PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Kozarmisleny FC vs Ajka Result & Analysis

Date: 13/04/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
Kozarmisleny FC
Kozarmisleny FC
Vs
47%
26%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ajka
Ajka
Hungary: NB II
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kozarmisleny FC win✓ Hit
47.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ajka win✗ Miss
26.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-532W20W11D02L05L23L13L20W20W21WH·GYI24/11A·SZE01/12A·BEK09/02A·SZE16/02A·BUD24/02H·KIS03/03A·VAS10/03H·BUD16/03A·TAT30/03H·KAZ06/04
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.501.441.311.641.71
vs Stronger (4)1.252.751.332.671.003.00
vs Similar (26)1.581.311.461.001.691.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AjkaAjka

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L31W02L01L20W20W04L23L21W00DH·BVS24/11H·GYI01/12A·SZE09/02H·BEK16/02A·SZE23/02H·BUD02/03A·KIS09/03H·VAS16/03A·BUD30/03H·TAT06/04
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.501.121.181.461.92
vs Stronger (3)1.332.331.002.002.003.00
vs Similar (27)1.261.411.131.071.421.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Kozarmisleny FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.6%
Under 1.5
20.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.2%
Under 2.5
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.9%
Under 3.5
67.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.3%
No
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
1-0 ✓
8.2%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
5.7%
0-1
5.6%
Kozarmisleny FC goals ↓
Ajka goals →
01234
06.7%5.6%4.1%1.6%0.5%
18.2%12%6.8%2.8%0.8%
27.9%9.5%5.7%2.3%0.7%
34.4%5.3%3.2%1.3%0.4%
41.9%2.2%1.4%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kozarmisleny FC goals (down), columns = Ajka goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kisvarda FC
1.93
Kazincbarcikai
1.77
Vasas
1.73
Kozarmisleny FC
1.57
Szentlőrinc SE
1.57
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.47
Szeged 2011
1.40
Budapest Honved
1.33
BVSC
1.27
Csakvar
1.20
Budafoki LC
1.17
Soroksar
1.17
Ajka
1.17
Bekescsaba 1912
1.10
Gyirmot SE
1.03
Tatabánya
0.80
Kozarmisleny FC is 0.40 points better than Ajka in terms of average points per game (1.57 vs 1.17).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kisvarda FC
1.90
Kazincbarcikai
1.70
Vasas
1.57
Kozarmisleny FC
1.50
Budafoki LC
1.47
Szentlőrinc SE
1.47
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.47
Soroksar
1.40
Gyirmot SE
1.37
Csakvar
1.37
Budapest Honved
1.37
Szeged 2011
1.20
Ajka
1.03
BVSC
1.03
Bekescsaba 1912
1.00
Tatabánya
0.93
Kozarmisleny FC is 0.47 goals better than Ajka in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.03).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kazincbarcikai
1.00
Szeged 2011
1.07
BVSC
1.07
Szentlőrinc SE
1.07
Vasas
1.17
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.17
Bekescsaba 1912
1.27
Ajka
1.27
Budapest Honved
1.30
Kozarmisleny FC
1.40
Kisvarda FC
1.47
Gyirmot SE
1.53
Soroksar
1.57
Csakvar
1.67
Budafoki LC
1.77
Tatabánya
2.00
Kozarmisleny FC is 0.13 goals worse than Ajka in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 1.27).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D10W00D02L21W11D20W00D00DH·GYI24/11A·SZE01/12A·BEK09/02A·SZE16/02A·BUD24/02H·KIS03/03A·VAS10/03H·BUD16/03A·TAT30/03H·KAZ06/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.670.440.560.640.79
vs Stronger (4)0.501.500.331.671.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.540.540.460.310.620.77
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AjkaAjka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W01L00D20W20W02L21W20W00DH·BVS24/11H·GYI01/12A·SZE09/02H·BEK16/02A·SZE23/02H·BUD02/03A·KIS09/03H·VAS16/03A·BUD30/03H·TAT06/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.730.710.470.851.08
vs Stronger (3)1.000.671.001.001.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.740.740.670.400.831.17
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Kozarmisleny FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W20W01L02L03L02L02L00D20W21WH·GYI24/11A·SZE01/12A·BEK09/02A·SZE16/02A·BUD24/02H·KIS03/03A·VAS10/03H·BUD16/03A·TAT30/03H·KAZ06/04
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.831.000.751.000.93
vs Stronger (4)0.751.251.001.000.002.00
vs Similar (26)1.040.771.000.691.080.85
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AjkaAjka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D01L01L00D00D02L02L01L00DH·BVS24/11H·GYI01/12A·SZE09/02H·BEK16/02A·SZE23/02H·BUD02/03A·KIS09/03H·VAS16/03A·BUD30/03H·TAT06/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.770.410.710.620.85
vs Stronger (3)0.331.670.001.001.003.00
vs Similar (27)0.520.670.470.670.580.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Kozarmisleny FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.6%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (28)
€7m
KF (25)
€6m
BH (25)
€5m
KAZ (19)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
MEZ (17)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
SS (19)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
Kozarmisleny FC and Ajka have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (11)
€3m
KF (8)
€2m
BH (6)
€1m
MEZ (7)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
KAZ (7)
€1m
SS (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
Kozarmisleny FC and Ajka have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (7)
€2m
KF (7)
€2m
BH (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
KAZ (4)
€0m
S2 (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
MEZ (1)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
Kozarmisleny FC and Ajka have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BH (14)
€3m
KF (10)
€2m
VAS (10)
€2m
KAZ (8)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
MEZ (9)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SS (8)
€0m
SOR (6)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
Kozarmisleny FC and Ajka have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
KF wins
1
Draws
2
AJK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kozarmisleny FC vs Ajka · H/A from KF
DateH/AGameScore
06/10/24AAjka Vs KF1-1
21/04/24HKF Vs Ajka1-0
22/10/23AAjka Vs KF0-3
05/02/23HKF Vs Ajka0-1
14/08/22AAjka Vs KF4-2

Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/04/25HKF Vs Kazincbarcikai2-1
30/03/25ATatabánya Vs KF0-2
16/03/25HKF Vs Budafoki LC2-0
10/03/25AVasas Vs KF3-1
03/03/25HKF Vs Kisvarda FC2-3
24/02/25ABudapest Honved Vs KF5-0
16/02/25ASzeged 2011 Vs KF2-0
09/02/25ABekescsaba 1912 Vs KF1-1
01/12/24ASzentlőrinc SE Vs KF0-2
24/11/24HKF Vs Gyirmot SE3-2

AjkaAjka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/04/25HAJK Vs Tatabánya0-0
30/03/25ABudafoki LC Vs AJK1-2
16/03/25HAJK Vs Vasas2-3
09/03/25AKisvarda FC Vs AJK4-0
02/03/25HAJK Vs Budapest Honved2-0
23/02/25ASzeged 2011 Vs AJK0-2
16/02/25HAJK Vs Bekescsaba 19120-1
09/02/25ASzentlőrinc SE Vs AJK2-0
01/12/24HAJK Vs Gyirmot SE3-1
24/11/24HAJK Vs BVSC0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kozarmisleny FC
Kozarmisleny FC
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWW1.54
HomeLWLWW1.81
AwayDLLLW1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%54%33%
AVG goals3.003.003.00
Over 1.5 %84%85%83%
Over 2.5 %48%46%50%
Over 3.5 %32%31%33%
Scored1.581.771.38
Conceded1.421.231.62
BTTS50%46%54%
Clean Sheet32%35%29%
Corners---
Cards---
Ajka
Ajka
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWD1.36
HomeWLWLD1.42
AwayDLWLW1.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%38%38%
AVG goals2.362.152.58
Over 1.5 %62%50%75%
Over 2.5 %42%31%54%
Over 3.5 %28%27%29%
Scored1.161.121.21
Conceded1.201.041.38
BTTS44%38%50%
Clean Sheet26%31%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Kisvarda FCKisvarda FC3058
57%
1.9
5744+13
3.4
87%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.91.5
-
2KazincbarcikaiKazincbarcikai3053
47%
1.8
5130+21
2.7
73%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.0
-
3VasasVasas3052
53%
1.7
4735+12
2.7
70%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.61.2
-
4Szentlőrinc SESzentlőrinc SE3047
40%
1.6
4432+12
2.5
77%
40%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.51.1
-
5Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC3047
43%
1.6
4542+3
2.9
83%
40%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.51.4
-
6Mezokovesd-zsoryMezokovesd-zsory3044
40%
1.5
4435+9
2.6
77%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.2
-
7Szeged 2011Szeged 20113042
33%
1.4
3632+4
2.3
70%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.21.1
-
8Budapest HonvedBudapest Honved3040
37%
1.3
4139+2
2.7
77%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1131.41.3
-
9BVSCBVSC3038
27%
1.3
3132-1
2.1
57%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.01.1
-
10CsakvarCsakvar3036
33%
1.2
4150-9
3.0
87%
70%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.7
-
11SoroksarSoroksar3035
30%
1.2
4247-5
3.0
80%
60%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.41.6
-
12AjkaAjka3035
27%
1.2
3138-7
2.3
67%
40%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.3
-
13Budafoki LCBudafoki LC3035
30%
1.2
4453-9
3.2
87%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
-
14Bekescsaba 1912Bekescsaba 19123033
27%
1.1
3038-8
2.3
67%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
15Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE3031
23%
1.0
4146-5
2.9
83%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
16TatabányaTatabánya3024
20%
0.8
2860-32
2.9
73%
53%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.0
-
Hungary: NB II 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →

← all matches