Kulykiv’s recent win over Ahrobiznes Volochysk fuels the model’s confidence that the home side will triumph. The algorithm rates a home win at 88%, a draw at 9% and an away win at 3%, making the home victory the clear favourite. With an expected 3.8 goals, the most likely total is three, and the single most probable scoreline is 3-0, which carries a 12.6% chance. Kulykiv, playing at home against a weaker opponent, averages three goals scored and one conceded, while Kolos Kovalivka II, on the road against a stronger side, averages only 0.33 goals scored and two conceded. The model’s suggested picks mirror this dominance: Away under 3.5 goals (99.7%), Home +2 handicap (99.3%), Away under 2.5 goals (98.0%), Home or Draw (96.9%), Home +1 handicap (96.9%), Home over 0.5 goals (96.2%), Under 7.5 (95.8%) and Home or Away (90.8%). All probabilities are expressed as percentages, and every selection is listed with its exact figure.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Kulykiv win
87.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
9.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kolos Kovalivka II win
3.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Kulykiv
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.20
1.20
3.00
1.00
1.00
1.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (5)
2.20
1.20
3.00
1.00
1.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
0% (-32pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolos Kovalivka II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kolos Kovalivka II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.50
0.67
1.00
0.33
2.00
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.50
0.67
1.00
0.33
2.00
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Kulykiv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
90.1%
Under 1.5
9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
73.9%
Under 2.5
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
53.7%
Under 3.5
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
42.2%
No
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
3-0
12.6%
2-0
11.5%
4-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
5-0
6.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.6%
4-1
5.9%
Kulykiv goals ↓
Kolos Kovalivka II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.5%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
1
6.6%
4.4%
1.1%
0.2%
0.0%
2
12%
6.6%
1.9%
0.4%
0.1%
3
13%
7.2%
2.0%
0.4%
0.1%
4
10%
5.9%
1.7%
0.3%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kulykiv goals (down), columns = Kolos Kovalivka II goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
3.00
SK Poltava
2.20
Oleksandria
2.20
Kulykiv
2.00
Prykarpattia
1.40
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.40
Metal Kharkiv
1.40
Inhulets
1.40
Yarud Mariupol'
1.20
Nyva Ternopil
1.20
UCSA
1.20
Chernihiv
0.80
Kolos Kovalivka II
0.60
Lokomotiv Kyiv
0.60
Polissya II
0.40
Probiy Horodenka
0.40
Kulykiv is 1.40 points better than Kolos Kovalivka II in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 0.60).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Kulykiv
2.20
Oleksandria
2.20
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
1.80
Prykarpattia
1.60
SK Poltava
1.60
UCSA
1.60
Inhulets
1.40
Yarud Mariupol'
1.20
Polissya II
1.20
Metal Kharkiv
1.20
Chernihiv
1.00
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.00
Nyva Ternopil
1.00
Probiy Horodenka
0.80
Lokomotiv Kyiv
0.80
Kolos Kovalivka II
0.60
Kulykiv is 1.60 goals better than Kolos Kovalivka II in terms of goals scored per game (2.20 vs 0.60).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
SK Poltava
0.20
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
0.20
Oleksandria
1.00
Nyva Ternopil
1.00
Chernihiv
1.20
Prykarpattia
1.20
Kulykiv
1.20
Metal Kharkiv
1.20
Lokomotiv Kyiv
1.40
Kolos Kovalivka II
1.60
Yarud Mariupol'
1.60
UCSA
1.60
Polissya II
1.80
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.80
Inhulets
1.80
Probiy Horodenka
2.40
Kulykiv is 0.40 goals better than Kolos Kovalivka II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 1.60).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Kulykiv or Draw
96.9%
Avg Implied -
88%
9%
3%
covers Kulykiv + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kulykiv or Kolos Kovalivka II
90.8%
Avg Implied -
88%
9%
3%
covers Kulykiv + Kolos Kovalivka II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Kolos Kovalivka II
12.3%
Avg Implied -
88%
9%
3%
covers Draw + Kolos Kovalivka II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Kulykiv over/under 0.5
Over
96.2%
Under
3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kulykiv over/under 1.5
Over
83.9%
Under
16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kulykiv over/under 2.5
Over
63.7%
Under
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kulykiv over/under 3.5
Over
41.5%
Under
58.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolos Kovalivka II over/under 0.5
Over
43.5%
Under
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolos Kovalivka II over/under 1.5
Over
11.2%
Under
88.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolos Kovalivka II over/under 2.5
Over
2.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolos Kovalivka II over/under 3.5
Over
0.3%
Under
99.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Kulykiv, so a minus line means Kulykiv give that many goals of a start and Kolos Kovalivka II receive them. At -1, Kulykiv must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Kulykiv win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Kulykiv)
Kulykiv -2
51.7%
Draw -2
20.5%
Kolos Kovalivka II +2
27.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Kulykiv)
Kulykiv -1
72.2%
Draw -1
15.5%
Kolos Kovalivka II +1
12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Kulykiv)
Kulykiv +1
96.9%
Draw +1
2.4%
Kolos Kovalivka II -1
0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Kulykiv)
Kulykiv +2
99.3%
Draw +2
0.6%
Kolos Kovalivka II -2
0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Kulykiv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.40
0.67
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
0.40
0.67
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolos Kovalivka II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kolos Kovalivka II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.3
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.33
vs Stronger (6)
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.33
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Kulykiv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
72.6%
Under 0.5
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
41.2%
Under 1.5
58.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
20.1%
Under 2.5
79.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kulykiv over/under 0.5 HT
Over
64.3%
Under
35.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kulykiv over/under 1.5 HT
Over
26.6%
Under
73.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kulykiv over/under 2.5 HT
Over
11.3%
Under
88.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolos Kovalivka II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
32.0%
Under
68.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolos Kovalivka II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
4.4%
Under
95.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolos Kovalivka II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Kulykiv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
0.80
2.33
1.00
1.00
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (5)
1.80
0.80
2.33
1.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolos Kovalivka II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kolos Kovalivka II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.17
0.67
0.67
0.33
1.67
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.17
0.67
0.67
0.33
1.67
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Kulykiv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
78.6%
Under 0.5
21.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
54.2%
Under 1.5
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
27.1%
Under 2.5
72.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kulykiv over/under 0.5 2H
Over
71.1%
Under
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kulykiv over/under 1.5 2H
Over
43.5%
Under
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kulykiv over/under 2.5 2H
Over
14.6%
Under
85.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolos Kovalivka II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
34.2%
Under
65.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolos Kovalivka II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
5.6%
Under
94.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolos Kovalivka II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.6%
Under
98.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 3.5 goals
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
96.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
96.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
90.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
90.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
90.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
88.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home win
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 1.5 goals
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home -1 handicap
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 2H goals
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Ukraine: Persha Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Persha Liga stats & trends →