Krylia Sovetov vs Zenit Result & Analysis

The model favours an away win, with a 56% chance for Zenit, 24% for a draw and 20% for Krylia Sovetov. The expected total is 3.1 goals, but the single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.1%. Krylia Sovetov, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 1.86 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, while Zenit, on the road against a weaker side, scores 1.93 and concedes only 1.0. The suggested selections are: Over 1.5 goals 82.3%, Over 2.5 cards 81.8%, Over 19.5 fouls 76.1% (miss), Under 11.5 corners 72.7% (miss), Under 5.5 cards 71.5%, and Under 25.5 fouls 70.9%. Krylia Sovetov have recently drawn 3-3 against Akhmat, while Zenit are coming off a 1-0 win over Fakel. The model’s predictions point to a tightly contested match with Zenit edging the outcome.

The match ended 1-1, a draw that left the pre-match favourite, the model’s pick of an away win, wrong. The model had given Zenit a 56% chance of victory, but the result was a stalemate, so the prediction was incorrect. The model’s selections were mixed: Over 1.5 goals hit with an 82.3% probability, Over 2.5 cards hit at 81.8%, Under 5.5 cards hit at 71.5%, and Under 25.5 fouls hit at 70.9%. Over 19.5 fouls missed at 76.1% and Under 11.5 corners missed at 72.7%. Krylia Sovetov’s recent form shows a draw, while Zenit comes off a win. The final score of 1-1 matched the most likely 1-1 outcome, which had a 11.1% probability.