Kristiansund BK travel to Tromsø with the model favouring an away win. The odds lean 47% for the visitors, 28% for the home side and 25% for a draw, so the likely outcome is a Tromsø victory. The match is expected to see about 3.1 goals, with the most probable total being two goals at a 22% chance. The single scoreline the model deems most likely is 1-1, carrying an 11.5% probability, and that is the only scoreline to mention. Kristiansund’s home form against stronger opponents shows they average 1.57 goals scored and concede 2.0, while Tromsø, playing away against weaker teams, averages 2.83 scored and 1.33 conceded. Suggested picks include Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.9%, Under 7.5 at 98.5%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 98.1% with a 3% edge, Under 6.5 at 95.9% with a 4% edge, Home under 3.5 goals at 95.2% with a 3% edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 93.6% with a 6% edge, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 92.5% with a 2% edge, and Home under 1.5 HT goals at 90.6% with a 1% edge.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Kristiansund BK win
28.0%
Avg Implied 20.3% · @ 4.57
Edge
+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
4.92
Marathonbet
4.80
Pinnacle
4.77
William Hil
4.60
Betfair
4.60
Draw
25.2%
Avg Implied 24.0% · @ 3.88
Edge
+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.03
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
1xBet
3.97
10Bet
3.95
Tromso win
46.9%
Avg Implied 55.7% · @ 1.67
Edge
-8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.72
Unibet
1.71
10Bet
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Pinnacle
1.68
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Kristiansund BK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.80
1.43
1.50
0.75
2.06
vs Stronger (13)
1.15
2.31
1.57
2.00
0.67
2.67
vs Similar (17)
1.00
1.41
1.29
1.00
0.80
1.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Tromso) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tromso
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.17
1.67
0.60
1.93
1.73
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
3.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
4.50
vs Similar (18)
1.72
0.89
1.73
0.64
1.71
1.29
vs Weaker (9)
2.56
1.11
2.00
0.67
2.83
1.33
Clean sheet %
43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Kristiansund BK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
83.2%
@ 1.20+6.0%
Under 1.5
16.8%
@ 4.07-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.22
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
BetVictor
1.20
Under
Pinnacle
4.28
10Bet
4.20
BetVictor
4.10
1xBet
4.05
Marathonbet
4.05
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
60.8%
@ 1.70+5.5%
Under 2.5
39.2%
@ 2.10-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.73
Pinnacle
1.72
Marathonbet
1.71
Betano
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Under
Betfair
2.15
Pinnacle
2.14
1xBet
2.13
Betano
2.12
Bet365
2.10
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
38.5%
@ 2.71+4.3%
Under 3.5
61.5%
@ 1.41-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.80
Pinnacle
2.76
Bet365
2.75
BetVictor
2.75
Unibet
2.75
Under
Betano
1.45
Pinnacle
1.45
10Bet
1.42
BetVictor
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Both teams to score
Yes
62.8%
@ 1.67+7.3%
No
37.2%
@ 2.08-7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.70
Marathonbet
1.68
1xBet
1.68
Betfair
1.67
Betano
1.67
No
William Hil
2.15
Betfair
2.15
BetVictor
2.10
Betano
2.07
Unibet
2.06
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%@ 7.11+5.2%
1-2
9.4%@ 7.55+3.4%
2-1
7.1%@ 13.14+3.6%
0-2
6.9%@ 8.25+1.5%
0-1
6.7%@ 7.55+0.8%
2-2
6.3%@ 13.19+2.9%
1-3
5.6%@ 11.80+1.8%
0-0
5.4%@ 12.05+1.6%
Kristiansund BK goals ↓
Tromso goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.4%
6.7%
6.9%
4.1%
1.9%
1
4.8%
11%
9.4%
5.6%
2.5%
2
3.9%
7.1%
6.3%
3.8%
1.7%
3
1.8%
3.2%
2.8%
1.7%
0.8%
4
0.6%
1.1%
1.0%
0.6%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kristiansund BK goals (down), columns = Tromso goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Bodo/Glimt
2.44
Viking
2.39
Tromso
1.94
Molde
1.67
Fredrikstad
1.44
Lillestrom
1.44
Brann
1.44
Rosenborg
1.33
Ham-Kam
1.28
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.28
Valerenga
1.17
KFUM Oslo
1.06
Sandefjord
1.06
Kristiansund BK
0.89
Aalesund
0.83
Start
0.72
Kristiansund BK is 1.06 points worse than Tromso in terms of average points per game (0.89 vs 1.94).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Bodo/Glimt
2.61
Viking
2.33
Molde
2.00
Brann
2.00
Tromso
1.89
Valerenga
1.72
Aalesund
1.56
Rosenborg
1.50
Ham-Kam
1.44
Lillestrom
1.33
Fredrikstad
1.22
KFUM Oslo
1.11
Start
1.11
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.11
Kristiansund BK
0.94
Sandefjord
0.83
Kristiansund BK is 0.94 goals worse than Tromso in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 1.89).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Bodo/Glimt
0.78
Viking
1.00
Tromso
1.11
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.28
Sandefjord
1.28
Lillestrom
1.39
Rosenborg
1.44
Brann
1.50
Fredrikstad
1.56
Molde
1.61
Kristiansund BK
1.61
KFUM Oslo
1.72
Ham-Kam
1.78
Valerenga
2.11
Start
2.17
Aalesund
2.39
Kristiansund BK is 0.50 goals worse than Tromso in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.11).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Bodo/Glimt
64%
Brann
59%
Molde
58%
Lillestrom
53%
Rosenborg
52%
Viking
51%
Sandefjord
50%
Tromso
49%
Valerenga
49%
Ham-Kam
48%
Fredrikstad
47%
KFUM Oslo
46%
Sarpsborg 08 FF
45%
Aalesund
43%
Kristiansund BK
43%
Start
42%
Kristiansund BK is 6.7 percentage points worse than Tromso in terms of average possession (43% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Kristiansund BK
For 4.5 · Against 6.4 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 12.5 · Total 25.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Tromso
For 4.0 · Against 4.8 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 1.7 · Total 2.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 13.1 · Total 24.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kristiansund BK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.0
10.4
3.3
4.4
2.4
22.1
22.0
22.2
vs Stronger (21)
10.4
10.4
10.4
3.3
4.5
2.3
21.4
20.8
22.1
vs Similar (28)
10.1
9.8
10.5
3.3
4.3
2.6
22.7
23.1
22.3
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
60%
59%
62%
42%
68%
21%
51%
50%
52%
% under line
40%
41%
38%
58%
32%
79%
49%
50%
48%
This opponent (Tromso) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tromso
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
9.2
8.5
3.0
3.2
2.8
24.0
23.0
25.0
vs Stronger (5)
10.6
13.0
9.0
2.4
4.0
1.3
20.2
22.5
18.7
vs Similar (29)
8.6
8.1
9.5
3.4
3.4
3.4
24.9
24.2
25.9
vs Weaker (16)
8.7
11.0
7.2
2.4
2.3
2.4
23.5
20.0
25.9
% over line
34%
33%
35%
40%
38%
42%
66%
54%
78%
% under line
66%
67%
65%
60%
62%
58%
34%
46%
22%
This opponent (Kristiansund BK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Aalesund
12.1
Viking
12.0
Valerenga
11.9
Rosenborg
11.3
Sarpsborg 08 FF
11.2
Brann
11.1
Bodo/Glimt
10.9
Sandefjord
10.9
Lillestrom
10.6
Ham-Kam
10.4
Kristiansund BK
10.3
Molde
10.1
Fredrikstad
9.9
Start
9.2
KFUM Oslo
9.0
Tromso
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Viking
4.2
Molde
4.2
Start
4.1
Lillestrom
4.0
Brann
4.0
Rosenborg
4.0
Valerenga
4.0
KFUM Oslo
3.8
Sandefjord
3.7
Kristiansund BK
3.7
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3.3
Aalesund
3.3
Tromso
3.3
Fredrikstad
3.2
Ham-Kam
3.0
Bodo/Glimt
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Sandefjord
25.5
Viking
24.5
Rosenborg
24.4
Valerenga
24.1
Brann
24.0
Tromso
23.9
Start
23.6
Ham-Kam
23.2
Molde
23.0
Lillestrom
22.6
Sarpsborg 08 FF
22.6
Kristiansund BK
22.0
KFUM Oslo
21.8
Aalesund
21.6
Fredrikstad
20.9
Bodo/Glimt
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
50.1%
@ 1.74-3.2%
Under 9.5
49.9%
@ 1.99+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
Bet365
1.83
10Bet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.67
Unibet
1.63
Under
Pinnacle
2.20
Unibet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.00
10Bet
1.91
Betano
1.87
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
52.4%
Under 3.5
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
68.5%
Under 21.5
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Kristiansund BK or Draw
53.1%
Avg Implied 44.2% · @ 2.12
Edge
+8.9%
28%
25%
47%
covers Kristiansund BK + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.22
1xBet
2.17
William Hil
2.15
Marathonbet
2.15
Bet365
2.10
Kristiansund BK or Tromso
74.8%
Avg Implied 76.5% · @ 1.22
Edge
-1.6%
28%
25%
47%
covers Kristiansund BK + Tromso
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
Unibet
1.22
Draw or Tromso
72.0%
Avg Implied 79.3% · @ 1.18
Edge
-7.3%
28%
25%
47%
covers Draw + Tromso
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
William Hil
1.18
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Kristiansund BK over/under 0.5
Over
74.1%
@ 1.44+9.9%
Under
25.9%
@ 2.59-9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.48
Betano
1.47
Betfair
1.44
1xBet
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
Under
Pinnacle
2.66
Betfair
2.63
10Bet
2.62
Bet365
2.62
BetVictor
2.60
Kristiansund BK over/under 1.5
Over
39.1%
@ 3.22+10.2%
Under
60.9%
@ 1.31-10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.36
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.34
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Under
10Bet
1.33
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
1.31
Betfair
1.30
Kristiansund BK over/under 2.5
Over
15.5%
@ 8.68+4.7%
Under
84.5%
@ 1.05-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.60
1xBet
9.60
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.00
Betano
7.20
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Kristiansund BK over/under 3.5
Over
4.8%
@ 19.00-0.2%
Under
95.2%
@ 1.01+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
26.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Tromso over/under 0.5
Over
83.3%
@ 1.12+1.0%
Under
16.7%
@ 5.24-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Unibet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Under
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Betano
5.00
Tromso over/under 1.5
Over
53.5%
@ 1.67-2.4%
Under
46.5%
@ 2.12+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.70
Unibet
1.68
1xBet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.68
Pinnacle
1.68
Under
Betfair
2.20
Pinnacle
2.19
Marathonbet
2.14
1xBet
2.14
Betano
2.12
Tromso over/under 2.5
Over
26.7%
@ 3.12-3.0%
Under
73.3%
@ 1.32+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
10Bet
3.20
Pinnacle
3.14
BetVictor
3.13
Under
Betano
1.37
Pinnacle
1.34
1xBet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Tromso over/under 3.5
Over
10.8%
@ 6.49-3.6%
Under
89.2%
@ 1.08+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.65
1xBet
6.60
Betfair
6.50
Betano
5.70
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Kristiansund BK, so a minus line means Kristiansund BK give that many goals of a start and Tromso receive them. At -1, Kristiansund BK must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Kristiansund BK win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Kristiansund BK)
Kristiansund BK -2
4.4%
@ 26.00+0.8%
Draw -2
8.2%
@ 13.50+1.3%
Tromso +2
87.4%
@ 1.04-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
26.00
Bet365
26.00
Draw
Betfair
14.00
Bet365
13.00
Away
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Handicap -1 (Kristiansund BK)
Kristiansund BK -1
12.6%
@ 9.10+2.9%
Draw -1
15.3%
@ 5.66-0.3%
Tromso +1
72.0%
@ 1.19-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
10.00
10Bet
9.00
Unibet
9.00
Marathonbet
6.50
Draw
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Unibet
5.75
Marathonbet
4.30
Away
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Handicap +1 (Kristiansund BK)
Kristiansund BK +1
53.1%
@ 2.10+10.6%
Draw +1
20.7%
@ 3.59-4.2%
Tromso -1
26.2%
@ 2.74-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.15
Bet365
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Unibet
2.06
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.64
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Unibet
3.40
Away
10Bet
2.80
Unibet
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Marathonbet
2.71
Betfair
2.70
Handicap +2 (Kristiansund BK)
Kristiansund BK +2
73.8%
@ 1.38+8.6%
Draw +2
14.5%
@ 4.88-3.9%
Tromso -2
11.7%
@ 5.52-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.40
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.37
Unibet
1.36
Draw
Marathonbet
5.05
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Unibet
4.60
Away
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.30
Unibet
5.30
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Kristiansund BK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.77
0.43
0.64
0.25
0.88
vs Stronger (13)
0.23
1.23
0.29
1.14
0.17
1.33
vs Similar (17)
0.41
0.41
0.57
0.14
0.30
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Tromso) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tromso
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.50
0.87
0.20
0.93
0.80
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (18)
0.89
0.39
0.91
0.27
0.86
0.57
vs Weaker (9)
1.22
0.44
1.00
0.00
1.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
67% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Kristiansund BK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
72.0%
@ 1.31+0.9%
Under 0.5
28.0%
@ 3.22-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
BetVictor
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.30
William Hil
3.25
10Bet
3.20
BetVictor
3.20
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
37.5%
@ 2.46-0.3%
Under 1.5
62.5%
@ 1.49+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.55
Betano
2.55
1xBet
2.50
Marathonbet
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Under
10Bet
1.50
Betfair
1.50
William Hil
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
16.1%
@ 6.06+0.8%
Under 2.5
83.9%
@ 1.09-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Marathonbet
6.00
William Hil
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Under
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Betfair
1.08
BetVictor
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kristiansund BK over/under 0.5 HT
Over
37.1%
@ 2.48-0.3%
Under
62.9%
@ 1.48+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.64
Marathonbet
2.51
Betano
2.50
10Bet
2.45
1xBet
2.40
Under
1xBet
1.51
Betano
1.50
Unibet
1.49
10Bet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.47
Kristiansund BK over/under 1.5 HT
Over
8.7%
@ 8.94-1.7%
Under
91.3%
@ 1.03+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.75
1xBet
8.60
10Bet
8.50
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
Kristiansund BK over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.1%
Under
98.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tromso over/under 0.5 HT
Over
57.3%
@ 1.65+1.0%
Under
42.7%
@ 2.12-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.70
Marathonbet
1.64
1xBet
1.64
Pinnacle
1.64
Unibet
1.63
Under
Pinnacle
2.22
10Bet
2.15
1xBet
2.13
Marathonbet
2.10
Unibet
2.08
Tromso over/under 1.5 HT
Over
20.3%
@ 4.14-2.1%
Under
79.7%
@ 1.19+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.45
Betano
4.10
10Bet
4.00
1xBet
4.00
Under
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.16
Tromso over/under 2.5 HT
Over
5.1%
@ 9.62-4.6%
Under
94.9%
@ 1.03+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
10.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Kristiansund BK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.03
1.00
0.86
0.50
1.19
vs Stronger (13)
0.92
1.08
1.29
0.86
0.50
1.33
vs Similar (17)
0.59
1.00
0.71
0.86
0.50
1.10
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Tromso) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tromso
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.67
0.80
0.40
1.00
0.93
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.50
vs Similar (18)
0.83
0.50
0.82
0.36
0.86
0.71
vs Weaker (9)
1.33
0.67
1.00
0.67
1.50
0.67
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Kristiansund BK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
80.4%
@ 1.18+1.6%
Under 0.5
19.6%
@ 4.39-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Under
1xBet
4.50
Betano
4.45
Marathonbet
4.45
Bet365
4.33
William Hil
4.20
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
50.4%
@ 1.90+1.5%
Under 1.5
49.6%
@ 1.82-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.91
Unibet
1.91
1xBet
1.91
Marathonbet
1.91
Bet365
1.91
Under
Betano
1.90
1xBet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
William Hil
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
21.1%
@ 3.80-3.3%
Under 2.5
78.9%
@ 1.23+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.00
William Hil
3.90
Marathonbet
3.75
1xBet
3.75
Betano
3.60
Under
Betano
1.28
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kristiansund BK over/under 0.5 2H
Over
46.3%
@ 2.04+0.9%
Under
53.7%
@ 1.70-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.08
Betano
2.05
1xBet
2.03
10Bet
2.00
Under
10Bet
1.73
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.65
Kristiansund BK over/under 1.5 2H
Over
11.0%
@ 6.41-3.4%
Under
89.0%
@ 1.08+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.30
1xBet
6.30
10Bet
6.25
Betano
5.80
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
Kristiansund BK over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.1%
@ 17.38-3.4%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.01+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Tromso over/under 0.5 2H
Over
64.9%
@ 1.44+0.6%
Under
35.1%
@ 2.60-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.45
1xBet
1.44
Betano
1.44
Under
Betano
2.65
1xBet
2.60
10Bet
2.55
Tromso over/under 1.5 2H
Over
26.7%
@ 3.06-3.5%
Under
73.3%
@ 1.32+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.08
1xBet
3.00
Betano
2.95
Under
Betano
1.37
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Tromso over/under 2.5 2H
Over
6.4%
@ 7.57-5.8%
Under
93.6%
@ 1.06+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
8.00
1xBet
8.00
Betano
6.70
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.4%
Under 6.5
95.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+1.3%
Home under 3.5 goals
95.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+0.2%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
94.9%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
-
-
-
+4.6%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
93.6%
1.06
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
-
-
+5.8%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
91.3%
1.03
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
-
+1.7%
Under 5.5
90.1%
1.03
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.05
BetVictor
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
+0.2%
Away under 3.5 goals
89.2%
1.08
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
+3.6%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
89.0%
1.08
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
-
+3.4%
Away +2 handicap
87.4%
1.04
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
-
-
-
-2.1%
Home under 2.5 goals
84.5%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-4.7%
Under 2.5 HT goals
83.9%
1.09
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Betfair
1.08
BetVictor
1.08
-0.8%
Away over 0.5 goals
83.3%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Unibet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
+1.0%
Over 1.5
83.2%
1.20
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.22
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
BetVictor
1.20
+6.0%
Over 19.5 fouls
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.4%
1.18
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
+1.6%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
79.7%
1.19
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.16
-
+2.1%
Under 4.5
79.1%
1.14
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Pinnacle
1.17
10Bet
1.15
BetVictor
1.13
-2.4%
Under 2.5 2H goals
78.9%
1.23
Betano
1.28
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
+3.3%
Home or Away
74.8%
1.22
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
Unibet
1.22
-1.6%
Home over 0.5 goals
74.1%
1.44
Pinnacle
1.48
Betano
1.47
Betfair
1.44
1xBet
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
+9.9%
Home +2 handicap
73.8%
1.38
Betfair
1.40
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.37
Unibet
1.36
+8.6%
Under 11.5 corners
73.3%
1.37
Unibet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.35
Betano
1.30
-
-
+5.7%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
73.3%
1.32
Betano
1.37
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
10Bet
1.30
-
+3.5%
Away under 2.5 goals
73.3%
1.32
Betano
1.37
Pinnacle
1.34
1xBet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
+3.0%
Over 2.5 cards
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
72.0%
1.18
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
William Hil
1.18
-7.3%
Away +1 handicap
72.0%
1.19
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
-2.6%
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.0%
1.31
Betano
1.36
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
BetVictor
1.30
Bet365
1.30
+0.9%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Kristiansund BK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Leander Alvheim41%
Sander Svendsen25%
Sander Hestetun Kilen12%
Promise Meliga12%
Mustapha Isah8%
Tobias Hammer Svendsen7%
Wilfred George Igor6%
Adrian Kurd Rønning6%
Alexander Munksgaard0%
Michael Lansing0%
Dan Peter Ulvestad0%
Max Normann Williamsen0%
Jesper Isaksen0%
Syver Skundberg Skeide0%
Heine Gikling Bruseth0%
Niklas Odegard0%
Anders Børset0%
Frederik Flex0%
Hrannar Snær Magnússon0%
Julius Mar Juliusson0%
Adrian Sæther0%
Nikolai Skuseth0%
Haakon Haugen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Heine Gikling Bruseth33%
Niklas Odegard33%
Anders Børset33%
Wilfred George Igor24%
Julius Mar Juliusson24%
Mustapha Isah23%
Frederik Flex20%
Leander Alvheim18%
Michael Lansing17%
Adrian Kurd Rønning17%
Syver Skundberg Skeide15%
Jesper Isaksen14%
Sander Hestetun Kilen12%
Promise Meliga12%
Hrannar Snær Magnússon11%
Adrian Sæther8%
Haakon Haugen7%
Dan Peter Ulvestad6%
Alexander Munksgaard0%
Sander Svendsen0%
Max Normann Williamsen0%
Tobias Hammer Svendsen0%
Nikolai Skuseth0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sander Svendsen25%
Alexander Munksgaard13%
Heine Gikling Bruseth13%
Sander Hestetun Kilen12%
Syver Skundberg Skeide8%
Mustapha Isah8%
Adrian Kurd Rønning6%
Michael Lansing0%
Dan Peter Ulvestad0%
Max Normann Williamsen0%
Jesper Isaksen0%
Tobias Hammer Svendsen0%
Niklas Odegard0%
Anders Børset0%
Wilfred George Igor0%
Frederik Flex0%
Hrannar Snær Magnússon0%
Julius Mar Juliusson0%
Leander Alvheim0%
Adrian Sæther0%
Nikolai Skuseth0%
Haakon Haugen0%
Promise Meliga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Leander Alvheim24%
Adrian Kurd Rønning22%
Mustapha Isah15%
Alexander Munksgaard0%
Michael Lansing0%
Sander Svendsen0%
Dan Peter Ulvestad0%
Max Normann Williamsen0%
Jesper Isaksen0%
Tobias Hammer Svendsen0%
Syver Skundberg Skeide0%
Heine Gikling Bruseth0%
Niklas Odegard0%
Anders Børset0%
Sander Hestetun Kilen0%
Wilfred George Igor0%
Frederik Flex0%
Hrannar Snær Magnússon0%
Julius Mar Juliusson0%
Adrian Sæther0%
Nikolai Skuseth0%
Haakon Haugen0%
Promise Meliga0%
Tromso
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jens Hjertø-Dahl36%
Heine Asen Larsen35%
Ieltsin Camões33%
Troy Nyhammer19%
Alexander Warneryd18%
Daniel Braut12%
Sander Innvær7%
Vetle Skjaervik6%
Lars Olden Larsen5%
Isak Vadebu5%
Ruben Jenssen5%
David Edvardsson5%
Jakob Haugaard0%
Leo Cornic0%
Jens Berland Husebø0%
Leon Hien0%
Isak Dahlqvist0%
Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal0%
Mathias Tonnessen0%
Sigurd Prestmo0%
Abubacarr Kinteh0%
Jesper Andreas Grundt0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Leon Hien33%
Leo Cornic20%
David Edvardsson15%
Heine Asen Larsen15%
Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal13%
Mathias Tonnessen12%
Alexander Warneryd12%
Lars Olden Larsen11%
Sander Innvær7%
Jens Hjertø-Dahl7%
Troy Nyhammer6%
Isak Vadebu5%
Jakob Haugaard0%
Ruben Jenssen0%
Jens Berland Husebø0%
Vetle Skjaervik0%
Isak Dahlqvist0%
Daniel Braut0%
Ieltsin Camões0%
Sigurd Prestmo0%
Abubacarr Kinteh0%
Jesper Andreas Grundt0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ruben Jenssen25%
Troy Nyhammer19%
Isak Dahlqvist17%
David Edvardsson15%
Jens Hjertø-Dahl14%
Leo Cornic13%
Lars Olden Larsen11%
Heine Asen Larsen10%
Sander Innvær7%
Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal7%
Vetle Skjaervik6%
Daniel Braut6%
Alexander Warneryd6%
Jakob Haugaard5%
Jens Berland Husebø0%
Leon Hien0%
Isak Vadebu0%
Mathias Tonnessen0%
Ieltsin Camões0%
Sigurd Prestmo0%
Abubacarr Kinteh0%
Jesper Andreas Grundt0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Heine Asen Larsen30%
Jens Hjertø-Dahl21%
Lars Olden Larsen16%
Leo Cornic13%
Alexander Warneryd12%
Abubacarr Kinteh11%
Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal7%
Troy Nyhammer6%
Daniel Braut6%
Jakob Haugaard0%
Ruben Jenssen0%
Jens Berland Husebø0%
Leon Hien0%
David Edvardsson0%
Vetle Skjaervik0%
Isak Dahlqvist0%
Isak Vadebu0%
Sander Innvær0%
Mathias Tonnessen0%
Ieltsin Camões0%
Sigurd Prestmo0%
Jesper Andreas Grundt0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (24)
€75m
VIK (27)
€47m
MOL (26)
€35m
BRA (25)
€27m
ROS (23)
€23m
S0F (24)
€16m
VAL (22)
€16m
FRE (25)
€15m
TRO (22)
€15m
LIL (25)
€14m
AAL (25)
€13m
KB (21)
€13m
SAN (23)
€12m
HAM (24)
€10m
STA (25)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
Kristiansund BK's squad is €2m less valuable than Tromso's (€13m vs €15m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€22m
VIK (10)
€21m
MOL (7)
€13m
BRA (10)
€11m
ROS (8)
€10m
S0F (10)
€9m
LIL (9)
€6m
VAL (7)
€6m
AAL (7)
€5m
KB (6)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
SAN (8)
€4m
TRO (6)
€4m
HAM (10)
€4m
KO (8)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
Kristiansund BK's attack is €1m more valuable than Tromso's (€5m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€27m
VIK (5)
€12m
MOL (8)
€7m
BRA (4)
€7m
VAL (6)
€5m
KB (6)
€4m
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
ROS (4)
€3m
S0F (5)
€3m
STA (8)
€3m
HAM (6)
€3m
TRO (5)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
SAN (4)
€2m
KO (5)
€2m
Kristiansund BK's midfield is €1m more valuable than Tromso's (€4m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (10)
€26m
VIK (12)
€15m
MOL (11)
€15m
ROS (11)
€9m
BRA (11)
€9m
TRO (11)
€8m
FRE (16)
€8m
VAL (9)
€5m
SAN (11)
€5m
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
S0F (9)
€4m
HAM (8)
€4m
KO (11)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
KB (9)
€3m
Kristiansund BK's defence is €5m less valuable than Tromso's (€3m vs €8m).
Norway: Eliteserien 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: Eliteserien stats & trends →
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Bodo/Glimt
Viking
Molde
Brann
Lillestrom
Fredrikstad
Rosenborg
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
Valerenga
Sandefjord
KFUM Oslo
Aalesund
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