PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Korabi Peshkopi vs Burreli Result & Analysis

Date: 11/09/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 0-0
Korabi Peshkopi
Korabi Peshkopi
Vs
56%
26%
18%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Burreli
Burreli
Albania: 1st Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Korabi Peshkopi win✗ Miss
56.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
26.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Burreli win✗ Miss
18.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Korabi PeshkopiKorabi Peshkopi

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-532W23L23L51W00D23L24L00D00D01LA·VOR31/03H·AF 06/04A·BYL13/04H·LUZ24/04A·BES28/04H·BUR04/05A·KAS08/05A·FLA12/05H·LUS24/08A·BES01/09
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.201.731.070.801.33
vs Stronger (11)1.091.641.201.601.001.67
vs Similar (19)1.370.952.000.800.671.11
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Burreli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BurreliBurreli

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W12L01L01L13L20W32W21W21W00DH·BYL27/03A·LUZ31/03H·BES06/04A·TOM13/04A·KAS21/04H·LUS28/04A·KOR04/05H·APO08/05A·FLA24/08H·VAL31/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.171.200.800.731.53
vs Stronger (11)0.911.270.830.671.002.00
vs Similar (19)1.001.111.440.890.601.30
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Korabi Peshkopi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
74.4%
Under 1.5
25.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.1%
Under 2.5
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.4%
Under 3.5
73.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.2%
No
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.7%
0-0 ✓
8.6%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.4%
Korabi Peshkopi goals ↓
Burreli goals →
01234
08.6%5.4%2.9%0.8%0.2%
112%12%5.0%1.5%0.3%
211%9.7%4.3%1.3%0.3%
36.3%5.5%2.4%0.7%0.2%
42.7%2.4%1.0%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Korabi Peshkopi goals (down), columns = Burreli goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vora
2.30
Flamurtari
2.27
Besa Kavajë
2.14
Burreli
1.71
Pogradeci
1.57
Apolonia Fier
1.35
Lushnja
1.33
Korabi Peshkopi
1.24
Kastrioti Krujë
1.21
FK Kukesi
0.91
Valbona
0.48
Erzeni Shijak
0.33
Luzi 2008
0.00
Oriku
0.00
Korabi Peshkopi is 0.46 points worse than Burreli in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.71).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Flamurtari
1.88
Vora
1.67
Besa Kavajë
1.57
Apolonia Fier
1.35
Lushnja
1.18
Korabi Peshkopi
1.06
Burreli
1.06
Kastrioti Krujë
1.06
Pogradeci
1.00
FK Kukesi
0.88
Valbona
0.88
Erzeni Shijak
0.48
Luzi 2008
0.00
Oriku
0.00
Korabi Peshkopi is 0.00 goals better than Burreli in terms of goals scored per game (1.06 vs 1.06).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Besa Kavajë
0.57
Flamurtari
0.64
Burreli
0.68
Vora
0.73
Apolonia Fier
0.97
Luzi 2008
1.00
Pogradeci
1.00
Oriku
1.00
Lushnja
1.24
Kastrioti Krujë
1.44
Korabi Peshkopi
1.45
FK Kukesi
1.65
Valbona
1.79
Erzeni Shijak
1.91
Korabi Peshkopi is 0.78 goals worse than Burreli in terms of goals conceded per game (1.45 vs 0.68).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Korabi PeshkopiKorabi Peshkopi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D22D21W00D11D22D00D00D00DA·VOR31/03H·AF 06/04A·BYL13/04H·LUZ24/04A·BES28/04H·BUR04/05A·KAS08/05A·FLA12/05H·LUS24/08A·BES01/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.470.600.470.330.47
vs Stronger (11)0.360.550.200.400.500.67
vs Similar (19)0.530.420.800.500.220.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Burreli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BurreliBurreli

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L00D00D00D20W11D00D11D00DH·BYL27/03A·LUZ31/03H·BES06/04A·TOM13/04A·KAS21/04H·LUS28/04A·KOR04/05H·APO08/05A·FLA24/08H·VAL31/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.470.800.330.130.60
vs Stronger (11)0.450.730.670.500.201.00
vs Similar (19)0.470.320.890.220.100.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Korabi Peshkopi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Korabi Peshkopi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Korabi Peshkopi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Korabi Peshkopi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burreli over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burreli over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burreli over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Korabi PeshkopiKorabi Peshkopi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W23L01L30W00D12L02L00D00D01LA·VOR31/03H·AF 06/04A·BYL13/04H·LUZ24/04A·BES28/04H·BUR04/05A·KAS08/05A·FLA12/05H·LUS24/08A·BES01/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.731.130.600.470.87
vs Stronger (11)0.731.091.001.200.501.00
vs Similar (19)0.840.531.200.300.440.78
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Burreli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BurreliBurreli

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D01L01L13L00D21W21W10W00DH·BYL27/03A·LUZ31/03H·BES06/04A·TOM13/04A·KAS21/04H·LUS28/04A·KOR04/05H·APO08/05A·FLA24/08H·VAL31/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.700.400.470.600.93
vs Stronger (11)0.450.550.170.170.801.00
vs Similar (19)0.530.790.560.670.500.90
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Korabi Peshkopi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Korabi Peshkopi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Korabi Peshkopi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Korabi Peshkopi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burreli over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burreli over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burreli over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.4%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.573.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VOR (25)
€4m
BK (21)
€2m
POG (14)
€2m
KK (18)
€2m
KP (24)
€2m
BUR (21)
€1m
FK (20)
€1m
AF (18)
€1m
LUS (17)
€1m
Korabi Peshkopi and Burreli have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VOR (10)
€2m
BK (6)
€1m
POG (5)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
KP (9)
€1m
FK (6)
€0m
BUR (5)
€0m
AF (4)
€0m
LUS (3)
€0m
Korabi Peshkopi and Burreli have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (7)
€1m
VOR (4)
€1m
BK (7)
€1m
BUR (8)
€0m
KP (4)
€0m
POG (2)
€0m
AF (3)
€0m
FK (4)
€0m
LUS (4)
€0m
Korabi Peshkopi and Burreli have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VOR (11)
€1m
BK (8)
€1m
POG (7)
€1m
KP (11)
€1m
FK (10)
€1m
AF (11)
€1m
BUR (8)
€1m
KK (4)
€0m
LUS (10)
€0m
Korabi Peshkopi and Burreli have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
1
KP wins
2
Draws
2
BUR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Korabi Peshkopi vs Burreli · H/A from KP
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/24HKP Vs Burreli2-3
03/02/24ABurreli Vs KP1-0
22/10/23HKP Vs Burreli1-0
23/04/23HKP Vs Burreli0-0
11/12/22ABurreli Vs KP1-1

Korabi PeshkopiKorabi Peshkopi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/24ABesa Kavajë Vs KP1-0
24/08/24HKP Vs Lushnja0-0
12/05/24AFlamurtari Vs KP0-0
08/05/24AKastrioti Krujë Vs KP4-2
04/05/24HKP Vs Burreli2-3
28/04/24ABesa Kavajë Vs KP0-0
24/04/24HKP Vs Luzi 20085-1
13/04/24ABylis Vs KP3-2
06/04/24HKP Vs AF Elbasani2-3
31/03/24AVora Vs KP2-3

BurreliBurreli

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/24HBUR Vs Valbona0-0
24/08/24AFlamurtari Vs BUR1-2
08/05/24HBUR Vs Apolonia Fier2-1
04/05/24AKorabi Peshkopi Vs BUR2-3
28/04/24HBUR Vs Lushnja2-0
21/04/24AKastrioti Krujë Vs BUR3-1
13/04/24ATomori Berat Vs BUR1-0
06/04/24HBUR Vs Besa Kavajë0-1
31/03/24ALuzi 2008 Vs BUR2-1
27/03/24HBUR Vs Bylis1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Korabi Peshkopi
Korabi Peshkopi
Albania: 1st Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDDL1.32
HomeDLWLD2.00
AwayLDLDL0.74
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%61%15%
AVG goals2.142.351.96
Over 1.5 %50%57%44%
Over 2.5 %38%48%30%
Over 3.5 %22%22%22%
Scored1.101.570.70
Conceded1.040.781.26
BTTS40%43%37%
Clean Sheet36%48%26%
Corners---
Cards---
Burreli
Burreli
Albania: 1st Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWD1.34
HomeWLWWD1.88
AwayLLLWW0.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%54%21%
AVG goals2.001.732.29
Over 1.5 %52%42%62%
Over 2.5 %38%27%50%
Over 3.5 %14%12%17%
Scored0.881.080.67
Conceded1.120.651.62
BTTS34%31%38%
Clean Sheet40%58%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VoraVora3376
73%
2.3
5524+31
2.4
61%
30%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.70.7
-
2FlamurtariFlamurtari3375
70%
2.3
6221+41
2.5
82%
55%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.90.6
-
3Besa KavajëBesa Kavajë3575
63%
2.1
5520+35
2.1
69%
37%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.60.6
-
4BurreliBurreli3458
47%
1.7
3623+13
1.7
53%
32%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.10.7
-
5PogradeciPogradeci3555
46%
1.6
3535+0
2.0
54%
37%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.0
-
6Apolonia FierApolonia Fier3446
32%
1.4
4633+13
2.3
71%
41%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.41.0
-
7LushnjaLushnja3344
39%
1.3
3941-2
2.4
58%
52%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.2
-
8Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë3441
35%
1.2
3649-13
2.5
65%
47%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1101.11.4
-
9Korabi PeshkopiKorabi Peshkopi3341
36%
1.2
3548-13
2.5
67%
52%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.5
-
10FK KukesiFK Kukesi3431
26%
0.9
3056-26
2.5
76%
56%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.6
-
11ValbonaValbona3316
9%
0.5
2959-30
2.7
76%
52%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.8
-
12Erzeni ShijakErzeni Shijak3311
6%
0.3
1663-47
2.4
67%
39%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.9
-
13Luzi 2008Luzi 200810
0%
0.0
01-1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.01.0
-
14OrikuOriku10
0%
0.0
01-1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.01.0
-
Albania: 1st Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Albania: 1st Division stats & trends →

← all matches