Kozarmisleny FC vs Szentlőrinc SE Result & Analysis

Kozarmisleny FC are the clear favourites, with a 55% chance of victory, a 27% chance of a draw and a 18% chance of an away win. The model expects 2.5 goals on average, most likely 2 goals in total, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-0 for the home side, a 12.8% chance. Kozarmisleny have scored an average of 1.0 goal and conceded 0.67 at home against similarly ranked opponents, while Szentlőrinc, playing away, have also averaged 1.0 goal but have conceded 1.5 to similar teams. The suggested selections are Under 3.5 goals at 76.7% and Over 1.5 goals at 71.5%. The home team’s recent form shows five consecutive losses, last time they fell 0-3 to Kecskeméti TE, whereas the visitors have had two straight defeats but have won two of their last five, losing 0-1 to Ajka. The match is set to be a tight contest, with the home side’s defensive solidity giving them the edge.

The upset came early, with Kozarmisleny FC falling to a 1-2 defeat despite the model’s pre-match favourite being a home win at 55%. The prediction was wrong, as the actual result was an away win. The model’s two suggested picks proved accurate: Under 3.5 goals hit at 76.7% and Over 1.5 goals hit at 71.5%. Kozarmisleny’s form was bleak, five straight losses, while Szentlőrinc had two defeats but two wins and a draw, ending their run with a 0-1 loss to Ajka. The final score of 1-2 confirmed the model’s underestimation of the visitors’ performance.