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Koper vs NK Domzale Result & Analysis

Date: 11/11/2023
Time: 16:30
Final 0-1
Koper
Koper
Vs
46%
27%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
NK Domzale
NK Domzale
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Koper win✗ Miss
45.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale win✓ Hit
27.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KoperKoper

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W21W11D10W11D11D41W22D11D10WH·ROG26/08A·NK 02/09H·CEL17/09A·MAR24/09A·OLI28/09A·RAD01/10H·ALU08/10A·MUR22/10H·BRA28/10A·ROG04/11
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.131.271.131.331.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.331.001.300.701.381.38
vs Weaker (12)1.251.331.202.001.290.86
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Domzale) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D12L13L21W02L23L30W02L13L12LA·MAR26/08H·KOP02/09A·RAD17/09H·ALU22/09H·MUR27/09A·BRA30/09H·ROG08/10H·OLI21/10A·CEL27/10H·MAR04/11
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.471.061.441.571.50
vs Stronger (14)1.141.500.861.431.431.57
vs Similar (16)1.441.441.221.441.711.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Koper) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.5%
Under 1.5
20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.1%
Under 2.5
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.8%
Under 3.5
67.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.5%
No
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.0%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
5.8%
0-1 ✓
5.8%
Koper goals ↓
NK Domzale goals →
01234
06.7%5.8%4.3%1.8%0.6%
18.0%13%7.1%2.9%0.9%
27.6%9.4%5.8%2.4%0.7%
34.1%5.1%3.2%1.3%0.4%
41.7%2.1%1.3%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Koper goals (down), columns = NK Domzale goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Celje
2.19
Maribor
1.94
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.78
Bravo
1.39
Koper
1.33
NK Domzale
1.19
Mura
1.11
Rogaška
1.00
Radomlje
0.92
Aluminij
0.86
Koper is 0.14 points better than NK Domzale in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.19).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celje
2.08
Maribor
1.92
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.92
NK Domzale
1.44
Koper
1.42
Bravo
1.17
Mura
1.08
Rogaška
1.03
Aluminij
1.03
Radomlje
0.92
Koper is 0.03 goals worse than NK Domzale in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 1.44).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Maribor
0.89
Celje
0.94
Bravo
1.17
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.22
Koper
1.36
Radomlje
1.42
Mura
1.58
NK Domzale
1.67
Rogaška
1.78
Aluminij
1.97
Koper is 0.31 goals better than NK Domzale in terms of goals conceded per game (1.36 vs 1.67).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Olimpija Ljubljana
62%
Maribor
59%
Koper
56%
Aluminij
46%
Mura
46%
NK Domzale
44%
Celje
41%
Bravo
41%
Koper is 13.0 percentage points better than NK Domzale in terms of average possession (56% vs 44%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

KoperKoper

For 4.7 · Against 6.0 · Total 10.7

🚩 Corners

1404106445562468864854351410911614141298H·BRAA·MURH·ALUA·OLIA·MARH·CELA·NK A·BRAH·MURH·OLI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

7021141233411132311433515724527H·BRAA·MURH·ALUA·OLIA·MARH·CELA·NK A·BRAH·MURH·OLI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 12.4 · Total 25.4

⚠️ Fouls

3601412159861214201671618149111312141426241426362332202528H·BRAA·MURH·ALUA·OLIA·MARH·CELA·NK A·BRAH·MURH·OLI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

For 5.7 · Against 6.7 · Total 12.4

🚩 Corners

1505319666912176686939578101215131314151212H·MARA·CELH·OLIA·BRAH·MURH·ALUH·KOPA·MARH·CELA·OLI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.5

🟨 Cards

9042122121543123114233394511H·MARA·CELH·OLIA·BRAH·MURH·ALUH·KOPA·MARH·CELA·OLI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 12.1 · Total 23.5

⚠️ Fouls

350151211891211612712231418121271511827192117193532242219H·MARA·CELH·OLIA·BRAH·MURH·ALUH·KOPA·MARH·CELA·OLI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

KoperKoper

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.19.410.62.72.43.024.723.426.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (30)10.29.311.03.22.53.924.322.725.8
vs Weaker (20)9.79.79.82.02.21.825.424.526.4
% over line58%44%71%38%25%50%81%75%88%
% under line42%56%29%62%75%50%19%25%12%
This opponent (NK Domzale) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.49.88.93.33.72.826.827.126.5
vs Stronger (22)9.19.19.13.54.22.926.827.825.6
vs Similar (28)9.610.68.63.03.32.726.826.127.6
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line40%42%38%46%58%33%79%83%73%
% under line60%58%62%54%42%67%21%17%27%
This opponent (Koper) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Mura
10.8
Celje
10.0
Aluminij
9.9
Olimpija Ljubljana
9.7
Koper
9.7
NK Domzale
9.4
Bravo
9.3
Maribor
9.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aluminij
5.2
NK Domzale
4.8
Maribor
4.7
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.7
Mura
4.2
Koper
4.1
Celje
4.0
Bravo
3.9

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
NK Domzale
26.8
Aluminij
26.0
Bravo
25.7
Maribor
25.6
Olimpija Ljubljana
25.5
Mura
25.4
Koper
24.5
Celje
23.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
59.9%
Under 9.5
40.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
54.3%
Under 3.5
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
69.0%
Under 21.5
31.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KoperKoper

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D01L10W10W00D30W01L10W10WA·BRA18/08A·NK 02/09H·CEL17/09A·MAR24/09A·OLI28/09A·RAD01/10H·ALU08/10A·MUR22/10H·BRA28/10A·ROG04/11
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.470.570.430.690.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.720.390.560.220.890.56
vs Weaker (12)0.500.580.600.800.430.43
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Domzale) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D11D13L01L01L22D10W00D01L11DA·MAR26/08H·KOP02/09A·RAD17/09H·ALU22/09H·MUR27/09A·BRA30/09H·ROG08/10H·OLI21/10A·CEL27/10H·MAR04/11
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.730.380.620.930.86
vs Stronger (14)0.710.500.570.430.860.57
vs Similar (16)0.560.940.220.781.001.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Koper) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Koper over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KoperKoper

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W10W00D01L11D11D21W01L00DA·BRA18/08A·NK 02/09H·CEL17/09A·MAR24/09A·OLI28/09A·RAD01/10H·ALU08/10A·MUR22/10H·BRA28/10A·ROG04/11
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.670.570.790.620.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.500.610.560.560.440.67
vs Weaker (12)0.750.750.601.200.860.43
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Domzale) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L00D20W01L01L20W02L12L01LA·MAR26/08H·KOP02/09A·RAD17/09H·ALU22/09H·MUR27/09A·BRA30/09H·ROG08/10H·OLI21/10A·CEL27/10H·MAR04/11
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.730.690.810.640.64
vs Stronger (14)0.431.000.291.000.571.00
vs Similar (16)0.880.501.000.670.710.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Koper) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Koper over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls82.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards80.4%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.579.5%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards74.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners71.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
ALU (24)
€4m
NAF (18)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
ALU (9)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
NAF (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
ALU (10)
€2m
NAF (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
KOP wins
2
Draws
1
ND wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Koper vs NK Domzale · H/A from KOP
DateH/AGameScore
02/09/23ANK Domzale Vs KOP1-2
04/05/23HKOP Vs NK Domzale2-3
04/03/23ANK Domzale Vs KOP0-0
04/11/22HKOP Vs NK Domzale1-1
27/08/22ANK Domzale Vs KOP0-2

KoperKoper

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/11/23ARogaška Vs KOP0-1
28/10/23HKOP Vs Bravo1-1
22/10/23AMura Vs KOP2-2
08/10/23HKOP Vs Aluminij4-1
01/10/23ARadomlje Vs KOP1-1
28/09/23AOlimpija Ljubljana Vs KOP1-1
24/09/23AMaribor Vs KOP0-1
17/09/23HKOP Vs Celje1-1
02/09/23ANK Domzale Vs KOP1-2
26/08/23HKOP Vs Rogaška3-0

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/11/23HND Vs Maribor1-2
27/10/23ACelje Vs ND3-1
21/10/23HND Vs Olimpija Ljubljana0-2
08/10/23HND Vs Rogaška3-0
30/09/23ABravo Vs ND3-2
27/09/23HND Vs Mura0-2
22/09/23HND Vs Aluminij2-1
17/09/23ARadomlje Vs ND3-1
02/09/23HND Vs Koper1-2
26/08/23AMaribor Vs ND1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Koper
Koper
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDDW1.58
HomeLWDWD1.46
AwayWDDDW1.69
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%42%46%
AVG goals2.402.502.31
Over 1.5 %70%71%69%
Over 2.5 %42%42%42%
Over 3.5 %20%21%19%
Scored1.381.461.31
Conceded1.021.041.00
BTTS52%50%54%
Clean Sheet34%29%38%
Corners10.069.4410.65
Cards4.123.564.65
NK Domzale
NK Domzale
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL1.30
HomeWLWLL1.15
AwayLDLLL1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%27%42%
AVG goals2.742.812.67
Over 1.5 %82%88%75%
Over 2.5 %54%62%46%
Over 3.5 %28%27%29%
Scored1.381.271.50
Conceded1.361.541.17
BTTS60%65%54%
Clean Sheet24%15%33%
Corners9.379.798.88
Cards4.665.054.19

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CeljeCelje3679
67%
2.2
7534+41
3.0
86%
61%
42%
9.8
55%
3.9
55%
21.8
60%
14
7162.10.9
41%
2MariborMaribor3670
56%
1.9
6932+37
2.8
81%
58%
31%
8.8
42%
4.4
68%
24.3
68%
10
5231.90.9
59%
3Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana3664
50%
1.8
6944+25
3.1
81%
56%
42%
9.9
74%
4.1
53%
24.0
61%
12
6151.91.2
62%
4BravoBravo3650
33%
1.4
4242+0
2.3
83%
36%
14%
10.8
68%
3.6
53%
21.3
47%
4
1121.21.2
41%
5KoperKoper3648
33%
1.3
5149+2
2.8
78%
56%
31%
9.1
53%
3.9
59%
26.1
81%
8
3231.41.4
56%
6NK DomzaleNK Domzale3643
36%
1.2
5260-8
3.1
86%
64%
36%
11.3
74%
3.8
53%
24.3
58%
0
0001.41.7
44%
7MuraMura3640
28%
1.1
3957-18
2.7
78%
44%
33%
11.4
74%
3.7
53%
21.6
53%
5
2121.11.6
46%
8RogaškaRogaška3636
28%
1.0
3764-27
2.8
78%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
9RadomljeRadomlje3633
19%
0.9
3351-18
2.3
78%
36%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2120.91.4
-
10AluminijAluminij3631
22%
0.9
3771-34
3.0
78%
53%
39%
10.1
65%
4.8
70%
26.4
75%
4
2121.02.0
46%
11NaftaNafta00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.00.0
-
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →

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