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Koper vs Radomlje Result & Analysis

Date: 10/02/2024
Time: 16:30
Final 0-1
Koper
Koper
Vs
42%
28%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Radomlje
Radomlje
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Koper win✗ Miss
42.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Radomlje win✓ Hit
29.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KoperKoper

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D41W22D11D10W01L23L33D24L02LA·RAD01/10H·ALU08/10A·MUR22/10H·BRA28/10A·ROG04/11H·NK 11/11A·ALU26/11H·MAR06/12H·OLI10/12A·CEL16/12
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.371.531.401.331.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.531.371.801.201.221.56
vs Weaker (11)1.271.361.001.801.501.00
Clean sheet %27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Radomlje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RadomljeRadomlje

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D11D20W11D20W13L02L03L04L22DH·KOP01/10A·OLI08/10A·ALU22/10H·MUR29/10A·BRA05/11H·ROG11/11H·OLI25/11A·NK 02/12H·CEL05/12H·MAR11/12
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.331.191.621.141.00
vs Stronger (13)0.771.770.882.000.601.40
vs Similar (17)1.471.001.501.251.440.78
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Koper) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
76.2%
Under 1.5
23.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.4%
Under 2.5
49.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.4%
Under 3.5
71.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.5%
No
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.8%
0-0
8.0%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
0-1 ✓
7.0%
2-2
5.5%
Koper goals ↓
Radomlje goals →
01234
08.0%7.0%5.0%2.0%0.6%
18.8%13%7.4%3.0%0.9%
27.4%9.0%5.5%2.2%0.7%
33.6%4.4%2.7%1.1%0.3%
41.3%1.6%1.0%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Koper goals (down), columns = Radomlje goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Celje
2.19
Maribor
1.94
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.78
Bravo
1.39
Koper
1.33
NK Domzale
1.19
Mura
1.11
Rogaška
1.00
Radomlje
0.92
Aluminij
0.86
Koper is 0.42 points better than Radomlje in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 0.92).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celje
2.08
Maribor
1.92
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.92
NK Domzale
1.44
Koper
1.42
Bravo
1.17
Mura
1.08
Rogaška
1.03
Aluminij
1.03
Radomlje
0.92
Koper is 0.50 goals better than Radomlje in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 0.92).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Maribor
0.89
Celje
0.94
Bravo
1.17
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.22
Koper
1.36
Radomlje
1.42
Mura
1.58
NK Domzale
1.67
Rogaška
1.78
Aluminij
1.97
Koper is 0.06 goals better than Radomlje in terms of goals conceded per game (1.36 vs 1.42).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Olimpija Ljubljana
62%
Maribor
59%
Koper
56%
Aluminij
46%
Mura
46%
NK Domzale
44%
Celje
41%
Bravo
41%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

KoperKoper

For 4.1 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.1

🚩 Corners

1401271646441064455624308101014109116A·CELH·OLIH·MARA·ALUH·NK H·BRAA·MURH·ALUA·OLIA·MAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.0

🟨 Cards

701123123242114123341345635157A·CELH·OLIH·MARA·ALUH·NK H·BRAA·MURH·ALUA·OLIA·MAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 12.1 · Total 24.1

⚠️ Fouls

3602181622121219141215986121420167163243431262414263623A·CELH·MARA·ALUH·NK H·BRAA·MURH·ALUA·OLIA·MARH·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RadomljeRadomlje

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

KoperKoper

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.29.29.22.62.52.824.423.825.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (30)8.98.89.02.92.33.523.622.724.4
vs Weaker (20)9.89.79.82.32.91.825.825.426.4
% over line53%44%62%38%28%48%79%76%81%
% under line47%56%38%62%72%52%21%24%19%
This opponent (Radomlje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RadomljeRadomlje

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (22)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (28)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Koper) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Mura
11.2
Aluminij
9.9
Celje
9.8
Bravo
9.6
NK Domzale
9.6
Olimpija Ljubljana
9.5
Koper
9.2
Maribor
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aluminij
5.2
NK Domzale
4.8
Maribor
4.8
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.4
Mura
4.2
Koper
4.0
Celje
4.0
Bravo
3.7

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
NK Domzale
26.8
Aluminij
26.5
Maribor
25.5
Olimpija Ljubljana
25.1
Bravo
24.9
Mura
24.8
Koper
24.3
Celje
23.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
50.0%
Under 9.5
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
54.5%
Under 3.5
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
68.0%
Under 21.5
32.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KoperKoper

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W01L10W10W00D12L22D03L00DA·RAD01/10H·ALU08/10A·MUR22/10H·BRA28/10A·ROG04/11H·NK 11/11A·ALU26/11H·MAR06/12H·OLI10/12A·CEL16/12
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.600.710.640.560.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.720.670.780.670.670.67
vs Weaker (12)0.500.500.600.600.430.43
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Radomlje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RadomljeRadomlje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D10W01L10W01L00D02L00D12LH·KOP01/10A·OLI08/10A·ALU22/10H·MUR29/10A·BRA05/11H·ROG11/11H·OLI25/11A·NK 02/12H·CEL05/12H·MAR11/12
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.800.500.940.640.64
vs Stronger (13)0.380.850.380.880.400.80
vs Similar (17)0.710.760.621.000.780.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Koper) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Koper over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KoperKoper

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D11D21W01L00D01L11D11D21W02LA·RAD01/10H·ALU08/10A·MUR22/10H·BRA28/10A·ROG04/11H·NK 11/11A·ALU26/11H·MAR06/12H·OLI10/12A·CEL16/12
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.770.710.860.690.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.720.780.890.670.560.89
vs Weaker (12)0.670.750.401.200.860.43
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Radomlje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RadomljeRadomlje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D00D10W10W10W12L02L01L04L10WH·KOP01/10A·OLI08/10A·ALU22/10H·MUR29/10A·BRA05/11H·ROG11/11H·OLI25/11A·NK 02/12H·CEL05/12H·MAR11/12
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.530.690.690.500.36
vs Stronger (13)0.380.920.501.120.200.60
vs Similar (17)0.760.240.880.250.670.22
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Koper) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Koper over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls81.6%--------
Under 5.5 cards80.2%--------
Over 1.576.2%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards74.6%--------
Under 11.5 corners73.4%--------
Under 3.571.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
ALU (24)
€4m
NAF (18)
€2m
Koper's squad is €3m more valuable than Radomlje's (€8m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
ALU (9)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
Koper and Radomlje have a similar attack value (both €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
NAF (2)
€0m
Koper's midfield is €1m more valuable than Radomlje's (€2m vs €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
ALU (10)
€2m
NAF (8)
€1m
Koper and Radomlje have a similar defence value (both €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
2
KOP wins
3
Draws
1
RAD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Koper vs Radomlje · H/A from KOP
DateH/AGameScore
01/10/23ARadomlje Vs KOP1-1
29/07/23HKOP Vs Radomlje1-0
22/04/23ARadomlje Vs KOP1-1
21/02/23HKOP Vs Radomlje1-2
24/10/22ARadomlje Vs KOP2-2
13/08/22HKOP Vs Radomlje5-0

KoperKoper

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/12/23ACelje Vs KOP2-0
10/12/23HKOP Vs Olimpija Ljubljana2-4
06/12/23HKOP Vs Maribor3-3
26/11/23AAluminij Vs KOP3-2
11/11/23HKOP Vs NK Domzale0-1
04/11/23ARogaška Vs KOP0-1
28/10/23HKOP Vs Bravo1-1
22/10/23AMura Vs KOP2-2
08/10/23HKOP Vs Aluminij4-1
01/10/23ARadomlje Vs KOP1-1

RadomljeRadomlje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/12/23HRAD Vs Maribor2-2
05/12/23HRAD Vs Celje0-4
02/12/23ANK Domzale Vs RAD3-0
25/11/23HRAD Vs Olimpija Ljubljana0-2
11/11/23HRAD Vs Rogaška1-3
05/11/23ABravo Vs RAD0-2
29/10/23HRAD Vs Mura1-1
22/10/23AAluminij Vs RAD0-2
08/10/23AOlimpija Ljubljana Vs RAD1-1
01/10/23HRAD Vs Koper1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Koper
Koper
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLL1.36
HomeWDLDL1.20
AwayDDWLL1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%32%40%
AVG goals2.542.602.48
Over 1.5 %72%68%76%
Over 2.5 %42%40%44%
Over 3.5 %24%24%24%
Scored1.321.321.32
Conceded1.221.281.16
BTTS54%52%56%
Clean Sheet30%24%36%
Corners9.219.179.25
Cards3.883.504.31
Radomlje
Radomlje
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLD1.06
HomeDLLLD1.00
AwayLDWWL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%19%29%
AVG goals2.502.462.54
Over 1.5 %82%81%83%
Over 2.5 %44%42%46%
Over 3.5 %22%31%12%
Scored0.940.881.00
Conceded1.561.581.54
BTTS54%50%58%
Clean Sheet18%19%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CeljeCelje3679
67%
2.2
7534+41
3.0
86%
61%
42%
9.8
55%
3.9
55%
21.8
60%
14
7162.10.9
41%
2MariborMaribor3670
56%
1.9
6932+37
2.8
81%
58%
31%
8.8
42%
4.4
68%
24.3
68%
10
5231.90.9
59%
3Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana3664
50%
1.8
6944+25
3.1
81%
56%
42%
9.9
74%
4.1
53%
24.0
61%
12
6151.91.2
62%
4BravoBravo3650
33%
1.4
4242+0
2.3
83%
36%
14%
10.8
68%
3.6
53%
21.3
47%
4
1121.21.2
41%
5KoperKoper3648
33%
1.3
5149+2
2.8
78%
56%
31%
9.1
53%
3.9
59%
26.1
81%
8
3231.41.4
56%
6NK DomzaleNK Domzale3643
36%
1.2
5260-8
3.1
86%
64%
36%
11.3
74%
3.8
53%
24.3
58%
0
0001.41.7
44%
7MuraMura3640
28%
1.1
3957-18
2.7
78%
44%
33%
11.4
74%
3.7
53%
21.6
53%
5
2121.11.6
46%
8RogaškaRogaška3636
28%
1.0
3764-27
2.8
78%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
9RadomljeRadomlje3633
19%
0.9
3351-18
2.3
78%
36%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2120.91.4
-
10AluminijAluminij3631
22%
0.9
3771-34
3.0
78%
53%
39%
10.1
65%
4.8
70%
26.4
75%
4
2121.02.0
46%
11NaftaNafta00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.00.0
-
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →

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