Krylia Sovetov will struggle to overturn the odds, as the model predicts an away win with a 59% probability, while home and draw chances sit at 17% and 24% respectively. The match is expected to see 2.7 goals on average, with the most likely total of 2 goals at a 25% share. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 11.7% probability. Krylia Sovetov, playing at home against a stronger side, averages 1.43 goals scored and 1.43 conceded, whereas FC Krasnodar, on the road against a weaker opponent, averages 1.43 goals scored and only 0.71 conceded. The model’s selections include a Home under 2.5 HT goals pick at 99.3%, an Under 7.5 total goals at 99.3%, Home under 3.5 goals at 98.7%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.9%, Under 6.5 at 97.8%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 95.3%, Away +2 handicap at 94.3%, and Over 19.5 fouls at 94.2%. Krylia Sovetov’s recent form shows a draw after a 3-3 tie with Akhmat, while FC Krasnodar comes off a five-game winning streak, winning 1-0 against FC Rostov.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Krylia Sovetov win
16.6%
Avg Implied 19.9% · @ 4.73
Edge
-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
5.00
1xBet
4.92
Marathonbet
4.80
Pinnacle
4.73
SBO
4.19
Draw
24.5%
Avg Implied 23.9% · @ 3.95
Edge
+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.10
Dafabet
4.00
Pinnacle
3.97
SBO
3.50
FC Krasnodar win
58.9%
Avg Implied 56.2% · @ 1.68
Edge
+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.69
Dafabet
1.66
SBO
1.60
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Krylia Sovetov
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.53
1.53
1.27
0.80
1.80
vs Stronger (12)
1.00
1.83
1.43
1.43
0.40
2.40
vs Similar (18)
1.28
1.33
1.62
1.12
1.00
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Krasnodar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Krasnodar
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
0.80
2.57
0.64
1.25
0.94
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.42
1.00
2.33
0.67
1.11
1.11
vs Weaker (18)
2.17
0.67
2.64
0.64
1.43
0.71
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Krylia Sovetov) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
76.9%
@ 1.22+0.9%
Under 1.5
23.1%
@ 3.87-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.24
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
Under
Pinnacle
4.04
Marathonbet
3.78
1xBet
3.78
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
51.6%
@ 1.77-2.5%
Under 2.5
48.4%
@ 2.09+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.83
Pinnacle
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
SBO
1.72
Under
1xBet
2.13
SBO
2.11
Pinnacle
2.07
Marathonbet
2.06
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
29.5%
@ 2.86-3.0%
Under 3.5
70.5%
@ 1.37+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.95
1xBet
2.81
Marathonbet
2.81
Under
Pinnacle
1.40
Marathonbet
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Both teams to score
Yes
50.8%
@ 1.72-3.1%
No
49.2%
@ 2.01+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Marathonbet
1.72
1xBet
1.72
No
1xBet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.00
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%@ 6.93+5.4%
0-2
11.0%@ 7.93+5.5%
0-1
10.9%@ 7.08+4.7%
1-2
9.8%@ 7.48+4.0%
0-0
7.5%@ 13.34+4.2%
0-3
6.8%@ 13.07+3.4%
1-3
6.1%@ 12.43+2.5%
2-1
4.7%@ 14.47+1.7%
Krylia Sovetov goals ↓
FC Krasnodar goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.5%
11%
11%
6.8%
3.1%
1
4.7%
12%
9.8%
6.1%
2.8%
2
2.6%
4.7%
4.4%
2.7%
1.2%
3
0.8%
1.4%
1.3%
0.8%
0.4%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Krylia Sovetov goals (down), columns = FC Krasnodar goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Krasnodar
3.00
Spartak Moscow
2.17
CSKA Moscow
2.00
Zenit
2.00
Dynamo
1.67
Baltika
1.67
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.50
Rubin
1.50
FC Orenburg
1.17
Krylia Sovetov
1.00
Akhmat
1.00
FC Rostov
0.83
Rodina Moskva
0.67
Akron
0.50
Lokomotiv
0.50
Fakel
0.33
Krylia Sovetov is 2.00 points worse than FC Krasnodar in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 3.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Zenit
2.17
Spartak Moscow
1.83
FC Krasnodar
1.83
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.67
Baltika
1.67
CSKA Moscow
1.50
Akhmat
1.50
Rubin
1.50
Krylia Sovetov
1.33
Dynamo
1.33
Rodina Moskva
1.33
FC Rostov
1.17
Akron
1.00
Lokomotiv
0.83
FC Orenburg
0.83
Fakel
0.50
Krylia Sovetov is 0.50 goals worse than FC Krasnodar in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Krasnodar
0.67
Zenit
0.67
Spartak Moscow
0.83
CSKA Moscow
1.00
Baltika
1.00
Fakel
1.17
Dynamo
1.17
FC Orenburg
1.17
Akhmat
1.33
Lokomotiv
1.33
Rubin
1.33
Krylia Sovetov
1.67
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.67
FC Rostov
1.67
Akron
2.50
Rodina Moskva
2.83
Krylia Sovetov is 1.00 goals worse than FC Krasnodar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 0.67).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Dynamo
63%
Spartak Moscow
62%
Zenit
60%
CSKA Moscow
57%
FC Krasnodar
57%
Akron
54%
Lokomotiv
51%
FC Rostov
49%
Fakel
48%
Akhmat
47%
Rubin
47%
Krylia Sovetov
46%
Rodina Moskva
44%
Dinamo Makhachkala
40%
FC Orenburg
39%
Baltika
36%
Krylia Sovetov is 10.5 percentage points worse than FC Krasnodar in terms of average possession (46% vs 57%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Krylia Sovetov
For 3.3 · Against 5.0 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.7 · Against 12.2 · Total 26.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Krasnodar
For 4.2 · Against 3.9 · Total 8.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 12.6 · Total 25.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Krylia Sovetov
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
10.2
8.4
4.1
3.3
4.8
27.5
26.7
28.1
vs Stronger (21)
10.3
11.5
9.4
3.4
2.4
4.5
26.1
25.8
26.2
vs Similar (29)
8.6
9.5
7.8
4.7
4.2
5.1
28.3
27.2
29.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
42%
65%
24%
54%
42%
65%
92%
82%
100%
% under line
58%
35%
76%
46%
58%
35%
8%
18%
0%
This opponent (FC Krasnodar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Krasnodar
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
8.6
8.5
4.5
5.1
3.9
28.1
27.5
28.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
8.8
9.5
8.3
4.9
6.4
3.9
30.2
29.5
30.7
vs Weaker (32)
8.5
8.4
8.6
4.2
4.5
3.9
27.2
26.8
27.5
% over line
34%
35%
33%
64%
75%
54%
88%
88%
88%
% under line
66%
65%
67%
36%
25%
46%
12%
12%
12%
This opponent (Krylia Sovetov) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
CSKA Moscow
10.3
Rodina Moskva
10.0
Dynamo
9.7
FC Orenburg
9.7
Zenit
9.7
Krylia Sovetov
9.4
Akhmat
9.4
Akron
9.3
Fakel
9.2
Spartak Moscow
9.1
Dinamo Makhachkala
8.9
Lokomotiv
8.9
FC Krasnodar
8.6
Rubin
8.4
FC Rostov
8.3
Baltika
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Spartak Moscow
5.4
Baltika
5.1
FC Krasnodar
4.9
FC Rostov
4.8
Krylia Sovetov
4.7
Lokomotiv
4.6
Rubin
4.5
FC Orenburg
4.5
Akhmat
4.5
CSKA Moscow
4.5
Dynamo
4.4
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.3
Zenit
4.1
Fakel
4.0
Akron
4.0
Rodina Moskva
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Spartak Moscow
30.3
Baltika
30.2
FC Orenburg
29.1
FC Rostov
29.1
Rubin
28.8
Akhmat
28.5
FC Krasnodar
28.4
Dinamo Makhachkala
28.4
Rodina Moskva
28.2
Fakel
27.8
Dynamo
27.7
Lokomotiv
27.5
Akron
27.2
Zenit
26.8
CSKA Moscow
26.7
Krylia Sovetov
26.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
44.8%
@ 2.40+6.6%
Under 9.5
55.2%
@ 1.48-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.40
1xBet
2.40
Under
1xBet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.48
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
61.6%
Under 3.5
38.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
87.6%
Under 21.5
12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Krylia Sovetov or Draw
41.1%
Avg Implied 43.9% · @ 2.16
Edge
-2.8%
17%
24%
59%
covers Krylia Sovetov + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.21
Marathonbet
2.21
SBO
2.07
Krylia Sovetov or FC Krasnodar
75.5%
Avg Implied 76.4% · @ 1.24
Edge
-0.8%
17%
24%
59%
covers Krylia Sovetov + FC Krasnodar
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
SBO
1.20
Draw or FC Krasnodar
83.4%
Avg Implied 79.8% · @ 1.19
Edge
+3.6%
17%
24%
59%
covers Draw + FC Krasnodar
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
SBO
1.14
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Krylia Sovetov over/under 0.5
Over
59.0%
@ 1.51-3.5%
Under
41.0%
@ 2.51+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.53
1xBet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.47
Under
Pinnacle
2.54
Marathonbet
2.49
1xBet
2.49
Krylia Sovetov over/under 1.5
Over
22.4%
@ 3.45-4.9%
Under
77.6%
@ 1.29+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.64
Marathonbet
3.40
1xBet
3.30
Under
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
Pinnacle
1.27
Krylia Sovetov over/under 2.5
Over
6.1%
@ 9.70-3.4%
Under
93.9%
@ 1.02+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Marathonbet
9.40
Under
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Krylia Sovetov over/under 3.5
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Krasnodar over/under 0.5
Over
84.3%
@ 1.13+1.3%
Under
15.7%
@ 5.50-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.13
Under
1xBet
5.50
FC Krasnodar over/under 1.5
Over
55.2%
@ 1.72+0.2%
Under
44.8%
@ 2.10-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.73
Pinnacle
1.73
1xBet
1.70
Under
Pinnacle
2.11
1xBet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.09
FC Krasnodar over/under 2.5
Over
28.3%
@ 3.25-0.6%
Under
71.7%
@ 1.32+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.34
1xBet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.20
Under
1xBet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
FC Krasnodar over/under 3.5
Over
11.7%
@ 7.00-1.5%
Under
88.3%
@ 1.06+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.10
Marathonbet
6.90
Under
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Krylia Sovetov, so a minus line means Krylia Sovetov give that many goals of a start and FC Krasnodar receive them. At -1, Krylia Sovetov must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Krylia Sovetov win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Krylia Sovetov)
Krylia Sovetov -2
1.4%
Draw -2
4.3%
FC Krasnodar +2
94.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Krylia Sovetov)
Krylia Sovetov -1
5.7%
@ 5.75-8.0%
Draw -1
10.9%
@ 3.78-10.0%
FC Krasnodar +1
83.4%
@ 1.21+18.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
5.75
Draw
Marathonbet
3.78
Away
Marathonbet
1.21
Handicap +1 (Krylia Sovetov)
Krylia Sovetov +1
41.1%
@ 2.21-0.1%
Draw +1
23.8%
@ 3.48-2.4%
FC Krasnodar -1
35.1%
@ 2.79+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.21
Draw
Marathonbet
3.48
Away
Marathonbet
2.79
Handicap +2 (Krylia Sovetov)
Krylia Sovetov +2
64.9%
@ 1.39-0.1%
Draw +2
18.5%
@ 4.95+0.2%
FC Krasnodar -2
16.6%
@ 5.40-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.39
Draw
Marathonbet
4.95
Away
Marathonbet
5.40
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Krylia Sovetov
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.77
0.87
0.53
0.33
1.00
vs Stronger (12)
0.33
0.75
0.57
0.43
0.00
1.20
vs Similar (18)
0.78
0.78
1.12
0.62
0.50
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Krasnodar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Krasnodar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.37
1.00
0.29
0.56
0.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.75
0.50
0.67
0.33
0.78
0.56
vs Weaker (18)
0.78
0.28
1.09
0.27
0.29
0.29
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Krylia Sovetov) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
70.9%
@ 1.33+0.1%
Under 0.5
29.1%
@ 3.22-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Under
Pinnacle
3.25
Marathonbet
3.20
1xBet
3.20
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
34.6%
@ 2.61-1.3%
Under 1.5
65.4%
@ 1.47+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.64
Marathonbet
2.60
1xBet
2.60
Under
1xBet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.46
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
12.7%
@ 6.20-2.1%
Under 2.5
87.3%
@ 1.08+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.20
Marathonbet
6.20
Under
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Krylia Sovetov over/under 0.5 HT
Over
33.3%
@ 2.59-2.6%
Under
66.7%
@ 1.46+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.71
1xBet
2.55
Marathonbet
2.52
Under
1xBet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.46
Pinnacle
1.45
Krylia Sovetov over/under 1.5 HT
Over
6.6%
@ 10.22-2.5%
Under
93.4%
@ 1.02+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.25
1xBet
10.20
Under
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
Krylia Sovetov over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Krasnodar over/under 0.5 HT
Over
55.2%
@ 1.67-0.6%
Under
44.8%
@ 2.11+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.68
1xBet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
Under
Pinnacle
2.15
1xBet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.09
FC Krasnodar over/under 1.5 HT
Over
20.4%
@ 4.35-0.7%
Under
79.6%
@ 1.17+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.50
1xBet
4.20
Under
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
FC Krasnodar over/under 2.5 HT
Over
4.5%
Under
95.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Krylia Sovetov
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.77
0.67
0.73
0.47
0.80
vs Stronger (12)
0.67
1.08
0.86
1.00
0.40
1.20
vs Similar (18)
0.50
0.56
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Krasnodar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Krasnodar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.43
1.57
0.36
0.69
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.67
0.50
1.67
0.33
0.33
0.56
vs Weaker (18)
1.39
0.39
1.55
0.36
1.14
0.43
Clean sheet %
70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Krylia Sovetov) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
79.7%
@ 1.18+1.2%
Under 0.5
20.3%
@ 4.30-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Under
1xBet
4.30
Marathonbet
4.30
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
48.2%
@ 2.01+1.0%
Under 1.5
51.8%
@ 1.80-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
2.01
Under
1xBet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.80
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
19.3%
@ 4.00-3.9%
Under 2.5
80.7%
@ 1.21+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.00
1xBet
4.00
Under
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Krylia Sovetov over/under 0.5 2H
Over
39.0%
@ 2.12-4.7%
Under
61.0%
@ 1.64+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.12
Under
1xBet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.64
Krylia Sovetov over/under 1.5 2H
Over
9.8%
@ 7.30-2.9%
Under
90.2%
@ 1.06+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.30
Marathonbet
7.30
Under
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Krylia Sovetov over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Krasnodar over/under 0.5 2H
Over
65.1%
@ 1.45+1.4%
Under
34.9%
@ 2.55-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.45
Under
1xBet
2.55
FC Krasnodar over/under 1.5 2H
Over
26.6%
@ 3.20-2.3%
Under
73.4%
@ 1.30+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.20
Under
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
FC Krasnodar over/under 2.5 2H
Over
6.9%
@ 9.15-3.0%
Under
93.1%
@ 1.01+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.15
Under
1xBet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
94.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
94.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
94.0%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.2%
Home under 2.5 goals
93.9%
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-
+3.4%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
93.4%
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
-
-
-
+2.5%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
93.1%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.0%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
90.2%
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
-
-
-
+2.9%
Away under 3.5 goals
88.3%
1.06
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
-
-
-
+1.5%
Over 21.5 fouls
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.3%
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
-
-
-
+2.1%
Under 4.5
85.7%
1.12
Pinnacle
1.15
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
-
-
+3.2%
Away over 0.5 goals
84.3%
1.13
1xBet
1.13
-
-
-
-
+1.3%
Draw or Away
83.4%
1.19
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
SBO
1.14
-
-
+3.6%
Away +1 handicap
83.4%
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
-
-
-
-
+18.0%
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.7%
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
-
-
-
+3.9%
Over 2.5 cards
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.7%
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
-
-
-
+1.2%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
79.6%
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
-
-
-
+0.7%
Under 11.5 corners
77.6%
1.10
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.09
-
-
-
-3.8%
Home under 1.5 goals
77.6%
1.29
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
Pinnacle
1.27
-
-
+4.9%
Over 23.5 fouls
77.2%
1.35
1xBet
1.35
-
-
-
-
+9.8%
Over 1.5
76.9%
1.22
Pinnacle
1.24
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
-
-
+0.9%
Home or Away
75.5%
1.24
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
SBO
1.20
-
-
-0.8%
Under 5.5 cards
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
73.4%
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
-
-
-
+2.3%
Away under 2.5 goals
71.7%
1.32
1xBet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
-
-
+0.6%
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.9%
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
-
-
+0.1%
Under 3.5
70.5%
1.37
Pinnacle
1.40
Marathonbet
1.36
1xBet
1.36
-
-
+3.0%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Krylia Sovetov
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nikita Chernov50%
Ivan Oleynikov33%
Vladislav Shitov33%
Dominik Oroz17%
Maksim Vityugov17%
Nikolay Rasskazov0%
Kirill Pechenin0%
Fernando Costanza0%
Thomas Galdames0%
Yuriy Gorshkov0%
Sergey Bozhin0%
Mihajlo Banjac0%
Sergey Pesyakov0%
Amar Rahmanović0%
Martin Kramarič0%
Denis Makarov0%
Dani Fernández0%
Sergey Babkin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Denis Makarov40%
Dominik Oroz33%
Kirill Pechenin33%
Thomas Galdames33%
Maksim Vityugov33%
Nikita Chernov25%
Sergey Babkin25%
Fernando Costanza20%
Nikolay Rasskazov0%
Yuriy Gorshkov0%
Sergey Bozhin0%
Ivan Oleynikov0%
Mihajlo Banjac0%
Sergey Pesyakov0%
Amar Rahmanović0%
Martin Kramarič0%
Dani Fernández0%
Vladislav Shitov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Yuriy Gorshkov67%
Mihajlo Banjac25%
Maksim Vityugov17%
Martin Kramarič17%
Nikita Chernov0%
Nikolay Rasskazov0%
Dominik Oroz0%
Kirill Pechenin0%
Fernando Costanza0%
Thomas Galdames0%
Sergey Bozhin0%
Ivan Oleynikov0%
Sergey Pesyakov0%
Amar Rahmanović0%
Denis Makarov0%
Dani Fernández0%
Vladislav Shitov0%
Sergey Babkin0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ivan Oleynikov33%
Mihajlo Banjac25%
Fernando Costanza20%
Maksim Vityugov17%
Nikita Chernov0%
Nikolay Rasskazov0%
Dominik Oroz0%
Kirill Pechenin0%
Thomas Galdames0%
Yuriy Gorshkov0%
Sergey Bozhin0%
Sergey Pesyakov0%
Amar Rahmanović0%
Martin Kramarič0%
Denis Makarov0%
Dani Fernández0%
Vladislav Shitov0%
Sergey Babkin0%
FC Krasnodar
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jubal50%
Nikita Krivtsov50%
Christian33%
Juan Boselli25%
Lucas Olaza17%
João Batxi17%
Magomed Ozdoev0%
Aleksandr Chernikov0%
Daniil Utkin0%
Augusto Douglas0%
Vítor Tormena0%
Dmitry Vorobyev0%
Ilya Vakhaniya0%
Stanislav Agkatsev0%
Kevin Pina0%
Valentin Paltsev0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jubal50%
Augusto Douglas40%
Nikita Krivtsov25%
Daniil Utkin20%
Aleksandr Chernikov17%
Dmitry Vorobyev17%
Ilya Vakhaniya17%
Lucas Olaza17%
Christian17%
Stanislav Agkatsev17%
João Batxi17%
Magomed Ozdoev0%
Vítor Tormena0%
Kevin Pina0%
Juan Boselli0%
Valentin Paltsev0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Christian33%
Juan Boselli25%
Nikita Krivtsov25%
Augusto Douglas20%
Dmitry Vorobyev17%
Lucas Olaza17%
Kevin Pina17%
João Batxi17%
Magomed Ozdoev0%
Aleksandr Chernikov0%
Daniil Utkin0%
Jubal0%
Vítor Tormena0%
Ilya Vakhaniya0%
Stanislav Agkatsev0%
Valentin Paltsev0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nikita Krivtsov75%
Juan Boselli25%
Jubal17%
Dmitry Vorobyev17%
Magomed Ozdoev0%
Aleksandr Chernikov0%
Daniil Utkin0%
Augusto Douglas0%
Vítor Tormena0%
Ilya Vakhaniya0%
Lucas Olaza0%
Christian0%
Stanislav Agkatsev0%
Kevin Pina0%
João Batxi0%
Valentin Paltsev0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FAK (26)
€14m
Krylia Sovetov's squad is €88m less valuable than FC Krasnodar's (€26m vs €114m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
FAK (10)
€5m
Krylia Sovetov's attack is €25m less valuable than FC Krasnodar's (€9m vs €34m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
FAK (4)
€2m
Krylia Sovetov's midfield is €29m less valuable than FC Krasnodar's (€6m vs €35m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
AKH (10)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
Krylia Sovetov's defence is €34m less valuable than FC Krasnodar's (€11m vs €45m).
Russia: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Spartak Moscow
Zenit
CSKA Moscow
Baltika
Dynamo
Rubin
Dinamo Makhachkala
FC Orenburg
Akhmat
FC Rostov
Rodina Moskva
Lokomotiv
Akron
Fakel