Kulykiv’s recent win over Ahrobiznes Volochysk gives them a bright start, yet Oleksandria’s three-game winning streak and a 1-0 victory against Chernihiv suggest a stronger offensive edge. The model projects a 41% chance of an Oleksandria win, 35% for Kulykiv and 24% for a draw, making an away victory the favoured outcome. With an expected 3.4 goals, the most likely total is three, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 10.4% probability. Kulykiv, playing at home, averages 0.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded against similar opposition, while Oleksandria, on the road, matches those figures. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (97.5%), Under 6.5 (93.9%), Home under 3.5 goals (91.4%), Away under 3.5 goals (89.2%), Over 1.5 (86.8%), Under 5.5 (86.4%), Away over 0.5 goals (83.4%) and Away +2 handicap (82.2%).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Kulykiv win
34.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
24.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Oleksandria win
40.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Kulykiv
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.20
1.20
3.00
1.00
1.00
1.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (5)
2.20
1.20
3.00
1.00
1.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
0% (-32pp vs league)
This opponent (Oleksandria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oleksandria
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.63
0.62
1.56
1.29
1.71
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
2.75
0.00
3.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (20)
0.75
1.50
0.70
1.50
0.80
1.50
vs Weaker (6)
2.00
1.33
1.00
0.33
3.00
2.33
Clean sheet %
13% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Kulykiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
86.8%
Under 1.5
13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
67.0%
Under 2.5
33.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
45.2%
Under 3.5
54.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
68.4%
No
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
7.8%
2-2
7.0%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.1%
0-1
4.8%
2-0
4.3%
Kulykiv goals ↓
Oleksandria goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.1%
4.8%
5.1%
3.1%
1.4%
1
4.3%
10%
8.5%
5.1%
2.3%
2
4.3%
7.8%
7.0%
4.2%
1.9%
3
2.4%
4.3%
3.9%
2.3%
1.0%
4
1.0%
1.8%
1.6%
1.0%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kulykiv goals (down), columns = Oleksandria goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
3.00
Oleksandria
2.20
Kulykiv
2.00
SK Poltava
2.00
Prykarpattia
1.40
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.40
Metal Kharkiv
1.40
Inhulets
1.33
Yarud Mariupol'
1.20
Nyva Ternopil
1.20
UCSA
1.20
Kolos Kovalivka II
1.00
Chernihiv
0.80
Lokomotiv Kyiv
0.50
Polissya II
0.40
Probiy Horodenka
0.40
Kulykiv is 0.20 points worse than Oleksandria in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 2.20).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Kulykiv
2.20
Oleksandria
2.20
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
1.80
Prykarpattia
1.60
UCSA
1.60
SK Poltava
1.33
Yarud Mariupol'
1.20
Polissya II
1.20
Metal Kharkiv
1.20
Inhulets
1.17
Chernihiv
1.00
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.00
Nyva Ternopil
1.00
Probiy Horodenka
0.80
Kolos Kovalivka II
0.67
Lokomotiv Kyiv
0.67
Kulykiv and Oleksandria are level in goals scored per game (both 2.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
SK Poltava
0.17
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
0.20
Oleksandria
1.00
Nyva Ternopil
1.00
Chernihiv
1.20
Prykarpattia
1.20
Kulykiv
1.20
Metal Kharkiv
1.20
Kolos Kovalivka II
1.33
Lokomotiv Kyiv
1.33
Inhulets
1.50
Yarud Mariupol'
1.60
UCSA
1.60
Polissya II
1.80
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.80
Probiy Horodenka
2.40
Kulykiv is 0.20 goals worse than Oleksandria in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Kulykiv or Draw
59.2%
Avg Implied -
35%
24%
41%
covers Kulykiv + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kulykiv or Oleksandria
75.7%
Avg Implied -
35%
24%
41%
covers Kulykiv + Oleksandria
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Oleksandria
65.1%
Avg Implied -
35%
24%
41%
covers Draw + Oleksandria
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Kulykiv over/under 0.5
Over
80.9%
Under
19.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kulykiv over/under 1.5
Over
49.2%
Under
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kulykiv over/under 2.5
Over
23.1%
Under
76.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kulykiv over/under 3.5
Over
8.6%
Under
91.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oleksandria over/under 0.5
Over
83.4%
Under
16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oleksandria over/under 1.5
Over
53.6%
Under
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oleksandria over/under 2.5
Over
26.8%
Under
73.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oleksandria over/under 3.5
Over
10.8%
Under
89.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Kulykiv, so a minus line means Kulykiv give that many goals of a start and Oleksandria receive them. At -1, Kulykiv must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Kulykiv win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Kulykiv)
Kulykiv -2
7.2%
Draw -2
10.6%
Oleksandria +2
82.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Kulykiv)
Kulykiv -1
17.8%
Draw -1
17.1%
Oleksandria +1
65.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Kulykiv)
Kulykiv +1
59.2%
Draw +1
18.6%
Oleksandria -1
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Kulykiv)
Kulykiv +2
77.8%
Draw +2
12.5%
Oleksandria -2
9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Kulykiv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.40
0.67
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
0.40
0.67
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Oleksandria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oleksandria
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.53
0.31
0.62
0.50
0.43
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
0.75
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (20)
0.30
0.55
0.30
0.70
0.30
0.40
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.33
0.67
0.00
1.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Kulykiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kulykiv over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kulykiv over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kulykiv over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oleksandria over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oleksandria over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oleksandria over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Kulykiv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
0.80
2.33
1.00
1.00
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (5)
1.80
0.80
2.33
1.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Oleksandria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oleksandria
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
1.10
0.31
0.94
0.79
1.29
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
2.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (20)
0.45
0.95
0.40
0.80
0.50
1.10
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
1.00
0.33
0.33
1.67
1.67
Clean sheet %
27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Kulykiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kulykiv over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kulykiv over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kulykiv over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oleksandria over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oleksandria over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oleksandria over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
91.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
89.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Oleksandria · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Papa Ndiaga Yade17%
Bryan Castillo11%
Hussayn Touati11%
Jota11%
Miguel Campos9%
Tedi Cara8%
Bogdan Butko0%
Serhii Buletsa0%
Mauro Rodrigues0%
Dmytro Myshnyov0%
Artem Kozak0%
Théo Ndicka Matam0%
Danil Skorko0%
Andrii Kulakov0%
Fernando Henrique0%
Denys Shostak0%
Anton Bol0%
Jocelin Behiratche0%
Illia Ukhan0%
Mykola Oharkov0%
Dmytro Chernysh0%
Vaschenko Daniel0%
Viktor Dolhyi0%
Nazar Makarenko0%
Mateus Amaral0%
Jonathan Ferreira da Silva0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Denys Shostak50%
Jocelin Behiratche50%
Illia Ukhan50%
Danil Skorko43%
Papa Ndiaga Yade33%
Théo Ndicka Matam33%
Jonathan Ferreira da Silva29%
Vaschenko Daniel27%
Bryan Castillo22%
Hussayn Touati22%
Bogdan Butko20%
Mykola Oharkov20%
Fernando Henrique18%
Dmytro Myshnyov15%
Andrii Kulakov12%
Miguel Campos9%
Anton Bol9%
Tedi Cara8%
Serhii Buletsa0%
Mauro Rodrigues0%
Artem Kozak0%
Jota0%
Dmytro Chernysh0%
Viktor Dolhyi0%
Nazar Makarenko0%
Mateus Amaral0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bryan Castillo11%
Hussayn Touati11%
Jota11%
Mykola Oharkov10%
Bogdan Butko0%
Serhii Buletsa0%
Tedi Cara0%
Mauro Rodrigues0%
Dmytro Myshnyov0%
Artem Kozak0%
Papa Ndiaga Yade0%
Miguel Campos0%
Théo Ndicka Matam0%
Danil Skorko0%
Andrii Kulakov0%
Fernando Henrique0%
Denys Shostak0%
Anton Bol0%
Jocelin Behiratche0%
Illia Ukhan0%
Dmytro Chernysh0%
Vaschenko Daniel0%
Viktor Dolhyi0%
Nazar Makarenko0%
Mateus Amaral0%
Jonathan Ferreira da Silva0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Papa Ndiaga Yade17%
Andrii Kulakov12%
Miguel Campos9%
Anton Bol9%
Bogdan Butko0%
Serhii Buletsa0%
Tedi Cara0%
Mauro Rodrigues0%
Bryan Castillo0%
Dmytro Myshnyov0%
Artem Kozak0%
Théo Ndicka Matam0%
Danil Skorko0%
Hussayn Touati0%
Fernando Henrique0%
Denys Shostak0%
Jocelin Behiratche0%
Illia Ukhan0%
Jota0%
Mykola Oharkov0%
Dmytro Chernysh0%
Vaschenko Daniel0%
Viktor Dolhyi0%
Nazar Makarenko0%
Mateus Amaral0%
Jonathan Ferreira da Silva0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Ukraine: Persha Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Persha Liga stats & trends →