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Krylia Sovetov vs Rodina Moskva Prediction & Stats

Date: 11/09/2026
Time: 15:00
Krylia Sovetov
Krylia Sovetov
Vs
51%
25%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Rodina Moskva
Rodina Moskva
Russia: Premier League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Krylia Sovetov are the clear favourites, with a 51% chance of victory, a 25% chance of a draw and a 24% chance of a Rodina win. The model predicts an average of three goals, but the most likely total is two, a 24% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 12% chance, and that is the only scoreline to mention. Krylia’s home form shows they score 1.62 goals and concede 1.12 against similar opponents, while Rodina’s away form is stronger, scoring 1.83 and conceding only 0.67. The suggested selections are: Away under 2.5 HT goals 99.4%, Under 7.5 98.9%, Away under 2.5 2H goals 98.2%, Under 6.5 96.9%, Away under 3.5 goals 96.9%, Home under 2.5 HT goals 96.7%, Home under 2.5 2H goals 93.2% with a 4% edge, and Away under 1.5 HT goals 92.6% with a 3% edge. Krylia’s recent draw after a 3-3 stalemate and Rodina’s recent 0-3 loss suggest a cautious start, but the home side’s advantage and the high probability of a low-scoring finish point to a tight, likely 1-1 draw.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Krylia Sovetov win
50.6%
Avg Implied 51.9% · @ 1.90
Edge
-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.90
Draw
25.5%
Avg Implied 25.3% · @ 3.90
Edge
+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.90
Rodina Moskva win
23.9%
Avg Implied 22.9% · @ 4.31
Edge
+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
4.31

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W00D11D21W02L14L00D30W33D00DH·AKR17/05A·DYN25/07A·CSK01/08A·DIN04/08H·BAL08/08H·DIN16/08H·ZEN19/08A·AKR23/08A·AKH29/08A·BAL02/09
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.531.531.270.801.80
vs Stronger (12)1.001.831.431.430.402.40
vs Similar (18)1.281.331.621.121.001.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Rodina Moskva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-541W03L24L50W21W33D14L13L03L13LA·ARS16/05A·SPA25/07H·FC 31/07H·RUB04/08A·ZEN09/08H·AKR15/08H·FC 18/08A·DYN23/08H·BAL30/08A·SPA02/09← First LeaguePremier League →
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.301.671.271.801.33
vs Stronger (4)1.002.50--1.002.50
vs Similar (17)1.881.241.801.602.000.71
vs Weaker (9)1.780.891.400.602.251.25
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Krylia Sovetov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
80.5%
@ 1.20+2.7%
Under 1.5
19.5%
@ 4.20-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.20
Under
1xBet
4.20
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
56.6%
@ 1.77+1.0%
Under 2.5
43.4%
@ 2.22-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.77
Under
1xBet
2.22
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
34.2%
@ 2.75+0.0%
Under 3.5
65.8%
@ 1.43-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.75
Under
1xBet
1.43
Both teams to score
Yes
58.5%
@ 1.66+2.4%
No
41.5%
@ 2.12-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
1xBet
1.66
No
1xBet
2.12

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%@ 7.10+6.0%
2-1
9.7%@ 7.90+4.3%
2-0
8.3%@ 8.80+3.5%
1-0
8.2%@ 7.90+2.8%
1-2
6.4%@ 12.50+3.0%
0-0
6.3%@ 14.20+3.3%
3-1
5.8%@ 13.00+2.5%
2-2
5.7%@ 13.50+2.5%
Krylia Sovetov goals ↓
Rodina Moskva goals →
01234
06.3%5.0%3.6%1.4%0.4%
18.2%12%6.4%2.5%0.7%
28.3%9.7%5.7%2.2%0.6%
34.9%5.8%3.4%1.3%0.4%
42.2%2.6%1.5%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Krylia Sovetov goals (down), columns = Rodina Moskva goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Krasnodar
3.00
Spartak Moscow
2.17
CSKA Moscow
2.00
Zenit
2.00
Dynamo
1.67
Baltika
1.67
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.50
Rubin
1.50
FC Orenburg
1.17
Krylia Sovetov
1.00
Akhmat
1.00
FC Rostov
0.83
Rodina Moskva
0.67
Akron
0.50
Lokomotiv
0.50
Fakel
0.33
Krylia Sovetov is 0.33 points better than Rodina Moskva in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 0.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Zenit
2.17
Spartak Moscow
1.83
FC Krasnodar
1.83
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.67
Baltika
1.67
CSKA Moscow
1.50
Akhmat
1.50
Rubin
1.50
Krylia Sovetov
1.33
Dynamo
1.33
Rodina Moskva
1.33
FC Rostov
1.17
Akron
1.00
Lokomotiv
0.83
FC Orenburg
0.83
Fakel
0.50
Krylia Sovetov and Rodina Moskva are level in goals scored per game (both 1.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Krasnodar
0.67
Zenit
0.67
Spartak Moscow
0.83
CSKA Moscow
1.00
Baltika
1.00
Fakel
1.17
Dynamo
1.17
FC Orenburg
1.17
Akhmat
1.33
Lokomotiv
1.33
Rubin
1.33
Krylia Sovetov
1.67
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.67
FC Rostov
1.67
Akron
2.50
Rodina Moskva
2.83
Krylia Sovetov is 1.17 goals better than Rodina Moskva in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 2.83).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Dynamo
63%
Spartak Moscow
62%
Zenit
60%
CSKA Moscow
57%
FC Krasnodar
57%
Akron
54%
Lokomotiv
51%
FC Rostov
49%
Fakel
48%
Akhmat
47%
Rubin
47%
Krylia Sovetov
46%
Rodina Moskva
44%
Dinamo Makhachkala
40%
FC Orenburg
39%
Baltika
36%
Krylia Sovetov is 2.2 percentage points better than Rodina Moskva in terms of average possession (46% vs 44%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov

For 3.3 · Against 5.0 · Total 8.3

🚩 Corners

14034264395255226165310787147787810A·BALA·AKHA·AKRH·DINH·BALA·CSKA·DYNH·AKRA·FC H·SPA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.1

🟨 Cards

801633354311333342127687143663A·BALA·AKHA·AKRH·DINH·BALA·DINA·CSKH·AKRA·FC H·SPA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.7 · Against 12.2 · Total 26.9

⚠️ Fouls

33020717121461016181514151711161712159827292026332928332717A·AKHA·AKRH·DINH·BALA·CSKA·DYNH·AKRA·FC H·SPAH·LOK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva

For 2.3 · Against 7.7 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

16027252515311294129776141116A·SPAH·BALA·DYNH·AKRA·ZENH·FC A·SPA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.2

🟨 Cards

803435244111113213217865124333A·SPAH·BALA·DYNH·FC H·AKRA·ZENH·RUBH·FC A·SPAH·KAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.5 · Against 13.7 · Total 28.2

⚠️ Fouls

36016201211161312917181411362329213525H·BALA·DYNH·AKRA·ZENH·FC A·SPA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.210.28.44.03.24.727.326.727.8
vs Stronger (22)10.311.59.43.22.24.526.125.826.2
vs Similar (28)8.69.57.84.54.24.928.027.228.9
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line43%65%25%52%40%64%92%82%100%
% under line57%35%75%48%60%36%8%18%0%
This opponent (Rodina Moskva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.08.011.52.62.72.528.233.323.0
vs Stronger (4)11.5-11.54.5-4.523.0-23.0
vs Similar (30)8.08.0-2.42.91.733.333.3-
vs Weaker (16)---2.52.12.8---
% over line43%33%50%36%40%32%83%100%67%
% under line57%67%50%64%60%68%17%0%33%
This opponent (Krylia Sovetov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
CSKA Moscow
10.3
Rodina Moskva
10.0
Dynamo
9.7
FC Orenburg
9.7
Zenit
9.7
Krylia Sovetov
9.4
Akhmat
9.4
Akron
9.3
Fakel
9.2
Spartak Moscow
9.1
Dinamo Makhachkala
8.9
Lokomotiv
8.9
FC Krasnodar
8.6
Rubin
8.4
FC Rostov
8.3
Baltika
8.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Spartak Moscow
5.4
Baltika
5.1
FC Krasnodar
4.9
FC Rostov
4.8
Krylia Sovetov
4.7
Lokomotiv
4.6
Rubin
4.5
FC Orenburg
4.5
Akhmat
4.5
CSKA Moscow
4.5
Dynamo
4.4
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.3
Zenit
4.1
Fakel
4.0
Akron
4.0
Rodina Moskva
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Spartak Moscow
30.3
Baltika
30.2
FC Orenburg
29.1
FC Rostov
29.1
Rubin
28.8
Akhmat
28.5
FC Krasnodar
28.4
Dinamo Makhachkala
28.4
Rodina Moskva
28.2
Fakel
27.8
Dynamo
27.7
Lokomotiv
27.5
Akron
27.2
Zenit
26.8
CSKA Moscow
26.7
Krylia Sovetov
26.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
56.1%
Under 9.5
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
64.7%
Under 3.5
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
79.9%
Under 21.5
20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Krylia Sovetov or Draw
76.1%
Avg Implied 76.9% · @ 1.26
Edge
-0.9%
51%
25%
24%
covers Krylia Sovetov + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.26
Krylia Sovetov or Rodina Moskva
74.5%
Avg Implied 74.6% · @ 1.30
Edge
-0.1%
51%
25%
24%
covers Krylia Sovetov + Rodina Moskva
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.30
Draw or Rodina Moskva
49.4%
Avg Implied 48.5% · @ 2.00
Edge
+0.9%
51%
25%
24%
covers Draw + Rodina Moskva
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.00

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Krylia Sovetov over/under 0.5
Over
83.2%
@ 1.15+0.7%
Under
16.8%
@ 5.40-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.15
Under
1xBet
5.40
Krylia Sovetov over/under 1.5
Over
53.2%
@ 1.75-0.8%
Under
46.8%
@ 2.05+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.75
Under
1xBet
2.05
Krylia Sovetov over/under 2.5
Over
26.4%
@ 3.30-1.8%
Under
73.6%
@ 1.30+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.30
Under
1xBet
1.30
Krylia Sovetov over/under 3.5
Over
10.6%
@ 7.60-1.7%
Under
89.4%
@ 1.06+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.60
Under
1xBet
1.06
Rodina Moskva over/under 0.5
Over
69.0%
@ 1.42+2.3%
Under
31.0%
@ 2.85-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.42
Under
1xBet
2.85
Rodina Moskva over/under 1.5
Over
32.7%
@ 2.85-0.3%
Under
67.3%
@ 1.40+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.85
Under
1xBet
1.40
Rodina Moskva over/under 2.5
Over
11.4%
@ 7.80-0.4%
Under
88.6%
@ 1.05+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.80
Under
1xBet
1.05
Rodina Moskva over/under 3.5
Over
3.1%
Under
96.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Krylia Sovetov, so a minus line means Krylia Sovetov give that many goals of a start and Rodina Moskva receive them. At -1, Krylia Sovetov must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Krylia Sovetov win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Krylia Sovetov)
Krylia Sovetov -2
12.9%
Draw -2
15.8%
Rodina Moskva +2
71.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Krylia Sovetov)
Krylia Sovetov -1
28.7%
Draw -1
21.9%
Rodina Moskva +1
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Krylia Sovetov)
Krylia Sovetov +1
76.1%
Draw +1
14.0%
Rodina Moskva -1
9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Krylia Sovetov)
Krylia Sovetov +2
90.1%
Draw +2
6.8%
Rodina Moskva -2
3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W00D01L10W01L12L00D10W22D00DH·AKR17/05A·DYN25/07A·CSK01/08A·DIN04/08H·BAL08/08H·DIN16/08H·ZEN19/08A·AKR23/08A·AKH29/08A·BAL02/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.770.870.530.331.00
vs Stronger (12)0.330.750.570.430.001.20
vs Similar (18)0.780.781.120.620.500.90
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Rodina Moskva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W01L11D10W01L20W12L11D01L11DA·ARS16/05A·SPA25/07H·FC 31/07H·RUB04/08A·ZEN09/08H·AKR15/08H·FC 18/08A·DYN23/08H·BAL30/08A·SPA02/09← First LeaguePremier League →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.330.930.331.330.33
vs Stronger (4)0.501.00--0.501.00
vs Similar (17)1.240.240.900.401.710.00
vs Weaker (9)1.220.221.000.201.500.25
Clean sheet %70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Krylia Sovetov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
67.3%
@ 1.32-4.2%
Under 0.5
32.7%
@ 3.30+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.32
Under
1xBet
3.30
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
31.5%
@ 2.50-6.0%
Under 1.5
68.5%
@ 1.50+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.50
Under
1xBet
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
12.9%
@ 6.10-2.4%
Under 2.5
87.1%
@ 1.10+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.10
Under
1xBet
1.10

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Krylia Sovetov over/under 0.5 HT
Over
51.0%
@ 1.72-3.1%
Under
49.0%
@ 2.03+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.72
Under
1xBet
2.03
Krylia Sovetov over/under 1.5 HT
Over
14.4%
@ 4.50-6.0%
Under
85.6%
@ 1.15+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.50
Under
1xBet
1.15
Krylia Sovetov over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.4%
Under
96.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rodina Moskva over/under 0.5 HT
Over
34.9%
@ 2.35-4.7%
Under
65.1%
@ 1.54+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.35
Under
1xBet
1.54
Rodina Moskva over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.4%
@ 8.50-3.3%
Under
92.6%
@ 1.02+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.50
Under
1xBet
1.02
Rodina Moskva over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.6%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D10W11D01L02L00D20W11D00DH·AKR17/05A·DYN25/07A·CSK01/08A·DIN04/08H·BAL08/08H·DIN16/08H·ZEN19/08A·AKR23/08A·AKH29/08A·BAL02/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.770.670.730.470.80
vs Stronger (12)0.671.080.861.000.401.20
vs Similar (18)0.500.560.500.500.500.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Rodina Moskva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D02L13L40W20W13L02L02L02L02LA·ARS16/05A·SPA25/07H·FC 31/07H·RUB04/08A·ZEN09/08H·AKR15/08H·FC 18/08A·DYN23/08H·BAL30/08A·SPA02/09← First LeaguePremier League →
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.970.730.930.471.00
vs Stronger (4)0.501.50--0.501.50
vs Similar (17)0.651.000.901.200.290.71
vs Weaker (9)0.560.670.400.400.751.00
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Krylia Sovetov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.2%
@ 1.18-2.7%
Under 0.5
22.8%
@ 4.70+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.18
Under
1xBet
4.70
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
43.6%
@ 1.90-6.0%
Under 1.5
56.4%
@ 1.87+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.90
Under
1xBet
1.87
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
18.3%
@ 3.80-6.3%
Under 2.5
81.7%
@ 1.24+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.80
Under
1xBet
1.24

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Krylia Sovetov over/under 0.5 2H
Over
65.3%
@ 1.48+2.5%
Under
34.7%
@ 2.50-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.48
Under
1xBet
2.50
Krylia Sovetov over/under 1.5 2H
Over
24.3%
@ 3.20-4.6%
Under
75.7%
@ 1.30+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.20
Under
1xBet
1.30
Krylia Sovetov over/under 2.5 2H
Over
6.5%
@ 8.80-3.9%
Under
93.5%
@ 1.02+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.80
Under
1xBet
1.02
Rodina Moskva over/under 0.5 2H
Over
41.3%
@ 1.97-5.9%
Under
58.7%
@ 1.76+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.97
Under
1xBet
1.76
Rodina Moskva over/under 1.5 2H
Over
10.9%
@ 6.00-4.4%
Under
89.1%
@ 1.08+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.00
Under
1xBet
1.08
Rodina Moskva over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.9%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals99.4%-------
Under 7.598.9%-------
Away under 2.5 2H goals98.1%-------
Under 6.596.9%-------
Away under 3.5 goals96.9%-------
Home under 2.5 HT goals96.6%-------
Home under 2.5 2H goals93.5%1.02
1xBet
1.02
----+3.9%
Away under 1.5 HT goals92.6%1.02
1xBet
1.02
----+3.3%
Under 5.592.1%1.02
1xBet
1.02
----+1.3%
Home +2 handicap90.1%-------
Over 19.5 fouls89.7%-------
Home under 3.5 goals89.4%1.06
1xBet
1.06
----+1.7%
Away under 1.5 2H goals89.1%1.08
1xBet
1.08
----+4.4%
Away under 2.5 goals88.6%1.05
1xBet
1.05
----+0.4%
Under 2.5 HT goals87.1%1.10
1xBet
1.10
----+2.4%
Home under 1.5 HT goals85.6%1.15
1xBet
1.15
----+6.0%
Home over 0.5 goals83.2%1.15
1xBet
1.15
----+0.7%
Under 4.582.3%1.14
1xBet
1.14
----+0.6%
Over 2.5 cards81.9%-------
Under 2.5 2H goals81.7%1.24
1xBet
1.24
----+6.3%
Over 1.580.5%1.20
1xBet
1.20
----+2.7%
Over 21.5 fouls79.9%-------
Over 0.5 2H goals77.2%1.18
1xBet
1.18
-----2.7%
Home or Draw76.1%1.26
1xBet
1.26
-----0.9%
Home +1 handicap76.1%-------
Home under 1.5 2H goals75.7%1.30
1xBet
1.30
----+4.6%
Home or Away74.5%1.30
1xBet
1.30
-----0.1%
Home under 2.5 goals73.6%1.30
1xBet
1.30
----+1.8%
Away +2 handicap71.3%-------
Under 5.5 cards71.3%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Krylia Sovetov
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nikita Chernov50%
Ivan Oleynikov33%
Vladislav Shitov33%
Dominik Oroz17%
Maksim Vityugov17%
Nikolay Rasskazov0%
Kirill Pechenin0%
Fernando Costanza0%
Thomas Galdames0%
Yuriy Gorshkov0%
Sergey Bozhin0%
Mihajlo Banjac0%
Sergey Pesyakov0%
Amar Rahmanović0%
Martin Kramarič0%
Denis Makarov0%
Dani Fernández0%
Sergey Babkin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Denis Makarov40%
Dominik Oroz33%
Kirill Pechenin33%
Thomas Galdames33%
Maksim Vityugov33%
Nikita Chernov25%
Sergey Babkin25%
Fernando Costanza20%
Nikolay Rasskazov0%
Yuriy Gorshkov0%
Sergey Bozhin0%
Ivan Oleynikov0%
Mihajlo Banjac0%
Sergey Pesyakov0%
Amar Rahmanović0%
Martin Kramarič0%
Dani Fernández0%
Vladislav Shitov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Yuriy Gorshkov67%
Mihajlo Banjac25%
Maksim Vityugov17%
Martin Kramarič17%
Nikita Chernov0%
Nikolay Rasskazov0%
Dominik Oroz0%
Kirill Pechenin0%
Fernando Costanza0%
Thomas Galdames0%
Sergey Bozhin0%
Ivan Oleynikov0%
Sergey Pesyakov0%
Amar Rahmanović0%
Denis Makarov0%
Dani Fernández0%
Vladislav Shitov0%
Sergey Babkin0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ivan Oleynikov33%
Mihajlo Banjac25%
Fernando Costanza20%
Maksim Vityugov17%
Nikita Chernov0%
Nikolay Rasskazov0%
Dominik Oroz0%
Kirill Pechenin0%
Thomas Galdames0%
Yuriy Gorshkov0%
Sergey Bozhin0%
Sergey Pesyakov0%
Amar Rahmanović0%
Martin Kramarič0%
Denis Makarov0%
Dani Fernández0%
Vladislav Shitov0%
Sergey Babkin0%
Rodina Moskva
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Iker Pozo33%
Artur Gharibyan20%
Artem Maksimenko17%
Leon Musaev0%
Yordy Reyna0%
Artem Sokol0%
Leo Goglichidze0%
Soltmurad Bakaev0%
Andrey Egorychev0%
Artem Meshchaninov0%
Dmitriy Tananeev0%
Mitja Križan0%
Ruslan Fishchenko0%
Ivan Timoshenko0%
Sergey Volkov0%
Kirill Ushatov0%
Magomedkhabib Abdusalamov0%
Stanislav Bessmertniy0%
Ilya Dyatlov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ilya Dyatlov50%
Andrey Egorychev33%
Dmitriy Tananeev33%
Iker Pozo33%
Ruslan Fishchenko20%
Yordy Reyna17%
Artem Meshchaninov17%
Ivan Timoshenko17%
Stanislav Bessmertniy17%
Leon Musaev0%
Artem Sokol0%
Leo Goglichidze0%
Soltmurad Bakaev0%
Mitja Križan0%
Artem Maksimenko0%
Sergey Volkov0%
Kirill Ushatov0%
Magomedkhabib Abdusalamov0%
Artur Gharibyan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Artur Gharibyan20%
Soltmurad Bakaev17%
Artem Maksimenko17%
Iker Pozo17%
Stanislav Bessmertniy17%
Leon Musaev0%
Yordy Reyna0%
Artem Sokol0%
Leo Goglichidze0%
Andrey Egorychev0%
Artem Meshchaninov0%
Dmitriy Tananeev0%
Mitja Križan0%
Ruslan Fishchenko0%
Ivan Timoshenko0%
Sergey Volkov0%
Kirill Ushatov0%
Magomedkhabib Abdusalamov0%
Ilya Dyatlov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Soltmurad Bakaev17%
Artem Maksimenko17%
Leon Musaev0%
Yordy Reyna0%
Artem Sokol0%
Leo Goglichidze0%
Andrey Egorychev0%
Artem Meshchaninov0%
Dmitriy Tananeev0%
Mitja Križan0%
Iker Pozo0%
Ruslan Fishchenko0%
Ivan Timoshenko0%
Sergey Volkov0%
Kirill Ushatov0%
Magomedkhabib Abdusalamov0%
Stanislav Bessmertniy0%
Ilya Dyatlov0%
Artur Gharibyan0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FAK (26)
€14m
Krylia Sovetov's squad is €9m more valuable than Rodina Moskva's (€26m vs €17m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
FAK (10)
€5m
Krylia Sovetov's attack is €3m more valuable than Rodina Moskva's (€9m vs €7m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
FAK (4)
€2m
Krylia Sovetov's midfield is €2m more valuable than Rodina Moskva's (€6m vs €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
AKH (10)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
Krylia Sovetov's defence is €4m more valuable than Rodina Moskva's (€11m vs €7m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
KS wins
0
Draws
0
RM wins

Head-to-head

Krylia Sovetov vs Rodina Moskva · H/A from KS
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/09/26ABaltika Vs KS0-0
29/08/26AAkhmat Vs KS3-3
23/08/26AAkron Vs KS0-3
19/08/26HKS Vs Zenit0-0
16/08/26HKS Vs Dinamo Makhachkala1-4
08/08/26HKS Vs Baltika0-2
04/08/26ADinamo Makhachkala Vs KS1-2
01/08/26ACSKA Moscow Vs KS1-1
25/07/26ADynamo Vs KS0-0
17/05/26HKS Vs Akron4-1

Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/09/26ASpartak Moscow Vs RM3-1
30/08/26HRM Vs Baltika0-3
23/08/26ADynamo Vs RM3-1
18/08/26HRM Vs FC Orenburg1-4
15/08/26HRM Vs Akron3-3
09/08/26AZenit Vs RM1-2
04/08/26HRM Vs Rubin5-0
31/07/26HRM Vs FC Rostov2-4
25/07/26ASpartak Moscow Vs RM3-0
16/05/26AArsenal Tula Vs RM1-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Krylia Sovetov
Krylia Sovetov
Russia: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWDD1.10
HomeWWLLD1.42
AwayDWWDD0.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%33%15%
AVG goals2.822.922.73
Over 1.5 %86%88%85%
Over 2.5 %48%42%54%
Over 3.5 %30%33%27%
Scored1.201.460.96
Conceded1.621.461.77
BTTS54%54%54%
Clean Sheet24%38%12%
Corners9.2410.248.43
Cards4.794.005.48
Rodina Moskva
Rodina Moskva
Russia: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLL1.76
HomeLWDLL1.88
AwayWLWLL1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%52%48%
AVG goals2.883.042.72
Over 1.5 %78%80%76%
Over 2.5 %54%48%60%
Over 3.5 %36%36%36%
Scored1.721.921.52
Conceded1.161.121.20
BTTS50%48%52%
Clean Sheet38%48%28%
Corners10.008.0011.50
Cards3.753.723.78

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar618
100%
3.0
114+7
2.5
50%
50%
33%
8.7
50%
4.5
83%
25.2
67%
114
3435451.80.7
57%
2Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow613
67%
2.2
115+6
2.7
100%
67%
0%
10.5
50%
6.5
83%
30.3
100%
129
5937341.80.8
62%
3ZenitZenit612
67%
2.0
134+9
2.8
83%
67%
17%
9.8
33%
5.0
83%
26.3
67%
182
10031502.20.7
60%
4CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow612
50%
2.0
96+3
2.5
67%
50%
33%
7.3
17%
3.8
33%
26.8
83%
111
3748261.51.0
57%
5BaltikaBaltika610
50%
1.7
106+4
2.7
100%
67%
0%
8.8
33%
3.5
33%
27.3
83%
30
106151.71.0
36%
6DynamoDynamo610
50%
1.7
87+1
2.5
67%
67%
33%
7.0
17%
4.4
80%
27.2
100%
110
4524421.31.2
63%
7RubinRubin69
33%
1.5
98+1
2.8
100%
50%
33%
7.7
17%
3.7
33%
24.3
67%
45
812251.51.3
47%
8Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala69
50%
1.5
1010+0
3.3
83%
83%
50%
9.5
67%
4.5
50%
23.7
67%
20
9381.71.7
40%
9FC OrenburgFC Orenburg67
17%
1.2
57-2
2.0
83%
33%
0%
8.5
33%
5.7
67%
30.7
100%
18
8370.81.2
39%
10AkhmatAkhmat66
17%
1.0
98+1
2.8
67%
50%
33%
7.8
17%
3.8
50%
25.5
83%
30
17491.51.3
47%
11Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov66
17%
1.0
810-2
3.0
83%
50%
33%
8.5
17%
5.0
60%
27.3
83%
26
96111.31.7
46%
12FC RostovFC Rostov65
17%
0.8
710-3
2.8
67%
50%
33%
7.7
33%
4.5
33%
27.7
83%
32
145131.21.7
49%
13Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva64
17%
0.7
817-9
4.2
100%
100%
50%
10.2
50%
3.8
33%
28.2
83%
17
7371.32.8
44%
14LokomotivLokomotiv63
0%
0.5
58-3
2.2
67%
33%
17%
7.0
17%
3.5
33%
27.2
83%
68
218400.81.3
51%
15AkronAkron63
0%
0.5
615-9
3.5
83%
83%
50%
8.5
17%
4.7
67%
26.7
67%
25
11681.02.5
54%
16FakelFakel62
0%
0.3
37-4
1.7
33%
33%
17%
9.8
67%
3.7
67%
25.3
83%
14
5270.51.2
48%
Russia: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →

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