Kuressaare vs Vaprus Result & Analysis

Date: 29/08/2026

Time: 14:00

Final 2-2

Kuressaare

37%

27%

36%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Vaprus

Estonia: Meistriliiga

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

Kuressaare and Vaprus face a finely balanced clash, with the model favouring a home win. The probabilities are 37% for Kuressaare, 27% for a draw and 36% for Vaprus. The expected total goals hover at 2.8, but the most likely total is 2, occurring 25% of the time. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.9% chance. Kuressaare, playing at home against a similar-strength side, averages 1.43 goals scored and 1.71 conceded, while Vaprus, on the road, averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.1%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.0%), Under 6.5 (97.4% with a 6% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.9%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (96.8%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (95.7%), Away under 3.5 goals (94.5% with a 5% edge), and Home under 3.5 goals (94.3% with a 5% edge).

Results analysis

Kuressaare’s win-run ended in a 2-2 draw, a shock for the pre-match favourite, Home win, which the model had given a 37% chance. The prediction was wrong. The match finished level, matching the model’s expected total of 2.8 goals. The model’s selections all hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99.1%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.5%, Under 6.5 at 97.4%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.9%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 96.5%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 94.7%, Away under 3.5 goals at 94.5%, and Home under 3.5 goals at 94.3%. Both sides came off draws, with Kuressaare’s last five showing a DLWWL streak and Vaprus a DLLDL streak.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kuressaare win✗ Miss

36.7%

Avg Implied 41.9% · @ 2.15

Edge

-5.3%

Best 5 market prices

Superbet

2.20

Unibet

2.20

Dafabet

2.19

Betano

2.18

Pinnacle

2.18

Draw✓ Hit

27.4%

Avg Implied 26.6% · @ 3.39

Edge

+0.8%

Best 5 market prices

Betfair

3.60

Dafabet

3.55

Superbet

3.50

Pinnacle

3.49

Bet365

3.40

Vaprus win✗ Miss

35.9%

Avg Implied 31.5% · @ 2.87

Edge

+4.5%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

3.02

1xBet

2.99

Marathonbet

2.94

William Hil

2.90

Dafabet

2.90

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Kuressaare

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.5

Avg scored

2.1

Avg conceded

1.4

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.47	1.43	1.29	1.43	1.62	1.44
vs Stronger (15)	0.67	1.73	0.62	1.50	0.71	2.00
vs Similar (14)	2.07	1.14	1.60	1.40	2.33	1.00
vs Weaker (1)	5.00	1.00	5.00	1.00	-	-
Clean sheet %	27% (-0pp vs league)

This opponent (Vaprus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Vaprus

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.6

Avg scored

2.0

Avg conceded

1.6

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	2.50	1.37	3.21	1.07	1.88	1.62
vs Stronger (18)	1.94	1.67	2.14	1.43	1.82	1.82
vs Similar (12)	3.33	0.92	4.29	0.71	2.00	1.20
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	23% (-4pp vs league)

This opponent (Kuressaare) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

78.8%

@ 1.18+2.0%

Under 1.5

21.2%

@ 3.89-2.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.22

Betfair

1.20

Superbet

1.18

Marathonbet

1.18

Unibet

1.17

Under

Betfair

4.33

Unibet

4.10

1xBet

4.00

Bet365

4.00

Marathonbet

3.92

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

54.1%

@ 1.65-1.3%

Under 2.5

45.9%

@ 2.05+1.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.71

Bet365

1.70

Marathonbet

1.68

Superbet

1.66

1xBet

1.66

Under

Pinnacle

2.10

Betfair

2.10

Bet365

2.10

1xBet

2.09

Unibet

2.07

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over

Over 3.5

31.8%

@ 2.58-3.5%

Under 3.5

68.2%

@ 1.40+3.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.71

Betfair

2.70

Unibet

2.65

Bet365

2.62

Superbet

2.60

Under

Betfair

1.44

Bet365

1.44

Pinnacle

1.43

Superbet

1.40

1xBet

1.40

Both teams to scoreActual: Yes

Yes

58.7%

@ 1.55-0.1%

41.3%

@ 2.21+0.1%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Bet365

1.62

William Hil

1.60

Betfair

1.57

Superbet

1.56

Marathonbet

1.56

Betfair

2.30

1xBet

2.29

Superbet

2.27

Unibet

2.25

Marathonbet

2.21

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

12.9%@ 6.20+6.2%

2-1

8.4%@ 8.09+3.2%

1-2

8.3%@ 9.16+3.7%

1-0

7.2%@ 8.49+2.2%

0-1

7.1%@ 9.89+2.8%

0-0

7.0%@ 11.68+3.4%

2-0

6.0%@ 10.71+2.0%

2-2 ✓

5.9%@ 10.46+1.9%

Kuressaare goals ↓

	Vaprus goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.0%	7.1%	5.8%	2.7%	1.0%
1	7.2%	13%	8.3%	3.9%	1.4%
2	6.0%	8.4%	5.9%	2.8%	1.0%
3	2.8%	4.0%	2.8%	1.3%	0.5%
4	1.0%	1.4%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kuressaare goals (down), columns = Vaprus goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

FC Levadia Tallinn

2.29

Paide

2.00

Tammeka

1.88

Kalju Nomme

1.75

Flora Tallinn

1.67

Laagri

1.50

Vaprus

1.00

Kuressaare

0.89

Trans Narva

0.88

Nõmme United

0.75

Kuressaare is 0.11 points worse than Vaprus in terms of average points per game (0.89 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

FC Levadia Tallinn

2.71

Paide

2.00

Kalju Nomme

2.00

Laagri

1.88

Flora Tallinn

1.78

Vaprus

1.62

Tammeka

1.62

Nõmme United

1.12

Kuressaare

1.11

Trans Narva

0.88

Kuressaare is 0.51 goals worse than Vaprus in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 1.62).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Kalju Nomme

1.00

FC Levadia Tallinn

1.00

Laagri

1.38

Paide

1.43

Flora Tallinn

1.56

Kuressaare

1.67

Vaprus

1.88

Tammeka

1.88

Trans Narva

2.12

Nõmme United

2.50

Kuressaare is 0.21 goals better than Vaprus in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.88).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

Kuressaare or Draw✓ Hit

64.1%

Avg Implied 68.2% · @ 1.34

Edge

-4.1%

37%

27%

36%

covers Kuressaare + Draw

Best 5 market prices

William Hil

1.36

Betfair

1.36

Unibet

1.35

Superbet

1.34

Betano

1.34

Kuressaare or Vaprus✗ Miss

72.6%

Avg Implied 73.8% · @ 1.23

Edge

-1.2%

37%

27%

36%

covers Kuressaare + Vaprus

Best 5 market prices

William Hil

1.30

Betano

1.27

Superbet

1.25

Bet365

1.25

Unibet

1.25

Draw or Vaprus✓ Hit

63.3%

Avg Implied 58.0% · @ 1.57

Edge

+5.4%

37%

27%

36%

covers Draw + Vaprus

Best 5 market prices

William Hil

1.62

Bet365

1.60

Superbet

1.58

Betfair

1.57

Marathonbet

1.57

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

Kuressaare over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

76.1%

@ 1.17-0.9%

Under

23.9%

@ 3.91+0.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

1.21

Bet365

1.20

Superbet

1.17

Unibet

1.16

1xBet

1.16

Under

Bet365

4.33

1xBet

4.30

Unibet

4.00

Superbet

3.90

Marathonbet

3.74

Kuressaare over/under 1.5Actual: Over

Over

41.8%

@ 1.91-5.9%

Under

58.2%

@ 1.75+5.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.00

Superbet

1.95

Marathonbet

1.95

1xBet

1.93

Bet365

1.91

Under

Bet365

1.80

Pinnacle

1.79

1xBet

1.78

Superbet

1.77

Marathonbet

1.76

Kuressaare over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

17.4%

@ 3.77-6.5%

Under

82.6%

@ 1.18+6.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

4.00

Marathonbet

4.00

1xBet

3.92

Unibet

3.90

Superbet

3.70

Under

Bet365

1.22

Superbet

1.19

Marathonbet

1.18

1xBet

1.18

Unibet

1.17

Kuressaare over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

5.7%

@ 8.00-6.0%

Under

94.3%

@ 1.06+6.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

8.00

Under

Bet365

1.06

Vaprus over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

75.7%

@ 1.25+3.6%

Under

24.3%

@ 3.23-3.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.30

Marathonbet

1.27

1xBet

1.26

Superbet

1.25

Unibet

1.23

Under

Bet365

3.40

Unibet

3.35

1xBet

3.34

Marathonbet

3.28

Superbet

3.25

Vaprus over/under 1.5Actual: Over

Over

41.3%

@ 2.30+1.7%

Under

58.7%

@ 1.50-1.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.45

Marathonbet

2.38

Bet365

2.38

1xBet

2.33

Superbet

2.27

Under

Bet365

1.53

Superbet

1.53

Pinnacle

1.53

1xBet

1.52

Unibet

1.52

Vaprus over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

17.0%

@ 4.88-1.4%

Under

83.0%

@ 1.10+1.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

5.45

1xBet

5.35

Bet365

5.00

Unibet

4.90

Superbet

4.85

Under

Bet365

1.14

Unibet

1.10

Superbet

1.10

1xBet

1.09

Marathonbet

1.08

Vaprus over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

5.5%

@ 10.00-3.8%

Under

94.5%

@ 1.03+3.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

10.00

Under

Bet365

1.03

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Kuressaare, so a minus line means Kuressaare give that many goals of a start and Vaprus receive them. At -1, Kuressaare must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Kuressaare win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (Kuressaare)Actual: Vaprus

Kuressaare -2

6.6%

@ 8.07-4.3%

Draw -2

11.1%

@ 6.05-3.5%

Vaprus +2

82.3%

@ 1.19+7.8%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Marathonbet

8.20

Unibet

8.00

Bet365

8.00

Draw

Marathonbet

6.35

Bet365

6.00

Unibet

5.80

Away

Bet365

1.20

Unibet

1.19

Marathonbet

1.17

Handicap -1 (Kuressaare)Actual: Vaprus

Kuressaare -1

17.7%

@ 4.01-4.2%

Draw -1

18.9%

@ 3.96-3.3%

Vaprus +1

63.3%

@ 1.57+7.5%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Betfair

4.20

Bet365

4.00

Marathonbet

3.95

Unibet

3.90

Draw

Bet365

4.00

Betfair

4.00

Marathonbet

3.98

Unibet

3.85

Away

Unibet

1.58

Marathonbet

1.57

Bet365

1.57

Betfair

1.57

Handicap +1 (Kuressaare)Actual: Kuressaare

Kuressaare +1

64.1%

@ 1.36-0.5%

Draw +1

18.7%

@ 4.56-0.6%

Vaprus -1

17.2%

@ 5.46+1.1%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Betfair

1.44

Unibet

1.37

Bet365

1.33

Marathonbet

1.30

Draw

Bet365

4.75

Marathonbet

4.75

Unibet

4.40

Betfair

4.33

Away

Marathonbet

5.95

Bet365

5.50

Unibet

5.40

Betfair

5.00

Handicap +2 (Kuressaare)Actual: Kuressaare

Kuressaare +2

82.8%

@ 1.10+4.4%

Draw +2

10.9%

@ 6.78-1.9%

Vaprus -2

6.4%

@ 9.77-2.5%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Marathonbet

1.11

Unibet

1.10

Bet365

1.10

Draw

Bet365

8.00

Unibet

7.50

Marathonbet

4.85

Away

Bet365

12.00

Unibet

11.00

Marathonbet

6.30

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Kuressaare

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.7

Avg scored

1.2

Avg conceded

0.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.67	0.73	0.43	0.93	0.88	0.56
vs Stronger (15)	0.33	0.87	0.12	0.88	0.57	0.86
vs Similar (14)	0.86	0.57	0.40	1.00	1.11	0.33
vs Weaker (1)	3.00	1.00	3.00	1.00	-	-
Clean sheet %	50% (+23pp vs league)

This opponent (Vaprus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Vaprus

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.1

Avg scored

1.0

Avg conceded

1.1

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.47	0.80	1.93	0.71	1.06	0.88
vs Stronger (18)	1.06	0.89	1.14	1.00	1.00	0.82
vs Similar (12)	2.08	0.67	2.71	0.43	1.20	1.00
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	43% (+16pp vs league)

This opponent (Kuressaare) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

70.9%

@ 1.29+0.2%

Under 0.5

29.1%

@ 3.10-0.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

1.31

1xBet

1.30

William Hil

1.30

Bet365

1.30

Betfair

1.29

Under

Bet365

3.40

William Hil

3.30

Betfair

3.25

1xBet

3.08

Superbet

3.05

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

36.4%

@ 2.38-1.8%

Under 1.5

63.6%

@ 1.48+1.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

2.50

Bet365

2.50

Pinnacle

2.49

Marathonbet

2.44

1xBet

2.41

Under

Pinnacle

1.51

William Hil

1.50

Bet365

1.50

Betfair

1.50

Unibet

1.49

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

11.8%

@ 5.32-5.2%

Under 2.5

88.2%

@ 1.09+5.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

6.00

Marathonbet

5.75

1xBet

5.65

Bet365

5.50

William Hil

5.50

Under

Bet365

1.12

William Hil

1.12

Betfair

1.11

Superbet

1.09

1xBet

1.08

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Kuressaare over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

43.5%

@ 1.82-7.2%

Under

56.5%

@ 1.87+7.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.84

Marathonbet

1.83

1xBet

1.82

Superbet

1.82

Unibet

1.79

Under

Pinnacle

1.92

Superbet

1.88

Unibet

1.88

1xBet

1.84

Marathonbet

1.83

Kuressaare over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

11.4%

@ 5.38-5.6%

Under

88.6%

@ 1.10+5.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

5.40

1xBet

5.35

Under

Marathonbet

1.10

1xBet

1.10

Kuressaare over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

3.1%

Under

96.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Vaprus over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

47.2%

@ 2.05+2.3%

Under

52.8%

@ 1.67-2.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.11

Marathonbet

2.07

Superbet

2.05

1xBet

2.05

Unibet

1.98

Under

Unibet

1.70

Pinnacle

1.69

Superbet

1.68

1xBet

1.65

Marathonbet

1.64

Vaprus over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

15.2%

@ 6.88+1.8%

Under

84.8%

@ 1.05-1.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

6.95

1xBet

6.80

Under

1xBet

1.06

Marathonbet

1.05

Vaprus over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

2.5%

Under

97.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Kuressaare

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.8

Avg scored

0.9

Avg conceded

0.9

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.80	0.70	0.86	0.50	0.75	0.88
vs Stronger (15)	0.33	0.87	0.50	0.62	0.14	1.14
vs Similar (14)	1.21	0.57	1.20	0.40	1.22	0.67
vs Weaker (1)	2.00	0.00	2.00	0.00	-	-
Clean sheet %	53% (+26pp vs league)

This opponent (Vaprus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Vaprus

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.5

Avg scored

1.0

Avg conceded

0.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.03	0.57	1.29	0.36	0.81	0.75
vs Stronger (18)	0.89	0.78	1.00	0.43	0.82	1.00
vs Similar (12)	1.25	0.25	1.57	0.29	0.80	0.20
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	50% (+23pp vs league)

This opponent (Kuressaare) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

79.0%

@ 1.17+0.4%

Under 0.5

21.0%

@ 4.27-0.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

1.20

Bet365

1.18

Superbet

1.16

Marathonbet

1.15

1xBet

1.14

Under

Bet365

4.50

1xBet

4.35

Marathonbet

4.30

William Hil

4.20

Superbet

4.00

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

43.5%

@ 1.86-6.0%

Under 1.5

56.5%

@ 1.82+6.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

1.88

Superbet

1.88

Unibet

1.87

1xBet

1.86

William Hil

1.85

Under

1xBet

1.84

Bet365

1.83

William Hil

1.83

Superbet

1.82

Marathonbet

1.82

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

19.5%

@ 3.67-5.5%

Under 2.5

80.5%

@ 1.22+5.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

3.80

Bet365

3.75

Marathonbet

3.70

1xBet

3.58

Superbet

3.50

Under

Bet365

1.25

William Hil

1.22

Superbet

1.21

1xBet

1.21

Marathonbet

1.20

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Kuressaare over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

51.4%

@ 1.58-6.7%

Under

48.6%

@ 2.20+6.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

1.63

Superbet

1.57

1xBet

1.55

Under

1xBet

2.30

Superbet

2.20

Marathonbet

2.09

Kuressaare over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

17.1%

@ 3.67-7.8%

Under

82.9%

@ 1.22+7.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

3.74

1xBet

3.60

Under

1xBet

1.23

Marathonbet

1.21

Kuressaare over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

3.5%

@ 10.00-5.7%

Under

96.5%

@ 1.01+5.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

10.00

Under

1xBet

1.01

Vaprus over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

58.9%

@ 1.74+6.0%

Under

41.1%

@ 1.96-6.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.74

1xBet

1.74

Marathonbet

1.74

Under

1xBet

1.97

Superbet

1.97

Marathonbet

1.93

Vaprus over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

16.7%

@ 4.72-2.7%

Under

83.3%

@ 1.14+2.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

4.85

1xBet

4.60

Under

1xBet

1.14

Marathonbet

1.13

Vaprus over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

5.3%

Under

94.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Under 7.5	99.1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals	97.5%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 6.5	97.4%	1.01	1xBet 1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	+5.1%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals	96.9%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals	96.5%	1.01	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.7%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals	94.7%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals	94.5%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.8%	✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals	94.3%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+6.0%	✓ Hit
Under 5.5	93.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.05	BetVictor 1.02	Marathonbet 1.01	1xBet 1.01	-	+4.8%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals	88.6%	1.10	Marathonbet 1.10	1xBet 1.10	-	-	-	+5.6%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals	88.2%	1.09	Bet365 1.12	William Hil 1.12	Betfair 1.11	Superbet 1.09	1xBet 1.08	+5.2%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals	84.8%	1.05	1xBet 1.06	Marathonbet 1.05	-	-	-	-1.8%	✓ Hit
Under 4.5	84.1%	1.13	Bet365 1.17	Superbet 1.13	Marathonbet 1.12	Unibet 1.12	1xBet 1.12	+4.4%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals	83.3%	1.14	1xBet 1.14	Marathonbet 1.13	-	-	-	+2.7%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals	83.0%	1.10	Bet365 1.14	Unibet 1.10	Superbet 1.10	1xBet 1.09	Marathonbet 1.08	+1.4%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals	82.9%	1.22	1xBet 1.23	Marathonbet 1.21	-	-	-	+7.8%	✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap	82.8%	1.10	Marathonbet 1.11	Unibet 1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	+4.4%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals	82.6%	1.18	Bet365 1.22	Superbet 1.19	Marathonbet 1.18	1xBet 1.18	Unibet 1.17	+6.5%	✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap	82.3%	1.19	Bet365 1.20	Unibet 1.19	Marathonbet 1.17	-	-	+7.8%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals	80.5%	1.22	Bet365 1.25	William Hil 1.22	Superbet 1.21	1xBet 1.21	Marathonbet 1.20	+5.5%	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals	79.0%	1.17	William Hil 1.20	Bet365 1.18	Superbet 1.16	Marathonbet 1.15	1xBet 1.14	+0.4%	✓ Hit
Over 1.5	78.8%	1.18	Bet365 1.22	Betfair 1.20	Superbet 1.18	Marathonbet 1.18	Unibet 1.17	+2.0%	✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals	76.1%	1.17	Marathonbet 1.21	Bet365 1.20	Superbet 1.17	Unibet 1.16	1xBet 1.16	-0.9%	✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals	75.7%	1.25	Bet365 1.30	Marathonbet 1.27	1xBet 1.26	Superbet 1.25	Unibet 1.23	+3.6%	✓ Hit
Home or Away	72.6%	1.23	William Hil 1.30	Betano 1.27	Superbet 1.25	Bet365 1.25	Unibet 1.25	-1.2%	✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals	70.9%	1.29	Marathonbet 1.31	1xBet 1.30	William Hil 1.30	Bet365 1.30	Betfair 1.29	+0.2%	✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

KN (24)

€4m

FLT (22)

€4m

PAI (28)

€4m

FT (22)

€3m

TN (26)

€2m

VAP (24)

€2m

LAA (25)

€2m

TAM (24)

€2m

NU (26)

€2m

KUR (21)

€1m

Kuressaare and Vaprus have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

FLT (10)

€2m

PAI (12)

€2m

KN (9)

€2m

FT (8)

€1m

VAP (12)

€1m

TN (9)

€1m

TAM (9)

€1m

LAA (7)

€1m

NU (8)

€1m

KUR (7)

€1m

Kuressaare and Vaprus have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

KN (3)

€1m

PAI (5)

€1m

FLT (3)

€1m

FT (5)

€1m

TN (7)

€1m

LAA (6)

€1m

TAM (6)

€0m

KUR (5)

€0m

NU (7)

€0m

VAP (2)

€0m

Kuressaare and Vaprus have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

KN (12)

€2m

FLT (9)

€2m

PAI (11)

€2m

FT (9)

€1m

VAP (10)

€1m

TN (10)

€1m

NU (11)

€1m

LAA (12)

€1m

TAM (9)

€1m

KUR (9)

€1m

Kuressaare and Vaprus have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings

KUR wins

Draws

VAP wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kuressaare vs Vaprus · H/A from KUR

Date	H/A	Game	Score
26/06/26	A	Vaprus Vs KUR	1-0
21/10/25	A	Vaprus Vs KUR	0-1
20/07/25	H	KUR Vs Vaprus	2-1
01/06/25	A	Vaprus Vs KUR	2-1
18/04/25	H	KUR Vs Vaprus	1-0
06/10/24	A	Vaprus Vs KUR	3-1
28/07/24	H	KUR Vs Vaprus	1-1
28/05/24	H	KUR Vs Vaprus	2-2

Kuressaare

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
22/08/26	A	Tammeka Vs KUR	1-0
16/08/26	A	Flora Tallinn Vs KUR	2-3
11/08/26	A	Kristiine JK Vs KUR	0-8
07/08/26	H	KUR Vs Laagri	3-2
02/08/26	A	Paide Vs KUR	1-0
23/07/26	H	KUR Vs Welco X	5-1
19/07/26	H	KUR Vs Kalju Nomme	0-0
11/07/26	A	Nõmme United Vs KUR	3-2
02/07/26	H	KUR Vs Flora Tallinn	0-3
26/06/26	A	Vaprus Vs KUR	1-0

Vaprus

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
23/08/26	H	VAP Vs Flora Tallinn	1-2
16/08/26	A	Kalju Nomme Vs VAP	3-1
12/08/26	A	Phoenix Vs VAP	0-5
02/08/26	H	VAP Vs FC Levadia Tallinn	1-1
21/07/26	A	Tabasalu Ulasabat Vs VAP	1-4
18/07/26	A	Trans Narva Vs VAP	3-1
11/07/26	H	VAP Vs Tammeka	5-1
04/07/26	A	Paide Vs VAP	3-1
26/06/26	H	VAP Vs Kuressaare	1-0
06/05/26	A	Paide Vs VAP	2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kuressaare

Estonia: Meistriliiga

Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LWWWL	1.00
Home	WLDWW	1.12
Away	LLWWL	0.88

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	30%	33%	27%
AVG goals	2.94	2.75	3.12
Over 1.5 %	78%	83%	73%
Over 2.5 %	56%	62%	50%
Over 3.5 %	28%	21%	35%
Scored	1.28	1.21	1.35
Conceded	1.66	1.54	1.77
BTTS	50%	58%	42%
Clean Sheet	22%	21%	23%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

Vaprus

Estonia: Meistriliiga

Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WDWLL	1.48
Home	WWWDL	1.50
Away	LLWWL	1.46

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	44%	42%	46%
AVG goals	3.46	3.67	3.27
Over 1.5 %	80%	79%	81%
Over 2.5 %	70%	71%	69%
Over 3.5 %	40%	33%	46%
Scored	2.06	2.38	1.77
Conceded	1.40	1.29	1.50
BTTS	58%	62%	54%
Clean Sheet	24%	25%	23%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	FC Levadia Tallinn	7	16	71%	2.3	19	7	+12	3.7	100%	86%	57%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	2	1	2	2.7	1.0	-
2	Flora Tallinn	9	15	56%	1.7	16	14	+2	3.3	89%	89%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	1.8	1.6	-
3	Tammeka	8	15	62%	1.9	13	15	-2	3.5	75%	62%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	0	1	1.6	1.9	-
4	Kalju Nomme	8	14	50%	1.8	16	8	+8	3.0	75%	50%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	2	1	2	2.0	1.0	-
5	Paide	7	14	57%	2.0	14	10	+4	3.4	86%	57%	43%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	2	1	2	2.0	1.4	-
6	Laagri	8	12	50%	1.5	15	11	+4	3.2	75%	75%	25%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	1	1	1.9	1.4	-
7	Vaprus	8	8	25%	1.0	13	15	-2	3.5	88%	75%	62%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	0	1	1.6	1.9	-
8	Kuressaare	9	8	22%	0.9	10	15	-5	2.8	56%	56%	44%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	1	0	1	1.1	1.7	-
9	Trans Narva	8	7	25%	0.9	7	17	-10	3.0	100%	62%	38%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	1	1	0.9	2.1	-
10	Nõmme United	8	6	25%	0.8	9	20	-11	3.6	88%	88%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	0	1	1.1	2.5	-

Estonia: Meistriliiga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Estonia: Meistriliiga stats & trends →

← all matches

Kuressaare vs Vaprus Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Kuressaare

Vaprus

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Kuressaare

Vaprus

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Kuressaare

Vaprus

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Kuressaare

Vaprus

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature