Kuressaare vs Laagri Result & Analysis

Kuressaare are favoured to win, with a 46% chance of taking the match home, while a draw sits at 29% and a Laagri victory at 25%. The average goal tally is 2.4, so a 2-goal game is most likely, though the single most probable scoreline is a 1-1 draw, which the model assigns a 13.8% chance. Home side Kuressaare have been scoring 1.67 goals per game and conceding 0.83 against similarly-matched opponents, whereas Laagri’s away form shows 0.86 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. The model’s selections include an 77% chance of Under 3.5 goals and a 71.3% chance of Over 1.5 goals. These are the only picks presented, each with its own probability. The match is expected to be tight, with the home side slightly better positioned to secure the win.

The draw between Kuressaare and Laagri stunned the pundits, as the pre-match favourite - a home win - was not delivered. The model had tipped a 46% chance of a Kuressaare victory, but the match finished 1-1, a result that the model’s prediction missed. The pre-match odds also showed a 29% draw probability and a 25% away win chance, yet the outcome still defied the favourite. The model’s other selections were correct: Under 3.5 goals hit at 77% probability, and Over 1.5 goals also hit at 71.3%. With Kuressaare’s recent form a draw away from a win streak and Laagri’s two-game winning run, the final score was a tidy 1-1 draw.