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Kuressaare vs Flora Tallinn Result & Analysis

Date: 02/07/2026
Time: 16:00
Final 0-3
Kuressaare
Kuressaare
Vs
21%
25%
54%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Flora Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kuressaare win✗ Miss
20.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn win✓ Hit
54.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KuressaareKuressaare

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D03L10W01L02L12L10W20W01LA·TAM26/09H·PAI04/10H·FC 18/10A·VAP21/10H·KAL25/10A·FLO01/11A·TAL08/11A·VII22/11H·VII29/11A·VAP26/06
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.671.131.530.731.80
vs Stronger (14)0.642.000.861.710.432.29
vs Similar (16)1.191.381.381.381.001.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Flora Tallinn) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-621W23L13L21W60W40W11D20W30W21WH·TAM20/09H·FC 24/09A·KAL28/09A·LAA04/10H·TAL18/10H·TRA21/10A·PAI26/10H·KUR01/11A·VAP08/11A·FC 28/06
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.231.032.431.002.061.06
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.331.751.331.671.331.83
vs Weaker (18)2.830.563.250.502.500.60
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Kuressaare) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.3%
Under 1.5
20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.9%
Under 2.5
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.6%
Under 3.5
67.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.7%
No
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.4%
0-1
9.2%
0-0
6.7%
1-3
6.0%
0-3 ✓
5.7%
2-1
5.7%
Kuressaare goals ↓
Flora Tallinn goals →
01234
06.7%9.2%9.4%5.7%2.6%
14.8%12%9.9%6.0%2.7%
23.1%5.7%5.2%3.2%1.4%
31.1%2.0%1.8%1.1%0.5%
40.3%0.5%0.5%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kuressaare goals (down), columns = Flora Tallinn goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.29
Tammeka
2.14
Paide
2.00
Kalju Nomme
1.75
Flora Tallinn
1.50
Laagri
1.50
Vaprus
1.00
Kuressaare
0.89
Trans Narva
0.88
Nõmme United
0.75
Kuressaare is 0.61 points worse than Flora Tallinn in terms of average points per game (0.89 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.71
Paide
2.00
Kalju Nomme
2.00
Laagri
1.88
Vaprus
1.62
Flora Tallinn
1.62
Tammeka
1.57
Nõmme United
1.12
Kuressaare
1.11
Trans Narva
0.88
Kuressaare is 0.51 goals worse than Flora Tallinn in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 1.62).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kalju Nomme
1.00
FC Levadia Tallinn
1.00
Laagri
1.38
Paide
1.43
Flora Tallinn
1.50
Kuressaare
1.67
Tammeka
1.71
Vaprus
1.88
Trans Narva
2.12
Nõmme United
2.50
Kuressaare is 0.17 goals worse than Flora Tallinn in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KuressaareKuressaare

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D03L10W00D01L00D00D00D01LA·TAM26/09H·PAI04/10H·FC 18/10A·VAP21/10H·KAL25/10A·FLO01/11A·TAL08/11A·VII22/11H·VII29/11A·VAP26/06
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.930.401.000.400.87
vs Stronger (14)0.211.070.141.000.291.14
vs Similar (16)0.560.810.621.000.500.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Flora Tallinn) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W20W11D10W40W10W01L10W20W01LH·TAM20/09H·FC 24/09A·KAL28/09A·LAA04/10H·TAL18/10H·TRA21/10A·PAI26/10H·KUR01/11A·VAP08/11A·FC 28/06
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.501.140.360.940.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.750.921.000.670.501.17
vs Weaker (18)1.220.221.250.121.200.30
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Kuressaare) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kuressaare over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kuressaare over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kuressaare over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KuressaareKuressaare

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D00D00D01L01L12L10W20W00DA·TAM26/09H·PAI04/10H·FC 18/10A·VAP21/10H·KAL25/10A·FLO01/11A·TAL08/11A·VII22/11H·VII29/11A·VAP26/06
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.730.730.530.330.93
vs Stronger (14)0.430.930.710.710.141.14
vs Similar (16)0.620.560.750.380.500.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Flora Tallinn) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D03L02L11D20W30W10W10W10W20WH·TAM20/09H·FC 24/09A·KAL28/09A·LAA04/10H·TAL18/10H·TRA21/10A·PAI26/10H·KUR01/11A·VAP08/11A·FC 28/06
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.531.290.641.120.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.580.830.331.000.830.67
vs Weaker (18)1.610.332.000.381.300.30
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Kuressaare) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kuressaare over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kuressaare over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kuressaare over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (24)
€4m
FLT (22)
€4m
PAI (28)
€4m
FT (22)
€3m
TN (26)
€2m
VAP (24)
€2m
LAA (25)
€2m
TAM (24)
€2m
NU (26)
€2m
KUR (21)
€1m
Kuressaare's squad is €2m less valuable than Flora Tallinn's (€1m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FLT (10)
€2m
PAI (12)
€2m
KN (9)
€2m
FT (8)
€1m
VAP (12)
€1m
TN (9)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
LAA (7)
€1m
NU (8)
€1m
KUR (7)
€1m
Kuressaare and Flora Tallinn have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (3)
€1m
PAI (5)
€1m
FLT (3)
€1m
FT (5)
€1m
TN (7)
€1m
LAA (6)
€1m
TAM (6)
€0m
KUR (5)
€0m
NU (7)
€0m
VAP (2)
€0m
Kuressaare and Flora Tallinn have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (12)
€2m
FLT (9)
€2m
PAI (11)
€2m
FT (9)
€1m
VAP (10)
€1m
TN (10)
€1m
NU (11)
€1m
LAA (12)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
KUR (9)
€1m
Kuressaare and Flora Tallinn have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
KUR wins
1
Draws
7
FT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kuressaare vs Flora Tallinn · H/A from KUR
DateH/AGameScore
01/11/25AFlora Tallinn Vs KUR2-0
24/08/25HKUR Vs Flora Tallinn1-2
27/05/25HKUR Vs Flora Tallinn1-3
29/03/25AFlora Tallinn Vs KUR5-0
26/10/24AFlora Tallinn Vs KUR3-0
14/09/24HKUR Vs Flora Tallinn3-4
21/05/24AFlora Tallinn Vs KUR1-0
27/04/24HKUR Vs Flora Tallinn2-2

KuressaareKuressaare

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/06/26AVaprus Vs KUR1-0
29/11/25HKUR Vs Viimsi2-0
22/11/25AViimsi Vs KUR0-1
08/11/25ATallinna Kalev Vs KUR2-1
01/11/25AFlora Tallinn Vs KUR2-0
25/10/25HKUR Vs Kalju Nomme0-1
21/10/25AVaprus Vs KUR0-1
18/10/25HKUR Vs FC Levadia Tallinn0-3
04/10/25HKUR Vs Paide1-1
26/09/25ATammeka Vs KUR0-1

Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/06/26AFC Levadia Tallinn Vs FT1-2
08/11/25AVaprus Vs FT0-3
01/11/25HFT Vs Kuressaare2-0
26/10/25APaide Vs FT1-1
21/10/25HFT Vs Trans Narva4-0
18/10/25HFT Vs Tallinna Kalev6-0
04/10/25ALaagri Vs FT1-2
28/09/25AKalju Nomme Vs FT3-1
24/09/25HFT Vs FC Levadia Tallinn2-3
20/09/25HFT Vs Tammeka2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kuressaare
Kuressaare
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWL0.88
HomeDDLLW1.08
AwayWLLWL0.69
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%33%19%
AVG goals2.902.832.96
Over 1.5 %82%83%81%
Over 2.5 %58%62%54%
Over 3.5 %26%21%31%
Scored1.081.250.92
Conceded1.821.582.04
BTTS56%62%50%
Clean Sheet18%17%19%
Corners---
Cards---
Flora Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWW2.14
HomeWLWWW2.29
AwayLWDWW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %68%75%62%
AVG goals3.383.503.27
Over 1.5 %90%83%96%
Over 2.5 %82%79%85%
Over 3.5 %40%50%31%
Scored2.302.582.04
Conceded1.080.921.23
BTTS60%54%65%
Clean Sheet34%42%27%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn716
71%
2.3
197+12
3.7
100%
86%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.71.0
-
2TammekaTammeka715
71%
2.1
1112-1
3.3
71%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.7
-
3Kalju NommeKalju Nomme814
50%
1.8
168+8
3.0
75%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.01.0
-
4PaidePaide714
57%
2.0
1410+4
3.4
86%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.01.4
-
5LaagriLaagri812
50%
1.5
1511+4
3.2
75%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.91.4
-
6Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn812
50%
1.5
1312+1
3.1
88%
88%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.61.5
-
7VaprusVaprus88
25%
1.0
1315-2
3.5
88%
75%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.9
-
8KuressaareKuressaare98
22%
0.9
1015-5
2.8
56%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.11.7
-
9Trans NarvaTrans Narva87
25%
0.9
717-10
3.0
100%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.92.1
-
10Nõmme UnitedNõmme United86
25%
0.8
920-11
3.6
88%
88%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.12.5
-
Estonia: Meistriliiga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Estonia: Meistriliiga stats & trends →

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