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Korabi Peshkopi vs Kastrioti Krujë Result & Analysis

Date: 28/01/2024
Time: 12:30
Final 3-2
Korabi Peshkopi
Korabi Peshkopi
Vs
65%
25%
10%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kastrioti Krujë
Kastrioti Krujë
Albania: 1st Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Korabi Peshkopi win✓ Hit
64.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kastrioti Krujë win✗ Miss
10.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Korabi PeshkopiKorabi Peshkopi

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W01L01L00D40W22D00D10W21W12LH·BUR22/10A·VOR29/10H·FLA06/11A·LUS11/11H·TOM22/11A·APO26/11H·LUZ02/12A·BES10/12H·BYL16/12A·AF 19/01
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.771.310.310.651.12
vs Stronger (9)0.781.221.331.000.501.33
vs Similar (21)1.000.571.300.100.731.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Kastrioti Krujë) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W23L13L11D11D13L00D01L31W13LH·KOR08/10H·VOR22/10A·LUS29/10H·APO06/11A·BES11/11A·AF 22/11H·BUR26/11A·FLA02/12H·TOM10/12A·LUZ16/12
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.431.071.000.531.87
vs Stronger (18)0.781.831.001.440.562.22
vs Similar (12)0.830.831.170.330.501.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Korabi Peshkopi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%022%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.7%
Under 1.5
33.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
39.1%
Under 2.5
60.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
19.1%
Under 3.5
80.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
35.3%
No
64.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
17.0%
2-0
15.3%
0-0
11.5%
1-1
10.8%
3-0
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
Korabi Peshkopi goals ↓
Kastrioti Krujë goals →
01234
012%4.8%1.6%0.3%0.0%
117%11%2.7%0.5%0.1%
215%8.3%2.3%0.4%0.1%
38.7%4.7%1.3%0.2%0.0%
43.7%2.0%0.6%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Korabi Peshkopi goals (down), columns = Kastrioti Krujë goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
AF Elbasani
2.39
Bylis
2.15
Flamurtari
1.71
Vora
1.47
Apolonia Fier
1.43
Korabi Peshkopi
1.32
Burreli
1.21
Kastrioti Krujë
1.21
Lushnja
1.21
Besa Kavajë
1.21
Luzi 2008
0.94
Tomori Berat
0.52
Luftëtari
0.00
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0.00
Korabi Peshkopi is 0.11 points better than Kastrioti Krujë in terms of average points per game (1.32 vs 1.21).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
AF Elbasani
2.30
Vora
1.88
Bylis
1.67
Apolonia Fier
1.37
Flamurtari
1.31
Kastrioti Krujë
1.30
Luzi 2008
1.24
Korabi Peshkopi
1.24
Lushnja
1.18
Besa Kavajë
1.09
Luftëtari
1.00
Burreli
0.85
Tomori Berat
0.64
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0.00
Korabi Peshkopi is 0.07 goals worse than Kastrioti Krujë in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 1.30).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Flamurtari
0.83
Bylis
0.94
AF Elbasani
0.97
Apolonia Fier
0.97
Korabi Peshkopi
1.12
Burreli
1.30
Besa Kavajë
1.41
Kastrioti Krujë
1.42
Lushnja
1.56
Vora
1.59
Luzi 2008
1.70
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
2.00
Tomori Berat
2.18
Luftëtari
3.00
Korabi Peshkopi is 0.31 goals better than Kastrioti Krujë in terms of goals conceded per game (1.12 vs 1.42).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Korabi PeshkopiKorabi Peshkopi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L00D20W00D00D00D00D11DH·BUR22/10A·VOR29/10H·FLA06/11A·LUS11/11H·TOM22/11A·APO26/11H·LUZ02/12A·BES10/12H·BYL16/12A·AF 19/01
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.270.420.170.220.33
vs Stronger (9)0.440.330.670.330.330.33
vs Similar (21)0.240.240.330.110.170.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %73% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Kastrioti Krujë) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L02L11D00D02L00D01L11D11DH·KOR08/10H·VOR22/10A·LUS29/10H·APO06/11A·BES11/11A·AF 22/11H·BUR26/11A·FLA02/12H·TOM10/12A·LUZ16/12
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.800.400.600.271.00
vs Stronger (18)0.331.000.330.780.331.22
vs Similar (12)0.330.500.500.330.170.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Korabi Peshkopi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Korabi Peshkopi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Korabi Peshkopi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Korabi Peshkopi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kastrioti Krujë over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kastrioti Krujë over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kastrioti Krujë over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Korabi PeshkopiKorabi Peshkopi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L00D00D20W22D00D10W21W01LH·BUR22/10A·VOR29/10H·FLA06/11A·LUS11/11H·TOM22/11A·APO26/11H·LUZ02/12A·BES10/12H·BYL16/12A·AF 19/01
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.530.750.170.390.78
vs Stronger (9)0.330.890.670.670.171.00
vs Similar (21)0.620.380.780.000.500.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Kastrioti Krujë) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D11D00D11D11D00D00D20W02LH·KOR08/10H·VOR22/10A·LUS29/10H·APO06/11A·BES11/11A·AF 22/11H·BUR26/11A·FLA02/12H·TOM10/12A·LUZ16/12
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.630.670.400.270.87
vs Stronger (18)0.440.830.670.670.221.00
vs Similar (12)0.500.330.670.000.330.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Korabi Peshkopi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Korabi Peshkopi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Korabi Peshkopi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Korabi Peshkopi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kastrioti Krujë over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kastrioti Krujë over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kastrioti Krujë over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.580.9%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AE (25)
€5m
VOR (25)
€4m
BK (21)
€2m
IF (26)
€2m
KK (18)
€2m
KP (24)
€2m
BUR (21)
€1m
AF (18)
€1m
LUF (18)
€1m
LUS (17)
€1m
Korabi Peshkopi and Kastrioti Krujë have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AE (10)
€2m
VOR (10)
€2m
BK (6)
€1m
IF (9)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
KP (9)
€1m
LUF (6)
€0m
BUR (5)
€0m
AF (4)
€0m
LUS (3)
€0m
Korabi Peshkopi and Kastrioti Krujë have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AE (5)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
VOR (4)
€1m
BK (7)
€1m
BUR (8)
€0m
KP (4)
€0m
IF (6)
€0m
AF (3)
€0m
LUF (4)
€0m
LUS (4)
€0m
Korabi Peshkopi and Kastrioti Krujë have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AE (10)
€2m
VOR (11)
€1m
BK (8)
€1m
IF (11)
€1m
KP (11)
€1m
AF (11)
€1m
BUR (8)
€1m
KK (4)
€0m
LUF (8)
€0m
LUS (10)
€0m
Korabi Peshkopi and Kastrioti Krujë have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
KP wins
0
Draws
1
KK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Korabi Peshkopi vs Kastrioti Krujë · H/A from KP
DateH/AGameScore
08/10/23AKastrioti Krujë Vs KP1-0

Korabi PeshkopiKorabi Peshkopi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/01/24AAF Elbasani Vs KP2-1
16/12/23HKP Vs Bylis2-1
10/12/23ABesa Kavajë Vs KP0-1
02/12/23HKP Vs Luzi 20080-0
26/11/23AApolonia Fier Vs KP2-2
22/11/23HKP Vs Tomori Berat4-0
11/11/23ALushnja Vs KP0-0
06/11/23HKP Vs Flamurtari0-1
29/10/23AVora Vs KP1-0
22/10/23HKP Vs Burreli1-0

Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/12/23ALuzi 2008 Vs KK3-1
10/12/23HKK Vs Tomori Berat3-1
02/12/23AFlamurtari Vs KK1-0
26/11/23HKK Vs Burreli0-0
22/11/23AAF Elbasani Vs KK3-1
11/11/23ABesa Kavajë Vs KK1-1
06/11/23HKK Vs Apolonia Fier1-1
29/10/23ALushnja Vs KK3-1
22/10/23HKK Vs Vora2-3
08/10/23HKK Vs Korabi Peshkopi1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Korabi Peshkopi
Korabi Peshkopi
Albania: 1st Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWL1.50
HomeWLWDW2.24
AwayLDDWL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %39%67%16%
AVG goals1.912.051.80
Over 1.5 %54%57%52%
Over 2.5 %33%43%24%
Over 3.5 %13%14%12%
Scored1.111.570.72
Conceded0.800.481.08
BTTS41%33%48%
Clean Sheet39%57%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Kastrioti Krujë
Kastrioti Krujë
Albania: 1st Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWL0.98
HomeWLDDW1.48
AwayLDLLL0.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%36%8%
AVG goals2.162.122.20
Over 1.5 %54%56%52%
Over 2.5 %38%36%40%
Over 3.5 %28%24%32%
Scored0.801.120.48
Conceded1.361.001.72
BTTS44%48%40%
Clean Sheet30%40%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AF ElbasaniAF Elbasani3379
73%
2.4
7632+44
3.3
82%
64%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.31.0
-
2BylisBylis3371
67%
2.2
5531+24
2.6
73%
48%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.9
-
3FlamurtariFlamurtari3560
46%
1.7
4629+17
2.1
57%
37%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.8
-
4Apolonia FierApolonia Fier3550
37%
1.4
4834+14
2.3
63%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.41.0
-
5VoraVora3450
44%
1.5
6454+10
3.5
79%
71%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.91.6
-
6Korabi PeshkopiKorabi Peshkopi3445
35%
1.3
4238+4
2.4
56%
44%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.1
-
7Besa KavajëBesa Kavajë3441
32%
1.2
3748-11
2.5
68%
38%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.11.4
-
8LushnjaLushnja3441
32%
1.2
4053-13
2.7
79%
53%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.6
-
9Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë3340
30%
1.2
4347-4
2.7
73%
48%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1101.31.4
-
10BurreliBurreli3340
36%
1.2
2843-15
2.2
55%
36%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.81.3
-
11Luzi 2008Luzi 20083331
27%
0.9
4156-15
2.9
73%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.7
-
12Tomori BeratTomori Berat3317
12%
0.5
2172-51
2.8
76%
58%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.2
-
13LuftëtariLuftëtari10
0%
0.0
13-2
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.03.0
-
14Iliria Fushë-KrujëIliria Fushë-Krujë10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.02.0
-
Albania: 1st Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Albania: 1st Division stats & trends →

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