This opponent (HJK Helsinki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HJK Helsinki
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.03
1.60
1.07
1.67
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (12)
0.92
1.33
0.86
0.86
1.00
2.00
vs Weaker (16)
2.38
0.81
2.25
1.25
2.50
0.38
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (KuPS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.5%
Under 1.5
26.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.9%
Under 2.5
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.3%
Under 3.5
74.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.9%
No
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
0-1
9.4%
0-0
9.1%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.0%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.3%
2-0
5.4%
KuPS goals ↓
HJK Helsinki goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.1%
9.4%
7.3%
3.3%
1.1%
1
8.0%
14%
8.6%
3.9%
1.4%
2
5.4%
7.4%
5.1%
2.3%
0.8%
3
2.1%
2.9%
2.0%
0.9%
0.3%
4
0.6%
0.9%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = KuPS goals (down), columns = HJK Helsinki goals (across).
๐ช 3. Team Strengths Analysis
๐ Total PPG
Points / game
Turku PS
3.00
KuPS
2.09
Inter Turku
1.91
Ilves
1.88
SJK
1.84
HJK Helsinki
1.53
FF Jaro
1.26
Mariehamn
1.19
VPS
1.15
Gnistan
1.03
AC Oulu
1.00
Kooteepee
0.72
Haka
0.63
KuPS is 0.56 points better than HJK Helsinki in terms of average points per game (2.09 vs 1.53).
โ๏ธ Attack
Goals scored / game
Turku PS
3.00
HJK Helsinki
2.31
SJK
2.19
Ilves
2.12
KuPS
1.94
Inter Turku
1.88
Gnistan
1.47
VPS
1.37
FF Jaro
1.30
AC Oulu
1.30
Mariehamn
1.26
Kooteepee
1.14
Haka
1.11
KuPS is 0.38 goals worse than HJK Helsinki in terms of goals scored per game (1.94 vs 2.31).
๐ก๏ธ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Turku PS
1.00
Inter Turku
1.03
KuPS
1.06
Ilves
1.41
VPS
1.56
SJK
1.59
HJK Helsinki
1.62
FF Jaro
1.63
Haka
1.85
Mariehamn
1.96
AC Oulu
1.96
Gnistan
2.03
Kooteepee
2.31
KuPS is 0.56 goals better than HJK Helsinki in terms of goals conceded per game (1.06 vs 1.62).
โฑ๏ธ Possession
Avg possession %
HJK Helsinki
58%
Ilves
54%
KuPS
53%
VPS
50%
Kooteepee
50%
Inter Turku
50%
SJK
49%
AC Oulu
49%
FF Jaro
49%
Mariehamn
48%
Gnistan
44%
Haka
44%
Turku PS
37%
KuPS is 5.2 percentage points worse than HJK Helsinki in terms of average possession (53% vs 58%).
๐ฒ 4. Props Analysis
KuPS
For 5.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.0
๐ฉ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 0.0 · Total 1.0
๐จ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 16.0
โ ๏ธ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
HJK Helsinki
For 4.6 · Against 6.3 · Total 10.9
๐ฉ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.9
๐จ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 14.7 · Total 28.7
โ ๏ธ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
KuPS
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.0
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
16.0
16.0
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
10.0
10.0
-
0.1
0.2
0.0
16.0
16.0
-
vs Weaker (33)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
100%
100%
-
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
-
% under line
0%
0%
-
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
-
This opponent (HJK Helsinki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HJK Helsinki
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
11.3
10.5
0.5
0.7
0.4
28.7
28.3
29.0
vs Stronger (2)
10.0
-
10.0
3.0
-
3.0
30.0
-
30.0
vs Similar (21)
10.2
11.3
7.0
0.8
1.5
0.1
28.0
28.3
27.0
vs Weaker (27)
15.0
-
15.0
0.1
0.0
0.3
29.0
-
29.0
% over line
57%
67%
50%
10%
12%
8%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
43%
33%
50%
90%
88%
92%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (KuPS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
๐ฉ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
AC Oulu
15.0
Gnistan
11.7
Kooteepee
11.3
SJK
10.6
Haka
10.5
Mariehamn
10.4
VPS
9.9
KuPS
9.7
Inter Turku
9.7
Ilves
9.6
HJK Helsinki
9.5
FF Jaro
9.0
๐จ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Gnistan
6.0
FF Jaro
5.0
Kooteepee
4.9
Inter Turku
4.5
Mariehamn
4.4
Haka
4.4
KuPS
4.3
SJK
4.0
AC Oulu
4.0
Ilves
3.9
VPS
3.7
HJK Helsinki
3.3
โ ๏ธ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
AC Oulu
29.0
Ilves
25.0
Inter Turku
24.6
Mariehamn
24.5
SJK
23.8
KuPS
23.7
HJK Helsinki
23.1
Kooteepee
22.9
Haka
22.5
Gnistan
22.3
VPS
22.2
FF Jaro
14.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
64.3%
Under 9.5
35.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
50.7%
Under 3.5
49.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
63.8%
Under 21.5
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
๐ 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
๐ฅ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
โ๏ธ 7. Handicap
โฑ๏ธ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
KuPS
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.40
0.79
0.36
0.38
0.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.33
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.25
0.25
vs Weaker (18)
0.72
0.33
0.90
0.10
0.50
0.62
Clean sheet %
70% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (HJK Helsinki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HJK Helsinki
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.43
0.73
0.47
0.53
0.40
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (12)
0.42
0.42
0.14
0.29
0.80
0.60
vs Weaker (16)
0.88
0.38
1.25
0.62
0.50
0.12
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (KuPS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
๐ฅ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
KuPS over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KuPS over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KuPS over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HJK Helsinki over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HJK Helsinki over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HJK Helsinki over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
โฑ๏ธ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
KuPS
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.53
0.86
0.36
1.06
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.75
0.67
0.25
0.25
1.00
0.88
vs Weaker (18)
1.11
0.44
1.10
0.40
1.12
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (HJK Helsinki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HJK Helsinki
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.60
0.87
0.60
1.13
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (12)
0.50
0.92
0.71
0.57
0.20
1.40
vs Weaker (16)
1.50
0.44
1.00
0.62
2.00
0.25
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (KuPS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
๐ฅ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
KuPS over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KuPS over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KuPS over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HJK Helsinki over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HJK Helsinki over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HJK Helsinki over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
๐ฅ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 8.5 corners
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
โ Hit
Over 1.5
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
โ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
๐ฝ 13. Player market rates
KuPS
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Piotr Parzyszek53%
Mohamed Toure38%
Ibrahim Cissรฉ20%
Otto Ruoppi15%
Agon Sadiku14%
Petteri Pennanen11%
Samuel Pasanen9%
Saku Savolainen8%
Clinton Antwi7%
Jaakko Oksanen6%
Doni Arifi6%
Johannes Kreidl0%
Paulo Ricardo0%
Pa Konate0%
Niko Hรคmรคlรคinen0%
Arttu Heinonen0%
Jerry Voutilainen0%
Paulius Golubickas0%
Taneli Hรคmรคlรคinen0%
Arttu Lรถtjรถnen0%
Joslyn Luyeye-Lutumba0%
Samuli Miettinen0%
Bob Nii Armah0%
Sadat Seidu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Niko Hรคmรคlรคinen33%
Samuli Miettinen30%
Ibrahim Cissรฉ27%
Arttu Heinonen25%
Paulo Ricardo20%
Pa Konate20%
Petteri Pennanen16%
Doni Arifi12%
Johannes Kreidl11%
Jerry Voutilainen8%
Clinton Antwi7%
Agon Sadiku7%
Bob Nii Armah7%
Jaakko Oksanen6%
Otto Ruoppi5%
Piotr Parzyszek0%
Saku Savolainen0%
Paulius Golubickas0%
Taneli Hรคmรคlรคinen0%
Arttu Lรถtjรถnen0%
Joslyn Luyeye-Lutumba0%
Samuel Pasanen0%
Mohamed Toure0%
Sadat Seidu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Saku Savolainen23%
Jaakko Oksanen19%
Jerry Voutilainen17%
Otto Ruoppi15%
Paulius Golubickas11%
Joslyn Luyeye-Lutumba8%
Clinton Antwi7%
Agon Sadiku7%
Bob Nii Armah7%
Doni Arifi6%
Johannes Kreidl0%
Paulo Ricardo0%
Piotr Parzyszek0%
Pa Konate0%
Niko Hรคmรคlรคinen0%
Petteri Pennanen0%
Arttu Heinonen0%
Ibrahim Cissรฉ0%
Taneli Hรคmรคlรคinen0%
Arttu Lรถtjรถnen0%
Samuli Miettinen0%
Samuel Pasanen0%
Mohamed Toure0%
Sadat Seidu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Piotr Parzyszek33%
Mohamed Toure19%
Petteri Pennanen11%
Samuel Pasanen9%
Saku Savolainen8%
Agon Sadiku7%
Otto Ruoppi5%
Johannes Kreidl0%
Paulo Ricardo0%
Clinton Antwi0%
Jaakko Oksanen0%
Pa Konate0%
Niko Hรคmรคlรคinen0%
Arttu Heinonen0%
Doni Arifi0%
Jerry Voutilainen0%
Paulius Golubickas0%
Ibrahim Cissรฉ0%
Taneli Hรคmรคlรคinen0%
Arttu Lรถtjรถnen0%
Joslyn Luyeye-Lutumba0%
Samuli Miettinen0%
Bob Nii Armah0%
Sadat Seidu0%
HJK Helsinki
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kai Meriluoto67%
Alexander Ring38%
Michael Boamah33%
Santeri Hostikka31%
Lucas Lingman23%
Georgios Antzoulas22%
Teemu Pukki18%
Jere Kallinen17%
Michel Benjamin Stanley14%
Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan14%
Liam Mรถller14%
Vicente Besuijen12%
Georgios Kanellopoulos11%
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster9%
Pyry Mentu8%
Thijmen Nijhuis0%
Ricardo Friedrich0%
Ville Tikkanen0%
Elmo Henriksson0%
Miska Ylitolva0%
Mihailo Bogiฤeviฤ0%
Ardit Tahiri0%
David Ezeh0%
Kaius Simojoki0%
Toivo Mero0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Georgios Kanellopoulos22%
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster18%
Pyry Mentu17%
Ville Tikkanen14%
Liam Mรถller14%
Georgios Antzoulas11%
Teemu Pukki9%
Jere Kallinen8%
Alexander Ring8%
Lucas Lingman8%
Kaius Simojoki7%
Thijmen Nijhuis0%
Ricardo Friedrich0%
Santeri Hostikka0%
Michel Benjamin Stanley0%
Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan0%
Kai Meriluoto0%
Vicente Besuijen0%
Elmo Henriksson0%
Miska Ylitolva0%
Mihailo Bogiฤeviฤ0%
Ardit Tahiri0%
Michael Boamah0%
David Ezeh0%
Toivo Mero0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Teemu Pukki45%
Santeri Hostikka31%
David Ezeh25%
Lucas Lingman23%
Georgios Kanellopoulos22%
Pyry Mentu17%
Liam Mรถller14%
Kaius Simojoki14%
Alexander Ring8%
Michel Benjamin Stanley7%
Georgios Antzoulas0%
Thijmen Nijhuis0%
Ricardo Friedrich0%
Ville Tikkanen0%
Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan0%
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster0%
Kai Meriluoto0%
Vicente Besuijen0%
Jere Kallinen0%
Elmo Henriksson0%
Miska Ylitolva0%
Mihailo Bogiฤeviฤ0%
Ardit Tahiri0%
Michael Boamah0%
Toivo Mero0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Santeri Hostikka38%
Alexander Ring38%
Kai Meriluoto33%
Teemu Pukki27%
Lucas Lingman15%
Georgios Kanellopoulos11%
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster9%
Michel Benjamin Stanley7%
Georgios Antzoulas0%
Thijmen Nijhuis0%
Ricardo Friedrich0%
Ville Tikkanen0%
Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan0%
Vicente Besuijen0%
Jere Kallinen0%
Elmo Henriksson0%
Miska Ylitolva0%
Mihailo Bogiฤeviฤ0%
Ardit Tahiri0%
Michael Boamah0%
Liam Mรถller0%
David Ezeh0%
Kaius Simojoki0%
Pyry Mentu0%
Toivo Mero0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
๐ฐ 14. Squad value
๐ฐ Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (30)
€7m
HH (28)
€7m
IT (25)
€5m
ILV (23)
€4m
SJK (26)
€4m
AO (23)
€4m
VPS (22)
€3m
GNI (21)
€3m
MAR (23)
€2m
TP (22)
€2m
FJ (20)
€2m
HAK (21)
€1m
KOO (19)
€1m
KuPS and HJK Helsinki have a similar squad value (both €7m).
โ๏ธ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (10)
€2m
KUP (9)
€2m
IT (9)
€2m
SJK (8)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
ILV (7)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
GNI (6)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
KOO (10)
€1m
HAK (7)
€0m
KuPS and HJK Helsinki have a similar attack value (both €2m).
๐ง Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (9)
€3m
HH (6)
€1m
ILV (5)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
SJK (9)
€1m
FJ (6)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
MAR (4)
€1m
GNI (5)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
HAK (5)
€0m
KOO (2)
€0m
KuPS's midfield is €1m more valuable than HJK Helsinki's (€3m vs €1m).
๐ก๏ธ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (12)
€3m
KUP (12)
€3m
IT (11)
€2m
ILV (11)
€2m
SJK (9)
€2m
VPS (12)
€1m
AO (11)
€1m
GNI (10)
€1m
TP (10)
€1m
MAR (10)
€1m
HAK (9)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
KOO (7)
€0m
KuPS and HJK Helsinki have a similar defence value (both €3m).
Finland: Veikkausliiga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Veikkausliiga stats & trends →