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Kuressaare vs Tammeka Result & Analysis

Date: 31/07/2023
Time: 16:45
Final 3-1
Kuressaare
Kuressaare
Vs
40%
28%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Tammeka
Tammeka
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Kuressaare win✓ Hit
40.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Tammeka win✗ Miss
31.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

KuressaareKuressaare

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L12L11D00D02L02L30W11D31W04LH·FLO14/05H·TAL20/05A·LAA23/05A·TAM27/05H·FC 06/06A·KAL10/06H·TRA27/06A·LAA01/07A·TAL08/07H·PAI23/07
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.601.131.871.531.33
vs Stronger (13)1.002.310.882.501.202.00
vs Similar (17)1.591.061.431.141.701.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Tammeka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TammekaTammeka

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D22D21W00D20W02L23L03L03L00DA·PAI13/05H·FC 21/05A·KAL24/05H·KUR27/05H·LAA07/06A·TRA11/06H·VAP27/06A·FLO02/07A·LAA09/07H·FC 23/07
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.301.071.130.671.47
vs Stronger (14)0.641.290.861.140.431.43
vs Similar (16)1.061.311.251.120.881.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Kuressaare) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.9%
Under 1.5
24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.0%
Under 2.5
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
28.0%
Under 3.5
72.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.3%
No
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
8.7%
0-0
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
0-1
7.3%
2-0
7.1%
2-2
5.4%
Kuressaare goals ↓
Tammeka goals →
01234
08.1%7.3%5.3%2.2%0.7%
18.7%13%7.6%3.1%1.0%
27.1%8.8%5.4%2.3%0.7%
33.4%4.2%2.6%1.1%0.3%
41.2%1.5%0.9%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kuressaare goals (down), columns = Tammeka goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Flora Tallinn
2.19
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.14
Paide
1.47
Tallinna Kalev
1.47
Kalju Nomme
1.36
Vaprus
1.33
Kuressaare
1.19
Trans Narva
1.06
Tammeka
0.82
Laagri
0.64
Viimsi
0.50
Kuressaare is 0.38 points better than Tammeka in terms of average points per game (1.19 vs 0.82).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Flora Tallinn
2.06
FC Levadia Tallinn
1.86
Paide
1.39
Kalju Nomme
1.39
Tallinna Kalev
1.36
Vaprus
1.11
Tammeka
1.03
Kuressaare
1.00
Trans Narva
0.89
Laagri
0.75
Viimsi
0.50
Kuressaare is 0.03 goals worse than Tammeka in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.03).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Flora Tallinn
0.67
FC Levadia Tallinn
0.67
Paide
0.94
Tallinna Kalev
1.14
Kalju Nomme
1.17
Vaprus
1.19
Kuressaare
1.67
Laagri
1.69
Tammeka
1.74
Trans Narva
1.78
Viimsi
3.00
Kuressaare is 0.07 goals better than Tammeka in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.74).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KuressaareKuressaare

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W11D00D00D00D10W01L20W02LH·FLO14/05H·TAL20/05A·LAA23/05A·TAM27/05H·FC 06/06A·KAL10/06H·TRA27/06A·LAA01/07A·TAL08/07H·PAI23/07
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.700.600.730.530.67
vs Stronger (13)0.621.150.621.250.601.00
vs Similar (17)0.530.350.570.140.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Tammeka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TammekaTammeka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D21W01L00D00D01L11D01L00D00DA·PAI13/05H·FC 21/05A·KAL24/05H·KUR27/05H·LAA07/06A·TRA11/06H·VAP27/06A·FLO02/07A·LAA09/07H·FC 23/07
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.670.470.730.330.60
vs Stronger (14)0.360.790.570.860.140.71
vs Similar (16)0.440.560.380.620.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Kuressaare) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kuressaare over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kuressaare over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kuressaare over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KuressaareKuressaare

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L00D00D02L02L20W10W11D02LH·FLO14/05H·TAL20/05A·LAA23/05A·TAM27/05H·FC 06/06A·KAL10/06H·TRA27/06A·LAA01/07A·TAL08/07H·PAI23/07
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.900.531.131.000.67
vs Stronger (13)0.381.150.251.250.601.00
vs Similar (17)1.060.710.861.001.200.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Tammeka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TammekaTammeka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L20W00D20W01L12L02L03L00DA·PAI13/05H·FC 21/05A·KAL24/05H·KUR27/05H·LAA07/06A·TRA11/06H·VAP27/06A·FLO02/07A·LAA09/07H·FC 23/07
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.630.600.400.330.87
vs Stronger (14)0.290.500.290.290.290.71
vs Similar (16)0.620.750.880.500.381.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Kuressaare) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kuressaare over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kuressaare over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kuressaare over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.572.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (24)
€4m
FLT (22)
€4m
PAI (28)
€4m
FT (22)
€3m
TN (26)
€2m
VAP (24)
€2m
LAA (25)
€2m
TAM (24)
€2m
KUR (21)
€1m
TK (1)
€0m
Kuressaare and Tammeka have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FLT (10)
€2m
PAI (12)
€2m
KN (9)
€2m
FT (8)
€1m
VAP (12)
€1m
TN (9)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
LAA (7)
€1m
KUR (7)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
Kuressaare and Tammeka have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (3)
€1m
PAI (5)
€1m
FLT (3)
€1m
FT (5)
€1m
TN (7)
€1m
LAA (6)
€1m
TAM (6)
€0m
KUR (5)
€0m
VAP (2)
€0m
TK (1)
€0m
Kuressaare and Tammeka have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (12)
€2m
FLT (9)
€2m
PAI (11)
€2m
FT (9)
€1m
VAP (10)
€1m
TN (10)
€1m
LAA (12)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
KUR (9)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
Kuressaare and Tammeka have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
1
KUR wins
3
Draws
1
TAM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kuressaare vs Tammeka · H/A from KUR
DateH/AGameScore
27/05/23ATammeka Vs KUR0-0
01/10/22HKUR Vs Tammeka2-2
30/08/22ATammeka Vs KUR1-1
29/05/22HKUR Vs Tammeka3-0
09/04/22ATammeka Vs KUR1-0

KuressaareKuressaare

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/07/23HKUR Vs Paide0-4
08/07/23ATallinna Kalev Vs KUR1-3
01/07/23ALaagri Vs KUR1-1
27/06/23HKUR Vs Trans Narva3-0
10/06/23AKalju Nomme Vs KUR2-0
06/06/23HKUR Vs FC Levadia Tallinn0-2
27/05/23ATammeka Vs KUR0-0
23/05/23ALaagri Vs KUR1-1
20/05/23HKUR Vs Tallinna Kalev1-2
14/05/23HKUR Vs Flora Tallinn0-3

TammekaTammeka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/07/23HTAM Vs FC Levadia Tallinn0-0
09/07/23ALaagri Vs TAM3-0
02/07/23AFlora Tallinn Vs TAM3-0
27/06/23HTAM Vs Vaprus2-3
11/06/23ATrans Narva Vs TAM2-0
07/06/23HTAM Vs Laagri2-0
27/05/23HTAM Vs Kuressaare0-0
24/05/23AKalju Nomme Vs TAM1-2
21/05/23HTAM Vs FC Levadia Tallinn2-2
13/05/23APaide Vs TAM0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kuressaare
Kuressaare
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDWL1.36
HomeLLLWL1.31
AwayDDLDW1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%35%38%
AVG goals2.742.882.58
Over 1.5 %76%81%71%
Over 2.5 %54%58%50%
Over 3.5 %32%31%33%
Scored1.261.311.21
Conceded1.481.581.38
BTTS56%54%58%
Clean Sheet30%31%29%
Corners---
Cards---
Tammeka
Tammeka
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLD0.98
HomeDDWLD1.16
AwayDWLLL0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%28%16%
AVG goals2.462.322.60
Over 1.5 %74%72%76%
Over 2.5 %46%40%52%
Over 3.5 %22%24%20%
Scored0.961.040.88
Conceded1.501.281.72
BTTS46%44%48%
Clean Sheet22%36%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn3679
64%
2.2
7424+50
2.7
75%
58%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.10.7
-
2FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn3677
61%
2.1
6724+43
2.5
75%
53%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.90.7
-
3PaidePaide3653
36%
1.5
5034+16
2.3
61%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.40.9
-
4Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev3653
39%
1.5
4941+8
2.5
86%
42%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.1
-
5Kalju NommeKalju Nomme3649
33%
1.4
5042+8
2.6
78%
42%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.41.2
-
6VaprusVaprus3648
33%
1.3
4043-3
2.3
64%
39%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.2
-
7KuressaareKuressaare3643
33%
1.2
3660-24
2.7
81%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.01.7
-
8Trans NarvaTrans Narva3638
33%
1.1
3264-32
2.7
81%
53%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.91.8
-
9TammekaTammeka3831
16%
0.8
3966-27
2.8
82%
50%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.7
-
10LaagriLaagri3623
14%
0.6
2761-34
2.4
75%
39%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.81.7
-
11ViimsiViimsi21
0%
0.5
16-5
3.5
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.53.0
-
Estonia: Meistriliiga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Estonia: Meistriliiga stats & trends →

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