This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AEK Larnaca
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.07
2.13
0.93
0.87
1.20
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
1.41
1.27
2.10
1.30
0.83
1.25
vs Weaker (6)
2.17
0.50
2.50
0.25
1.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Krasava Ypsonas) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.1%
Under 1.5
33.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
38.0%
Under 2.5
62.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
18.2%
Under 3.5
81.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.0%
No
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.3%
1-0
11.1%
0-1
10.5%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.3%
Krasava Ypsonas goals ↓
AEK Larnaca goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
10%
6.3%
2.3%
0.6%
1
11%
15%
7.2%
2.6%
0.7%
2
7.1%
7.6%
4.1%
1.5%
0.4%
3
2.7%
2.9%
1.5%
0.6%
0.1%
4
0.8%
0.8%
0.4%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Krasava Ypsonas goals (down), columns = AEK Larnaca goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Omonia Nicosia
2.42
AEK Larnaca
1.92
Apollon Limassol
1.86
Pafos
1.72
Apoel Nicosia
1.44
Aris
1.42
Anorthosis
1.36
AEL
1.33
Omonia Aradippou
1.27
Olympiakos
1.21
Krasava Ypsonas
1.21
Akritas
1.06
Ethnikos Achna
1.00
Enosis
0.15
Krasava Ypsonas is 0.70 points worse than AEK Larnaca in terms of average points per game (1.21 vs 1.92).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Omonia Nicosia
2.44
Pafos
1.83
AEK Larnaca
1.72
Aris
1.69
Apoel Nicosia
1.47
Apollon Limassol
1.44
AEL
1.24
Krasava Ypsonas
1.09
Anorthosis
1.06
Ethnikos Achna
1.03
Olympiakos
0.97
Akritas
0.94
Omonia Aradippou
0.94
Enosis
0.33
Krasava Ypsonas is 0.63 goals worse than AEK Larnaca in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 1.72).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Omonia Nicosia
0.67
AEK Larnaca
0.92
Pafos
1.06
Apollon Limassol
1.14
Anorthosis
1.21
Apoel Nicosia
1.25
Aris
1.25
Omonia Aradippou
1.27
Olympiakos
1.33
Krasava Ypsonas
1.33
AEL
1.39
Ethnikos Achna
1.61
Akritas
1.76
Enosis
2.42
Krasava Ypsonas is 0.42 goals worse than AEK Larnaca in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 0.92).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Pafos
55%
Olympiakos
54%
Apoel Nicosia
54%
Apollon Limassol
53%
Aris
52%
Omonia Nicosia
51%
Anorthosis
50%
AEK Larnaca
49%
AEL
49%
Ethnikos Achna
48%
Krasava Ypsonas
47%
Akritas
44%
Omonia Aradippou
43%
Enosis
41%
Krasava Ypsonas is 2.5 percentage points worse than AEK Larnaca in terms of average possession (47% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Krasava Ypsonas
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
AEK Larnaca
For 5.2 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 15.0 · Total 27.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Krasava Ypsonas
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (39)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (10)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AEK Larnaca
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
7.0
9.8
1.2
0.8
1.6
28.0
26.5
28.8
vs Stronger (2)
-
-
-
4.0
3.0
5.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (33)
8.8
7.0
9.8
1.5
1.1
2.0
28.0
26.5
28.8
vs Weaker (15)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
50%
0%
75%
18%
8%
28%
83%
100%
75%
% under line
50%
100%
25%
82%
92%
72%
17%
0%
25%
This opponent (Krasava Ypsonas) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Omonia Nicosia
10.8
AEL
10.0
AEK Larnaca
9.6
Apollon Limassol
9.5
Aris
9.4
Apoel Nicosia
9.4
Akritas
9.2
Anorthosis
9.0
Enosis
8.9
Pafos
8.6
Olympiakos
8.5
Omonia Aradippou
8.4
Ethnikos Achna
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Omonia Aradippou
6.0
Aris
5.5
Pafos
5.3
Anorthosis
5.3
Apoel Nicosia
5.1
Apollon Limassol
5.1
AEK Larnaca
5.1
Ethnikos Achna
5.0
Enosis
4.9
Omonia Nicosia
4.7
Olympiakos
4.6
AEL
4.5
Akritas
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Apoel Nicosia
29.2
Anorthosis
29.1
Enosis
28.4
Olympiakos
27.4
AEL
26.8
Ethnikos Achna
26.8
Pafos
26.6
Omonia Aradippou
26.4
Aris
26.3
AEK Larnaca
26.2
Apollon Limassol
25.4
Omonia Nicosia
24.6
Akritas
22.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
47.0%
Under 9.5
53.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
74.9%
Under 3.5
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
87.3%
Under 21.5
12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Krasava Ypsonas
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.37
0.67
0.40
0.53
0.33
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.62
0.33
0.64
0.36
0.62
0.31
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
0.40
1.00
0.33
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AEK Larnaca
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.53
1.13
0.53
0.47
0.53
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (22)
0.77
0.68
1.10
0.70
0.50
0.67
vs Weaker (6)
1.17
0.17
1.50
0.25
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Krasava Ypsonas) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Krasava Ypsonas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krasava Ypsonas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krasava Ypsonas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Krasava Ypsonas
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.30
1.07
0.27
1.13
0.33
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (24)
1.08
0.29
0.91
0.18
1.23
0.38
vs Weaker (5)
1.20
0.20
1.67
0.33
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AEK Larnaca
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.53
1.00
0.40
0.40
0.67
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.64
0.59
1.00
0.60
0.33
0.58
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Krasava Ypsonas) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Krasava Ypsonas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krasava Ypsonas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krasava Ypsonas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
94.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Krasava Ypsonas
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Denis Cheryshev25%
Algassime Bah25%
Julio César14%
Michalis Koumouris12%
Patryk Lipski12%
Manuel De Iriondo0%
Kristopher Da Graca0%
Issam Chebake0%
Yevgeni Budnik0%
Maxime Do Couto0%
Yassine Bahassa0%
Vangelis Kyriakou0%
Irodotos Christodoulou0%
Luiyi de Lucas0%
Marco Camus0%
Mislav Zadro0%
David Ankeye0%
Erik Davidyan0%
Ivan Chavdarov Pankov0%
Dmytro Melnichenko0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Manuel De Iriondo40%
Issam Chebake33%
Yevgeni Budnik29%
Luiyi de Lucas29%
Vangelis Kyriakou20%
Yassine Bahassa17%
Dmytro Melnichenko17%
Irodotos Christodoulou14%
Michalis Koumouris12%
Maxime Do Couto12%
Algassime Bah12%
Ivan Chavdarov Pankov11%
Denis Cheryshev0%
Patryk Lipski0%
Kristopher Da Graca0%
Marco Camus0%
Mislav Zadro0%
David Ankeye0%
Erik Davidyan0%
Julio César0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Manuel De Iriondo40%
Yassine Bahassa17%
Patryk Lipski12%
Algassime Bah12%
Denis Cheryshev0%
Michalis Koumouris0%
Kristopher Da Graca0%
Issam Chebake0%
Yevgeni Budnik0%
Maxime Do Couto0%
Vangelis Kyriakou0%
Irodotos Christodoulou0%
Luiyi de Lucas0%
Marco Camus0%
Mislav Zadro0%
David Ankeye0%
Erik Davidyan0%
Julio César0%
Ivan Chavdarov Pankov0%
Dmytro Melnichenko0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Algassime Bah38%
Denis Cheryshev25%
Maxime Do Couto25%
Ivan Chavdarov Pankov11%
Manuel De Iriondo0%
Michalis Koumouris0%
Patryk Lipski0%
Kristopher Da Graca0%
Issam Chebake0%
Yevgeni Budnik0%
Yassine Bahassa0%
Vangelis Kyriakou0%
Irodotos Christodoulou0%
Luiyi de Lucas0%
Marco Camus0%
Mislav Zadro0%
David Ankeye0%
Erik Davidyan0%
Julio César0%
Dmytro Melnichenko0%
AEK Larnaca
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Karol Angielski50%
Marcus Rohdén27%
Riad Bajić21%
Enric Saborit17%
Robert Mudražija12%
Enzo Cabrera12%
Jorge Miramón12%
Đorđe Ivanović11%
Waldo Rubio Marín10%
Hrvoje Miličević5%
Charalampos Kyriakou0%
Valentin Roberge0%
Petros Ioannou0%
Antreas Paraskevas0%
Ángel García0%
Zlatan Alomerović0%
Jairo Izquierdo0%
Jimmy Suárez0%
Gus Ledes0%
Pere Pons0%
Godswill Ekpolo0%
Yahav Gurfinkel0%
Giorgos Naoum0%
Jeremie Gnali0%
Youssef Amyn0%
Álex Cardero0%
Mathías González0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mathías González40%
Enric Saborit33%
Petros Ioannou25%
Valentin Roberge23%
Pere Pons22%
Hrvoje Miličević21%
Godswill Ekpolo20%
Giorgos Naoum20%
Jorge Miramón19%
Marcus Rohdén18%
Ángel García18%
Jeremie Gnali17%
Álex Cardero17%
Enzo Cabrera12%
Gus Ledes11%
Waldo Rubio Marín10%
Riad Bajić5%
Đorđe Ivanović5%
Robert Mudražija0%
Charalampos Kyriakou0%
Antreas Paraskevas0%
Karol Angielski0%
Zlatan Alomerović0%
Jairo Izquierdo0%
Jimmy Suárez0%
Yahav Gurfinkel0%
Youssef Amyn0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marcus Rohdén27%
Jeremie Gnali17%
Jairo Izquierdo14%
Gus Ledes11%
Ángel García9%
Charalampos Kyriakou8%
Godswill Ekpolo7%
Jorge Miramón6%
Hrvoje Miličević5%
Robert Mudražija0%
Valentin Roberge0%
Enzo Cabrera0%
Riad Bajić0%
Petros Ioannou0%
Antreas Paraskevas0%
Karol Angielski0%
Zlatan Alomerović0%
Đorđe Ivanović0%
Jimmy Suárez0%
Waldo Rubio Marín0%
Pere Pons0%
Enric Saborit0%
Yahav Gurfinkel0%
Giorgos Naoum0%
Youssef Amyn0%
Álex Cardero0%
Mathías González0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Karol Angielski25%
Riad Bajić16%
Đorđe Ivanović11%
Hrvoje Miličević11%
Waldo Rubio Marín10%
Giorgos Naoum10%
Marcus Rohdén9%
Enric Saborit8%
Robert Mudražija0%
Charalampos Kyriakou0%
Valentin Roberge0%
Enzo Cabrera0%
Petros Ioannou0%
Antreas Paraskevas0%
Ángel García0%
Zlatan Alomerović0%
Jairo Izquierdo0%
Jimmy Suárez0%
Gus Ledes0%
Pere Pons0%
Jorge Miramón0%
Godswill Ekpolo0%
Yahav Gurfinkel0%
Jeremie Gnali0%
Youssef Amyn0%
Álex Cardero0%
Mathías González0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (23)
€28m
AL (30)
€16m
AL (24)
€15m
AN (30)
€15m
ON (23)
€15m
ARI (26)
€11m
AEL (21)
€9m
ANO (25)
€7m
OA (18)
€5m
OLY (14)
€4m
KY (20)
€4m
ENO (9)
€1m
AKR (5)
€1m
EA (2)
€0m
Krasava Ypsonas's squad is €12m less valuable than AEK Larnaca's (€4m vs €16m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€14m
AN (12)
€8m
ON (9)
€7m
AL (10)
€7m
AL (9)
€7m
AEL (9)
€4m
ARI (8)
€3m
ANO (9)
€2m
KY (8)
€2m
OA (5)
€1m
OLY (4)
€1m
ENO (3)
€0m
AKR (2)
€0m
EA (1)
€0m
Krasava Ypsonas's attack is €5m less valuable than AEK Larnaca's (€2m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (5)
€8m
ON (4)
€3m
ARI (5)
€3m
AN (4)
€3m
AL (4)
€2m
AL (6)
€2m
AEL (5)
€2m
ANO (6)
€1m
OA (4)
€1m
KY (4)
€0m
OLY (2)
€0m
ENO (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
EA (0)
€0m
Krasava Ypsonas's midfield is €2m less valuable than AEK Larnaca's (€0m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€7m
AL (14)
€7m
AL (11)
€7m
ARI (13)
€5m
AN (14)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
ANO (10)
€3m
AEL (7)
€3m
OA (9)
€2m
OLY (8)
€2m
KY (8)
€1m
ENO (4)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
EA (1)
€0m
Krasava Ypsonas's defence is €5m less valuable than AEK Larnaca's (€1m vs €7m).
Cyprus: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 1. Division stats & trends →