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Koper vs Mura Result & Analysis

Date: 23/08/2025
Time: 15:30
Final 2-1
Koper
Koper
Vs
61%
25%
14%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Mura
Mura
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Koper win✓ Hit
61.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mura win✗ Miss
13.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

KoperKoper

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-731W11D31W21W07L20W35L22D12L31WA·MUR25/05A·ZEL10/07H·ZEL17/07H·BRA20/07A·VIK24/07H·PRI28/07H·VIK31/07A·MAR03/08H·RAD09/08A·OLI17/08
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.801.471.601.072.001.87
vs Stronger (2)1.506.003.005.000.007.00
vs Similar (17)1.651.291.250.882.001.67
vs Weaker (11)2.090.911.830.672.401.20
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Mura) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MuraMura

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D02L11D02L13L01L02L11D03L30WA·BRA28/04A·RAD03/05H·OLI10/05A·PRI17/05H·KOP25/05A·OLI19/07A·BRA26/07H·ALU02/08A·CEL10/08H·NK 16/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.571.071.140.881.94
vs Stronger (14)0.711.860.711.570.712.14
vs Similar (16)1.191.311.430.711.001.78
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Koper) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%019%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.8%
Under 1.5
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.0%
Under 2.5
55.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.7%
Under 3.5
76.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
43.4%
No
56.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
13.8%
2-0
13.0%
1-1
11.6%
0-0
9.5%
2-1 ✓
9.3%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.0%
Koper goals ↓
Mura goals →
01234
09.5%5.0%2.2%0.5%0.1%
114%12%3.8%0.9%0.2%
213%9.3%3.3%0.8%0.1%
37.7%5.5%2.0%0.5%0.1%
43.4%2.4%0.9%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Koper goals (down), columns = Mura goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Celje
2.18
Nafta
2.00
Koper
1.97
Bravo
1.82
Maribor
1.61
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.58
Radomlje
1.32
Aluminij
1.06
Mura
0.91
NK Domzale
0.67
Primorje
0.64
Koper is 1.06 points better than Mura in terms of average points per game (1.97 vs 0.91).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celje
2.50
Koper
2.09
Bravo
1.82
Maribor
1.73
Radomlje
1.47
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.42
Aluminij
1.24
Mura
1.03
NK Domzale
0.94
Primorje
0.86
Nafta
0.50
Koper is 1.06 goals better than Mura in terms of goals scored per game (2.09 vs 1.03).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Nafta
0.00
Celje
0.94
Maribor
1.21
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.21
Koper
1.26
Bravo
1.50
Mura
1.62
Aluminij
1.79
Radomlje
1.85
Primorje
2.08
NK Domzale
2.11
Koper is 0.35 goals better than Mura in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 1.62).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

KoperKoper

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

MuraMura

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

KoperKoper

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (2)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (29)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (19)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Mura) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MuraMura

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (22)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (28)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Koper) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Mura
11.1
Aluminij
10.1
Olimpija Ljubljana
9.7
Bravo
9.6
NK Domzale
9.6
Celje
9.3
Koper
9.2
Maribor
9.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aluminij
5.0
Maribor
4.7
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.7
NK Domzale
4.7
Celje
4.5
Mura
4.2
Koper
4.0
Bravo
3.8

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Aluminij
27.0
NK Domzale
26.4
Maribor
25.2
Olimpija Ljubljana
25.2
Koper
24.9
Bravo
24.7
Mura
24.2
Celje
23.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
56.6%
Under 9.5
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
57.1%
Under 3.5
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
68.0%
Under 21.5
32.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KoperKoper

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W10W31W00D01L10W21W11D02L01LA·MUR25/05A·ZEL10/07H·ZEL17/07H·BRA20/07A·VIK24/07H·PRI28/07H·VIK31/07A·MAR03/08H·RAD09/08A·OLI17/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.570.730.330.930.80
vs Stronger (2)1.001.002.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (17)0.710.530.620.250.780.78
vs Weaker (11)1.000.550.670.331.400.80
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Mura) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MuraMura

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D11D01L12L00D01L11D01L10WA·BRA28/04A·RAD03/05H·OLI10/05A·PRI17/05H·KOP25/05A·OLI19/07A·BRA26/07H·ALU02/08A·CEL10/08H·NK 16/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.600.710.570.440.62
vs Stronger (14)0.430.710.570.710.290.71
vs Similar (16)0.690.500.860.430.560.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Koper) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Koper over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KoperKoper

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-610W01L00D21W06L10W14L11D10W30WA·MUR25/05A·ZEL10/07H·ZEL17/07H·BRA20/07A·VIK24/07H·PRI28/07H·VIK31/07A·MAR03/08H·RAD09/08A·OLI17/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.900.870.731.071.07
vs Stronger (2)0.505.001.004.000.006.00
vs Similar (17)0.940.760.620.621.220.89
vs Weaker (11)1.090.361.170.331.000.40
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Mura) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MuraMura

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L00D01L01L01L01L00D02L20WA·BRA28/04A·RAD03/05H·OLI10/05A·PRI17/05H·KOP25/05A·OLI19/07A·BRA26/07H·ALU02/08A·CEL10/08H·NK 16/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.970.360.570.441.31
vs Stronger (14)0.291.140.140.860.431.43
vs Similar (16)0.500.810.570.290.441.22
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Koper) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Koper over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls81.5%--------
Under 5.5 cards78.2%--------
Over 2.5 cards76.5%--------
Under 3.576.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.571.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
ALU (24)
€4m
NAF (18)
€2m
PRI (10)
€1m
Koper's squad is €3m more valuable than Mura's (€8m vs €5m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
ALU (9)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
PRI (3)
€0m
Koper's attack is €2m more valuable than Mura's (€3m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
PRI (2)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
Koper's midfield is €1m more valuable than Mura's (€2m vs €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
ALU (10)
€2m
NAF (8)
€1m
PRI (5)
€0m
Koper and Mura have a similar defence value (both €3m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
KOP wins
3
Draws
1
MUR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Koper vs Mura · H/A from KOP
DateH/AGameScore
25/05/25AMura Vs KOP1-3
29/03/25HKOP Vs Mura1-0
08/12/24AMura Vs KOP1-3
22/09/24HKOP Vs Mura0-0
14/04/24AMura Vs KOP1-1
23/03/24HKOP Vs Mura2-1
22/10/23AMura Vs KOP2-2
14/08/23HKOP Vs Mura1-3

KoperKoper

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/08/25AOlimpija Ljubljana Vs KOP1-3
09/08/25HKOP Vs Radomlje1-2
03/08/25AMaribor Vs KOP2-2
31/07/25HKOP Vs Viking3-5
28/07/25HKOP Vs Primorje2-0
24/07/25AViking Vs KOP7-0
20/07/25HKOP Vs Bravo2-1
17/07/25HKOP Vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo3-1
10/07/25AZeljeznicar Sarajevo Vs KOP1-1
25/05/25AMura Vs KOP1-3

MuraMura

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/08/25HMUR Vs NK Domzale3-0
10/08/25ACelje Vs MUR3-0
02/08/25HMUR Vs Aluminij1-1
26/07/25ABravo Vs MUR2-0
19/07/25AOlimpija Ljubljana Vs MUR1-0
25/05/25HMUR Vs Koper1-3
17/05/25APrimorje Vs MUR2-0
10/05/25HMUR Vs Olimpija Ljubljana1-1
03/05/25ARadomlje Vs MUR2-0
28/04/25ABravo Vs MUR1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Koper
Koper
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLW1.72
HomeWWWLL1.73
AwayWDLDW1.71
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%46%50%
AVG goals2.902.583.25
Over 1.5 %76%69%83%
Over 2.5 %54%46%62%
Over 3.5 %34%27%42%
Scored1.681.621.75
Conceded1.220.961.50
BTTS60%54%67%
Clean Sheet30%42%17%
Corners---
Cards---
Mura
Mura
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLW1.02
HomeLDLDW1.29
AwayLLLLL0.77
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%33%19%
AVG goals2.602.382.81
Over 1.5 %72%71%73%
Over 2.5 %46%42%50%
Over 3.5 %26%29%23%
Scored1.101.250.96
Conceded1.501.121.85
BTTS50%54%46%
Clean Sheet24%33%15%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CeljeCelje3474
68%
2.2
8532+53
3.4
85%
71%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
7162.50.9
-
2KoperKoper3467
59%
2.0
7143+28
3.4
82%
68%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3232.11.3
-
3BravoBravo3462
56%
1.8
6251+11
3.3
88%
71%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.81.5
-
4MariborMaribor3353
45%
1.6
5740+17
2.9
82%
58%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
5231.71.2
-
5Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana3352
45%
1.6
4740+7
2.6
79%
58%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
6151.41.2
-
6RadomljeRadomlje3445
38%
1.3
5063-13
3.3
97%
79%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.51.9
-
7AluminijAluminij3436
29%
1.1
4261-19
3.0
85%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.21.8
-
8MuraMura3431
24%
0.9
3555-20
2.6
76%
53%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.6
-
9PrimorjePrimorje3623
17%
0.6
3175-44
2.9
83%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.1
-
10NK DomzaleNK Domzale1812
17%
0.7
1738-21
3.1
89%
61%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.1
-
11NaftaNafta24
50%
2.0
10+1
0.5
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.50.0
-
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →

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