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Kuressaare vs FC Levadia Tallinn Result & Analysis

Date: 17/09/2024
Time: 14:30
Final 0-1
Kuressaare
Kuressaare
Vs
10%
19%
71%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC Levadia Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kuressaare winâś— Miss
10.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś— Miss
18.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Levadia Tallinn winâś“ Hit
70.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

KuressaareKuressaare

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D00D00D11D02L30W15L01L22D34LA·TAL03/07H·TAM12/07A·FC 21/07H·VAP28/07H·PAI04/08A·TAL09/08A·KAL18/08H·TRA24/08A·NĂ•M01/09H·FLO14/09
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.701.191.751.141.64
vs Stronger (12)0.583.000.833.670.332.33
vs Similar (18)1.560.831.400.601.751.12
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Levadia Tallinn) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W00D00D15L01L10W41W31W30W12LA·Ĺ IA11/07H·Ĺ IA18/07H·KUR21/07A·NK 25/07H·NK 01/08A·NĂ•M04/08A·VAP10/08H·TAM16/08H·KAL25/08A·FLO30/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.100.601.670.402.530.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.360.911.170.171.601.80
vs Weaker (19)2.530.422.000.563.000.30
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Kuressaare) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%012%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
83.6%
Under 1.5
16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
61.8%
Under 2.5
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.6%
Under 3.5
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.7%
No
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
11.5%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
9.1%
0-1 âś“
8.9%
1-1
8.8%
1-3
7.5%
0-4
5.4%
0-0
4.9%
Kuressaare goals ↓
FC Levadia Tallinn goals →
01234
04.9%8.9%12%9.1%5.4%
12.6%8.8%9.5%7.5%4.4%
21.4%3.3%3.9%3.1%1.8%
30.4%0.9%1.1%0.9%0.5%
40.1%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kuressaare goals (down), columns = FC Levadia Tallinn goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.42
Paide
2.00
Kalju Nomme
2.00
Flora Tallinn
1.94
Trans Narva
1.17
Tammeka
1.17
Viimsi
1.00
Vaprus
0.97
Kuressaare
0.94
Tallinna Kalev
0.87
Nõmme United
0.42
Kuressaare is 1.47 points worse than FC Levadia Tallinn in terms of average points per game (0.94 vs 2.42).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.28
Kalju Nomme
2.19
Paide
2.06
Flora Tallinn
1.92
Trans Narva
1.33
Tammeka
1.31
Kuressaare
1.28
Tallinna Kalev
1.00
Vaprus
0.97
Nõmme United
0.61
Viimsi
0.50
Kuressaare is 1.00 goals worse than FC Levadia Tallinn in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 2.28).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Viimsi
0.50
FC Levadia Tallinn
0.53
Paide
1.08
Flora Tallinn
1.19
Kalju Nomme
1.22
Tammeka
1.50
Vaprus
1.58
Trans Narva
1.75
Kuressaare
1.86
Tallinna Kalev
1.97
Nõmme United
2.19
Kuressaare is 1.33 goals worse than FC Levadia Tallinn in terms of goals conceded per game (1.86 vs 0.53).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KuressaareKuressaare

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D00D00D00D02L00D04L00D10W12LA·TAL03/07H·TAM12/07A·FC 21/07H·VAP28/07H·PAI04/08A·TAL09/08A·KAL18/08H·TRA24/08A·NĂ•M01/09H·FLO14/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.770.690.750.570.79
vs Stronger (12)0.251.500.331.670.171.33
vs Similar (18)0.890.280.900.200.880.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Levadia Tallinn) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W00D00D14L00D00D20W10W10W01LA·Ĺ IA11/07H·Ĺ IA18/07H·KUR21/07A·NK 25/07H·NK 01/08A·NĂ•M04/08A·VAP10/08H·TAM16/08H·KAL25/08A·FLO30/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.270.800.071.270.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.730.640.670.000.801.40
vs Weaker (19)1.210.050.890.111.500.00
Clean sheet %83% (+56pp vs league)
This opponent (Kuressaare) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kuressaare over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kuressaare over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kuressaare over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KuressaareKuressaare

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D00D11D00D30W11D01L12L22DA·TAL03/07H·TAM12/07A·FC 21/07H·VAP28/07H·PAI04/08A·TAL09/08A·KAL18/08H·TRA24/08A·NĂ•M01/09H·FLO14/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.930.501.000.570.86
vs Stronger (12)0.331.500.502.000.171.00
vs Similar (18)0.670.560.500.400.880.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Levadia Tallinn) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D01L01L10W21W21W20W11DA·Ĺ IA11/07H·Ĺ IA18/07H·KUR21/07A·NK 25/07H·NK 01/08A·NĂ•M04/08A·VAP10/08H·TAM16/08H·KAL25/08A·FLO30/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.330.870.331.270.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.640.270.500.170.800.40
vs Weaker (19)1.320.371.110.441.500.30
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Kuressaare) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kuressaare over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kuressaare over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kuressaare over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.6%-------âś— Miss
Away win70.9%-------âś“ Hit

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (24)
€4m
FLT (22)
€4m
PAI (28)
€4m
FT (22)
€3m
TN (26)
€2m
VAP (24)
€2m
TAM (24)
€2m
NU (26)
€2m
KUR (21)
€1m
TK (1)
€0m
Kuressaare's squad is €3m less valuable than FC Levadia Tallinn's (€1m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FLT (10)
€2m
PAI (12)
€2m
KN (9)
€2m
FT (8)
€1m
VAP (12)
€1m
TN (9)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
NU (8)
€1m
KUR (7)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
Kuressaare's attack is €1m less valuable than FC Levadia Tallinn's (€1m vs €2m).

đź§  Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (3)
€1m
PAI (5)
€1m
FLT (3)
€1m
FT (5)
€1m
TN (7)
€1m
TAM (6)
€0m
KUR (5)
€0m
NU (7)
€0m
VAP (2)
€0m
TK (1)
€0m
Kuressaare and FC Levadia Tallinn have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (12)
€2m
FLT (9)
€2m
PAI (11)
€2m
FT (9)
€1m
VAP (10)
€1m
TN (10)
€1m
NU (11)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
KUR (9)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
Kuressaare's defence is €1m less valuable than FC Levadia Tallinn's (€1m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
KUR wins
1
Draws
5
FLT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kuressaare vs FC Levadia Tallinn · H/A from KUR
DateH/AGameScore
21/07/24AFC Levadia Tallinn Vs KUR0-0
01/06/24AFC Levadia Tallinn Vs KUR2-0
09/03/24HKUR Vs FC Levadia Tallinn0-6
23/09/23AFC Levadia Tallinn Vs KUR4-0
20/08/23HKUR Vs FC Levadia Tallinn2-1
06/06/23HKUR Vs FC Levadia Tallinn0-2
02/04/23AFC Levadia Tallinn Vs KUR4-1
18/09/22AFC Levadia Tallinn Vs KUR2-3

KuressaareKuressaare

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/09/24HKUR Vs Flora Tallinn3-4
01/09/24ANõmme United Vs KUR2-2
24/08/24HKUR Vs Trans Narva0-1
18/08/24AKalju Nomme Vs KUR5-1
09/08/24ATallinna Kalev Vs KUR0-3
04/08/24HKUR Vs Paide0-2
28/07/24HKUR Vs Vaprus1-1
21/07/24AFC Levadia Tallinn Vs KUR0-0
12/07/24HKUR Vs Tammeka0-0
03/07/24ATallinna Kalev Vs KUR2-2

FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/24AFlora Tallinn Vs FLT2-1
25/08/24HFLT Vs Kalju Nomme3-0
16/08/24HFLT Vs Tammeka3-1
10/08/24AVaprus Vs FLT1-4
04/08/24ANõmme United Vs FLT0-1
01/08/24HFLT Vs NK Osijek0-1
25/07/24ANK Osijek Vs FLT5-1
21/07/24HFLT Vs Kuressaare0-0
18/07/24HFLT Vs Ĺ iauliai0-0
11/07/24AĹ iauliai Vs FLT0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kuressaare
Kuressaare
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDL1.02
HomeDDLLL1.20
AwayDDWLD0.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%28%20%
AVG goals2.802.802.80
Over 1.5 %78%80%76%
Over 2.5 %50%44%56%
Over 3.5 %36%32%40%
Scored1.041.200.88
Conceded1.761.601.92
BTTS42%40%44%
Clean Sheet24%28%20%
Corners---
Cards---
FC Levadia Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWL2.08
HomeDDLWW2.15
AwayWLWWL2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%62%62%
AVG goals2.722.233.25
Over 1.5 %74%69%79%
Over 2.5 %56%46%67%
Over 3.5 %24%15%33%
Scored1.981.772.21
Conceded0.740.461.04
BTTS42%35%50%
Clean Sheet54%62%46%
Corners11.508.0015.00
Cards7.00-7.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn3687
75%
2.4
8219+63
2.8
75%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.30.5
-
2Kalju NommeKalju Nomme3672
58%
2.0
7944+35
3.4
92%
72%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.21.2
-
3PaidePaide3672
64%
2.0
7439+35
3.1
81%
56%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.11.1
-
4Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn3670
58%
1.9
6943+26
3.1
78%
64%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.91.2
-
5TammekaTammeka3642
31%
1.2
4754-7
2.8
81%
61%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.31.5
-
6Trans NarvaTrans Narva3642
28%
1.2
4863-15
3.1
78%
58%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.31.8
-
7VaprusVaprus3635
25%
1.0
3557-22
2.6
69%
47%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.6
-
8KuressaareKuressaare3634
22%
0.9
4667-21
3.1
81%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.31.9
-
9Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev3833
21%
0.9
3875-37
3.0
84%
55%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
10Nõmme UnitedNõmme United3615
6%
0.4
2279-57
2.8
86%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.62.2
-
11ViimsiViimsi22
0%
1.0
11+0
1.0
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.50.5
-
Estonia: Meistriliiga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Estonia: Meistriliiga stats & trends →

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