2m
Koper's squad is €4m more valuable than Bravo's (€8m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
ALU (9)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
Koper's attack is €2m more valuable than Bravo's (€3m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
NAF (2)
€0m
Koper's midfield is €1m more valuable than Bravo's (€2m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
ALU (10)
€2m
BRI (10)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
Koper and Bravo have a similar defence value (both €3m).
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Maribor
Celje
Aluminij
Brinje-Grosuplje
Olimpija Ljubljana
Nafta
Mura
Radomlje