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Kulykiv vs Probiy Horodenka Prediction & Stats

Date: 03/10/2026
Time: 16:00
Kulykiv
Kulykiv
Vs
68%
21%
11%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Probiy Horodenka
Probiy Horodenka
Ukraine: Persha Liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Kulykiv’s recent win streak and a 5-1 triumph over Ahrobiznes Volochysk give the model a clear edge for a home victory, reflected in the 68% probability for a win. The team’s average of three goals scored and one conceded at home against weaker opposition underpins this confidence. Probiy Horodenka, struggling on the road with an average of 1.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded against stronger teams, is seen as the weaker side, with only an 11% chance of triumph. The expected total of 2.9 goals suggests a moderately high-scoring affair, yet the most likely scoreline is 2-0 for Kulykiv, carrying a 12.7% probability. The model’s suggested picks reinforce the home advantage: Away under 3.5 goals (99.3%), Under 7.5 (99.1%), Under 6.5 (97.2%), Home +2 handicap (96.7%), Away under 2.5 goals (96.0%), Under 5.5 (92.8%), Home or Draw (89.0%), and Home +1 handicap (89.0%). The probabilities for the main outcomes are 68% home win, 21% draw, and 11% away win.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kulykiv win
68.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
20.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Probiy Horodenka win
11.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KulykivKulykiv

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W11D21W12L51WH·MET26/07A·CHE01/08H·PRY08/08A·VIK15/08H·AHR30/08
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.201.203.001.001.001.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (5)2.201.203.001.001.001.50
Clean sheet %0% (-32pp vs league)
This opponent (Probiy Horodenka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Probiy HorodenkaProbiy Horodenka

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L10W00D10W03L22D13L11D03L03LA·INH03/05H·AHR10/05A·YAR17/05A·VIK23/05H·PRY01/06H·INH26/07A·MET01/08H·CHE09/08A·PRY14/08H·VIK30/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.301.001.400.731.20
vs Stronger (13)1.081.310.861.291.331.33
vs Similar (17)0.711.291.121.500.331.11
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Kulykiv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
79.0%
Under 1.5
21.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
54.8%
Under 2.5
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
32.5%
Under 3.5
67.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
47.3%
No
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.8%
1-0
11.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
9.0%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
6.5%
4-0
4.8%
Kulykiv goals ↓
Probiy Horodenka goals →
01234
06.5%3.3%1.6%0.4%0.1%
111%9.9%3.4%0.8%0.2%
213%9.6%3.6%0.9%0.2%
39.0%6.8%2.5%0.6%0.1%
44.8%3.6%1.3%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kulykiv goals (down), columns = Probiy Horodenka goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
3.00
SK Poltava
2.20
Oleksandria
2.20
Kulykiv
2.00
Prykarpattia
1.40
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.40
Metal Kharkiv
1.40
Inhulets
1.40
Yarud Mariupol'
1.20
Nyva Ternopil
1.20
UCSA
1.20
Chernihiv
0.80
Kolos Kovalivka II
0.60
Lokomotiv Kyiv
0.60
Polissya II
0.40
Probiy Horodenka
0.40
Kulykiv is 1.60 points better than Probiy Horodenka in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 0.40).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kulykiv
2.20
Oleksandria
2.20
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
1.80
Prykarpattia
1.60
SK Poltava
1.60
UCSA
1.60
Inhulets
1.40
Yarud Mariupol'
1.20
Polissya II
1.20
Metal Kharkiv
1.20
Chernihiv
1.00
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.00
Nyva Ternopil
1.00
Probiy Horodenka
0.80
Lokomotiv Kyiv
0.80
Kolos Kovalivka II
0.60
Kulykiv is 1.40 goals better than Probiy Horodenka in terms of goals scored per game (2.20 vs 0.80).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
SK Poltava
0.20
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
0.20
Oleksandria
1.00
Nyva Ternopil
1.00
Chernihiv
1.20
Prykarpattia
1.20
Kulykiv
1.20
Metal Kharkiv
1.20
Lokomotiv Kyiv
1.40
Kolos Kovalivka II
1.60
Yarud Mariupol'
1.60
UCSA
1.60
Polissya II
1.80
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.80
Inhulets
1.80
Probiy Horodenka
2.40
Kulykiv is 1.20 goals better than Probiy Horodenka in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 2.40).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Kulykiv or Draw
89.0%
Avg Implied -
68%
21%
11%
covers Kulykiv + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kulykiv or Probiy Horodenka
79.3%
Avg Implied -
68%
21%
11%
covers Kulykiv + Probiy Horodenka
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Probiy Horodenka
31.7%
Avg Implied -
68%
21%
11%
covers Draw + Probiy Horodenka
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Kulykiv over/under 0.5
Over
88.1%
Under
11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kulykiv over/under 1.5
Over
62.7%
Under
37.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kulykiv over/under 2.5
Over
35.8%
Under
64.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kulykiv over/under 3.5
Over
16.6%
Under
83.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Probiy Horodenka over/under 0.5
Over
52.7%
Under
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Probiy Horodenka over/under 1.5
Over
17.3%
Under
82.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Probiy Horodenka over/under 2.5
Over
4.0%
Under
96.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Probiy Horodenka over/under 3.5
Over
0.7%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Kulykiv, so a minus line means Kulykiv give that many goals of a start and Probiy Horodenka receive them. At -1, Kulykiv must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Kulykiv win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Kulykiv)
Kulykiv -2
23.7%
Draw -2
21.0%
Probiy Horodenka +2
55.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Kulykiv)
Kulykiv -1
44.8%
Draw -1
23.5%
Probiy Horodenka +1
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Kulykiv)
Kulykiv +1
89.0%
Draw +1
7.7%
Probiy Horodenka -1
3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Kulykiv)
Kulykiv +2
96.7%
Draw +2
2.6%
Probiy Horodenka -2
0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KulykivKulykiv

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L00D01L20WH·MET26/07A·CHE01/08H·PRY08/08A·VIK15/08H·AHR30/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.400.670.000.001.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (5)0.400.400.670.000.001.00
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Probiy Horodenka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Probiy HorodenkaProbiy Horodenka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D00D10W02L00D13L00D02L01LA·INH03/05H·AHR10/05A·YAR17/05A·VIK23/05H·PRY01/06H·INH26/07A·MET01/08H·CHE09/08A·PRY14/08H·VIK30/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.530.270.530.470.53
vs Stronger (13)0.460.310.140.430.830.17
vs Similar (17)0.290.710.380.620.220.78
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Kulykiv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kulykiv over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kulykiv over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kulykiv over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Probiy Horodenka over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Probiy Horodenka over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Probiy Horodenka over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KulykivKulykiv

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W10W21W11D31WH·MET26/07A·CHE01/08H·PRY08/08A·VIK15/08H·AHR30/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.800.802.331.001.000.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (5)1.800.802.331.001.000.50
Clean sheet %20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Probiy Horodenka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Probiy HorodenkaProbiy Horodenka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L10W00D00D01L22D00D11D01L02LA·INH03/05H·AHR10/05A·YAR17/05A·VIK23/05H·PRY01/06H·INH26/07A·MET01/08H·CHE09/08A·PRY14/08H·VIK30/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.770.730.870.270.67
vs Stronger (13)0.621.000.710.860.501.17
vs Similar (17)0.410.590.750.880.110.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Kulykiv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kulykiv over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kulykiv over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kulykiv over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Probiy Horodenka over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Probiy Horodenka over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Probiy Horodenka over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Away under 3.5 goals99.3%-------
Under 7.599.1%-------
Under 6.597.2%-------
Home +2 handicap96.7%-------
Away under 2.5 goals96.0%-------
Under 5.592.8%-------
Home or Draw89.0%-------
Home +1 handicap89.0%-------
Home over 0.5 goals88.1%-------
Under 4.583.6%-------
Home under 3.5 goals83.4%-------
Away under 1.5 goals82.7%-------
Home or Away79.3%-------
Over 1.579.0%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLE (25)
€8m
SP (22)
€4m
YM (21)
€3m
NT (23)
€3m
MK (17)
€3m
UCS (23)
€2m
AV (18)
€2m
CHE (22)
€2m
VM (19)
€2m
PRY (18)
€2m
PH (20)
€1m
INH (15)
€1m
PI (5)
€1m
KKI (3)
€0m
LK (7)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLE (10)
€3m
YM (6)
€1m
SP (5)
€1m
UCS (8)
€1m
NT (9)
€1m
VM (5)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
PH (11)
€1m
PI (2)
€0m
MK (4)
€0m
AV (3)
€0m
CHE (4)
€0m
INH (6)
€0m
KKI (1)
€0m
LK (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
YM (7)
€1m
OLE (4)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SP (7)
€1m
NT (5)
€1m
VM (8)
€1m
AV (4)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
MK (5)
€1m
UCS (5)
€1m
PI (1)
€0m
PH (3)
€0m
INH (5)
€0m
KKI (1)
€0m
LK (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLE (11)
€3m
SP (10)
€2m
MK (8)
€2m
AV (11)
€1m
NT (9)
€1m
UCS (10)
€1m
CHE (10)
€1m
INH (4)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
YM (8)
€1m
VM (6)
€1m
PH (6)
€0m
PI (2)
€0m
LK (4)
€0m
KKI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
KUL wins
0
Draws
0
PH wins

Head-to-head

Kulykiv vs Probiy Horodenka · H/A from KUL
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

KulykivKulykiv

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26HKUL Vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk5-1
15/08/26AViktoriya Mykolaivka Vs KUL2-1
08/08/26HKUL Vs Prykarpattia2-1
01/08/26AChernihiv Vs KUL1-1
26/07/26HKUL Vs Metal Kharkiv2-1

Probiy HorodenkaProbiy Horodenka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26HPH Vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka0-3
14/08/26APrykarpattia Vs PH3-0
09/08/26HPH Vs Chernihiv1-1
01/08/26AMetal Kharkiv Vs PH3-1
26/07/26HPH Vs Inhulets2-2
01/06/26HPH Vs Prykarpattia0-3
23/05/26AViktoriya Mykolaivka Vs PH0-1
17/05/26AYarud Mariupol' Vs PH0-0
10/05/26HPH Vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk1-0
03/05/26AInhulets Vs PH3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kulykiv
Kulykiv
Ukraine: Persha Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLW2.00
HomeWWW3.00
AwayDL0.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%100%0%
AVG goals3.404.002.50
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %80%100%50%
Over 3.5 %20%33%0%
Scored2.203.001.00
Conceded1.201.001.50
BTTS100%100%100%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Probiy Horodenka
Probiy Horodenka
Ukraine: Persha Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDLL1.09
HomeWLDDL1.17
AwayLDWLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %29%33%24%
AVG goals2.342.612.06
Over 1.5 %66%72%59%
Over 2.5 %46%50%41%
Over 3.5 %23%22%24%
Scored0.941.110.76
Conceded1.401.501.29
BTTS37%39%35%
Clean Sheet34%28%41%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Viktoriya MykolaivkaViktoriya Mykolaivka515
100%
3.0
91+8
2.0
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.80.2
-
2SK PoltavaSK Poltava511
60%
2.2
81+7
1.8
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.60.2
-
3OleksandriaOleksandria511
60%
2.2
115+6
3.2
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3132.21.0
-
4KulykivKulykiv510
60%
2.0
116+5
3.4
100%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.2
-
5PrykarpattiaPrykarpattia57
40%
1.4
86+2
2.8
80%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.61.2
-
6Metal KharkivMetal Kharkiv57
40%
1.4
66+0
2.4
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0121.21.2
-
7InhuletsInhulets57
40%
1.4
79-2
3.2
100%
100%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.41.8
-
8Ahrobiznes VolochyskAhrobiznes Volochysk57
40%
1.4
59-4
2.8
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.01.8
-
9UCSAUCSA56
20%
1.2
88+0
3.2
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.61.6
-
10Nyva TernopilNyva Ternopil56
20%
1.2
55+0
2.0
80%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.0
-
11Yarud MariupolYarud Mariupol'56
40%
1.2
68-2
2.8
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.6
-
12ChernihivChernihiv54
0%
0.8
56-1
2.2
80%
20%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.01.2
-
13Lokomotiv KyivLokomotiv Kyiv53
0%
0.6
47-3
2.2
60%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.4
-
14Kolos Kovalivka IIKolos Kovalivka II53
20%
0.6
38-5
2.2
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.6
-
15Polissya IIPolissya II52
0%
0.4
69-3
3.0
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.8
-
16Probiy HorodenkaProbiy Horodenka52
0%
0.4
412-8
3.2
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.82.4
-
Ukraine: Persha Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Persha Liga stats & trends →

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