Kulykiv are tipped to win, with a 47 % chance of taking the points while a draw sits at 28 % and Ahrobiznes Volochysk at 26 %. The match is expected to see about 2.6 goals, most likely a 2-goal total. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.2 % probability. Kulykiv, playing at home, have been scoring 1.36 goals and conceding 1.55 against similar opposition, while Ahrobiznes Volochysk, on the road, have a comparable record of 1.36 scored and 1.55 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 goals (99.4 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.6 %), Under 6.5 goals (98.1 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.5 %), Away under 3.5 goals (97.5 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.7 %), Under 5.5 goals (94.7 %), and Home under 2.5 2H goals (93.8 %).
Results analysis
The model’s prediction proved spot on, as Kulykiv secured a decisive 5-1 victory over Ahrobiznes Volochysk, extending their winning run. The pre-match favourite was the home win, assigned a 47% probability, and the model’s call was correct. The suggested selections performed overwhelmingly well: Under 7.5 hit at 99.4%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.4%, Under 6.5 hit at 98.1%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 97.5%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.2%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.8%. Two picks missed: Under 5.5 at 94.7% and Home under 2.5 2H goals at 94.2%. The final score matched the model’s favoured outcome, confirming the accuracy of the predictions.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Kulykiv win✓ Hit
46.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk win✗ Miss
25.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Kulykiv
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.25
2.00
1.00
1.00
1.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
1.25
2.00
1.00
1.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
0% (-32pp vs league)
This opponent (Ahrobiznes Volochysk) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.10
1.12
0.88
1.36
1.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
1.33
1.17
1.31
0.85
1.36
1.55
vs Weaker (6)
0.83
0.83
0.33
1.00
1.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Kulykiv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.4%
Under 1.5
24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.4%
Under 2.5
50.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.5%
Under 3.5
72.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.7%
No
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.6%
0-0
8.3%
1-2
6.6%
0-1
6.5%
2-2
5.1%
Kulykiv goals ↓
Ahrobiznes Volochysk goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.3%
6.5%
4.2%
1.5%
0.4%
1
9.8%
13%
6.6%
2.4%
0.7%
2
8.6%
9.4%
5.1%
1.9%
0.5%
3
4.4%
4.8%
2.7%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.7%
1.9%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kulykiv goals (down), columns = Ahrobiznes Volochysk goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
3.00
Oleksandria
2.20
Kulykiv
2.00
SK Poltava
2.00
Prykarpattia
1.40
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.40
Metal Kharkiv
1.40
Inhulets
1.33
Yarud Mariupol'
1.20
Nyva Ternopil
1.20
UCSA
1.20
Kolos Kovalivka II
1.00
Chernihiv
0.80
Lokomotiv Kyiv
0.50
Polissya II
0.40
Probiy Horodenka
0.40
Kulykiv is 0.60 points better than Ahrobiznes Volochysk in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.40).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Kulykiv
2.20
Oleksandria
2.20
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
1.80
Prykarpattia
1.60
UCSA
1.60
SK Poltava
1.33
Yarud Mariupol'
1.20
Polissya II
1.20
Metal Kharkiv
1.20
Inhulets
1.17
Chernihiv
1.00
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.00
Nyva Ternopil
1.00
Probiy Horodenka
0.80
Kolos Kovalivka II
0.67
Lokomotiv Kyiv
0.67
Kulykiv is 1.20 goals better than Ahrobiznes Volochysk in terms of goals scored per game (2.20 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
SK Poltava
0.17
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
0.20
Oleksandria
1.00
Nyva Ternopil
1.00
Chernihiv
1.20
Prykarpattia
1.20
Kulykiv
1.20
Metal Kharkiv
1.20
Kolos Kovalivka II
1.33
Lokomotiv Kyiv
1.33
Inhulets
1.50
Yarud Mariupol'
1.60
UCSA
1.60
Polissya II
1.80
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.80
Probiy Horodenka
2.40
Kulykiv is 0.60 goals better than Ahrobiznes Volochysk in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 1.80).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Kulykiv or Draw✓ Hit
74.5%
Avg Implied -
47%
28%
26%
covers Kulykiv + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kulykiv or Ahrobiznes Volochysk✓ Hit
72.3%
Avg Implied -
47%
28%
26%
covers Kulykiv + Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Ahrobiznes Volochysk✗ Miss
53.2%
Avg Implied -
47%
28%
26%
covers Draw + Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Kulykiv over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
78.9%
Under
21.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kulykiv over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
46.0%
Under
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kulykiv over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
20.5%
Under
79.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kulykiv over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
7.3%
Under
92.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
66.5%
Under
33.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
29.9%
Under
70.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.8%
Under
90.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.5%
Under
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Kulykiv, so a minus line means Kulykiv give that many goals of a start and Ahrobiznes Volochysk receive them. At -1, Kulykiv must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Kulykiv win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Kulykiv)Actual: Kulykiv
Kulykiv -2
10.0%
Draw -2
14.6%
Ahrobiznes Volochysk +2
75.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Kulykiv)Actual: Kulykiv
Kulykiv -1
24.6%
Draw -1
22.2%
Ahrobiznes Volochysk +1
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Kulykiv)Actual: Kulykiv
Kulykiv +1
74.5%
Draw +1
15.3%
Ahrobiznes Volochysk -1
10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Kulykiv)Actual: Kulykiv
Kulykiv +2
89.7%
Draw +2
7.2%
Ahrobiznes Volochysk -2
3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Kulykiv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (4)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Ahrobiznes Volochysk) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.50
0.44
0.38
0.71
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.62
0.54
0.46
0.31
0.82
0.82
vs Weaker (6)
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.67
0.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Kulykiv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
69.1%
Under 0.5
30.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
32.9%
Under 1.5
67.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.7%
Under 2.5
87.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kulykiv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
50.8%
Under
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kulykiv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
12.4%
Under
87.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kulykiv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.2%
Under
96.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
38.3%
Under
61.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.6%
Under
90.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.6%
Under
98.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Kulykiv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
0.75
2.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
0.75
2.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
25% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Ahrobiznes Volochysk) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.60
0.69
0.50
0.64
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.71
0.62
0.85
0.54
0.55
0.73
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.33
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Kulykiv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
76.4%
Under 0.5
23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
49.2%
Under 1.5
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
17.2%
Under 2.5
82.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kulykiv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
57.2%
Under
42.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kulykiv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
20.9%
Under
79.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kulykiv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
5.8%
Under
94.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
47.0%
Under
53.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.9%
Under
87.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.8%
Under
97.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
90.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Ukraine: Persha Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Persha Liga stats & trends →