This high-scoring match between ŁKS Łódź and Stal Mielec is expected to produce 3.2 goals on average, with the most likely total number of goals being 3. The model predicts a home win, with a 50% chance of ŁKS Łódź emerging victorious, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 25% chance of Stal Mielec winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, occurring with a probability of 11%.
At home, ŁKS Łódź has been scoring an average of 4 goals and conceding none, while away, Stal Mielec has been scoring an average of 1 goal and conceding 2.6. The model suggests an Over 1.5 selection, with an 84.2% chance of occurring.
In terms of recent form, ŁKS Łódź is coming off a defeat, while Stal Mielec has been unbeaten in their last 5 matches. ŁKS Łódź has a 50% chance of winning, a 24% chance of drawing, and a 25% chance of losing. The model's suggested picks include Over 1.5, occurring with a probability of 84.2%.
Results analysis
The win extends ŁKS Łódź’s two-game winning run, cementing the home side’s form. The final score of 4-0 confirmed the model’s pick of a home win, with a 51 % probability. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 goals hit at 98.2 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.1 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.8 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.3 %, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 95.7 %, Under 6.5 hit at 95.4 %, Under 5.5 hit at 89.2 %. Only Home under 2.5 2H goals missed, despite a 94.4 % probability. The predictions largely aligned with the match outcome, showcasing the model’s strength.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
ŁKS Łódź win✓ Hit
50.9%
Avg Implied 49.1% · @ 1.85
Edge
+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.92
SBO
1.91
William Hil
1.91
Dafabet
1.90
Draw✗ Miss
24.2%
Avg Implied 25.5% · @ 3.57
Edge
-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.94
888Sport
3.80
Marathonbet
3.70
1xBet
3.70
Betano
3.65
Stal Mielec win✗ Miss
24.9%
Avg Implied 25.4% · @ 3.59
Edge
-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.80
Dafabet
3.75
Betano
3.65
1xBet
3.62
Pinnacle
3.60
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
ŁKS Łódź
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.40
1.75
1.38
1.57
1.43
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.65
1.42
1.64
1.50
1.67
1.33
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
1.33
4.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Stal Mielec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stal Mielec
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.73
2.00
1.56
1.36
1.93
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (25)
1.72
1.76
2.07
1.57
1.27
2.00
vs Weaker (4)
2.00
1.25
1.50
1.50
2.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
10% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (ŁKS Łódź) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.2%
@ 1.21+7.7%
Under 1.5
15.8%
@ 3.95-7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.24
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Under
888Sport
4.40
Betfair
4.33
Pinnacle
4.05
Bet365
4.00
BetVictor
3.80
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
62.5%
@ 1.71+7.9%
Under 2.5
37.5%
@ 2.05-7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.81
Bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
1.76
Superbet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Under
888Sport
2.20
Unibet
2.12
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.09
Betano
2.05
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
40.3%
@ 2.72+6.4%
Under 3.5
59.7%
@ 1.40-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
BetVictor
2.88
Pinnacle
2.87
Superbet
2.77
Bet365
2.75
Under
Unibet
1.44
888Sport
1.44
Pinnacle
1.41
Betano
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.2%
@ 1.64+6.7%
No
36.8%
@ 2.12-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.73
William Hil
1.67
Superbet
1.66
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
No
Unibet
2.20
Betfair
2.20
888Sport
2.20
BetVictor
2.15
1xBet
2.10
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.9%@ 6.57+4.2%
2-1
9.6%@ 7.63+3.7%
2-0
7.3%@ 8.97+2.4%
1-0
6.6%@ 7.67+0.8%
1-2
6.5%@ 11.40+2.6%
2-2
6.2%@ 12.22+2.6%
3-1
6.1%@ 13.00+2.7%
0-0
5.0%@ 11.59+1.1%
ŁKS Łódź goals ↓
Stal Mielec goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.0%
4.2%
3.4%
1.5%
0.5%
1
6.6%
11%
6.5%
2.8%
0.9%
2
7.3%
9.6%
6.2%
2.7%
0.9%
3
4.7%
6.1%
4.0%
1.7%
0.6%
4
2.3%
3.0%
1.9%
0.8%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = ŁKS Łódź goals (down), columns = Stal Mielec goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Miedz Legnica
2.17
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
2.00
ŁKS Łódź
1.83
Arka Gdynia
1.67
Chrobry Głogów
1.67
Polonia Warszawa
1.67
Warta Poznań
1.50
Pogoń Siedlce
1.33
Stal Mielec
1.33
Odra Opole
1.33
Nieciecza
1.17
Ruch Chorzów
1.17
Lechia Gdansk
1.17
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.00
Unia Skierniewice
1.00
Polonia Bytom
1.00
Podbeskidzie
0.83
Stal Rzeszów
0.83
ŁKS Łódź is 0.50 points better than Stal Mielec in terms of average points per game (1.83 vs 1.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Polonia Bytom
2.00
Warta Poznań
1.83
Stal Mielec
1.83
Chrobry Głogów
1.67
Polonia Warszawa
1.67
Miedz Legnica
1.67
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1.67
ŁKS Łódź
1.67
Arka Gdynia
1.50
Nieciecza
1.50
Podbeskidzie
1.33
Pogoń Siedlce
1.17
Lechia Gdansk
1.17
Odra Opole
1.00
Puszcza Niepołomice
0.83
Unia Skierniewice
0.83
Stal Rzeszów
0.67
Ruch Chorzów
0.50
ŁKS Łódź is 0.17 goals worse than Stal Mielec in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Miedz Legnica
0.50
Arka Gdynia
0.83
Chrobry Głogów
0.83
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0.83
ŁKS Łódź
0.83
Pogoń Siedlce
1.00
Odra Opole
1.00
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.17
Ruch Chorzów
1.17
Polonia Warszawa
1.33
Unia Skierniewice
1.50
Warta Poznań
1.67
Nieciecza
1.67
Podbeskidzie
1.67
Lechia Gdansk
1.83
Stal Rzeszów
2.00
Stal Mielec
2.17
Polonia Bytom
2.50
ŁKS Łódź is 1.33 goals better than Stal Mielec in terms of goals conceded per game (0.83 vs 2.17).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ŁKS Łódź or Draw✓ Hit
75.1%
Avg Implied 74.9% · @ 1.23
Edge
+0.2%
51%
24%
25%
covers ŁKS Łódź + Draw
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
888Sport
1.25
ŁKS Łódź or Stal Mielec✓ Hit
75.8%
Avg Implied 75.1% · @ 1.23
Edge
+0.7%
51%
24%
25%
covers ŁKS Łódź + Stal Mielec
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.29
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Draw or Stal Mielec✗ Miss
49.1%
Avg Implied 49.9% · @ 1.85
Edge
-0.9%
51%
24%
25%
covers Draw + Stal Mielec
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.95
Bet365
1.91
Betano
1.91
SBO
1.90
Betfair
1.83
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
ŁKS Łódź over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
85.4%
@ 1.16+5.2%
Under
14.6%
@ 4.70-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
BetVictor
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Under
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.75
BetVictor
4.75
Superbet
4.55
Betano
4.45
ŁKS Łódź over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
57.3%
@ 1.80+5.9%
Under
42.7%
@ 1.91-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.88
Superbet
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.82
Under
Unibet
2.00
Pinnacle
1.93
1xBet
1.92
Betano
1.91
Marathonbet
1.90
ŁKS Łódź over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
30.3%
@ 3.57+4.3%
Under
69.7%
@ 1.25-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Pinnacle
3.69
Superbet
3.55
Marathonbet
3.42
Under
Betano
1.29
Pinnacle
1.26
1xBet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
ŁKS Łódź over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
12.9%
@ 7.78+0.9%
Under
87.1%
@ 1.06-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
1xBet
7.70
Superbet
7.70
Betano
6.70
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Stal Mielec over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
72.8%
@ 1.39+6.0%
Under
27.2%
@ 2.79-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Superbet
1.39
1xBet
1.37
Under
Pinnacle
2.96
BetVictor
2.88
Superbet
2.80
Betano
2.80
1xBet
2.78
Stal Mielec over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
37.4%
@ 2.87+4.9%
Under
62.6%
@ 1.38-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
2.91
BetVictor
2.88
Marathonbet
2.80
Betano
2.80
Under
1xBet
1.42
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Pinnacle
1.38
Marathonbet
1.37
Stal Mielec over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.3%
@ 7.09+1.3%
Under
85.7%
@ 1.07-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
BetVictor
7.00
1xBet
6.80
Marathonbet
6.75
Superbet
6.60
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.07
BetVictor
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Stal Mielec over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.3%
@ 17.42-1.2%
Under
95.7%
@ 1.01+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
23.00
Superbet
18.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to ŁKS Łódź, so a minus line means ŁKS Łódź give that many goals of a start and Stal Mielec receive them. At -1, ŁKS Łódź must win by two or more to land; a one-goal ŁKS Łódź win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (ŁKS Łódź)Actual: ŁKS Łódź
ŁKS Łódź -2
14.0%
@ 6.01-0.5%
Draw -2
15.8%
@ 5.00-1.7%
Stal Mielec +2
70.2%
@ 1.29+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
6.60
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.25
Unibet
4.70
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.30
Marathonbet
5.20
Unibet
4.00
Away
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.28
Unibet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Handicap -1 (ŁKS Łódź)Actual: ŁKS Łódź
ŁKS Łódź -1
29.8%
@ 3.11+1.7%
Draw -1
21.2%
@ 3.61-3.0%
Stal Mielec +1
49.1%
@ 1.82+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
3.35
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Marathonbet
3.14
Unibet
2.60
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.75
Superbet
3.70
Marathonbet
3.48
Unibet
3.10
Away
Betfair
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
Superbet
1.82
Unibet
1.82
Handicap +1 (ŁKS Łódź)Actual: ŁKS Łódź
ŁKS Łódź +1
75.1%
@ 1.24+3.0%
Draw +1
14.0%
@ 5.45-2.4%
Stal Mielec -1
10.9%
@ 7.80-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.21
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Superbet
5.25
Marathonbet
5.10
Away
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
7.30
Superbet
7.10
Handicap +2 (ŁKS Łódź)Actual: ŁKS Łódź
ŁKS Łódź +2
89.1%
@ 1.06+0.4%
Draw +2
7.2%
@ 13.00-0.0%
Stal Mielec -2
3.6%
@ 23.00-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.06
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Away
Bet365
23.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
ŁKS Łódź
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.67
0.75
0.75
0.64
0.57
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.65
0.69
0.64
0.86
0.67
0.50
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.67
2.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Stal Mielec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stal Mielec
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.77
1.31
0.56
0.43
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (25)
0.88
0.76
1.29
0.64
0.36
0.91
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.25
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (ŁKS Łódź) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
73.4%
@ 1.31+2.4%
Under 0.5
26.6%
@ 3.20-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
Superbet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
BetVictor
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.50
Pinnacle
3.32
William Hil
3.25
Betfair
3.20
BetVictor
3.20
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
37.7%
@ 2.45-0.0%
Under 1.5
62.3%
@ 1.49+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.63
Betano
2.57
Betfair
2.50
Superbet
2.50
William Hil
2.45
Under
Bet365
1.53
William Hil
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Unibet
1.50
BetVictor
1.49
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.2%
@ 5.82-0.8%
Under 2.5
84.8%
@ 1.11+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
6.50
Betfair
6.00
William Hil
6.00
Superbet
5.75
1xBet
5.60
Under
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Superbet
1.10
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
ŁKS Łódź over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
51.4%
@ 1.74-2.0%
Under
48.6%
@ 1.99+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.78
Pinnacle
1.76
Superbet
1.74
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.69
Under
Pinnacle
2.05
Marathonbet
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Superbet
1.97
Betano
1.93
ŁKS Łódź over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
17.9%
@ 4.54-2.4%
Under
82.1%
@ 1.16+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.60
Superbet
4.60
1xBet
4.50
Betano
4.45
Under
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
ŁKS Łódź over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.7%
@ 11.62-4.3%
Under
96.3%
@ 1.02+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
Stal Mielec over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
43.1%
@ 2.30+2.8%
Under
56.9%
@ 1.55-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.42
Superbet
2.32
Betano
2.32
1xBet
2.23
Marathonbet
2.21
Under
1xBet
1.58
Pinnacle
1.56
Marathonbet
1.56
Superbet
1.54
Betano
1.53
Stal Mielec over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.3%
@ 7.45-1.0%
Under
88.7%
@ 1.05+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.70
Superbet
7.70
1xBet
7.60
Betano
6.80
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Stal Mielec over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 20.12-2.9%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
29.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
ŁKS Łódź
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.73
1.00
0.62
0.93
0.86
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.00
0.73
1.00
0.64
1.00
0.83
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.67
2.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Stal Mielec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stal Mielec
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.97
0.69
1.00
0.93
0.93
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
0.84
1.00
0.79
0.93
0.91
1.09
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
1.00
0.00
1.50
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (ŁKS Łódź) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
81.9%
@ 1.20+4.3%
Under 0.5
18.1%
@ 4.14-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.17
Under
1xBet
4.40
Superbet
4.10
Betano
4.05
Bet365
4.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
48.8%
@ 1.95+1.5%
Under 1.5
51.2%
@ 1.76-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.00
Marathonbet
1.97
1xBet
1.97
Superbet
1.95
Betano
1.88
Under
Betano
1.82
Superbet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.74
1xBet
1.74
Bet365
1.73
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
21.1%
@ 3.91-2.7%
Under 2.5
78.9%
@ 1.22+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.00
1xBet
3.70
Betano
3.60
Under
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
ŁKS Łódź over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
58.0%
@ 1.51-3.0%
Under
42.0%
@ 2.37+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.54
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.50
Under
Betano
2.40
1xBet
2.40
Superbet
2.32
ŁKS Łódź over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
22.4%
@ 3.42-4.6%
Under
77.6%
@ 1.26+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.55
Marathonbet
3.48
1xBet
3.40
Betano
3.25
Under
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.27
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
ŁKS Łódź over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
5.6%
@ 8.53-5.3%
Under
94.4%
@ 1.04+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.30
Superbet
9.20
Betano
7.10
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Stal Mielec over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
48.6%
@ 1.93+0.7%
Under
51.4%
@ 1.77-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.95
Superbet
1.95
1xBet
1.90
Betano
1.90
Under
1xBet
1.80
Betano
1.80
Superbet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.73
Stal Mielec over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
17.0%
@ 5.55+0.4%
Under
83.0%
@ 1.10-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.90
Superbet
5.60
1xBet
5.60
Betano
5.10
Under
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
Stal Mielec over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.2%
@ 14.12-3.5%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.01+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
18.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.1%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
95.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
95.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.4%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+5.3%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5
89.2%
1.04
888Sport
1.06
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04
-0.9%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
89.1%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+0.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.7%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
87.1%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
-
-0.9%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
85.7%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.07
BetVictor
1.07
1xBet
1.06
-1.3%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
85.4%
1.16
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
BetVictor
1.15
1xBet
1.14
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
84.8%
1.11
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Superbet
1.10
+0.8%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
84.2%
1.21
Pinnacle
1.24
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Bet365
1.22
+7.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
83.0%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
-
-0.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
82.1%
1.16
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.9%
1.20
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.17
-
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
78.9%
1.22
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
-
+2.7%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
77.6%
1.26
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.27
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
-
+4.6%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
77.6%
1.14
888Sport
1.18
Betano
1.16
Pinnacle
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-4.1%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
75.8%
1.23
William Hil
1.29
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
75.1%
1.23
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
888Sport
1.25
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
75.1%
1.24
Superbet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.21
-
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
73.4%
1.31
Betano
1.37
Superbet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
BetVictor
1.30
William Hil
1.30
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
72.8%
1.39
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Superbet
1.39
1xBet
1.37
+6.0%
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
70.2%
1.29
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.28
Unibet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
-
+2.3%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
ŁKS Łódź · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dani Ramirez28%
Stipe Jurić21%
Kay Tejan21%
Jedrzej Zajac17%
Husein Balić15%
Engjell Hoti14%
Artemijus Tutyškinas9%
Piotr Janczukowicz7%
Antoni Mlynarczyk6%
Pirulo5%
Rahil Mammadov0%
Riza Durmisi0%
Nacho Monsalve0%
Maciej Śliwa0%
Adam Marciniak0%
Kamil Dankowski0%
Dawid Arndt0%
Marcin Flis0%
Bartosz Szeliga0%
Levent Gülen0%
Anton Fase0%
Piotr Głowacki0%
Adrian Małachowski0%
Oskar Koprowski0%
Jakub Letniowski0%
Michał Mokrzycki0%
Adrien Louveau0%
Mieszko Lorenc0%
Aleksander Bobek0%
Thiago Ceijas0%
Jan Łabędzki0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jakub Letniowski38%
Riza Durmisi36%
Adam Marciniak29%
Dawid Arndt29%
Adrien Louveau27%
Artemijus Tutyškinas27%
Oskar Koprowski25%
Pirulo24%
Michał Mokrzycki21%
Kay Tejan21%
Rahil Mammadov19%
Marcin Flis19%
Engjell Hoti17%
Nacho Monsalve17%
Levent Gülen17%
Jedrzej Zajac17%
Husein Balić15%
Dani Ramirez12%
Thiago Ceijas12%
Antoni Mlynarczyk12%
Aleksander Bobek12%
Piotr Janczukowicz11%
Kamil Dankowski10%
Bartosz Szeliga10%
Stipe Jurić5%
Piotr Głowacki4%
Maciej Śliwa0%
Anton Fase0%
Adrian Małachowski0%
Mieszko Lorenc0%
Jan Łabędzki0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Adrian Małachowski17%
Antoni Mlynarczyk12%
Kay Tejan10%
Riza Durmisi9%
Michał Mokrzycki7%
Kamil Dankowski7%
Dani Ramirez6%
Levent Gülen6%
Adrien Louveau5%
Piotr Głowacki4%
Piotr Janczukowicz4%
Bartosz Szeliga3%
Rahil Mammadov0%
Husein Balić0%
Nacho Monsalve0%
Maciej Śliwa0%
Adam Marciniak0%
Dawid Arndt0%
Marcin Flis0%
Pirulo0%
Stipe Jurić0%
Anton Fase0%
Oskar Koprowski0%
Jakub Letniowski0%
Mieszko Lorenc0%
Aleksander Bobek0%
Engjell Hoti0%
Thiago Ceijas0%
Artemijus Tutyškinas0%
Jan Łabędzki0%
Jedrzej Zajac0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adrian Małachowski17%
Kay Tejan14%
Marcin Flis12%
Pirulo10%
Dani Ramirez9%
Husein Balić8%
Rahil Mammadov0%
Riza Durmisi0%
Nacho Monsalve0%
Maciej Śliwa0%
Adam Marciniak0%
Kamil Dankowski0%
Dawid Arndt0%
Bartosz Szeliga0%
Levent Gülen0%
Stipe Jurić0%
Anton Fase0%
Piotr Głowacki0%
Oskar Koprowski0%
Jakub Letniowski0%
Piotr Janczukowicz0%
Michał Mokrzycki0%
Adrien Louveau0%
Mieszko Lorenc0%
Aleksander Bobek0%
Engjell Hoti0%
Thiago Ceijas0%
Artemijus Tutyškinas0%
Jan Łabędzki0%
Antoni Mlynarczyk0%
Jedrzej Zajac0%
Stal Mielec · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Piotr Wlazło34%
Ivan Cavaleiro33%
Ilia Shkurin20%
Łukasz Wolsztyński17%
Robert Dadok11%
Mateusz Matras10%
Matthew Guillaumier10%
Sergiy Krykun5%
Krzysztof Wołkowicz5%
Ravve Assayeg5%
Fryderyk Gerbowski5%
Marvin Senger4%
Krystian Getinger4%
Maciej Domański3%
Alvis Jaunzems3%
Jean-David Beauguel0%
Damian Kądzior0%
Petros Bagalianis0%
Mateusz Kochalski0%
Koki Hinokio0%
Pyry Hannola0%
Karol Knap0%
Bert Esselink0%
Adrian Bukowski0%
Dawid Tkacz0%
Jakub Mądrzyk0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Karol Knap23%
Petros Bagalianis20%
Mateusz Matras19%
Marvin Senger19%
Ivan Cavaleiro17%
Matthew Guillaumier16%
Robert Dadok15%
Bert Esselink14%
Piotr Wlazło14%
Adrian Bukowski11%
Damian Kądzior10%
Ilia Shkurin10%
Łukasz Wolsztyński10%
Koki Hinokio10%
Krzysztof Wołkowicz10%
Alvis Jaunzems9%
Fryderyk Gerbowski9%
Krystian Getinger7%
Maciej Domański6%
Dawid Tkacz6%
Ravve Assayeg5%
Jakub Mądrzyk3%
Jean-David Beauguel0%
Sergiy Krykun0%
Mateusz Kochalski0%
Pyry Hannola0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ivan Cavaleiro33%
Matthew Guillaumier13%
Krystian Getinger11%
Adrian Bukowski11%
Ilia Shkurin10%
Łukasz Wolsztyński10%
Karol Knap8%
Robert Dadok7%
Maciej Domański6%
Krzysztof Wołkowicz5%
Mateusz Matras3%
Alvis Jaunzems3%
Jean-David Beauguel0%
Damian Kądzior0%
Piotr Wlazło0%
Sergiy Krykun0%
Petros Bagalianis0%
Marvin Senger0%
Mateusz Kochalski0%
Koki Hinokio0%
Pyry Hannola0%
Ravve Assayeg0%
Fryderyk Gerbowski0%
Bert Esselink0%
Dawid Tkacz0%
Jakub Mądrzyk0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ilia Shkurin25%
Łukasz Wolsztyński13%
Sergiy Krykun11%
Piotr Wlazło10%
Matthew Guillaumier10%
Marvin Senger8%
Robert Dadok7%
Dawid Tkacz6%
Krzysztof Wołkowicz5%
Krystian Getinger4%
Alvis Jaunzems3%
Jean-David Beauguel0%
Damian Kądzior0%
Ivan Cavaleiro0%
Mateusz Matras0%
Maciej Domański0%
Petros Bagalianis0%
Mateusz Kochalski0%
Koki Hinokio0%
Pyry Hannola0%
Ravve Assayeg0%
Fryderyk Gerbowski0%
Karol Knap0%
Bert Esselink0%
Adrian Bukowski0%
Jakub Mądrzyk0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (20)
€22m
AG (23)
€5m
PW (25)
€5m
ML (24)
€4m
ŁŁ (22)
€4m
OO (24)
€4m
RC (20)
€4m
NIE (16)
€4m
SR (18)
€3m
PB (21)
€3m
CG (20)
€3m
PN (16)
€3m
PGM (15)
€2m
SM (16)
€2m
PS (18)
€2m
WP (6)
€1m
POD (5)
€1m
US (3)
€0m
ŁKS Łódź's squad is €2m more valuable than Stal Mielec's (€4m vs €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (8)
€15m
PW (13)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
OO (8)
€2m
ŁŁ (7)
€2m
NIE (7)
€2m
ML (7)
€1m
SM (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
SR (9)
€1m
PB (8)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
CG (7)
€1m
PS (8)
€1m
PGM (4)
€0m
POD (1)
€0m
WP (0)
€0m
US (0)
€0m
ŁKS Łódź and Stal Mielec have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (3)
€5m
ML (10)
€2m
NIE (5)
€2m
OO (8)
€1m
PGM (6)
€1m
AG (5)
€1m
PB (8)
€1m
ŁŁ (7)
€1m
RC (5)
€1m
WP (3)
€1m
CG (6)
€1m
PN (4)
€0m
PW (2)
€0m
SR (2)
€0m
PS (3)
€0m
US (2)
€0m
POD (2)
€0m
SM (2)
€0m
ŁKS Łódź and Stal Mielec have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (9)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
PW (10)
€2m
ŁŁ (8)
€2m
CG (7)
€1m
SR (7)
€1m
RC (8)
€1m
ML (7)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
OO (8)
€1m
PB (5)
€1m
PGM (5)
€1m
PS (7)
€1m
NIE (4)
€1m
SM (6)
€1m
WP (3)
€0m
POD (2)
€0m
US (1)
€0m
ŁKS Łódź's defence is €1m more valuable than Stal Mielec's (€2m vs €1m).
Poland: I Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: I Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Miedz Legnica
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Chrobry Głogów
Arka Gdynia
Polonia Warszawa
Warta Poznań
Pogoń Siedlce
Odra Opole
Nieciecza
Lechia Gdansk
Ruch Chorzów
Puszcza Niepołomice
Polonia Bytom
Unia Skierniewice
Podbeskidzie
Stal Rzeszów