Kuressaare vs Laagri Result & Analysis

Kuressaare are favoured to win, with the model predicting a home victory at 49%. The match is expected to see an average of 3.0 goals, but the most likely total is 2, a 24% chance. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 12.1% probability. Kuressaare’s home form shows they score 1.25 goals and concede 0.88 against teams of similar strength, while Laagri, playing away, averages 3.62 goals scored and 1.38 conceded against comparable opponents. The model’s selection list includes “Over 1.5” with an 80.5% chance of hitting. Home win probability is 49%, draw 26%, and away win 26%. The recent form notes that Kuressaare are coming off a draw, while Laagri are on a two-game winning run. The predicted outcome remains a home win, but the match could settle into a 1-1 draw.

Kuressaare’s run of draws and losses ended in a shock 1-2 defeat to Laagri, who were riding a two-game winning streak. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was given a 49% chance, but the model’s call proved wrong. The match’s only suggested pick, Over 1.5, hit with an 80.5% probability. The final score of 1-2 gave Laagri the away win, confirming the model’s prediction of an upset. The most likely scoreline, 1-1, was missed, as was the 2-1 outcome that had a 9.6% chance. The total goals fell short of the expected three, with the 2-goal total being the most probable at 24%.