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Kyran vs Ulytau Result & Analysis

Date: 10/05/2024
Time: 13:00
Final 0-1
Kyran
Kyran
Vs
41%
25%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ulytau
Ulytau
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Kyran win✗ Miss
41.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ulytau win✓ Hit
34.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

KyranKyran

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W04L21W30W11D11D25L12L20W01LH·AKT27/09A·YEL03/10H·EKI07/10A·KHA20/10H·ZHE24/10A·ZHE16/03H·FK 19/03H·YAS05/04A·AKT18/04H·ZHE26/04
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.832.001.601.532.072.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.862.381.801.901.912.82
vs Weaker (9)1.781.111.200.802.501.50
Clean sheet %20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Ulytau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UlytauUlytau

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L10W21W12L01L23L21WA·SD 13/03H·MAQ16/03A·SD 04/04H·AKZ12/04H·ZHE19/04A·KAS25/04H·EKI03/05
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.141.431.001.001.332.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.141.431.001.001.332.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %14% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Kyran) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
86.3%
Under 1.5
13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
66.0%
Under 2.5
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
44.1%
Under 3.5
55.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
67.6%
No
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-2
6.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.1%
1-0
5.0%
0-1 ✓
4.4%
Kyran goals ↓
Ulytau goals →
01234
04.3%4.4%4.4%2.4%1.0%
15.0%11%7.8%4.2%1.7%
25.3%8.6%6.9%3.7%1.5%
33.2%5.1%4.1%2.2%0.9%
41.4%2.3%1.8%1.0%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kyran goals (down), columns = Ulytau goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Okzhetpes
2.28
Ulytau
2.17
Kaspiy
2.10
Sport Academy Kairat
2.07
Khan Tengri
1.96
Ekibastuz
1.82
Zhetisay
1.76
Taraz
1.46
Altay (Kazakhstan)
1.36
SD Family
1.11
Akzhayik
0.86
Kaisar II
0.79
Yassy Turkistan
0.76
Arys
0.68
Kyran
0.43
Aktobe Jas
0.41
Kyran is 1.74 points worse than Ulytau in terms of average points per game (0.43 vs 2.17).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sport Academy Kairat
2.66
Ulytau
2.41
Kaspiy
2.28
Okzhetpes
2.14
Khan Tengri
1.96
Ekibastuz
1.93
SD Family
1.89
Zhetisay
1.76
Taraz
1.32
Altay (Kazakhstan)
1.11
Arys
1.00
Yassy Turkistan
0.97
Aktobe Jas
0.86
Akzhayik
0.86
Kaisar II
0.82
Kyran
0.57
Kyran is 1.84 goals worse than Ulytau in terms of goals scored per game (0.57 vs 2.41).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Okzhetpes
0.55
Ulytau
1.00
Kaspiy
1.00
Khan Tengri
1.07
Taraz
1.21
Zhetisay
1.28
Ekibastuz
1.29
Altay (Kazakhstan)
1.32
Sport Academy Kairat
1.52
Akzhayik
1.71
Kaisar II
2.00
Arys
2.29
SD Family
2.29
Yassy Turkistan
2.45
Kyran
2.57
Aktobe Jas
2.59
Kyran is 1.57 goals worse than Ulytau in terms of goals conceded per game (2.57 vs 1.00).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KyranKyran

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W02L20W30W11D00D13L11D10W00DH·AKT27/09A·YEL03/10H·EKI07/10A·KHA20/10H·ZHE24/10A·ZHE16/03H·FK 19/03H·YAS05/04A·AKT18/04H·ZHE26/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.030.870.931.071.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.951.141.101.200.821.09
vs Weaker (9)1.000.780.400.401.751.25
Clean sheet %43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Ulytau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UlytauUlytau

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L10W10W00D00D11D10WA·SD 13/03H·MAQ16/03A·SD 04/04H·AKZ12/04H·ZHE19/04A·KAS25/04H·EKI03/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.290.500.000.670.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.570.290.500.000.670.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %71% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Kyran) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kyran over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kyran over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kyran over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ulytau over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ulytau over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ulytau over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KyranKyran

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L01L00D00D11D12L01L10W01LH·AKT27/09A·YEL03/10H·EKI07/10A·KHA20/10H·ZHE24/10A·ZHE16/03H·FK 19/03H·YAS05/04A·AKT18/04H·ZHE26/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.970.730.601.001.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.901.240.700.701.091.73
vs Weaker (9)0.780.330.800.400.750.25
Clean sheet %47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Ulytau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UlytauUlytau

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D11D12L01L12L11DA·SD 13/03H·MAQ16/03A·SD 04/04H·AKZ12/04H·ZHE19/04A·KAS25/04H·EKI03/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.140.501.000.671.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.571.140.501.000.671.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %14% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Kyran) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kyran over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kyran over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kyran over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ulytau over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ulytau over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ulytau over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.586.3%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OKZ (23)
€5m
KAS (23)
€4m
A( (20)
€3m
ULY (20)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OKZ (8)
€2m
ULY (7)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
KAS (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAS (8)
€2m
OKZ (6)
€1m
ULY (6)
€1m
A( (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAS (11)
€1m
OKZ (9)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
ULY (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
KYR wins
0
Draws
0
ULY wins

Head-to-head

Kyran vs Ulytau · H/A from KYR
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

KyranKyran

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/04/24HKYR Vs Zhetisay0-1
18/04/24AAktobe Jas Vs KYR0-2
05/04/24HKYR Vs Yassy Turkistan1-2
19/03/24HKYR Vs FK Aksu2-5
16/03/24AZhetisay Vs KYR1-1
24/10/23HKYR Vs Zhenys1-1
20/10/23AKhan Tengri Vs KYR0-3
07/10/23HKYR Vs Ekibastuz2-1
03/10/23AYelimay Semey Vs KYR4-0
27/09/23HKYR Vs Aktobe Jas2-0

UlytauUlytau

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/05/24HULY Vs Ekibastuz2-1
25/04/24AKaspiy Vs ULY3-2
19/04/24HULY Vs Zhetisay0-1
12/04/24HULY Vs Akzhayik1-2
04/04/24ASD Family Vs ULY1-2
16/03/24HULY Vs Maqtaaral1-0
13/03/24ASD Family Vs ULY2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kyran
Kyran
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWL1.50
HomeWDLLL1.52
AwayWLWDW1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%44%48%
AVG goals3.943.484.40
Over 1.5 %88%84%92%
Over 2.5 %72%64%80%
Over 3.5 %42%32%52%
Scored1.921.881.96
Conceded2.021.602.44
BTTS66%68%64%
Clean Sheet18%20%16%
Corners---
Cards---
Ulytau
Ulytau
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLW1.29
HomeWLLW1.50
AwayLWL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %43%50%33%
AVG goals2.572.003.33
Over 1.5 %71%50%100%
Over 2.5 %57%50%67%
Over 3.5 %14%0%33%
Scored1.141.001.33
Conceded1.431.002.00
BTTS57%50%67%
Clean Sheet14%25%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1OkzhetpesOkzhetpes2966
72%
2.3
6216+46
2.7
69%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2112.10.6
-
2UlytauUlytau2963
69%
2.2
7029+41
3.4
90%
72%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.41.0
-
3KaspiyKaspiy2961
66%
2.1
6629+37
3.3
83%
66%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1212.31.0
-
4Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat2960
66%
2.1
7744+33
4.2
83%
72%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.71.5
-
5Khan TengriKhan Tengri2855
61%
2.0
5530+25
3.0
68%
57%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.1
-
6EkibastuzEkibastuz2851
57%
1.8
5436+18
3.2
89%
82%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.3
-
7ZhetisayZhetisay2951
52%
1.8
5137+14
3.0
76%
55%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.3
-
8TarazTaraz2841
43%
1.5
3734+3
2.5
75%
57%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.2
-
9Altay (Kazakhstan)Altay (Kazakhstan)2838
39%
1.4
3137-6
2.4
71%
54%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.3
-
10SD FamilySD Family2831
32%
1.1
5364-11
4.2
96%
89%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.92.3
-
11AkzhayikAkzhayik2824
25%
0.9
2448-24
2.6
75%
57%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.7
-
12Kaisar IIKaisar II2822
18%
0.8
2356-33
2.8
71%
61%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.0
-
13Yassy TurkistanYassy Turkistan2922
17%
0.8
2871-43
3.4
97%
66%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.4
-
14ArysArys2819
18%
0.7
2864-36
3.3
82%
64%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.3
-
15Aktobe JasAktobe Jas2912
10%
0.4
2575-50
3.4
90%
66%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.6
-
16KyranKyran73
14%
0.4
418-14
3.1
57%
43%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.6
-
Kazakhstan: 1. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: 1. Division stats & trends →

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