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Kuressaare vs Tammeka Result & Analysis

Date: 12/07/2024
Time: 16:30
Final 0-0
Kuressaare
Kuressaare
Vs
37%
26%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Tammeka
Tammeka
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kuressaare winâś— Miss
36.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś“ Hit
26.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Tammeka winâś— Miss
37.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

KuressaareKuressaare

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D03L01L22D02L11D10W02L22DA·NĂ•M04/05H·TAM11/05A·KAL18/05A·FLO21/05H·VAP28/05A·FC 01/06H·NĂ•M16/06A·TRA19/06H·PAI28/06A·TAL03/07
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.831.201.600.802.07
vs Stronger (13)0.313.000.403.600.252.62
vs Similar (17)1.530.941.600.601.431.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Tammeka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TammekaTammeka

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-424L00D12L11D02L40W12L13L11D21WA·KAL03/05A·KUR11/05H·PAI18/05A·VAP23/05H·TRA27/05H·TAL02/06A·FC 16/06A·FLO19/06H·KAL28/06H·NĂ•M04/07
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.601.251.561.431.64
vs Stronger (14)1.211.860.711.571.712.14
vs Similar (16)1.441.381.671.561.141.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Kuressaare) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
81.9%
Under 1.5
18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.8%
Under 2.5
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.4%
Under 3.5
63.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
62.3%
No
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
2-2
6.4%
0-1
6.1%
1-0
6.1%
0-0 âś“
5.8%
0-2
5.5%
Kuressaare goals ↓
Tammeka goals →
01234
05.8%6.1%5.5%2.8%1.1%
16.1%12%8.4%4.3%1.6%
25.5%8.4%6.4%3.3%1.2%
32.8%4.2%3.2%1.7%0.6%
41.1%1.6%1.2%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kuressaare goals (down), columns = Tammeka goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.42
Paide
2.00
Kalju Nomme
2.00
Flora Tallinn
1.94
Trans Narva
1.17
Tammeka
1.17
Viimsi
1.00
Vaprus
0.97
Kuressaare
0.94
Tallinna Kalev
0.87
Nõmme United
0.42
Kuressaare is 0.22 points worse than Tammeka in terms of average points per game (0.94 vs 1.17).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.28
Kalju Nomme
2.19
Paide
2.06
Flora Tallinn
1.92
Trans Narva
1.33
Tammeka
1.31
Kuressaare
1.28
Tallinna Kalev
1.00
Vaprus
0.97
Nõmme United
0.61
Viimsi
0.50
Kuressaare is 0.03 goals worse than Tammeka in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 1.31).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Viimsi
0.50
FC Levadia Tallinn
0.53
Paide
1.08
Flora Tallinn
1.19
Kalju Nomme
1.22
Tammeka
1.50
Vaprus
1.58
Trans Narva
1.75
Kuressaare
1.86
Tallinna Kalev
1.97
Nõmme United
2.19
Kuressaare is 0.36 goals worse than Tammeka in terms of goals conceded per game (1.86 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KuressaareKuressaare

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D02L00D20W01L11D00D01L22DA·NĂ•M04/05H·TAM11/05A·KAL18/05A·FLO21/05H·VAP28/05A·FC 01/06H·NĂ•M16/06A·TRA19/06H·PAI28/06A·TAL03/07
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.800.800.730.530.87
vs Stronger (13)0.231.230.201.400.251.12
vs Similar (17)1.000.471.100.400.860.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Tammeka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TammekaTammeka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-323L00D11D10W01L00D01L11D11D21WA·KAL03/05A·KUR11/05H·PAI18/05A·VAP23/05H·TRA27/05H·TAL02/06A·FC 16/06A·FLO19/06H·KAL28/06H·NĂ•M04/07
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.800.560.810.710.79
vs Stronger (14)0.641.070.431.000.861.14
vs Similar (16)0.620.560.670.670.570.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Kuressaare) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kuressaare over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kuressaare over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kuressaare over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KuressaareKuressaare

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L01L02L01L00D10W01L00DA·NĂ•M04/05H·TAM11/05A·KAL18/05A·FLO21/05H·VAP28/05A·FC 01/06H·NĂ•M16/06A·TRA19/06H·PAI28/06A·TAL03/07
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.331.030.400.870.271.20
vs Stronger (13)0.081.770.202.200.001.50
vs Similar (17)0.530.470.500.200.570.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Tammeka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TammekaTammeka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D01L01L01L40W11D02L00D00DA·KAL03/05A·KUR11/05H·PAI18/05A·VAP23/05H·TRA27/05H·TAL02/06A·FC 16/06A·FLO19/06H·KAL28/06H·NĂ•M04/07
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.800.690.750.710.86
vs Stronger (14)0.570.790.290.570.861.00
vs Similar (16)0.810.811.000.890.570.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Kuressaare) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kuressaare over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kuressaare over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kuressaare over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.9%-------âś— Miss

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (24)
€4m
FLT (22)
€4m
PAI (28)
€4m
FT (22)
€3m
TN (26)
€2m
VAP (24)
€2m
TAM (24)
€2m
NU (26)
€2m
KUR (21)
€1m
TK (1)
€0m
Kuressaare and Tammeka have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FLT (10)
€2m
PAI (12)
€2m
KN (9)
€2m
FT (8)
€1m
VAP (12)
€1m
TN (9)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
NU (8)
€1m
KUR (7)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
Kuressaare and Tammeka have a similar attack value (both €1m).

đź§  Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (3)
€1m
PAI (5)
€1m
FLT (3)
€1m
FT (5)
€1m
TN (7)
€1m
TAM (6)
€0m
KUR (5)
€0m
NU (7)
€0m
VAP (2)
€0m
TK (1)
€0m
Kuressaare and Tammeka have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (12)
€2m
FLT (9)
€2m
PAI (11)
€2m
FT (9)
€1m
VAP (10)
€1m
TN (10)
€1m
NU (11)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
KUR (9)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
Kuressaare and Tammeka have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
KUR wins
5
Draws
0
TAM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kuressaare vs Tammeka · H/A from KUR
DateH/AGameScore
11/05/24HKUR Vs Tammeka0-0
13/04/24ATammeka Vs KUR1-2
01/11/23ATammeka Vs KUR0-1
02/09/23HKUR Vs Tammeka1-1
31/07/23HKUR Vs Tammeka3-1
27/05/23ATammeka Vs KUR0-0
01/10/22HKUR Vs Tammeka2-2
30/08/22ATammeka Vs KUR1-1

KuressaareKuressaare

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/07/24ATallinna Kalev Vs KUR2-2
28/06/24HKUR Vs Paide0-2
19/06/24ATrans Narva Vs KUR0-1
16/06/24HKUR Vs Nõmme United1-1
01/06/24AFC Levadia Tallinn Vs KUR2-0
28/05/24HKUR Vs Vaprus2-2
21/05/24AFlora Tallinn Vs KUR1-0
18/05/24AKalju Nomme Vs KUR3-0
11/05/24HKUR Vs Tammeka0-0
04/05/24ANõmme United Vs KUR1-1

TammekaTammeka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/07/24HTAM Vs Nõmme United2-1
28/06/24HTAM Vs Kalju Nomme1-1
19/06/24AFlora Tallinn Vs TAM3-1
16/06/24AFC Levadia Tallinn Vs TAM2-1
02/06/24HTAM Vs Tallinna Kalev4-0
27/05/24HTAM Vs Trans Narva0-2
23/05/24AVaprus Vs TAM1-1
18/05/24HTAM Vs Paide1-2
11/05/24AKuressaare Vs TAM0-0
03/05/24AKalju Nomme Vs TAM4-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kuressaare
Kuressaare
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLD1.14
HomeDDDDL1.24
AwayLLLWD1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%32%28%
AVG goals2.843.042.64
Over 1.5 %82%88%76%
Over 2.5 %54%56%52%
Over 3.5 %34%36%32%
Scored1.081.240.92
Conceded1.761.801.72
BTTS44%44%44%
Clean Sheet24%28%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Tammeka
Tammeka
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDW0.98
HomeLLWDW1.08
AwayLDDLL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%24%20%
AVG goals2.822.523.12
Over 1.5 %82%76%88%
Over 2.5 %54%52%56%
Over 3.5 %24%16%32%
Scored1.201.121.28
Conceded1.621.401.84
BTTS56%52%60%
Clean Sheet26%32%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn3687
75%
2.4
8219+63
2.8
75%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.30.5
-
2Kalju NommeKalju Nomme3672
58%
2.0
7944+35
3.4
92%
72%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.21.2
-
3PaidePaide3672
64%
2.0
7439+35
3.1
81%
56%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.11.1
-
4Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn3670
58%
1.9
6943+26
3.1
78%
64%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.91.2
-
5TammekaTammeka3642
31%
1.2
4754-7
2.8
81%
61%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.31.5
-
6Trans NarvaTrans Narva3642
28%
1.2
4863-15
3.1
78%
58%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.31.8
-
7VaprusVaprus3635
25%
1.0
3557-22
2.6
69%
47%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.6
-
8KuressaareKuressaare3634
22%
0.9
4667-21
3.1
81%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.31.9
-
9Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev3833
21%
0.9
3875-37
3.0
84%
55%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
10Nõmme UnitedNõmme United3615
6%
0.4
2279-57
2.8
86%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.62.2
-
11ViimsiViimsi22
0%
1.0
11+0
1.0
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.50.5
-
Estonia: Meistriliiga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Estonia: Meistriliiga stats & trends →

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